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(BTC/USD) – Rising Wedge Pattern - Critical Breakout Setup🔍 Market Overview & Technical Breakdown Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently forming a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, which is a bearish signal indicating a potential reversal. The price action shows higher highs and higher lows, but the narrowing wedge suggests that buying momentum is weakening. BTC has been battling a major resistance zone around $85,000 - $87,500, struggling to break higher. If Bitcoin fails to hold above the key support level at $80,000, we could see a strong downside move. However, if BTC breaks the upper resistance, the bearish setup may be invalidated, opening the door for a push toward $95,000+. 📉 Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish Formation) A rising wedge occurs when the price moves upward within two converging trendlines, making higher highs and higher lows but with a weakening bullish momentum. This pattern often breaks downward, leading to a sharp sell-off. Characteristics of This Wedge Formation: ✅ Upward Sloping Support & Resistance Lines: BTC is trending higher, but the slope is narrowing, showing a loss of bullish strength. ✅ Decreasing Volume: Volume is declining as price moves higher, indicating buyers are losing control. ✅ Bearish Breakout Probability: Rising wedges typically break down 75% of the time, suggesting a high likelihood of a drop below support. 🔑 Key Levels to Watch 🔺 Resistance Zones (Potential Breakout Levels) 1️⃣ $85,000 - $87,500 → Strong resistance; BTC has repeatedly failed to break above. 2️⃣ $90,000+ → A confirmed breakout would invalidate the wedge and shift the trend bullish. 3️⃣ $107,000 Target → If BTC breaks above resistance, we could see a move toward the psychological $100,000 - $107,000 level. 🔻 Support Levels (Bearish Breakdown Zones) 1️⃣ $80,000 - $82,000 → Key support within the wedge; a breakdown confirms the bearish move. 2️⃣ $75,000 → Strong historical demand zone; BTC could bounce here if it drops. 3️⃣ $70,000 and Below → Ultimate bearish target if selling pressure accelerates. 📈 Bullish vs. Bearish Scenarios ⚠️ Bearish Scenario (Rising Wedge Breakdown) 🔴 Entry: Below $80,000 (confirmed breakdown). 📉 Stop-Loss: Above $83,500 (to avoid fakeouts). 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $78,000 TP2: $75,000 TP3: $70,000 🔹 Confirmation: Look for increased selling volume and a retest of $80,000 as resistance after breakdown. 🚀 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Above Resistance) ✅ Entry: Above $87,500, confirming bullish momentum. 📉 Stop-Loss: Below $85,000 (to minimize risk). 🎯 Take-Profit Targets: TP1: $90,000 TP2: $95,000 TP3: $107,000 🔹 Confirmation: BTC must break the wedge’s upper boundary with strong volume for bullish continuation. 📊 Technical Indicators & Market Sentiment 🔵 RSI (Relative Strength Index) Currently near 60 – Showing bullish momentum but not yet overbought. A move above 70 could signal an overbought market and potential reversal. 🔴 Volume Profile Volume is decreasing as BTC rises, suggesting a possible exhaustion of buying power. A breakout should be accompanied by strong volume to confirm bullish strength. 🟢 Moving Averages (EMA & SMA) BTC is trading above key EMAs (50 & 200), supporting the bullish case. A breakdown below the 50 EMA could accelerate selling pressure. 📢 Final Thoughts: High-Risk, High-Reward Setup 🚨 BTC is at a critical decision point! The rising wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal, but confirmation is needed. If BTC breaks below $80K, expect a strong sell-off. However, if bulls manage to break above resistance, BTC could rally toward $100K+. 🔹 Risk Management Tip: ✅ Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade. ✅ Use stop-losses to protect your capital. ✅ Monitor volume & key levels for stronger trade signals. 🔥 What’s your take on this setup? Will BTC break down or push higher? