Palladium: Bullish Structure IntactThe long setup remains valid.
The structure on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts is clearly bullish, and I expect the uptrend to continue.
Entering from the current level is tricky, as the stop-loss would need to be placed below the local low — around the 1200 area.
A better approach would be either:
– Wait for a breakout above the local high at 1314 and go long from there, or
– Wait for a pullback at least to the 1250 level.
📝Trading Plan
I already have a position in palladium. I plan to add more at the levels mentioned above.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Gold Continues Short Term Uptrend📊 Market Overview:
💬Gold is currently trading around $3,340 – $3,352/oz, down slightly (~0.25%) on the day but still consolidating near recent highs around $3,500.
🌍 Geopolitical tensions (trade wars, Middle East conflicts) and strong central bank gold purchases continue to support long-term demand.
📅Markets are awaiting key U.S. inflation data and Fed signals, which may trigger volatility in the short term.
📉 Technical Analysis:
🔺Key resistance: $3,360 – $3,380, with the psychological zone at $3,400–$3,420.
🔻Nearest support: $3,330 – $3,332, followed by a firmer zone at $3,300–$3,326 (based on Fibonacci and moving averages).
• EMA/MA:
✅ Price is trading above the 50-day MA ($2,862), confirming a medium-term uptrend.
⚠️ While no specific EMA 09 data is noted, current price action suggests bullish momentum.
• Momentum / Candlestick / Volume:
📏RSI (14) is near 50–55, signaling positive momentum without being overbought.
🔄MACD is slightly negative but the overall structure remains bullish.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to rise in the short term if it holds above the $3,330–$3,332 support zone, with potential to test resistance at $3,360–$3,380 and possibly revisit the $3,400 level.
A break below $3,330 could open the path toward deeper support around $3,300.
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD: 3,367–3,370
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3,374
BUY XAU/USD: 3,330–3,333
🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips
❌ SL: 3,326
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Gold price moves sideways above 3320⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices advanced during the North American session, gaining 0.78%, supported by headlines suggesting US President Donald Trump had discussed firing Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell. Although Trump later denied the reports, calling it “highly unlikely” unless fraud was involved, the speculation lifted demand for the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,348, after briefly reaching a daily high of $3,377 following Trump-related headlines.
According to Bloomberg, Trump floated the idea during a meeting with GOP lawmakers focused on cryptocurrency regulation, noting that most attendees reportedly supported Powell’s removal.
Beyond political drama, softer US economic data and ongoing geopolitical tensions also underpinned gold’s gains. The latest US Producer Price Index (PPI) came in below expectations but remained above the Fed’s 2% inflation target. Meanwhile, Israeli airstrikes in Syria helped limit downside pressure on bullion, though Gold’s upside remained capped below the $3,400 level following the recent US consumer inflation report.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price moves sideways in the price range of 3306 - 3380, accumulating and waiting for information on US tariffs and interest rates
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3381- 3379 SL 3386
TP1: $3370
TP2: $3360
TP3: $3350
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3306-$3304 SL $3299
TP1: $3318
TP2: $3330
TP3: $3343
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Report - 17 jully, 2025Executive Notes – Summary
Tariffs Bring In $50bn+ for U.S.: Global partners mostly restrained; only China and Canada retaliated. EU delays action until Aug 1. → Bullish short-term for USD revenue and equities tied to U.S. industrial base; long-term inflation risk rising.
Trump vs Powell (Fed Chair): Trump floated firing Powell; market volatility followed. Odds hit 40%, fell after walk-back. → Bearish for DXY, bullish for XAUUSD and risk hedges.
China-Japan Espionage Flashpoint: Japanese executive jailed. U.S. and Japanese corporates face higher operational risk. → Negative FDI outlook for China, positive momentum for India, Vietnam.
EU–Mercosur Trade Deal at Risk: France demands safeguards on beef, sugar, poultry. Deal approval hinges on political concessions. → Watch agri-commodities (softs), BRL, and EU agri-lobby impacts.
ASML Profit Warning: Trump tariff fears cloud 2026 chip industry outlook; shares drop 11%. → Bearish on EU semis, capital goods.
