Downloading...
Download

Bitcoinprediction

Bitcoin BTC price analysis📈 Two weeks have passed since the previous analysis of the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, and the market has decided to go with the 1️⃣ scenario. Less than 3% remains to reach $125,000, and the price could easily get there by inertia, but that's a minor detail. CRYPTOCAP:BTC is updating its ATH, and total liquidations on the crypto market over the past 24 hours are “only” $750 million, of which almost $450 million is accounted for by #Bitcoin. Weak, very weak... Previously, longs were liquidated for $2+ billion, and it was reported that the actual amount of liquidations was significantly higher due to the fact that the exchanges' data was not fully disclosed. (For the sake of objectivity, at that time, the lion's share of liquidations was accounted for by altcoins, but now this is not the case). ◆ During this time, Trump introduced new tariffs — the market was “on a roll” — it swallowed it and didn't even notice the news. ◆ Tomorrow, July 15, the US CPI will be announced — the forecast is for inflation to rise from 2.4% to 2.6% (although there are rumors that the situation in the US economy is much worse and this may "come to light" tomorrow). ◆ July 16 - PII announcement - these indicators may act as a “cold shower” to bring the market out of its euphoria. ◆ From July 14 to July 18, the US Congress is considering three key crypto laws, including the GENIUS Act. Major players consider this a powerful driver. Perhaps the current growth has already “played out” and priced in expectations for news. 🪐 And this trading week will end on 18.07 with the start of Mercury retrograde, even the US Congress is postponing all important matters, and you still don't believe in it )) 🖐 Long positions are certainly beneficial, appropriate, and in line with the trend at present, but it is advisable to hedge them with stops, because as mentioned above: the price is rising, and there are few liquidations. During the previous decline in the cryptocurrency market, there were significantly more liquidations of long positions, and they may wish to repeat this. And with the #BTCUSD price correction, there will be a fixation: some will have profits, and some will have losses in stablecoins, which would then be logical to reinvest as capital in altcoins. First in something more voluminous and less risky, and in the last stage, they will pump everything in a row) But until then, we still need to survive and preserve our deposits. So, in your opinion: correction to one of the levels: 1️⃣-$110k 2️⃣-$97k 3️⃣-$90k or is everything written above complete nonsense, and the market growth has only just begun to “take off”?
by P_S_trade
2
Bitcoin Hits New ATH – Is It Time to Short?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) managed to form a new All-Time High(ATH) in the previous one-hour candles . Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH in the coming hours? Bitcoin is currently trying to break the Heavy Resistance zone($110,720-$105,820) . It has also penetrated the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($114,910-$113,850) . In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that the 5 impulsive waves that Bitcoin started in the last 3 days can be completed above the ascending channel and PRZ . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks. I expect Bitcoin to drop to at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($111,563-$110,947) . At least the price zone Bitcoin is in at the time of publishing this analysis is better for short positions , even if the Stop Loss(SL) is touched . Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $115,023 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
42
Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal). Here's why we're likely going a little higher. First correction of -32% Followed by first peak, ATH Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are: Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
Long
by BlockTechEv
19
#BTC/USDT It's not over yet! Eying at 130K +ALTCOIN CHEAT SHEET!The last time I shared this chart was on April 14th, when Bitcoin was trading around $84,000 — right when panic was setting in across the market. The message back then was simple: don’t panic, it’s just a retest. And here we are again, revisiting the same sentiment with a new chart! There are a lot of “double top” charts circulating in the space right now, but let me be clear: it’s not over yet. Before jumping to conclusions, go through this chart and analysis to understand the full picture. Bitcoin closed the week at $105,705 — certainly higher than most expected just a few days ago. This marks the first red weekly candle after seven consecutive green closes, which is normal in the context of a healthy uptrend. We're still midway toward the broader target, so there’s no reason to panic or shift into disbelief. Yes, we may see further corrections in BTC over the coming days or week, potentially down to $98K, and in a less likely scenario, even $ 92K. But this time, Ethereum is showing signs of strength and is likely to outperform Bitcoin, creating high-quality entry opportunities across the altcoin market. In other words, this phase is not a threat, it's an opportunity. BTC is still destined to hit $130k+ as per charts and other important metrics. Here’s a typical market structure and reaction flow to help put things in perspective: 1. Bitcoin rallies — Altcoins underperform or get suppressed due to capital rotation into BTC. 2. Bitcoin corrects — Altcoins correct further as fear increases and dominance rises. 