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC Whales Stir, Trump's Crypto Push, and the Path to $85,000 Bitcoin's recent price action has ignited a renewed sense of optimism within the crypto community. A confluence of factors, ranging from whale activity and political pronouncements to macroeconomic indicators and regulatory developments, is shaping the current market narrative. Whale Activity: A Harbinger of Bullish Momentum? The resurgence of Bitcoin whale activity is a significant indicator that has captured the attention of traders and analysts. Large-scale Bitcoin holders, often referred to as "whales," possess the capacity to significantly influence market dynamics.1 Their accumulation of Bitcoin can signal strong conviction and potentially trigger broader market rallies. The recent uptick in whale activity suggests a renewed interest in Bitcoin among these major players, potentially laying the foundation for a sustained upward trend. This can be viewed as the building of a strong base of long positions. Political Winds: Trump's Crypto Pronouncements and Market Sentiment Political discourse has increasingly intersected with the cryptocurrency market, with recent statements from a prominent political figure influencing market sentiment. Rhetoric emphasizing the United States as a "Bitcoin superpower" has undeniably contributed to bullish momentum. This political articulation of a crypto-friendly approach signals potential policy shifts and improved regulatory clarity, both crucial factors in attracting institutional investment. Market participants are interpreting this as a sign of acceptance, if not outright endorsement, of digital assets at the highest levels. It is worth noting that consistent pronouncements regarding the US becoming the "crypto capital of the world," while driving short term volatility, need to be followed with legislative action for long term impact. Macroeconomic Factors: Fed Policies and Inflationary Concerns The Federal Reserve's monetary policy and the evolving narrative surrounding inflation play a pivotal role in shaping Bitcoin's trajectory. Recent indications from the Fed regarding continued rate cuts, despite persistent inflationary pressures, have boosted investor confidence. This stance, coupled with Powell's assessment of certain inflationary factors, such as tariffs, as "transitory," has provided much-needed relief to risk assets, including Bitcoin. This monetary policy creates a favorable environment for investment. The combination of Fed policy confirmation and rumors of "significant updates" to US crypto plans have driven Bitcoin to new two-week highs. Technical Analysis: The $85,000 Threshold and Beyond From a technical perspective, Bitcoin's ability to reclaim the $85,000 level is considered a crucial milestone. Surpassing this threshold would validate the current bullish momentum and potentially pave the way for further gains. Analysts are closely monitoring key support and resistance levels to gauge the strength of the ongoing rally. The return of significant volume combined with the price retaking old highs lends to an increasingly bullish sentiment. BlackRock's prediction of a price shift ahead indicates a growing acceptance of Bitcoin as a mainstream asset, potentially aligning it with traditional Wall Street investments.2 These kinds of comments indicate an institutional bullish long-term perspective. Regulatory Clarity: Ripple's Resolution and Its Impact on Bitcoin The resolution of Ripple's legal battle with the SEC has sent ripples (pun intended) throughout the cryptocurrency market. This development has provided much-needed regulatory clarity, bolstering investor confidence and fostering a more favorable environment for digital assets. The jump in XRP's price after confirmation of the case coming to an end further exemplifies the markets sensitivity to regulatory action. This resolution will influence Bitcoin’s adoption rates, as investors now know the US regulatory stance may be moderating. Options Market Sentiment: A Shift Towards Bullishness The Bitcoin options market has exhibited a noticeable shift towards bullishness, particularly after Powell's "transitory inflation" remarks. This sentiment reflects increased optimism among traders and investors, potentially signaling a sustained uptrend. An increased amount of bullish options being written displays further faith in the rise of Bitcoin’s price. Bitcoin's Volatility: Navigating