Nvidia China Deal Revival: U.S. set to grant export licenses for AI GPUs; H20 shipments may resume. → Bullish for China AI adoption and semis; BABA, BIDU, NVDA in rebound territory.
Goldman & JPM Rally on IB Recovery: M&A/IPO flows return; +26% YoY IB fees. → Signals CEO confidence; bullish for dealmakers and sector ETFs (KCE, XLF).
Subsea Cable Ban on China: FCC to block Chinese tech in U.S.-linked subsea networks. → Signals rising digital Cold War; tech supply chains shifting westward.
Germany’s Allianz CEO Sounds Alarm: Warns of fiscal collapse by 2035 if welfare spending not reformed. → Supports hard-asset thesis; bearish EU fiscal stability perception.
Crypto Week & Stablecoin Push: Cantor-led SPAC to buy $4B BTC; U.S. fast-tracking stablecoin rules. → Bullish BTC, USDT dominance, and crypto-native banking platforms.
Full Strategic Macro & Market Analysis
President Trump’s aggressive tariff policy is achieving both economic and political outcomes ahead of the election: $64 billion in Q2 customs revenues and symbolic victory over hesitant global peers. According to Treasury data, tariffs have surged income by over $47 billion YoY. This influx comes with asymmetric retaliation: only China and Canada have meaningfully responded. The EU, under pressure from France’s agricultural bloc, has paused countermeasures, awaiting August 1 negotiations.
The market's muted reaction reflects the novelty of tariffs being treated as quasi-fiscal tools. Yet, the Yale Budget Lab’s finding of a 20.6% effective average tariff — the highest since 1910 — is an inflationary wildcard. UBS projects that core goods prices may push CPI above 2.3% until 2027 without policy reversal, eroding real incomes and squeezing margins across consumer sectors. As noted by Fed officials like John Williams, tariffs alone are lifting inflation by a full percentage point over the next 12 months.
At the same time, Trump’s remarks about firing Fed Chair Powell jolted Treasury and currency markets. The DXY fell nearly 0.9% intraday, while 2-year U.S. yields dropped to 3.90%, pricing in a potentially more dovish successor. This political volatility amplified market preference for inflation hedges and high-quality equity earnings.
Assets:
XAUUSD (Gold):
Trump’s Fed confrontation, rising CPI prints, and global legal-institutional instability support continued gold upside. Technical momentum remains bullish. If DXY dips below 103 and Powell uncertainty rises, gold could retest $2,450.
S&P 500 & Dow Jones:
Rotation continues. Industrials and financials (e.g., Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan) gain from tariff-driven reshoring and M&A revival. However, semis and global tech face drag from ASML warnings and U.S.–China tech decoupling. Dow holds better given dividend strength, but risk spikes if Powell is removed or tariffs push inflation past 3%.
USDJPY:
USD weakening bias persists on Fed risk, though yen gains are capped by geopolitical risk in Asia (e.g., Chinese jet near Japan, espionage cases) and Japan’s sluggish growth. A move toward 152 is possible if Powell exits or the Fed pivots dovishly.
DXY (Dollar Index):
Trump’s instability narrative, threats to Fed credibility, and rising CPI are weighing on the dollar. Watch for a decisive breakdown below 103, especially if ECB/BoE turn hawkish or U.S. deficit headlines worsen.
Crude Oil (WTI):
Supported by strong commodity complex (steel, copper, aluminum all up), tariffs on inputs, and stable OPEC+. Bullish bias into Q3, with demand steady and risk premia rising from China tensions and Middle East unrest.
Macro Risks
Fed Politicization: Powell’s premature dismissal could unravel market confidence in the U.S. rate regime. Bonds and USD would sell off; capital flight risk rises.
Persistent Inflation: Tariffs risk pushing CPI above 3% in 2025. Long-end yields will respond faster than the Fed.
Tech War Escalation: Subsea cable bans, Huawei exclusion, and AI chip controls could trigger further retaliation from China.
EU-Mercosur Breakdown: French farming veto could stall EU diversification efforts and strengthen protectionist politics in Europe.
Emerging Opportunities
U.S. Banks and Dealmakers: Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan gains point to a rebound in capital markets activity. KCE ETF, GS, and MS are prime exposure vehicles.
