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Stablecoin liquidity = Bitcoin bullish thesis --> $109k?Can BTC soon climb to the $109,000 level thanks to stablecoin liquidity? Maybe yes! An increase in stablecoin market cap often signals more money entering the crypto space, indicating bullish sentiment as investors prepare to deploy capital. This increased liquidity can lead to smoother trading and attract more participants, potentially driving up Bitcoin's price. The chart clearly illustrates this relationship: Purple line ( CRYPTOCAP:USDT + CRYPTOCAP:USDC + CRYPTOCAP:DAI + CRYPTOCAP:USDEE market cap) shows steady growth Bitcoin candle chart ( COINBASE:BTCUSD price) follows with more volatile increases Blue line at the bottom: BTC and stablecoin correlation coefficient of 0.9 😊 This correlation can serve as a leading indicator for Bitcoin price movements. During downturns, investors might sell Bitcoin for stablecoins, but as sentiment shifts, this "dry powder" can quickly flow back, driving Bitcoin's price up. Adding to that, the long-term correlation coefficient between stablecoin liquidity market cap (USDT+USDC+DAI+USDE) and Bitcoin is 90%. So, yes, there's a strong long term correlation and usually BTC and stablecoin liquidity converge. According to my views on the stablecoin liquidity, the Bitcoin price should target the $109k level. Last time I made this analysis, Bitcoin jumped from $58k to my price target of FWB:73K in the span of 2 months. Let me know your thoughts.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
3
Where are we with BITCOIN ? 4hour, Daily and Weekly charts tell I am hearing so many people shouting about "This is it, we are on the way" It may turn out to be right BUT for me, It seems people are looking at the smaller Time Frames only. Sure, the main chart here is a 4 hour chart, has been climbing from around 76K ( Told you we would go there ) Looks Lovely and Bullish, though a return to 80K is very possible on the lower trend line Lets Look at the Daily. And there it is, Even though on a shorter Time Frame, we seem to be climbing, and we are, it is in fact, all with in a DESCENDING channel But do not worry, a Bullish sign is that PA does appear to have broken over that Upper trend line of resistance. We need to wait , probably till next week, to see if this remains Bullish or not. It is Wise to take note of that Fib Circle that we are coming to in the next couple of weeks. If we get trough, we will hit resistance increasingly from 91K And so now the weekly - this is a different chart to the Daily The Bigger picture ALWAYS tells us the reality of the situation. and that is simply that PA is currently on a line of strong Local support (dashed line ) Should this fail, we have strong support below, all the way to 70K. Be fully aware, this COULD FAIL. We are Mid channel, MACD is still falling Bearish and at current rate of descent, will arrive at Neutral near end of April The Bullish note is we are still above the 2.272 Fib extension. Sentiment is rising, Selling is Slowing So in conclusion, we are in a Good place. PA is becoming stronger and we have support below and PA has remained in "channel" for 3 weeks. That is NOT Bearish But we are also NOT in a Bull Run yet. But, for me, I think we are certainly getting ready/. As I have said, April may see Volatility, March looks like it may Close GREEN but htis has a week to go yet... Bullish Caution is what I say - And so expect anther Drop out of this rising channel. It would present excellent Buying opportunity and reset MACD quicker. Aere we en-route to the New ATH ? We are getting Near but I still say the stronger probability for The CYCLE TOP ATH that is Early Q4
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Crypto liquidations drop 76% as Bitcoin $BTC stabilizes aboveCrypto liquidations plummeted by 76% in the second half of March as Bitcoin BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC consolidated around $87,000 after earlier volatility. From March 12 to March 25, Bitcoin's price moved within a narrower range, starting at $82,857 and closing at $87,330. Earlier in March, Bitcoin BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC saw sharp price movements, dropping below $79,000 before rebounding, coinciding with a spike in long liquidations. The recent decline in liquidations signals more stable market participation and reduced leverage risk. Between March 12 and March 25, long liquidations totaled $1.26 billion, while short liquidations reached $1.14 billion, down from 7$7.2 billion in long and $2.8 billion in short liquidations from February 24 to March 12.