3. Bitcoin stabilises — Ethereum begins to gain strength, often leading the altcoin recovery. 4. ETH/BTC ratio increases — Ethereum holds up better while many altcoins continue to lag. 5. Bitcoin breaks ATH — This triggers a gradual recovery in altcoins. 6. BTC dominance peaks — Altcoins start gaining serious momentum. 7. Capital rotates from BTC and ETH into altcoins — Sectors tied to the current narrative (like meme coins this cycle, and Metaverse/NFTs in the last one) begin to lead. 8. Altcoin season begins — Utility and mid-cap tokens follow, often delivering strong returns in the final phase. This pattern has repeated across cycles. Currently, we appear to be in the transition between Bitcoin stabilising and Ethereum gaining dominance — typically the stage that precedes a strong altcoin rally. Now is not the time to assume the move is over. Stay objective, monitor capital rotation closely, and prepare for what comes next. If your views resonate with mine, or if this post adds any value to you, please boost with a like and share your views in the comments. Thank you #PEACE
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptorphic
5
BTC Bullish Setup: Two Long Positions Aligned for ContinuationHello guys! Bitcoin is currently in a strong uptrend, consolidating after a sharp move up. The chart highlights a textbook bullish continuation pattern (pennant/triangle), suggesting momentum is building for another leg up. Attention: This is not an either-or setups. Both long entries are valid and could trigger one after the other, offering layered opportunities for bulls. 1- First Long: Breakout from Bullish Pennant Price is tightening inside a triangle after a strong impulse move. A breakout above the resistance around $118K would confirm continuation. Entry on the breakout targets the upper liquidity zone near $122K. 2- Second Long: Pullback to S&D Zone (around $115K) If the breakout happens and then retraces, watch for price to revisit the S&D zone at $115,200–$115,800. This area will act as support and provide a second long opportunity. target: around $122k
Long
by melikatrader94
23
BTC Weekly Update -as of Jul14🕰 Timeframe: 📆 Date: 🔎 Market Overview: 💼 Massive Institutional Inflows: ▪️ Over $1.1 billion in net capital inflows have entered spot Bitcoin ETFs in recent days, bringing the total weekly inflows to $2.72 billion so far. ▪️ The total assets under management (AUM) across all Bitcoin ETFs now exceed $150 billion, representing over 6% of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization. ⚖️ Favorable Political and Regulatory Support: ▪️ The ongoing Crypto Week in Congress is reviewing key legislative proposals like the Genius Act and the Clarity for Digital Assets Act, both of which offer promising regulatory clarity for the crypto industry. ▪️ Additionally, former President Trump’s executive order to establish a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” signals strong official political support for Bitcoin adoption. 📊 On-Chain & Sentiment Indicators 📦 Exchange Reserves: Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at their lowest levels in years, suggesting a trend toward long-term holding (HODLing) and reduced selling pressure. 🧠 Fear & Greed Index: The sentiment index remains firmly in the “Greed” zone, even hitting its highest level since May, indicating strong bullish sentiment among retail and institutional investors. 🌀 Whale Activity: Whale wallets continue to show heavy accumulation, with large and steady transfers into private wallets, further supporting a bullish on-chain trend. 📈 Technical Setup 🔵Trend: Ranging upward 🔸 Key Support: 118,000➖ 115,000 🔸 Key Resistance: 125,000➖ 130,000 🔸 Indicators Used: RSI above 70 🧭 Next Week – Key Points 🔹 Watch for the outcomes of Crypto Week legislation in Washington — this will be a key driver for market direction. 🔹Monitor ETF capital inflows — if daily inflows stay above $500M, the bullish trend will likely strengthen. 🔹 Track the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and the USD outlook, especially in response to inflation or other macroeconomic factors. 🔚 Summary: Final Analysis 📌 After reaching a new all-time high above $122K on July 14, Bitcoin’s bullish trend has strengthened. Strong institutional inflows and political support have reinforced the foundation for growth. ● Key Level Ahead: $125,000 ● Outlook: If price consolidates above resistance, we could see a move toward $135K and beyond. ● Weekly Bias: Bullish, with potential for a pullback before continuation upward. ✅ If you like this analysis, don't forget to like 👍, follow 🧠, and share your thoughts below 💬!