AI-Semiconductor Complex (Selective): Nvidia’s China deal reversal allows for a tactical rebound in NVDA, BIDU, BABA, despite broader export controls.
Bitcoin Accumulation Wave: Trump-aligned SPACs (Cantor Equity Partners 1, BSTR Holdings) are spearheading institutional BTC acquisition. Stablecoin legislation expected to favor U.S. dollar dominance.
Dividend-Centric Strategies: Payout increases from industrials (Costamare, ILPT) outnumber dividend cuts. Defensive dividend plays are outperforming growth narratives in volatile macro backdrops.
Possibilities:
XAUUSD (Gold)
Short-Term (1–4 weeks): Likely to stay elevated or push higher amid Fed independence concerns and strong CPI tailwinds. A sustained move above $2,400 opens a path to $2,450–2,480, especially if Powell’s status deteriorates or the DXY breaks 103.
Medium-Term (3–6 months): Remains supported by structural inflation and global de-dollarization themes (e.g., stablecoins, geopolitical risk in Asia, digital infrastructure war). Positioning may increase if the Fed turns more political.
S&P 500
Short-Term: High volatility. Earnings remain solid, especially in financials and industrials, but valuation compression risk persists if long-end rates stay above 5%. Potential 1–2% pullbacks on Powell uncertainty.
Medium-Term: Rotation-led upside possible if Fed stability is restored. But if tariffs worsen CPI and margins compress, we could see a multi-month consolidation. AI and industrial resilience may cap downside.
USDJPY
Short-Term: Expected to test downside near 152. Japanese yen gaining haven demand, and dovish Fed risk undermines USD strength. If risk sentiment worsens (China, Powell), JPY outperforms.
Medium-Term: Neutral-to-bearish. If the Fed resumes cuts or dollar confidence erodes, USDJPY could move sub-150. BOJ remains dovish, limiting gains beyond that.
DXY (US Dollar Index)
Short-Term: Under pressure. If Powell's removal gains traction or more tariffs fuel CPI, DXY may decisively lose 103 support. Temporary rebounds on safe-haven flows possible.
Medium-Term: Bearish bias forming. Stablecoin growth, Trump-led policy volatility, and global diversification efforts (e.g., EU trade deals) weigh on demand for USD assets.
Crude Oil (WTI)
Short-Term: Bullish tone holds. Supply-side support from OPEC+, tariffs lifting input costs, and solid U.S. industrial activity. Potential retest of $85/bbl.
Medium-Term: Risk of higher volatility. If global growth slows (China contraction or Fed missteps), oil could retreat to mid-$70s. But inflationary pressure remains net supportive.
Dow Jones Industrial Average
Short-Term: Outperforming due to resilient bank earnings, dividend momentum, and defensive bias. Likely to remain range-bound with modest upward drift unless Powell is ousted.
Medium-Term: Cautiously bullish. Dividend themes remain strong, and industrials benefit from tariff protection. But inflation and long-duration debt concerns could cap gains.
Gold LongsFollowing last weeks bias. Looking for REQH target.
Want to pair longs with a weekly profile. Ideally Monday or Tuesday creates the low of week. Will look to get onside with longs once theres a clear intraweek reversal. Trade the continuation higher. A close below 3320 is invalidation. Expecting previous week low to be protected and expansion to the upside
BTCUSD 7/16/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Full Top-Down Analysis with a Deep Dive Down into the 30min Timeframe. This is One you don't want to miss.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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Gold Market Analysis (XAU/USD) – MMC Analysis + Liquidity Target🧠 Market Context Overview:
Gold recently experienced a highly impulsive move from a major demand zone, suggesting strong smart money activity. The market is currently in the redistribution phase of the MMC (Market Maker Cycle), transitioning between a reversal impulse and a liquidity targeting move.
Let’s dissect the key zones, structure, and confluences that support the ongoing market narrative.
📍 1. Strong Demand Reaction (3X Demand Spike):
We start with a triple-tap demand rejection, where the price sharply reversed to the upside. This kind of movement typically represents:
Institutional Entry Points
Stop-Hunt Below Previous Lows
Liquidity Grab Before Expansion
This strong bullish engulfing candle signifies position building by smart money, often the beginning of a significant leg up.