by paul_endeo
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Bullish Breakout Towards $89khello guys! In the 4-hour Bitcoin/USDT chart from Binance, a clear ascending trendline supports price movement, indicating a potential bullish structure. Here are the key observations: Technical Analysis 1- Ascending Trendline Support The price is respecting an ascending trendline, which has provided multiple touches and acted as a dynamic support level. A bounce from this trendline around the $83,000-$83,500 range suggests strength in buyers. 2- QML (Quasimodo Level) Formation A QML (Quasimodo Level) pattern is visible, which typically signals a strong reversal zone. Price has already reacted to this level, indicating it could be a key turning point before further upside movement. 3- Major Support Zone A larger support area is identified around the $76,900-$77,600 range that support the price before! The upper boundary of the ascending channel and the psychological resistance at $89,621 serve as the next major target. The price could test this level in the coming sessions, provided it maintains its bullish momentum. _____________________________ Conclusion Bitcoin appears to be in an uptrend within a rising channel, with bullish momentum building. If the ascending trendline continues to hold, the next significant target would be around $89,000. However, a break below the QML zone could lead to a retest of lower support near $77,000. Traders should watch for confirmation of trend continuation before entering long positions.
Long
by melikatrader94
15
BTCUSD 2H | Breakout Flow + BOS Confirmation – CelestiaPipsBTC is slowly developing a breakout structure on the 2H timeframe . Multiple bullish BOS points and a solid NY session demand base formed. Price is currently retesting the breakout zone after sweeping short-term liquidity. If price holds this zone, we could see continuation toward 88,900. I’ve mapped out the entire flow – BOS, entry zone, and final target. Watch how price reacts from this level. — Shared by CelestiaPip
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CelestiaPips
BTC IMF Tracking, Liquidation Frenzy, and Market PredictionsBitcoin's recent price action has been a rollercoaster, marked by significant gains, dramatic liquidations, and a confluence of macroeconomic factors that are shaping its trajectory. From the International Monetary Fund (IMF) officially tracking Bitcoin in cross-border finance to speculative predictions of a potential $87,000 surge, the cryptocurrency remains a focal point of intense market scrutiny. One of the most noteworthy developments is the IMF's increasing recognition of Bitcoin's role in global finance. While the IMF previously issued warnings to El Salvador regarding its Bitcoin adoption, its decision to now track Bitcoin in cross-border financial flows signals a tacit acknowledgment of the cryptocurrency's growing significance. This shift reflects a broader trend of institutions grappling with the reality of digital assets, forcing them to incorporate these assets into their analytical frameworks. Simultaneously, the Bitcoin market has witnessed a surge towards the $87,000 mark, triggering a wave of short liquidations. This phenomenon occurs when traders who have bet against Bitcoin's price are forced to close their positions at a loss as the price rises. The sheer magnitude of these liquidations, exceeding $110 million in a short period, underscores the volatility and the inherent risks associated with leveraged trading in the cryptocurrency market. The total market liquidations surpassing $200,000 in 24 hours only highlights the dramatic price swings and the vulnerability of short positions. Adding to the complexity of the market dynamics is the emergence of another CME gap in the $84,000–$85,000 range. Historically, these gaps, which represent discrepancies between trading prices on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) and other exchanges, tend to be filled, suggesting a potential pullback in Bitcoin's price. This pattern creates a sense of uncertainty, with traders weighing the potential for further gains against the possibility of a corrective downturn. Furthermore, the surge in Bitcoin open future bets on Binance, with an increase of $600 million, indicates heightened price volatility. Open interest, which measures the total number of outstanding futures contracts, often correlates with price movements. A rise in open interest alongside a price increase typically confirms an uptrend, but it also signals the potential for sharp price swings as more capital enters the market. Market analysts are divided on Bitcoin's future trajectory. Some predict a "brutal bleed lower," while others foresee