the Uncertainty Despite the positive developments, Bitcoin remains inherently volatile. Price swings, driven by a combination of market sentiment, news events, and technical factors, are to be expected. Investors should remain vigilant and exercise prudent risk management strategies. While large volume and long term political promises are strong positive indicators, there are still volatile short term swings to consider. Looking Ahead: The Potential for a Sustained Rally The convergence of positive catalysts, including whale activity, political support, macroeconomic factors, and regulatory clarity, paints a potentially bullish picture for Bitcoin. However, the cryptocurrency market is subject to rapid shifts, and unforeseen events can significantly impact price movements. To conclude, the present environment is ripe for sustained Bitcoin price discovery. The political and macroeconomic climates are aligning, coupled with increased whale activity and regulatory clarity. While markets will remain volatile, the trend is looking increasingly bullish.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
The best investment since Nov 2021 - GOLD or BITCOIN ? - FACTSThe Main Chart is the chart from BITFINEX that trades Bitcoin to Gold DIRECTLY I look to this often and find it a MUST See to compare the two assets. This is Not done to try and make BTC like GOLD but that they are both investments with returns, It is as simple as that But which one has the higher return ? I have taken the November 2021 Bitcoin ATH as the Datum point. a Worse case scenario for Bitcoin. Bitcoin Directly to Gold. As you can see on the main chart. If you had sold your Gold into Bitcoin and Just Held since Nov 2021, you are currently at a slight loss. Less ounces of Gold to one Bitcoin. It is as simple as that. But PA has fallen from Above the buy price recently. But to also mention, if you had bought Bitcoin with your Gold at the Bottom in Jan 2023, that is a 360% Rise in Value DIRECTLY OVER GOLD as opposed to the -75% Losses from ATH to Low. Nothing else does that Lets look at a comparison Via 100 USD investments into each asset GOLD USD CFD Let us say we invested 100 usd in Nov 2021 at the Bitcoin ATH that year. Since then, there has been a 62.71 % increase in price; from your buy price, if you simply just held your investment. This gives you 162.71 usd currently PA had risen 12% from that date but then dropped 22% to the low. From the Low, PA has risen 89 % and if you had Traded your investment, selling high, buying Low, you would now have 211.68 usd currently Now to Bitcoin - again, 100 usd invested at the ATH in Nov 2021 100 invested in Nov 2021 currently has a 24.68 % increase from Buy price. if you just HODL, off the 2021 ATH and so you would have 124.68 currently From that ATH point, we saw a Loss as PA dropped 77.2% to the Low but then Rose up 596% from the Low. If you traded , Depending on when you sold your bad 100 investment , the gains are different But lets say, you sold what was left of your 100 at the slight rise in PA in March 2022 - that was a loss of 28.5%, leaving you 71.5 usd Wait till the Low in Jan 203 and then continue Buy Low, Sell high, you currently have 743 usd , having sold the top at 109K and waiting for the next Low So, in summery, from 100 usd investment in Nov 2021 BTC ATH GOLD HODL 162.71 - Traded 211.68 BITCOIN HODL 124.68 - Traded 743.34 The ONLY REAL Loss currently is with the BTC GOLD pair, where BTC is -20% currently off Buy price, having fallen from HIGHER than Buy price recently,. However, PA is on the lower trend line, as you can see in the chart, and the expectation is for a Strong Bounce over the next few weeks..This will set BTC off towards that magical 50 ounces of Gold per Bitcoin. But it has to be said, the journey if you held Bitcoin having sold out from Gold has been painful. Tthat pain is about to end, very possibly forever. Trading is not for everyone and Hitting the perfect High or Low point is almost impossible. But the Gains are there in Bitcoin against Gold if you even do basic trading. And, inmy opinion, if you have gold....SERIOUSLY think abot Bitcoin now. Gold is OVERBOUGHT on many timeframes.... Bitcoin is not...................