🧱 2. Reversal Zone & Liquidity Imbalance:
The highlighted green zone between $3,370–$3,375 is crucial. Why?
It’s an inefficiency zone where price moved too fast with low resistance.
This created a liquidity void that typically needs to be revisited (also known as FVG – Fair Value Gap).
The area also coincides with structural resistance, making it a high-probability target for price to revisit and reject again or break through with intent.
📌 Smart money always returns to areas of unfilled liquidity to close their positions or trap late retail entries.
🔺 3. Volume Contraction (Wedge Pattern Formation):
After the explosive push upward, the market started compressing, forming a descending wedge — a classical volume contraction pattern.
What does this mean?
Volatility is decreasing
Liquidity is building up
Big breakout is expected
It’s like pulling a slingshot — the more it contracts, the stronger the release will be. The direction will depend on which side breaks first.
🔁 4. Previous Structure Flipped (Support turned Resistance):
You’ll notice a key level around $3,353–$3,355 acting as a flipped structure.
This was previously a support zone that got broken.
Now it’s acting as resistance — a classic example of support/resistance flip.
This adds confluence to the idea of a possible rejection or reaction in this area.
🧠 Structure flipping is a smart money trick — break structure, retrace to trap liquidity, and then run the opposite direction.
📊 5. MMC Logic – Market Maker Cycle in Play:
Here’s how the MMC is flowing:
Accumulation (bottom consolidation)
Manipulation (liquidity sweep below demand)
Expansion (aggressive upward move)
Contraction (volume dies, price slows down)
Now we’re waiting for the next manipulation or expansion phase.
The current wedge is the pause before the next move, which could fill liquidity in the reversal zone or go lower to sweep resting sell-side liquidity.
🎯 Trading Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Bias (if breakout happens):
Break and close above the wedge
Retest previous flipped structure successfully
Target: Liquidity zone at $3,370–$3,375
🎯 This move would fill the imbalance and potentially tag sell-side liquidity sitting at the top.
❌ Bearish Bias (if rejection holds):
Failure to break above flipped structure
Breakdown from the wedge
Target: Demand origin around $3,325–$3,315
🧲 A move lower would make sense if liquidity remains uncollected beneath the range.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
Gold is currently in a high-probability setup zone. We have:
✅ Clear demand reaction
✅ Imbalance above
✅ Volume contraction
✅ Flipped structure
✅ Strong MMC confluence
Now it's a waiting game. Let the market show its hand — either a clean breakout with volume or a fakeout/rejection and reversal.
📌 "Trade what you see, not what you think. Let the levels and liquidity guide your decision."
XRP clears Point of Control to test highs.XRP is breaking out of a consolidation zone and above a volume point of control that has been massive since its November rally onward.
Looks like next node is to $3.14
Super strong coin.
Ripple testimony in banking committee yesterday was bullish. Ripple partnering with BNY Melon yesterday was bullish. Ripple leading regulation standards with their XRP case is bullish. Ripple winning the status of XRP as one of a kind is bullish. Ripple getting a bank charter and fed master account is bullish.
Not much is close to XRP fundamentally.
AUS200/ASX200 - ANOTHER DAY TO MAKE THEM PAYTeam, we have successfully SHORT AUS200 last week and kill them with our ACTIVE TRADER COMMUNITY.
Time to have another short at this current price level 8609-8626 ranges
DO NOT FEAR - DOUBLE THE SHORT AT 8642-56 - KILL them
Our first target range at 8586-72 - take 60% profit and bring stop loss to BE
2nd target at 8562-45
NOTE: Next week, we expect the market to be volatile, so be careful with your trade.
EUR_JPY WILL GO UP|LONG|
✅EUR_JPY is trading along the rising support line
And as the pair is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above at 173.166
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
To fade all time highs or not?Not trying to fade ATH run but the SSL in this daily range looks too obvious to me. Super premium.
Price was in a consolidation July 7th - 14th. Took external range high today. I really could see shorts playing out if theres a intraweek reversal confirmed after purging the ERH.