a break towards new all-time highs in the second quarter. The critical level to watch is $93,000. If Bitcoin can reclaim this level as support, it would significantly reduce the risk of a fresh collapse. However, until this threshold is breached, the market remains vulnerable to downward pressure. On a more positive note, the S&P 500's reclamation of its 200-day moving average provides a potential tailwind for Bitcoin. This technical breakout in equities, coupled with similar signals in the cryptocurrency market, could indicate renewed bullish momentum. The correlation between traditional financial markets and Bitcoin has become increasingly apparent, with positive developments in equities often translating to positive sentiment in the crypto space. Adding another layer to the narrative is the potential softening of the stance on reciprocal tariffs by Donald Trump. Some analysts see this development as a potential catalyst for a Bitcoin bottom. Any relaxation of trade tensions could boost investor confidence and create a more favorable environment for risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Finally, the concept of tokenized US gold reserves, as proposed by NYDIG, presents an intriguing long-term prospect for Bitcoin. While gold and Bitcoin are fundamentally different assets, the tokenization of gold on a blockchain could enhance the overall legitimacy and infrastructure of digital assets. This increased institutional acceptance could indirectly benefit Bitcoin by further integrating blockchain technology into mainstream finance. In conclusion, Bitcoin's current market landscape is characterized by a blend of institutional recognition, intense trading activity, and speculative predictions. The IMF's tracking of Bitcoin in cross-border finance underscores its growing relevance, while the liquidation frenzy and CME gap highlight the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market. The interplay of macroeconomic factors, technical indicators, and speculative sentiment will continue to shape Bitcoin's trajectory, making it a fascinating asset to watch in the coming months.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
1
JUST IN: Bitcoin Reclaims $88K, Eyes $100K Breakout!The Price of Bitcoin shocked sceptics surging nearly 4% today, reclaiming the FWB:88K pivot- now setting its coast for $100k breakout amidst a bullish symmetrical triangle Pattern. On the daily time frame, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has formed 2 bullish candlesticks, should a third identical candlestick evolve, it will lead to a breakout of the ceiling of the symmetrical triangle formed- placing CRYPTOCAP:BTC in the $90,000 - $96,000 range. A break above this pivots would cement the the move to $100k and beyond. Similarly, should the asset faced selling pressure into making it dip below the $81k range, a selling spree could emerged. Bitcoin Price Live Data The live Bitcoin price today is $88,452.78 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $29,835,452,540 USD. Bitcoin is up 3.95% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,755,025,651,822 USD. It has a circulating supply of 19,841,384 BTC coins and a max. supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin Following 2013-2017 Fractal UPDATE 2We can see from the chart above that PA has now fallen below the Fractal for the first time since July 2023 This is itself was expected as we can see from previous posts on this Idea PA was overbought and so HAS to cool off However, we have targets as to when PA may try and recover. initially, the circle in End of May was my expected "turn around" point Things have progressed faster and so now, we have possibilities opening up for a move higher, sooner, maybe around end of April 2925 However until the weekly MACD is on Neutral, these would be short lived - hopefully. For a sustainable move higher, PA needs to have the ability to maintain the push the Weekly MACD shown above needs till end of April before any significant move can be maintained. PA has bounced of Neutral previously. But MACD can , obviously, Drop below this point, wait till May, or later, and move then. For me, the line of the arrow higher is becoming the more realistic ideal path But the longer we wait, the Steeper the rise has to be to maintain the idea of Cycle ATH in Q4, as per cycle trends. And to conitnue to follow this Fractal. The Time WILL come were we break away from this Fractal but as I have been saying for years, we are still on it......many things point towards that continuing. But as I have mentioned in a post earlier today, These Trends may be changing. Bitcoin is Maturing All we can do is watch, react and learn HAVE A PLAN FOR ALL OUTCOMES but also understand, the idea of Bitcoin collapsing is becoming more and more unrealistic... The outlook is BULLISH noi matter what I expect to remain on the fractal path till Next cycle ATH Time will tell
