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Bilibili

BILI is exhausting demand needs re-accumulation to move higherBili bili is one of my fav stocks to trade. Paired with my love for anime, its a great stock. I have traded it everytime it hit $16 and sold it everytime at $28. I made a pact a long time ago that without question if the stock hits $16 buy it... and if it hit $28 sell it. I want more plays so I am adding more in depth analysis and stalking this thing now. I noticed it bounces around in the 20s when it gets up here. It normally hits the upper 20s one last time before coming down. However, based on its current move. the candles are showing this move is exhausted and demand is spent. There is no conviction in the candles and with out a ton of volume its not able to get over this area between $25-26. I'm in on some puts with tight stop losses as everything says it wants to go but the candles say otherwise. by iCantw84it 03.30.23
NASDAQ:BILIShort
by iCantw84it
BILI/USD LONGBILI has had a very rough last couple of months, and has finally reached a point where long trade makes sense base on RISK/REWARD potential from current support. It is currently at MA100*0.236 support line, as well as 0.943 Fib Support level (based on log scale). Also Drawdown of 93% seems like an overdue to find some sort of local bottom, unless you anticipate the stock to go down to 0. Being "Youtube of China", I think it's quiet an unlikely event to take place within next couple of months. I will be deciding on TAKE PROFIT points, based on SPX chart. As of right now, SPX is likely to experience a decent support, and in short/mid term is very likely to see some upside. Once its mini rally will be coming to end, I will then look for exit points.
NASDAQ:BILILong
by kix_
1
Bilibili: Q2 2021 Results Surpass ExpectationsThe popular video platform has released its quarterly financial and operating results – which show a stellar performance. Bilibili maintained a high growth rate in Q2 and gained over USD 1 billion in the first half of 2021, which exceeded its expectations. The company has attracted a large number of active creators and increased its user numbers through diversified content and business model optimization. The company might set its orientation in innovative advertising and self-developed games for the next quarter, while the uncertainty of its new business and the problem of banned events will pose the main risks. On August 19, 2021, Bilibili held the Q2 2021 earnings call that revealed positive financial results beyond its best predictions. However, with negative impacts from the recent changes in the United States and China's listing-related policies, such outstanding financials have not boosted the stock price. Beating expectations Bilibili's second-quarter results topped the expectations of the market. During that period, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 4.50 billion, up 72% year over year. It is the first time the company has achieved over USD 1 billion in revenue (about CNY 6.5 billion) in half a year. However, its quarterly loss from the operation has expanded to CNY 1.52 billion, up 47.5% quarter over quarter and 149.3% year over year mainly due to the increasing sales and marketing expenses (from CNY 1 billion to CNY 1.40 billion). Though Bilibili received a higher investment income this quarter, its net loss increased to CNY 1.12 billion, up 23.9% quarter on quarter. Following 2020, the company's mobile game revenue has tended to be stable, with weak growth. However, its e-commerce, advertising and 'value-added services' (VAS) businesses have started to pick up and helped the company maintain momentum. This is good news for Bilibili as it has stabilized its profit model and improved its anti-risk abilities in light of fierce competition. Nevertheless, we think the company is still in a critical period of increasing accessible users. We believe that the company will maintain a relatively aggressive marketing strategy to improve brand awareness based on the increasing marketing expenses. At the same time, Bilibili has been further enriching content categories and broadening differential-age groups to achieve its user growth goals. The company has a sticky and loyal user base that allows it to maintain a high growth rate during this quarter. By the end of June 30, 2021, the average monthly active users (MAUs) of Bilibili reached 237.1 million, up 38% year on year, while its average daily active users (DAUs) reached 62.7 million, up 24% year on year. The average user time spent on its website and app rose to 81 minutes per user per day, setting a historical record. For the paid subscribers, this group grew to 20.9 million users, surging 62% compared with the level of June 30, 2020, which indicates users' increasing engagement. Diversifying businesses Over the past decade, Bilibili has continuously expanded its content coverage and improved its user experience. This platform has become one of the most popular online communities in China and attracted a large number of stable and active UGC creators and users with high stickiness. These features equip the company with high competitiveness in the video entertainment domain. By the end of the second quarter, the company had attracted 121 million official members, up 35% year over year, and its 