by Apollo_Capital
4
BTC – Textbook Pullback. New ATHs. What’s Next?Back in mid-June, I published a BTC update calling for a local correction into HTF demand while most were screaming bear market and waiting for deeper breakdowns. Price action played out exactly as forecasted. BTC swept the $100k swing low, front-ran my first demand zone by $400, and launched into a powerful reversal — just like it did back in April, where it also front-ran the key HTF demand before rallying. That move took us straight into new all-time highs (ATHs) — now trading comfortably around $118k. 🧠 What Happened? ✅ Liquidity sweep of the prior low ✅ Front-run demand zone (perfect HTF structure) ✅ Strong bullish reaction and higher high ✅ Confluence from USDT.D rejection at 5.25% ✅ Alts showing signs of strength as BTC rallies The entire setup aligned perfectly across BTC, USDT.D, TOTAL, and OTHERS.D — all of which I’ve been tracking in tandem. 🔮 What Now? With BTC now in price discovery, I expect continuation higher — but not without the possibility of a short-term pullback. 📉 A potential retest of the $108k zone isn’t off the table. This level aligns with: - Prior breakout structure - Range high retest - Local demand before continuation But even if we go straight up — I remain HTF bullish into the final phase of this cycle, supported by: - USDT.D structure still bearish - BTC.D showing signs of distribution - ETH.D and OTHERS.D gaining momentum - Altseason rotation already starting to pick up 🧭 The Macro Outlook The 4-year cycle projection still points to a Q3 2025 top — likely between August late and September based on historical cycle timing, but this could deviate. That gives us a window of 2–3 months for this final leg to unfold — and it’s already in motion. Stay focused. Stick to your plan. Ride the trend, don’t chase it. Let me know what levels you're watching next, and whether you think we get that $108k retest — or we go vertical from here. 1D: 3D: 4D: 1W: 1M: — Marshy 🔥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marshyyy
BTC/USD Heist Mode: Buy Low, Escape Rich🔓 BTC/USD Crypto Vault Breach: Thief Strategy for Long Entry Robbery (Swing/Day Setup) 🔓 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰💸✈️ 🚨 Welcome to our next Thief Trading-style breakout mission — this time targeting the mighty BTC/USD vault. Using a fusion of technical precision and macro-level insight, we're charting a long entry blueprint for a profitable heist. 🔑 Entry Plan "The vault is open!" 💥 Buy at current price or set Buy Limit near swing lows (15–30min timeframe pullback entries). We're timing the entry with stealth—precision over panic. 🛑 Stop Loss Setup SL set near recent swing low (4H TF reference: ~104.000). Adjust based on position sizing, risk appetite & multi-order tactics. 🎯 Take Profit Target Targeting 115.000—or exit earlier if price action stalls. Get in, get out. Efficiency is the code. 👀 Scalpers' Notice Only work the Long side. If your bag’s heavy, strike instantly. If light, ride with swing robbers. Use trailing SLs to protect your bag. 📈 Why We’re Bullish Market momentum favors the bulls: Overbought zones acting as lures Bearish traps ready to flip Key confluences from sentiment, COT, on-chain & macro analysis ➡️ Full supporting breakdown available 👉👉🔗🔗. 📢 Risk Note – Stay Sharp Major news events = increased volatility ⚠️ Avoid entries during news. Trail stops to protect running profit. Rob smart. 💖 Boost the Crew If this blueprint aligns with your mission, hit that Boost button. It fuels the team, and together, we profit like pros. One heist at a time. 💪🎉 🧠 Stay ready—next plan drops soon. Until then, rob safe, rob smart. 🐱‍👤
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by The-Thief
Bitcoin Roadmap=>End of RallyBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has gained nearly +10% in the recent weekly candle so far. The question is where this rally could end up. So to get to that zone, let’s go to the weekly timeframe . Before we start this analysis, let’s take a look at my last analysis on the weekly timeframe , which was well into the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . ( Analysis time: 9 JUN 2025 ) Bitcoin has now entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) , and these zones could be the zones where this Bitcoin rally will end. Do you agree with me? In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was an extended wave . The main wave 5 could end at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . I expect Bitcoin to start a main correction from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and could continue to support lines and near the $105(at least) . What do you think about the end of the Bitcoin rally? Note: Sell ​​orders near $120,000 are very heavy. Note: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage attractive volume for liquidation. Note: If Bitcoin goes above $130,000, it can continue to rise to the Resistance lines (near $150,000). Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
58