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
2
BITCOIN HAS TO BREAK LONG TERM TREND by DEC - SQUEEZE APEX DECI have posted this before and I post it again now, just months away from a CRUCIAL point for Bitcoin PA As with any time scale trading chart, An Apex is a point of reaction. PA usualy reacts BEFORE the Apex is met. This Giant Apex is in DEC 2025 Every single ATH in the life span of Bitcoin has been rejected by the Arc of Resistance that is overhead. We can also see how from the ATH in 2011, a trend line was formed that has acted as Support ever since 2012. PA has never dropped below this line. So, as you can see, PA has been in a diminishing "Sandwich" and Now, we are coming to the Crunch We can see how the ATH's have been a reducing % Rise ever since this point also. And you will notice how this number on the chart reduces each time, even though the real value is increasing. Low to ATH A ( ATH 2011) - 3,465,178% Low to ATH B ( ATH 2013) - 49,670 % Low to ATH C ( ATH 2017) - 9,865 % Low to ATH D ( ATH 2021) - 2,148 % E is not over yet but coing on current ATH we have Low to ATH E ( ATH 2025) - 575 % So, you see the reduction of % rise, held back all along by the ARC Of RESISTANCE What is interesting, is that since PA has been in the chanel formed in 2011, when comapred to each other, we have been seeing a rise of 20% of the previous rise ( on average ) This closer chart shows you this in more detail I will ignoew the A - B as thia is out of channel C-B = 19.6 % D-C = 21.77 % Currently E-D = 26.7 % As you can see, we are currently OVER that average % Rise. And we are also heading into a tight APEX in Dec. The expected 200K ATH this cycle will take us out of the pattern, out of the Apex and out of the 20 % average rise of previousl This really is CRUNCH TIME for Bitcoin The REALLY interesting thing is, What would be Next ? This would break the Cycle routine. We may already have broken that as described in previous charts of mine from years ago But what IS Certain is that something HAS to happen. This Cycle ATH will reveal a HUGE amount but we have yto Wait and see what will happen
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin <> Gold Correlation: Bullish for Bitcoin? I’ve been diving deep into the relationship between Bitcoin and Gold, and based on my analysis, I’m setting a price target of $100,000 to $105,000 for Bitcoin over the next couple of months. Why? The correlation coefficient between BITSTAMP:BTCUSD and TVC:GOLD is 0.84, which indicates a strong, beautiful correlation. As you can observe in the chart, Bitcoin and gold price movements converge over time, building on the current correlation. This leaves us with 2 options: a) Gold price drops to meet the recent BTC decline b) BTC rises to meet gold's recent surge 👀 c) BTC and gold meet in the middle Given the long-term trend and the adoption of Bitcoin by US institutions and the government, I see option B as the most likely to happen. In this case, then, I see Bitcoin getting somewhere close to $105,000 over the next few months. This can mean a 25% uptick in BTC, totally within normal BTC price ranges.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by HenriqueCentieiro
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week's trading session demonstrated considerable volatility in Bitcoin's price action. The cryptocurrency made multiple attempts to attain our Interim Coin Rally 88400, yet it ultimately remained at the same level as the week commenced. The current analysis suggests that Bitcoin must reach our Mean Support of 82500 before initiating an upward progression aimed at the Interim Coin Rally of 88400 through the Mean Resistance of 87000. Furthermore, a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip 78700 is essential before the emergence of a significant rally.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