Would need to see 1h CISD confirm intraweek reversal to the downside then trade the daily continuation lower targeting 22,779, 22,578 & EQ of the range at 22,370. Also, the daily BISI that needs sellside delivery.
CPI scheduled this week. PPI following.
NQ Weekly Recap-Projection 13.07.2025NQ Weekly Recap + Outlook
1️⃣ Recap:
NQ made a new All-Time High, but the breakout ended up being a deviation. Price got rejected and started pulling back.
This signals potential weakness and suggests price may want to explore lower levels.
2️⃣ Bearish Scenario:
📍Target: Daily Swing low (Blue line)
📍Deeper target: Weekly Fair Value Gap (Purple zone)
I’ll look for LTF confirmations around these zones to position for potential longs.
3️⃣ Bullish Catalyst Watch:
There’s increasing speculation that Powell may resign this week.
If that happens, we could see:
✅ Strong bullish momentum
✅ Little to no retracement
✅ Immediate push into new ATHs
Weekly Plan Summary:
🔸 Scenario 1 - Pullback Continuation:
Look for reactive long setups at Daily Swing or W FFVG zone.
🔸 Scenario 2 - Powell Resignation:
Expect a breakout move with momentum — potentially no retrace.
Stay nimble. Trade what the chart confirms, not what the news promises.
FX Wars Episode 6 - The return of the USDA simple idea, which I will gradually fill with life:
The USD returns and with it the claim to its FX throne.
Act 1:
📊🔮🇺🇲 US retail sales, which will be published today at 14:30, will be higher than consensus expectations.
🟡-> the US consumer is alive and well and will continue to keep the US economy afloat.
Further acts will follow ✅️
GBPAUD and the Elliott Wave TheoryFrom the bottom left of the chart, we see the price move upwards to form a Wave 1(Green) then a 2(Green). It is important to note that this Wave 2(Green) was a Zigzag correction. This means we should expect a Flat Correction for Wave 4(Green). Wave 3(Green) is long and goes beyond the 161.8% Fib. level, and this normal expressive behaviour for Waves. Our Wave 3(Green) retests on a W1 Chart Fib. level and then drops. This drop is our Wave A(Black). Wave A(Black) retests severally around the 161.8% Fib. level. We should expect a Flat correction as stated earlier, and this means Wave B should go beyond the ending of Wave 3(Green). A confirmation on the D1 Chart would trigger formation of Wave B(Black).
BTCUSD Analysis : Reversal Brewing from Volume Burst Demand Zone🧠 Overview:
Bitcoin is currently showing signs of a potential bullish reversal, following a classic Market Maker Cycle (MMC) pattern. The price action has been clean, respecting both volume dynamics and structural levels, setting the stage for a possible breakout above key areas of interest.
Let’s dive into the detailed breakdown:
🔍 Key Technical Elements:
1️⃣ Volume Contractions – Early Sign of Momentum Shift
At the top left of the chart, we observe a sharp upward move, followed by volume contraction within a rising wedge. This typically represents:
Absorption of orders
Reduced volatility
Market indecision
This kind of structure often precedes a reversal or aggressive breakout, depending on how price behaves near liquidity zones.
2️⃣ Fakeout/Trap Above – Classic MMC Manipulation Phase
After the rising wedge formed, BTC experienced a quick fakeout (stop hunt) just above the highs, then dropped sharply. This was the manipulation leg — a clear signal that liquidity above the wedge was taken and smart money is now repositioning.
🧠 Market makers love to trap breakout traders before moving the opposite way. The drop confirms manipulation is complete.
3️⃣ Reversal Zone + Demand Interchange into Supply
Price then entered a marked reversal zone which was previously an area of demand — now interchanging into supply. This zone is critical because:
It aligns with volume burst zones
It acted as support turned resistance
Multiple rejections confirm order flow shift
This tells us smart money is now testing this area to accumulate or trap sellers.
4️⃣ Volume Burst Area – Institutional Involvement Confirmed
We can clearly identify a Volume Burst Area, where price spiked with strong momentum — this is not retail trading. This zone is now being revisited for a potential bullish re-accumulation.
Expect reaction from this area, as it likely contains unmitigated buy orders from institutions.