by Orriginal
Bitcoin BTC price analysis, FOMC 19/03 - FED rateOur previous idea for OKX:BTCUSDT worked out 10 out of 10 Well, let's try to hit it again !) Yesterday, CRYPTOCAP:BTC price showed growth despite the fact that the Fed left the rate unchanged yesterday #FOMC In short, Powell said that he was "hesitant" to cut the rate now because it is not known how the economy will be affected by the new "economic tariffs and economic wars" that come into effect in early April. In the US, one "grandfather" does not know what to expect from the other "grandfather" )) Nevertheless, #BTCUSD price has every chance of reaching $94k in the coming days. And then, I would like to see a decline in BTC.D and USDT.D, which in turn will allow altcoins to "stop collapsing", and some low-liquid ones, which are easier to pump, will show good growth, such as X Empire. 👀 In general, the last 2 months have been: "not about making money, but about surviving and keeping the deposit, even with a drawdown", but the next 3 months may be very much about making money. _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
12
$BTC Bitcoin at critical point... Head and shoulder Pattern!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin is at a critical point Current price: 91000 Bitcoin has retraced over 16% from an all time high of 108k, Price action is currently forming a head and shoulder pattern which is usually a bearish pattern! #btc needs to remain supported around 90.5k to continue its uptrend to all time highs at 119k If MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN price action loses support at 90.5k then expect prices to retest supports at 85k and then 80k. Definitely a critical point to watch! What do you think?
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ifiok-Trades
A possible scenario for Bitcoin over next 2 monthsI do think this has a Strong possibility of happening MARCH will close as a RED Candle and the statisical expectation is that April will close GREEN and yet there are many reasons why Bitcoin Cannot rise a lot in April to make that Green SO, We may see March drop down to the 74K area to end the month This Gives PA the ability to Rise, hit that trend line and still Close the month GREEN and then take off in May. Why May ? Because that descending trend line perfectly matches the Weekly MACD decent and the date is when MACD reaches Neutral. Begining of May. This is also why PA will likely be rejected from the Trend line before MAY Should PA remain where it is now, it doesn't give a lot of room for April to close Green. This really is just an Idea so we just need to see if it happens. I do have a SPOt buy order sitting at 74779 just in case lol
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Orriginal
$9.4M Bitcoin Short Squeeze and its Market ImplicationsThe volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market is a well-established fact, but the sheer scale of some trades can still send ripples across the entire ecosystem. Recently, a Bitcoin whale executed a masterful maneuver, closing a $516 million short position with a staggering 40x leverage, pocketing a cool $9.4 million profit in just eight days. This event, occurring shortly after a lower-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, highlights the intricate interplay between macroeconomic indicators, market sentiment, and the strategic actions of large players. The whale's decision to close the short position immediately following the CPI release is particularly noteworthy. The lower-than-expected inflation figure signaled a potential easing of monetary inflation concerns, a development that is generally viewed favorably by Bitcoin investors. This optimistic signal likely triggered a shift in market sentiment, prompting the whale to capitalize on the impending price surge. The use of 40x leverage amplified both the potential gains and the risks associated with the trade. While it allowed the whale to generate a substantial profit in a short period, it also exposed them to significant losses if the market had moved against their position. This high-risk, high-reward strategy is characteristic of whale activity, where large players leverage their capital and market insights to execute impactful trades. The timing of the trade also underscores the importance of macroeconomic indicators in shaping Bitcoin's price trajectory. The CPI reading, a key measure of inflation, directly influences monetary policy decisions by central banks. Lower inflation can lead to a more dovish stance, potentially resulting in lower interest rates and increased liquidity, both of which are conducive to asset price appreciation, including Bitcoin. Interestingly, Tuesday has emerged as Bitcoin's most volatile day in 2025.2 This heightened volatility can be attributed to the release of key economic