Bitcoin short-term view - EMA50 (4h chart) strong resistanceBitcoin short-term view - breakout target reached as predicted
(a) EMA50 (4h chart) is known as strong resistance on low TF
(b) a sideways consolidation down to $20,137 would not be concerning
Will keep you updated dear Crypto Nation
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Bitcoin-btcusd-btc
BITCOIN - MULTI YEAR ACCUMULATION RANGE?To stay this strucure of huge consolidation channel we need to keep uur current low and print stron higher low.
We have place to one more lego down just slightly below 19 k where bulls will have to absorb all the selling pressure.
If that holds I think we will have choppy month or longer even after breaking main trend line.
Bitcoin Trend Analytics September 2The key short-term bullish support sustained the price and many positions are added at this level. It’s still functioning as key support.
Taking hold of $21115.19 could BTC enter consolidation.
Intraday fluctuation is concentrated between the key support and intraday resistance. Monitor the key support.
QT doubles in September. Fed lifts the upper limit of QT to 95 billion (60 billion treasury bonds + 35 billion MBS). The market is under the pressure of quick and massive liquidity drainage.
The market expected interest rate hike in September: 50bp(28%),75bp(72%)
The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate still rising - Bitcoin ??Update:
The Trimmed Mean PCE inflation rate still rising
See the reverse of Bitcoin🟠and the Trimmed Mean PCE🔵inflation rate
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Bitcoin short-term view - BTC tripple bottom - breakout ahead?Bitcoin short-term view
(a) BTC formed a tripple bottom - breakout ahead?
(b) we need a close above ATH 2017 at $19,892 and price action resistance at $20,137 as well as on RSI
(c) target IMO still at FIB 38.2% - $20,434 (SMA+EMA resistance)
*not financial advice
do your own research before investing
Bitcoin following the script as expectedOn 11th of May 2022 when $BTC was $30000 I published the idea that it will drop to $14000-$12000.
Back than we were in wave B of the correction.
Check the link below.
We are now fully underway in wave C. starting minor wave 5 of C.
So the good news that the ending of the correction is near. When wave 5 of C is done, the whole correction started in November 2021 is done.
The bad news (for $BTC holders) is that is still going down to that $12000-$14000 level. I have multiples Fib ratios pointing to that level.
This is my analysis and does not constitute financial advice.
BITCOIN Short-term outlook doesn't look promising. Unless...This analysis is on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on the 4H time-frame where we're looking on its short-term perspective. As you see since the August 15 High and the rejection on the 1D MA100 (red trend-line), the trend has been bearish and using the Fibonacci Channel with its extensions, better grasps the movement.
The price has been closing below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since August 16 and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since August 18. Every major drop (black arrows) was preceded by a Channel Up/ Bear Flag pattern, where sellers accumulated. It appears that we are in such a Flag currently that is about to break downwards. On top of that, BTC failed to break above the Lower Highs trend-line tha started on the August 15 High and last time that happened (August 26), the new drop happened. We are though very close to the Channel's Bottom (Lower Lows trend-line), which broke momentarily on Aug 28, so a new drop may target the -0.5 Fibonacci extension.
On the bull side, the 4H RSI has been on Higher Lows since August 19, also printing an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. A candle close above the 4H MA50 should be enough to accumulate buyers into targeting the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). On the longer-term, only a weekly closing above the 1D MA100 seems capable to restore the bullish trend.
Also, consider this Higher Lows zone since June 30, illustrated by the dashed lines on the chart below (I didn't include this on the main chart to make it less messy):
Which direction do you think Bitcoin will follow? Break above the 1D MA50 or new drop? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin connection to United States Chicago PMI Bitcoin connection to United States Chicago PMI - measuring performance of manufacturing and non-manufacturing sector in Chicago
Chicago PMI is released one day before the ISM Manufacturing Index.
Look how strong #BTC behaved in PMI uptrends and partly even in downtrends
What to expect at next PMI uptrend ⁉️
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BITCOIN Recovering the 1D MA100 is key for $30000 as in 2019The trading set-up on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) since the June 18 low looks a lot like the price action that followed the December 15 2018 Bottom of that Bear Cycle. There is no need to overanalyze this as a simple comparison of the two charts of 2022 and 2019 would suffice.
As you see in 2019 when the price broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), it entered the final stage of Accumulation inside a Channel Down before the first rally of the new Bull Cycle. The pull-back was contained above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Once the price broke above the 1D MA50 but more clearly above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), there was considerable buying accumulation that in just over one month broke also above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to reach the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. This Fib is on today's set-up around 32700. The 1D MACD patterns so far are fairly similar. One more Bullish Cross on the MACD may confirm the bias to break above the 1D MA50 initially.
Do you think that as long as the 0.786 Fib holds and the 1D MA100 breaks, BTC can reach 32700? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below!
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Update: Bitcoin long-term - BTC never lower than $17,607 again⁉️Update: Bitcoin long-term - BTC never lower than $17,607 again ⁉️
When TRIX indicator touched the green support channel in 2015 and 2019...
...the low of the weekly candle before was never seen again later
We also might see a further decline within the channel
What are your thoughts on that comparison dear Crypto Nation?
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do your own research before investing
Bitcoin Long Opportunity 20220829, with a High Risk RewardBlue -> Green * N
BTC , BTCUSD , BTCUSDT , BTCUSDTP, BITCOIN , CRYPTO, CRYPTOCURRENCY
DISCLAIMER
This is only a personal opinion and does NOT serve as investing NOR trading advice.
Please make your own decisions and be responsible for your own investing and trading Activities.