Bitcoin - Blue Skies, Retest Before $125k?Bitcoin has pushed into blue skies after breaking through a major resistance zone around 110,000 USD. The breakout was sharp and impulsive, pushing price well into uncharted territory above 117,000. At these levels, traditional resistance becomes harder to pinpoint, and the market often behaves irrationally, so caution is warranted. With all-time highs being challenged, any small retracement must be handled with precision. Support and Retest Zones The previous resistance zone between 109,000 and 111,000 has now turned into a potential support area. This level acted as a ceiling for weeks and was finally broken with strong momentum. Price already had a minor retest on the breakout candle, which offers a bullish sign of acceptance. However, a deeper retest of this same zone remains a valid possibility, especially if short-term profit-taking intensifies. Trendline Confluence Alongside the horizontal support, we have an ascending trendline that has guided price from the June lows. This trendline now intersects with the 111,000–113,000 area, offering a secondary potential bounce level. If Bitcoin holds the trendline, a shallower correction could be enough to reset before another rally. But if we break below it, the horizontal support remains the final stronghold before deeper downside risks emerge. Short-Term Scenarios There are two likely short-term paths here. Either Bitcoin continues higher without a deep pullback, targeting 120,000–125,000 directly, or we see one more sweep into the 111,000 area before the trend resumes. The first scenario would trap sidelined traders, forcing late entries at higher levels. The second would provide a clean retest of structure, fueling a healthier, more sustainable breakout. Price Target and Expectations Assuming the retest scenario plays out cleanly and price confirms support at either the trendline or the former resistance zone, upside targets sit around 120,000 as the next psychological barrier, with 125,000 as a likely extension. These are natural magnet levels in a trending environment, especially with momentum still intact from the previous breakout. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently in price discovery, which means the structure must guide our expectations. A retest of either the trendline or former resistance could provide the next best entry. As long as we hold above the green support zone, the bullish structure remains intact, and higher targets remain in sight. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by TehThomas
84
#BTCUSDT(BITCOIN): Two Targets First $130,000 And Then $150,000Bitcoin is poised for significant distribution, with a potential price surge to $130,000, followed by a swing target of $150,000. The current accumulation phase is poised to transition into a substantial bullish move. We anticipate a surge in bullish volume in the coming days or weeks. Our analysis anticipates this transition to be completed by the end of the year or sooner. It is important to note that this analysis does not guarantee a specific price movement and is provided solely for educational purposes. We extend our best wishes for your successful trading endeavours. If our analysis has been of assistance, we would appreciate it if you could express your gratitude by liking and commenting. For further insights, please follow our account. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
18
Prepare for the 2025 Crypto Summer as Bitcoin Shatters RecordBitcoin Experiences Impact of a $12B Short Squeeze: Here is How to Prepare for Imminent Crypto Summer July 12, 2025 - The digital asset landscape has been irrevocably altered. In a move that will be etched into financial history, Bitcoin has shattered its previous all-time highs, surging with a ferocity that has left bears in utter ruin and bulls in a state of euphoric disbelief. After decisively breaking the formidable $109,000 barrier, the world’s premier cryptocurrency rocketed past $118,000, liquidating an estimated $12 billion in leveraged short positions in a cascade of forced buy-ins that added jet fuel to an already roaring fire. This is not just another bull run. This is the manifestation of a market that has fundamentally matured. The "Crypto Summer" of 2025, long whispered about in investor circles, has arrived, and it is being majorly fueled by an unprecedented influx of institutional capital and a newly established clear regulatory outlook. While the price charts paint a picture of blistering gains, the underlying story is one of a structural shift in the global financial order. For those who have watched from the sidelines, the question is no longer if they should pay attention, but how they can possibly prepare for the seismic shifts to come. This article will dissect the anatomy of this historic market event, explore the powerful forces driving this new paradigm, and offer a guide to navigating the thrilling, albeit treacherous, terrain of the 2025 Crypto Summer. Part 1: The Anatomy of a $12 Billion Cataclysm To comprehend the sheer violence of Bitcoin's recent ascent, one must first understand the market dynamics that preceded it. A short squeeze is a market phenomenon that occurs when a heavily shorted asset experiences a rapid price increase. This forces traders who bet on a price drop (short sellers) to buy back the asset to