data, including the CPI, as well as the influence of global economic trends. Market participants anticipate increased activity on Tuesdays, making it a crucial day for traders and investors to monitor market developments. Despite the recent correction, Bitcoin's long-term outlook remains a subject of intense debate. While some analysts believe the bull run is over, citing on-chain metrics and expecting up to 12 months of bearish or sideways price action, others maintain a more optimistic perspective, predicting a potential rally to over $200,000. The recent whale trade, coupled with the resumption of Bitcoin accumulation after three months of distribution, suggests that underlying demand for Bitcoin remains strong.3 This accumulation, particularly by long-term holders, can act as a stabilizing force, mitigating the impact of short-term price fluctuations.4 The "Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: BTC Eyes Breakout, But Sellers Still In Control" sentiment accurately reflects the current market dynamics. While the potential for a breakout remains, the presence of significant selling pressure cannot be ignored. The interplay between bullish and bearish forces will continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months. The notion that the "Bitcoin bull cycle is over" is supported by some on-chain data, which can reveal information about investor behavior and market trends. However, interpreting on-chain metrics requires a nuanced understanding of the underlying data and its limitations. While these metrics can provide valuable insights, they should not be the sole basis for investment decisions. Bitcoin's resilience in the face of market corrections is a testament to its growing adoption and acceptance as a mainstream asset. Despite the current correction, the cryptocurrency's ability to outperform global assets post-Trump election further reinforces its potential as a long-term investment. The whale's $9.4 million profit is a reminder of the potential for substantial gains in the cryptocurrency market. However, it also highlights the inherent risks associated with high-leverage trading. Investors should exercise caution and conduct thorough research before engaging in such strategies. In conclusion, the Bitcoin whale's strategic short squeeze and the subsequent market reactions underscore the complex interplay of factors influencing Bitcoin's price. Macroeconomic indicators, market sentiment, and the actions of large players all contribute to the cryptocurrency's volatile nature.5 While the long-term outlook remains uncertain, the resumption of Bitcoin accumulation and the potential for a breakout suggest that the market is far from stagnant. Investors should remain vigilant, closely monitoring market developments and adapting their strategies accordingly. The story of the whale's successful trade is a potent reminder of the fortunes that can be made, and lost, in the dynamic world of cryptocurrency.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Unpacking the Bitcoin-Gold Correlation and its Current Dynamics The narrative of Bitcoin as "digital gold" has gained significant traction, fueled by its perceived scarcity, decentralized nature, and potential as a hedge against economic uncertainty. Recent market movements, particularly the surge in gold prices and the subsequent, albeit delayed, reaction in Bitcoin, have brought this correlation into sharp focus. While the relationship isn't always perfectly synchronized, the underlying dynamics suggest a fascinating interplay between these two assets. Gold's recent climb to an all-time high is largely attributed to escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the resurgence of tariff war concerns. In times of uncertainty, investors often flock to traditional safe-haven assets like gold, seeking stability and protection against inflation. This surge in gold prices has naturally sparked renewed interest in Bitcoin, which, despite its volatility, is increasingly viewed as a viable alternative store of value. However, the correlation isn't a simple, immediate mirroring of price movements. There's often a noticeable delay, with gold leading the way and Bitcoin following suit. This lag can be attributed to several factors. Firstly, gold's established status as a safe-haven asset gives it a head start in attracting investor capital during times of crisis. Secondly, Bitcoin's relatively nascent market is more susceptible to speculation and sentiment-driven fluctuations, which can introduce delays and variations in its price response.1 Currently, Bitcoin is navigating a period of consolidation, trading within a narrow range of $82.3k to $84.5k.2 This consolidation follows a "sell-the-news" event, likely related to a major market catalyst that failed to meet overly optimistic