The Current State of Bitcoin on the CME Futures ChartAs we analyze the current state of Bitcoin on the CME Futures chart, it's clear that a mixture of market forces and investor sentiment is playing out in an intriguing way. Looking at the Commitment of Traders (COT) index, we can observe a distinct divergence in the positioning of different market participants: commercials, retail traders, and fund managers. Commercials: Bearish but Accumulating Over-the-Counter Commercials, who are typically large institutions and market makers, continue to hold a bearish stance on Bitcoin in the futures market. This suggests that they are still not convinced of Bitcoin’s long-term price sustainability, likely reflecting a cautious outlook amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty. However, what stands out is their behavior in the over-the-counter (OTC) market. Despite their bearish position in the futures market, these same entities are accumulating Bitcoin in the OTC market. This suggests that while they might be hedging against short-term volatility, they still recognize Bitcoin's potential value or see it as a long-term store of value, allowing them to position themselves for future upside. Retail Traders: Fearful and Bearish Retail traders, on the other hand, have a far more pessimistic view of Bitcoin at the moment. With a lot of fear circulating in the market, many smaller traders are hesitant and have adopted bearish positions. This fear is compounded by the volatility that has become characteristic of the cryptocurrency market, alongside the macroeconomic challenges in traditional markets. Retail traders’ bearishness is a sign of market uncertainty and can often present opportunities for those who can see past short-term price movements. It is also indicative of the emotional influence that sentiment, such as fear, can have on the broader market. Fund Managers: Extremely Bullish In stark contrast to both the commercials and retail traders, fund managers are incredibly bullish on Bitcoin. They see the cryptocurrency as a valuable asset, particularly in the context of diversification and inflation hedging. The strong bullish positioning of fund managers indicates that institutional interest in Bitcoin is growing. These larger investors, likely driven by long-term growth prospects and the increasing recognition of Bitcoin as digital gold, remain optimistic about its potential. Their strong positions also suggest a belief in the fundamental value of Bitcoin and its resilience in the face of market turbulence. Conclusion: A Complex Market Sentiment The current state of Bitcoin futures on the CME reveals a market characterized by stark contrasts. Commercials are hedging their bets with a bearish outlook in the futures market while accumulating Bitcoin over-the-counter. Retail traders are fearful and bearish, showing caution amid uncertain market conditions. Meanwhile, fund managers stand in stark contrast, displaying strong bullishness, likely driven by the long-term potential of Bitcoin. This divergence of sentiment suggests that the market is at a crossroads, with various players taking different approaches based on their time horizon, risk appetite, and views on Bitcoin's role in the financial system. In the short term, volatility and fear could dominate, but the long-term bullish positioning of institutional players may point toward a stronger future for Bitcoin as the market matures.
CME:BTC1!Long
by Aryaman_SmartContracts
Explanation Why Bitcoin BTC Bull Run Is not Over YetHello, Skyrexians! Time to update BINANCE:BTCUSDT huge analysis. Market became bigger and it needs more rime to form bull and bear stages. Now everyone is waiting for the bear market because it was every time, but this time it will be tricky for retailers. Let's take a look at the 2 week time frame. If we apply our Fractal Trend Detector to this chart we can see that Bitcoin is still in the green zone and now is inside the huge support area. If it will be held we will see the following Elliott waves scenario where wave 3 will reach at least $144k. Awesome Oscillator also gives us a hint that it's still not over. The entire bull market will be finished only in the middle of 2026. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
Global Tensions, Market Manipulation, and BTC Uncertainty The cryptocurrency market, a realm notorious for its volatility, is currently grappling with a confluence of factors that are forcing investors to reassess their strategies. Global trade tensions, macroeconomic uncertainties, and the intricate dance of market manipulation are all contributing to a complex and unpredictable landscape. Specifically, Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, is experiencing a period of intense scrutiny, with analysts offering a range of perspectives on its potential future. A recurring theme in recent analyses is the notion of "whale manipulation." Reports suggest that large holders, or "whales," are engaging in strategic trades on exchanges like Binance to influence Bitcoin's price. This "liquidity massaging" is seen as a deliberate attempt to create artificial price ceilings, with some analysts predicting that Bitcoin's upward momentum could be capped below $90,000, and more conservatively, $87.5K. Such manipulations introduce uncertainty, making it difficult to discern genuine