cover their positions and cut their losses. This sudden surge in buying demand creates a feedback loop, pushing the price even higher and liquidating more short positions along the way. In the weeks leading up to the breakout, a palpable sense of bearishness had settled among many derivative traders. They saw the price range between $100,000 and $110,000 as a formidable distribution zone—a ceiling where bulls would run out of steam. Emboldened by this conviction, they began to build massive short positions. It's estimated that prior to Bitcoin’s bullish breakout above $109k, short traders had accumulated around $12B in leveraged positions, with many of these bets entered around the $118k level, anticipating a strong rejection from that point. The trap was set. But it was the bears, not the bulls, who were about to be caught. The initial catalyst was the clean break above the $109,000 resistance. This was followed by a swift move above a key bearish trend line that had formed on shorter timeframes, with resistance at $111,000. As the price then confidently reclaimed the $112,500 zone and began trading above the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, the first wave of liquidations began. What followed was a textbook short squeeze of epic proportions. As automated margin calls were triggered, computer algorithms began to market-buy Bitcoin at any price to close the losing short positions. This forced buying pressure propelled BTC through $113,000, then $114,000, and $115,000 in what felt like mere moments. The higher the price went, the more short sellers were forced to capitulate. The $12 billion in leveraged positions, once a wall of sell-side pressure, became a colossal wave of buy-side demand. The price action culminated in a spectacular surge past $116,000 and eventually screaming past $118,800, leaving market commentators and traders alike breathless. This event was a brutal lesson in the inherent risks of shorting a structurally bullish asset in a high-leverage environment. Part 2: A New Paradigm: Institutional Capital and Regulatory Clarity While the short squeeze provided the explosive catalyst, the true engine of this bull market is fundamentally different from those of the past. The frenzied, retail-driven manias of 2017 and 2021 have been replaced by a more deliberate, capital-heavy, and institutionally-led advance. The "Crypto Summer" of 2025 is built on the bedrock of legitimacy that only Wall Street and a clear regulatory stance could provide. The ETF Revolution Matures The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024 was a watershed moment, but 2025 is the year their impact has become undeniably dominant. These regulated financial products have provided a secure and familiar bridge for institutional investors, hedge funds, and even sovereign wealth funds to gain exposure to Bitcoin. The results have been staggering. In a clear sign of a changing of the guard in the world of alternative assets, spot Bitcoin ETFs have captured an astonishing 70% of gold’s inflows in 2025. This statistic is more than just a headline; it represents the tangible manifestation of the "digital gold" narrative. For years, proponents have argued that Bitcoin's provable scarcity and decentralized nature make it a superior store of value to the yellow metal. Now, the flow of funds from the world's largest asset managers is proving this thesis correct. BlackRock’s IBIT, in particular, has shattered ETF records, becoming one of the fastest-growing funds in history and signaling to the entire financial establishment that Bitcoin is no longer a fringe asset but a core portfolio component. The Certainty of Regulation For years, the spectre of regulatory uncertainty has cast a long shadow over the crypto markets, deterring conservative institutional players. A key driver of the 2025 bull market has been the emergence of a clear regulatory outlook in major jurisdictions like the United States and Europe. With comprehensive market structure bills passed, clear guidelines on custody, and a defined tax framework, the biggest obstacle for institutional adoption has been removed. This regulatory clarity has done more than just open the floodgates for capital; it has legitimized the entire asset class. Institutions operate on long-term horizons and require predictable rules of engagement. With these in place, they are no longer making a speculative bet but a strategic allocation to a new, globally recognized asset class. This influx of what is often called "stickier" capital—long-term investment rather than short-term speculation—is helping to build a more stable market foundation and reduce some of the notorious volatility associated with Bitcoin. Part 3: Reading the Charts and Chains The story of this bull run is written not only in the headlines but also in the data. A confluence of technical chart patterns, on-chain analytics, and market sentiment indicators paints a uniquely bullish picture, suggesting that this rally may have much further to run. Technical Analysis: Echoes of the Past, Pointers to the Future For seasoned market observers, the BTC price action in 2025 has mirrored the 2017 macro bullish breakout. The fractal