expectations. Consequently, Bitcoin is facing significant bearish pressure, evidenced by the accumulation of short positions. The pattern breakdowns observed by analysts further reinforce this bearish sentiment, suggesting a potential retest of the $78k support level. Despite these challenges, the renewed interest in Bitcoin, driven by gold's surge, offers a glimmer of hope for a potential rebound. The "digital gold" narrative is gaining momentum, particularly among younger investors who are more comfortable with the digital asset landscape. If Bitcoin can successfully decouple from the immediate bearish pressures and capitalize on the broader trend of safe-haven asset allocation, it could witness a significant recovery. However, several factors could impede this recovery. The significant short positions indicate a strong bearish sentiment, which could lead to further price declines if not countered by substantial buying pressure. Moreover, Bitcoin's inherent volatility remains a significant risk factor. Sudden market events or regulatory changes could trigger sharp price swings, disrupting any potential recovery. Looking ahead to 2025, the Bitcoin price prediction remains a subject of intense debate. While some analysts foresee a potential breakout, fueled by increasing institutional adoption and the diminishing supply of new Bitcoin, others remain cautious, citing the persistent bearish pressures and the potential for further market corrections. The "Bitcoin Price Prediction 2025: BTC Eyes Breakout, But Sellers Still In Control" sentiment accurately reflects the current market dynamics. The long-term potential for Bitcoin remains undeniable, but the short-term outlook is clouded by uncertainty. The interplay between bullish and bearish forces will likely continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory in the coming months. The correlation with gold, while not a perfect predictor, provides valuable insights into Bitcoin's potential as a safe-haven asset. As gold continues to attract investor capital amid global uncertainties, Bitcoin's appeal as "digital gold" is likely to grow. However, the delayed response and the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market necessitate a cautious approach. To navigate this complex landscape, investors should closely monitor both gold and Bitcoin price movements, paying attention to key technical indicators and fundamental developments. The accumulation of short positions, the potential retest of support levels, and the broader macroeconomic environment should all be considered when making investment decisions. In conclusion, the Bitcoin-gold correlation provides a fascinating lens through which to understand the evolving dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. While the delayed response and the inherent volatility of Bitcoin present challenges, the growing recognition of its potential as "digital gold" offers a compelling narrative for long-term growth. However, in the immediate future, Bitcoin must navigate the current bearish pressures and capitalize on the renewed interest driven by gold's surge to achieve a meaningful rebound. The battle between buyers and sellers will continue to shape Bitcoin's price trajectory, and only time will tell whether the "digital gold" narrative will ultimately prevail.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by bryandowningqln
BTCUSDT - Forecast for Today!My general opinion is that we will go back and forth in the intermediate zones until interest rate decision is announced and I'm bearish for now due to CDV. I have indicated the possible manipulations in these intermediate zones in the drawings on the chart. Starting from the 4-hour point of control zone(indicated in the chart), I will start looking for short trends downwards and as usual, I will enter with confirmations in the low time frame. I have a long list of my proven technique below: 🤖 IQUSDT: Smart Plan 🟠 IDEXUSDT: Spot Buy Area | %26 Profit if You Trade with MSB 📌 USUALUSDT: Buyers Are Active + %70 Profit in Total 🌟 FORTHUSDT: Sniper Entry +%26 Reaction 🐳 QKCUSDT: Sniper Entry +%57 Reaction
Short
by UmutTrades
WARNING! Bitcoin BTC Can Crush To $75k Again!Hello, Skyrexians! Recently, when the BINANCE:BTCUSDT price was below $80k we told you that reversal will come soon and $140k is next, but this correction can lasts longer, that we supposed. There is a high chance to see the another one dip to $75k and we will explain why. Let's take a look at the 4h time frame. Those who read our articles know that Bitcoin is in wave C and this wave shall have 5 waves, but can be like an ending diagonal. We suppose this scenario. In this case double divergence with Awesome oscillator is likely. Now we have the high probability to see wave 5. This scenario is likely in price breaks down the GETTEX:82K key fractal level and confirm short setup. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Short