5️⃣ Break of Structure (BOS) Mapping:
Minor BOS: Breaks short-term lower highs, showing early intent.
Major BOS: Breaks significant structure, confirming shift in trend direction.
A successful retest of demand and then break of both BOS levels will likely lead to a strong bullish continuation.
📈 Trade Plan & Potential Price Path:
There are two potential bullish entry strategies forming:
✅ Scenario 1: Clean Breakout Plan
Price holds the current reversal zone
Breaks Minor BOS, then Major BOS
Retest of BOS confirms continuation
📍 Target: $119,600+
✅ Scenario 2: Liquidity Sweep Entry
Price dips lower into Volume Burst Area
Sweeps liquidity below and prints a bullish reaction
Enters from discount zone
Same upside targets apply
🧠 This would be a smart money entry — entering from the lowest point of pain for retail traders.
🧵 Final Thoughts:
BTC is setting up beautifully for a reversal continuation pattern within the MMC framework. We’ve seen:
📉 Initial drop (accumulation phase)
🎭 Fake breakout (manipulation phase)
📈 Upcoming expansion (breakout phase)
All signs point to a high-probability move upward, especially if price confirms with BOS + retest. Be patient, wait for price action to align with structure and volume clues.
July 13, Forex Outlook : This Week’s Blueprint to Profit!Welcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Currency Pairs:
EURUSD
USDCAD
AUDUSD
EURGBP
EURJPY
GBPCHF
USDCHF
NZDCHF
NZDUSD
EURNZD
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
Is Gold Preparing for a Breakout — or a Trap? 🟡 Is Gold Preparing for a Breakout — or a Trap? Let’s break down the latest market data 👇
⸻
🟥 1. U.S. Inflation News (PPI & Core PPI)
Report Previous Forecast Actual
Monthly PPI 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Core PPI 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
📉 Result: Very bearish for the U.S. dollar
→ Inflation is cooling
→ Fed may pause rate hikes
→ Interest rates could stabilize or drop
→ And gold loves that kind of setup 😍
⸻
🟫 2. U.S. Crude Oil Inventory Report
Report Previous Forecast Actual
Crude Oil Inventories +7.07M –1.80M –3.85M
🟢 Result: Very bullish for oil
→ Energy demand is higher than expected
→ Inflation could creep back up due to rising oil prices
→ That makes investors run to gold as a hedge against inflation 🔥
⸻
🧠 Technical & Market Outlook for XAU/USD:
📈 Gold pushed from $3,319 to $3,377
↩️ Now it’s in a pullback, testing Fibonacci levels:
• 38% retracement near $3,350
• 61% retracement near $3,339
📉 But… these pullbacks are happening with positive delta and absorption → which signals smart buying from below 👀
✅ Additional signs:
• VWAP is stable
• Volume is holding around the POC
• And macro data is clearly supporting upside momentum
⸻
🎯 Trading Plan:
• ✅ Entry Zones: $3,350 or $3,339
• 🛑 Stop Loss: Below $3,319 (recent low)
• 🎯 TP1: $3,377
• 🎯 TP2: $3,392 – $3,400
• ⚠️ Watch for a breakout above $3,377 with strong volume — that would confirm the real move.
⸻
🔄 Summary:
💥 Two major news events today are supporting gold:
1. Weak PPI = possible pause in rate hikes
2. Rising oil = renewed inflation risk
So gold is getting support from both angles.
But stay cautious — any surprise statement from the Fed or a sudden USD rally could change the game
2025 Trading Final Boss: Daily Market Manipulation, The New NormMarking this point in history because we'll likely forget and move on.
During the early hours of the July 16th NYC session, we saw indices quickly flush ( CME_MINI:NQ1! CME_MINI:ES1! ) nearly 1% on the news that Trump will fire Jerome Powell. The dip was bought almost instantly.
Shortly after the dip was bought (roughly 0.50% recovery), guess what? Trump announced, he is "not considering firing Jerome Powell". The dip then recovered and achieved a complete V to finish the day somewhat green. Make what you want of it but always use a stop loss in these tough conditions.
Welcome to 2025 Trading Final Boss