nature of Bitcoin's four-year cycles, often centered around its programmatic "halving" events, appears to be playing out once again. The structure of the consolidation below $100,000 and the subsequent explosive breakout bears a striking resemblance to the patterns that preceded the parabolic run to $20,000 in 2017. On a more granular level, the price has decisively conquered several key technical levels. The break above the bearish trend line at $111,000 was a critical signal that the downtrend pressure had been absorbed. Now, with the price trading firmly above $113,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, these former resistance zones are expected to act as strong support levels for any potential pullbacks. The next major hurdle appears to be the $116,800 resistance zone, a level that, if cleared, could open the door to a much larger upward expansion. Perhaps the most tantalizing model for predicting the cycle top is the Bitcoin "power law" model. This model suggests that Bitcoin's price growth over time follows a predictable exponential path when plotted on a logarithmic scale. Developed by analyst Giovanni Santostasi, the model views Bitcoin's long-term growth not as a random walk but as a structured, measurable trajectory akin to natural growth phenomena. According to analysts applying this model, Bitcoin is currently trading ahead of its long-term power law curve. Historically, this has been a sign that the market is entering the final, euphoric phase of its bull cycle. Based on this model, some analysts believe a Bitcoin Christmas rally to $200K or even $300K is possible, with the parabolic rally potentially lasting until the end of the year. On-Chain Analysis: A Supply Shock in the Making On-chain analysis, which involves examining data directly from the blockchain, provides a transparent view of investor behavior. One of the most encouraging signs for this rally is that Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Remain Low Amid Latest Milestone. When investors move their BTC off exchanges, it is typically to place them in secure, self-custody wallets for long-term holding. This reduces the immediately available supply that can be sold on the market, creating a "supply shock" dynamic where even a small increase in demand can have an outsized impact on price. The current trend indicates that new institutional buyers and long-term believers are accumulating coins and have no intention of selling at current prices. Further bolstering the bullish case is the metric of profitability. The market has reached a point where Bitcoin has broken records with 100% profitable days and unmatched returns. This means that for a vast majority of its history, buying and holding Bitcoin has been a profitable endeavor, reinforcing its narrative as one of an incredibly successful long-term asset. However, a note of caution comes from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, which warns that despite the breakout to over $118,000, liquidity is still thin. This means the order books on exchanges are not particularly deep. While this can amplify moves to the upside, it also means that a large sell order could cause a sharp and swift correction. This thin liquidity explains the continued volatility and serves as a reminder that the market, while more mature, is still susceptible to violent price swings. Sentiment Analysis: A Rally Without the Mania Perhaps the most compelling argument for further upside potential is what is absent from this rally: hype. In previous cycle tops, the market was characterized by a palpable mania. Bitcoin dominated mainstream news, celebrity endorsements were rampant, and stories of overnight crypto millionaires were inescapable. This time is different. In a sign that suggests significant further upside potential, the current Bitcoin All-Time High Lacks Hype. Google Trends for "Bitcoin" are not at their peak, social media is not yet in a state of collective FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out), and the general public is not yet clamoring to get in. This suggests that the rally so far has been driven by the "smart money" of institutions. The retail-driven "mania phase," which typically marks the final blow-off top of a bull cycle, has not yet begun. This quiet confidence, devoid of irrational exuberance, is seen by many analysts as one of the healthiest indicators for the market's future. Part 4: The Macroeconomic Tailwinds A key factor is the falling dollar and anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of foreign currencies, has been in a significant downtrend throughout 2025, hitting its lowest levels in over two decades relative to its moving averages. There is a historically strong inverse correlation between the DXY and Bitcoin; a weaker dollar makes assets priced in dollars, like BTC, more attractive to foreign investors and also pushes domestic investors to seek hedges against currency debasement. Furthermore, the anticipation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve to stimulate a slowing economy makes holding cash and low-yielding government bonds less attractive. This monetary policy shift encourages a "risk-on" environment, where