market sentiment from artificially inflated or deflated prices. Adding to the complexity is the debate surrounding retail investor participation. Contrary to the prevailing narrative of retail investors being absent, some crypto executives argue that they are already actively involved. This perspective challenges the notion that a surge in retail interest is needed to propel Bitcoin to new heights. If retail participation is already significant, the anticipated catalyst for a bull run may have already materialized, leaving investors to wonder what new catalyst is needed for further price appreciation. Data from Bitcoin's Realized Cap and UTXO (Unspent Transaction Output) analysis is also signaling a "major shift." These metrics, which offer insights into the actual value stored within the Bitcoin network and the movement of coins, are crucial for understanding the underlying health of the market. Changes in these indicators can foreshadow significant price movements and shifts in investor behavior. Traders are closely monitoring these metrics for clues about Bitcoin's future direction. However, despite recent attempts to pare losses, Bitcoin is struggling to maintain a consistent uptrend. This instability has led some traders to adopt a bearish stance, with predictions of a potential drop to as low as $65,000. These bearish sentiments are fueled by the inability of Bitcoin to decisively break through resistance levels and the persistent volatility that characterizes the current market. Conversely, some analysts are finding bullish signals by examining indicators that also correlate with the Nasdaq. The correlation between traditional financial markets and the cryptocurrency space has become increasingly evident, and analyzing these relationships can provide valuable insights. If the Nasdaq shows signs of strength, it could potentially buoy Bitcoin's price. However, this correlation is not always consistent, and the inherent volatility of both markets can lead to unpredictable outcomes. The performance of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs is another critical factor influencing market dynamics. The collapse of the "cash-and-carry" trade, a popular arbitrage strategy, has had significant implications for investors. The stagnation of inflows into these ETFs, compared to the initial surge earlier in 2024, has raised concerns about the sustainability of institutional interest. While there have been recent reports of net inflows returning, questions remain if this is a temporary blip, or a sustained uptrend. This fluctuation in ETF inflow signals a wavering confidence from institutional players. The combination of these factors creates a challenging environment for investors. Global trade tensions, which can disrupt economic stability and investor sentiment, add another layer of uncertainty. Fluctuations in traditional markets, geopolitical events, and regulatory developments can all have a ripple effect on the cryptocurrency market. In this tumultuous landscape, investors are advised to exercise caution and adopt a diversified approach. Relying solely on technical analysis or market sentiment can be risky. Instead, a comprehensive strategy that incorporates fundamental analysis, risk management, and a deep understanding of market dynamics is essential. The current situation highlights the inherent volatility and complexity of the cryptocurrency market. While Bitcoin remains a dominant force, its future trajectory is far from certain. The interplay of whale manipulation, retail participation, technical indicators, and macroeconomic factors creates a dynamic and unpredictable environment. Investors must remain vigilant, adapt to changing conditions, and prioritize risk management to navigate this challenging terrain successfully.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTC/USDT Analysis. Yesterday’s scenario remains validBitcoin eventually tested the local buyer zone at $84,800–$83,500 (pushing volumes). Throughout the day, price has been consolidating within this range with reduced volatility. Meanwhile, the cumulative delta continues to break its lows, indicating an imbalance and absorption of market sell orders. The primary scenario suggests a continuation of the upward movement toward $90,000–$93,000. This scenario will be invalidated if price secures a foothold below the current buyer zone, in which case a full retest of last week’s low is likely. Sell Zones: $95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes) $97,500–$98,400 (pushing volumes) $107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies) Buy Zones: $84,800–$83,500 (pushing volumes) $77,000–$73,000 (volume anomalies, pushing volumes)
Long
by Crypto_robotics