by Skyrexio
1
Quantum Doom for Bitcoin?Bitcoin, the leading cryptocurrency known for its promise of a decentralized structure, faces an existential crisis due to advances in quantum computing that threaten its cryptographic foundation. The article "Bitcoin's Imminent Collapse: The Quantum Threat and Cryptographic Vulnerabilities" outlines a convergence of risks – technological breakthroughs, government influence, and market dynamics – that could potentially bring Bitcoin's value to zero. At the heart of the danger lies the SHA-256 algorithm, which secures the Bitcoin blockchain. Quantum computers, such as those from D-Wave, which claimed to have achieved "quantum supremacy" in 2025, may soon be able to reverse the hashing operation, revealing private keys and destabilizing the entire network. This potential breach, known as "Q-Day," could severely damage trust in Bitcoin and lead to a mass exodus of investors. The forecast becomes even more alarming given the mysterious origin of SHA-256, developed by the NSA (U.S. National Security Agency) and standardized by the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST). The article raises disturbing questions about the possibility that the NSA possesses unknown vulnerabilities or "backdoors" within the algorithm. Past seizures of Bitcoin by the U.S. government, such as the recovery of a hacker's wallet in 2021, suggest an extraordinary ability to bypass its security – perhaps through undisclosed inside knowledge. Meanwhile, NIST's push for post-quantum cryptography (PQC) hints at the impending obsolescence of SHA-256, but Bitcoin's failure to adopt these alternatives critically exposes it. This lack of preparedness increases the risk, as rivals with quantum computers could act before defenses are strengthened. Market signals add another layer of concern. The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in 2023 by financial giants like BlackRock and Vanguard suggests a strategic move where institutional players offload risks onto less experienced retail investors. Combined with repeated government seizures that cast doubt on Bitcoin's anonymity, a scenario is emerging where the cryptocurrency stands on the brink. The conclusion is that Bitcoin's vision of decentralization may not survive this perfect storm – a quantum threat, cryptographic weaknesses, and orchestrated market shifts. For stakeholders, the message is clear: adapt quickly or risk potential collapse.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by UDIS_View
Bitcoin - Med-Term OutlookThe current BINANCE:BTCUSDT chart is forming an EXP model (turquoise), indicating a potential correction before the next phase of active growth. Main Scenario The most likely development suggests a price retracement to the $80,845 – $77,890 range (purple zone), corresponding to unclosed gaps on CME. This range is positioned above the 100% level of the model ($75,949), making it an optimal area for the completion of the correction before the continuation of the upward movement. Two possible correction paths: 1️⃣ Decline from current levels – BTC gradually breaks local support, tests the 4th point of the model (~$91,341), and then moves towards the CME Gap area. 2️⃣ ATH breakout ($109,354) before a decline – A short-term rally is possible before a deep correction into the $80,000 – $77,000 range. After testing this zone, a reversal movement may form, with targets at the 1st point of the model ($109,354) and beyond. Final confirmation of the uptrend will depend on further market dynamics. Once this cycle is completed, a transition to the altcoin growth phase can be expected. Secondary Scenario Under favorable conditions, BTC may avoid a correction into the CME Gap zone and continue its upward movement without retesting support levels. However, in the current market structure, this scenario remains less probable. Alternative Scenario In the event of an extended correction, BTC could break the 100% model level ($75,949) and test the 200% level ($63,226). Such a development may occur due to external market shocks, leading to mass liquidations of margin positions. However, even in this case, a rapid price recovery is expected.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TSFC
4