12-month retention rates remained around 80%. In the second quarter, Bilibili incubated 2.4 million content creators, up 25% year over year. Video submission grew to 8.4 million in the period, up 41% year over year. Also, the number of content creators with more than 10,000 followers increased by 47% year-over-year. Starting in 2020, the company's mobile game revenue began to turn stable, but this segment's growth has been weak in the past years. However, its e-commerce, advertising and value-added services (VAS) business growth has started to pick up and help the company maintain steady growth. This may be a good thing for Bilibili, that is, it has changed from a single profit model to a more balanced one, improving its business agility and thus hedging against risks. Nevertheless, we think it is still in a critical period of expanding the range of accessible users. We believe that the company will maintain relatively aggressive marketing methods to improve brand awareness, the increasing marketing expenses can testify to this point. At the same time, further enriching content categories and broadening differential-age groups may help Bilibili achieve its user growth goals. For the business segments, we think Bilibili has two obvious developing directions: innovative advertising and self-developed games. On the one hand, according to the call, Bilibili said it will continue to explore new advertisement formats in areas like video advertising and embedded advertising. These new streams will contribute to the boom of its advertising revenue. As for the mobile game segment, the company announced in the earnings call's Q&A session that Bilibili will focus more on self-developed games in the second half of 2021. It has over 1,000 team members and multiple self-developed projects have been progressing. Considering the unbalanced nature of the demand and supply chains, we think Bilibili's mobile game business is approaching a turning point. However, it is hard to develop games that resonate with the company's unique community culture and user characteristics – other than ACG-related ones. Hence, we have some reservations about its effect on the near-future performance of the company. Valuation and bottom line Since Bilibili is yet to make a profit, we used the EV/revenue ratio and chose IQ, HUYA and DOYU as its competitors. From the chart, it is obvious that the ratio jumped compared with its competitors since Q4 2019, owing to its continuous high growth. Based on its current financial performance, momentum and competitive landscape, we think 17x is an appropriate valuation for Bilibili in 12 months, which corresponds to a target price of USD 98.90 apiece. Risks 1. The largest risk in the next quarter comes from the company's gaming business. Factors such as the slow development and the wayward demand for new games may lead to the slow growth of the mobile game segment in the next quarter. 2. Another risk comes from the ban of uploaders publishing inappropriate content. In 2021, two of the most popular uploaders in Bilibili, LexBurner and Dangmei (link in Chinese), were banned for such a reason, having repercussions for the whole community. Events of this kind normally hurt the platform's reputation in China, with users migrating to its alternatives. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
NASDAQ:BILILong
by EqualOcean
So perfect Fib Spiral top reversal pattern. BILI is not worth thI won't short BILI, I'm not sure where the top is, maybe 200$ / 300$, that's crazy. Long stop-loss price: 106.67 / 94.91 BILI is a interesting stock, but I won't touch BILI stock above 120$. Low liquidity of BILI options, and low leverage for margin trading. I have no idea why my money forced buying a stock like BILI. BILI is too young to forecast its stock price. One of risks is pirated videos on bilibili.com, those videos like a time bomb. There are lots of opportunities buying other stocks, and those stocks are uprising steadily. The only reason buying BILI above 120$ after 18 Jan 2021 is that buying BILI like a believer, being a long-term shareholder who firmly believe that BILI would be great than others. stock analysis by Jiucai334 16 Jan 2021
NASDAQ:BILI
by jabberer
BILIBILI, best long term stock. Load up on pullbacks.- Best long term growth stock in my opinion. - Good prices to buy on pullbacks: $30, $25. - It will very unlikely to hit $25 again, but if it does, we've struck gold. - Don't chase highs (ie, don't buy now) - However good a stock might be in the long term, investors need to care about short term drawdown, especially at the beginning of a trade - it will affect your psychology, a lot. - Do not FOMO, fear of missing out. - Opportunities constantly arise.
NASDAQ:BILILong
by yujingr
BILI Making Bull Run and OversoldBILI has been trading over its 100 day moving average since the end of December. Looking at RSI (2 period, 90% and 10% as upper/lower bands) BILI closed today below the lower band around 7.83% On 2/7, RSI tapped the lower band followed by a nice run up before pulling back again on 2/15. Long 80 BILI @ $18.60 Granted this was pretty far from the lows for the day, BILI should continue its run. Plan to exit somewhere around $19.50 or so in the next trading week, give or take. If I see a jump sooner than later, ill take it. Cheers!
NASDAQ:BILILong
by RickOldboy