capital flows out of safe-haven assets and into those with higher growth potential. As the ultimate digital risk-on asset, Bitcoin stands as a major beneficiary of this capital rotation. The magnitude of this rally has also had fascinating side effects, such as the fact that the Bitcoin Surge Pushes Satoshi Nakamoto Into Global Top 15 Rich List. Based on the estimated 1.1 million BTC held by Bitcoin's pseudonymous creator, the recent price surge would place their net worth among the wealthiest individuals on the planet—a testament to the incredible value creation of this new technology. Part 5: How to Prepare for the Imminent Crypto Summer With a potential parabolic rally to $200,000 or $300,000 on the horizon, the central question for every investor is how to position themselves. The answer depends heavily on one's experience and risk tolerance. (This section is for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice). For the Newcomer: 1. Education Before Allocation: Before investing a single dollar, take the time to understand what Bitcoin is. Learn about its core principles of decentralization, scarcity, and self-custody. Do not simply buy based on FOMO. 2. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Entering a market that is already in a parabolic uptrend can be risky. DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price. This strategy reduces the risk of buying the top and smooths out your average entry price over time. 3. ETFs vs. Self-Custody: For the first time, investors have a simple choice. Buying a spot Bitcoin ETF through a traditional brokerage account is easy and secure. However, the core ethos of Bitcoin is self-sovereignty ("not your keys, not your coins"). Learning to use a hardware wallet to take self-custody of your coins is the ultimate way to embrace the technology, but it comes with greater personal responsibility. For the Experienced Investor: 1. Prudent Risk Management: The warning of thin liquidity should be heeded. Volatility will remain high. Use stop-losses to protect capital, avoid excessive leverage, and do not get caught up in the euphoria. Have a clear plan for both entry and exit points. 2. Develop a Profit-Taking Strategy: No asset goes up forever. It is crucial to have a plan for taking profits. This could involve selling a certain percentage of your holdings at pre-determined price targets (e.g., $150k, $200k, $250k) or using technical indicators to signal a potential market top. 3. Look Beyond Bitcoin: Historically, a major Bitcoin rally paves the way for a subsequent "alt-season." As Bitcoin's dominance peaks, capital often rotates into Ethereum and other alternative cryptocurrencies with strong fundamentals, leading to explosive gains in those assets. Researching promising projects now could position you for the next phase of the crypto summer. Finally, it is essential to address the question: Breakout Or Brutal Bull Trap? While all signs point to a sustained, institutionally-backed bull market, the risk of sharp corrections remains. Parabolic advances are often followed by equally dramatic pullbacks. The thin liquidity could exacerbate such a move. Staying grounded, managing risk, and sticking to a well-defined plan are the keys to surviving and thriving. Conclusion The Bitcoin story of 2025 is a symphony of powerful forces playing in perfect harmony. The violent crescendo of a $12 billion short squeeze announced its arrival, but the enduring melody is one of profound structural change. The unwavering commitment of institutional capital, flowing through newly approved and highly successful ETFs, has provided a stable and deep foundation for the market. This, combined with a clear regulatory framework and supportive macroeconomic tailwinds from a weakening dollar, has created the conditions for a historic "Crypto Summer." Unlike the retail-driven manias of the past, this rally is characterized by a quiet confidence, a lack of widespread hype, and on-chain data that points to a severe supply shock. Models like the power law suggest that the journey is far from over, with potential targets that would have seemed fantastical just a year ago. The road ahead will undoubtedly be volatile. But for those who understand the underlying dynamics at play—the institutional shift, the market structure, the on-chain truths—the path to navigating this new era is clear. The summer has just begun.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
HUMAUSDT Forming Falling WedgeHUMAUSDT is displaying a promising falling wedge pattern, which is widely recognized by traders as a powerful bullish reversal setup. This pattern suggests that the coin may be nearing the end of its consolidation phase, setting the stage for a potential breakout with significant upside. Backed by good trading volume, this scenario looks increasingly likely, with price targets pointing to an impressive gain potential of 140% to 150% in the medium term. The Huma project is steadily gaining traction among crypto investors due to its innovative use cases and expanding community. As the DeFi ecosystem evolves, projects like Huma that focus on human-centric decentralized solutions are getting more recognition. With growing investor confidence, HUMAUSDT could become one of the standout performers in the altcoin market, especially if the current technical structure plays out as expected. From a technical perspective, the falling wedge pattern is characterized by descending resistance and support lines converging towards a breakout point. When price finally breaches the upper trendline with convincing volume, it often sparks a rapid upward move as short positions get squeezed and new buyers jump in. Traders should watch for a daily close above resistance and monitor volume levels to validate the breakout. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
Bitcoin - The cycle is just starting!⚔️Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) just created new highs: 🔎Analysis summary: Bitcoin is currently - especially with the new all time high breakout - just perfectly following previous cycle behavior. Since there is no real resistance above current price, apart from psychological levels, I do expect a substantial rally back to the upper channel resistance trendline. 📝Levels to watch: $300.000 🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION Philip - Swing Trader
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
25
Bitcoin: Final Push in the 60-Day Cycle?Bitcoin appears to be making its final move higher within the current 60-day cycle. We could potentially see a push into the $121K–$122K range before a sharp correction takes us down to around $110K–$112K toward the end of the month, driven by the 3-day cycle timing. After that, we’re likely to form a new 60-day cycle low, which could set the stage for a renewed move to the upside. Is it time to go long? At this point, the risk/reward doesn’t look favorable for new longs. Personally, I’m watching for one final push above $120K to consider opening a short position into the expected cycle low.
Short
by TheStrategyMaster
1
Bitcoin Looks Ready for LiftoffBitcoin is showing a textbook bullish continuation. After breaking out of a long-term downtrend line, CRYPTOCAP:BTC came back for a clean retest — just like it did during the last breakout phase. That previous breakout led to a massive rally, and now we're seeing a very similar setup again. The retest around $94K held perfectly, confirming strong demand and validating the breakout. Since then, price has pushed higher with momentum, now trading above $117K. If this pattern continues to play out like before, Bitcoin could be eyeing $130K and beyond in the coming weeks. The structure is strong, the trend is intact, and bulls are clearly in control.
Long
by unichartz
Bitcoin Sets New All-Time High – The Bull Run Is OnBitcoin has just printed a new all-time high, breaking decisively above its previous record and entering price discovery. After months of consolidation below resistance, the breakout above ~$118K confirms a major shift in market structure — from sideways to breakout phase. This level isn’t just a number — it’s a psychological turning point. ATH breakouts often fuel aggressive momentum, FOMO, and trend acceleration, especially with no historical resistance above. All eyes now shift to round levels like $125K and $135K. 📈 New ATH: $118,923 📊 Previous Resistance: $109K → Now Support 🧠 This is what breakout structure looks like on a macro scale. #BTC #BitcoinATH #AllTimeHigh #PriceDiscovery #CryptoMomentum #BTCUSD #TradingView
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Quant_Trading_Pro
Bitcoin’s Final Wave & Time Reversal Zone _ New ATH Loading?Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the weekly time frame and answer these questions : Can Bitcoin create a new All-time High(ATH) or not!? At what price range can Bitcoin's uptrend end!? When can we expect the uptrend to end!? Please stay with me. Bitcoin appears to have managed to break the Resistance lines , although we saw a fake break a few months ago , and it also appears to have a Hammer Candlestick Pattern in the previous weekly candle , which could signal the completion of Bitcoin's pullback to the Resistance lines(broken). In terms of time , if we want to analyze the Bitcoin chart and look at Bitcoin's past, in general, the months of June(Average=-0.13%/Median=+2.20%) and especially July(Average=+7.56%/Median=+8.90%) have been among the most productive months for Bitcoin , and the months of August(Average=+1.75%/Median=-8.04%) and September(Average=-3.77%/Median=-4.35%) were the months when Bitcoin had a correction . Technical analysis tools show the end of the upward trend and the beginning of Bitcoin's correction at the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing the main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was extended . I expect Bitcoin to trend higher(+10%) in the coming weeks and create a new ATH . New ATH could be created in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and TRZ , and then we can wait for the start of the main correction . What do you think about Bitcoin’s future movement? Can Bitcoin create a new ATH? When and at what price? Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,000, we should expect further declines. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
34