Bitcoin Weekly SMA are finally into Sequential order -and now ?A nice simple post here. As you can see, in Late January, the 5 main SMA ( Simple Moving Averages) finaly got into sequential order Under PA This is a sign that PA is bullish. As you can see, in September 202, this happened and PA began its rise after a sharp drop just before hand. It is a bit different this time in that we have dropped AFTER that SMA order was made. But it is still a Good sign HOWEVER - what is important to note, is how PA has fallen below that 21 and we are currently hitting off the 50, searching for Support again. I remain BULLISH and I am sure that within a few weeks, we shall move back over that 21. From were the SMA went into order in 2020, it took about 6 months to reach the first ATH in 2021 PA is rising Much slower than in that cycle but If that repeats, we can see a New Real ATH around July / August I would say that is too early to be honest and so I expect larter. As I said, PA is rising slower this time around. But, anyway, Good News that the SMA have remained in order so far... Something to look forward to
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin's local perspective 17.03.2025In Friday's analysis "How Trump's Policy Will Impact the Crypto Market", we presented a bearish model for the medium-term perspective👇 Today, our key focus is on the $78,300 level (the 4th point of our model), which serves as significant support. It's important to note the presence of an unfilled gap on CME at the $85,905 level ($85,943 in index terms)👇 We assess the probability of closing this gap in the near term as high – either from current positions or after retesting the $78,300 level. How will we act? If price moves toward $85,943 from current levels, we plan to partially close our #ETH position that was accumulated during the March 11 decline. In the scenario of a retest of $78,300, we will consider opening a long position on #BTC with a target of $85,943.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by TSFC
1
Scallop (SCA) Potential 200x Gains by next bull run Current Market Overview: Current Price: $0.07 Market Cap: $8M Target Market Cap: $200M+ Potential Growth: 25x - 200x Showing strong accumulation signals, indicating that most weak hands have already exited. With whales now in control, the price action suggests an imminent breakout in the coming bull run. Key Observations: ✅ Deep Accumulation Phase: The price has been suppressed for a long time, suggesting all early holders have been flushed out. ✅ Whale Accumulation: With fewer retail traders, whales can now dictate price action, leading to a controlled rally. ✅ Bull Market Catalyst: If the Bitcoin cycle and altcoin season play out as expected, SCLP could experience parabolic growth. Price Targets Based on Market Structure: TP1: $0.25 → Initial breakout level (6.5x from current price) TP2: $0.60 → Strong resistance (15x) TP3: $6.00 → Major psychological level (85x) TP4: $28.00+ → Full bull cycle potential (400x+) Market Cap Projections: At $1.75 (25x Growth): ~$200M market cap At $6.00 (85x Growth): ~$700M market cap At $28.00 (400x Growth): ~ SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B market cap
Long
by AcrosViros
BITCOIN TRENDS with Heiken Ashi candles & Trend indicator ADX Why HEIKEN ASHI Candles ? Heikin Ashi is a charting technique that can be used to predict future price movements. It is similar to traditional candlestick charts. However, unlike a regular candlestick chart, the Heikin Ashi chart tries to filter out some of the market noise by smoothing out strong price swings to better identify trend movements in the market. ( Source TradingView ) What is ADX ? The ADX indicator measures trend strength without indicating direction. It is derived from the Positive Directional Movement (+DI) and Negative Directional Movement (-DI): +DI (Positive Directional Index): Measures upward price movement. -DI (Negative Directional Index): Measures downward price movement. ADX Value: Higher values indicate stronger trends, regardless of direction. ( Source TradingView) To summarise, Heiken Ashi candles filter out Noise and help identify Trend Direction ADX shows you Trend Strength - NEVER the direction of Trend, using prince index. OK, so now we ready. The main chart has 2 Vertical Bold lines that will be explained in a Bit but Note where they are on the Chart The one on the left is near where the Rise in PA turns and becomes a Ranging PA- PA slowed right on that line. The 2nd line is near the TOP and before the point where PA entered a descending channel that leads us to where we are currently Note on the chart, the Orange dotted line. This is the BASIS line of the Bollinger bands. This is The Basis line and shows us the Average of PA and, as you can see, we are currently below Average. This shows a Negative Trend. See how PA is above the basis line in a Positive Trend Also note in the chart how the lines of candles are Smoother. Each New candle begins on the centre line of the previous and so it becomes a Lot easier to see if PA rises or drops from previous with out the Jagged Noise of traditional candles. - Taller candles show more Strength than previous; So now to the ADX Chart See those 2 Dashed Vertical lines and note how the ADX ( YELLOW ) changes direction at those points. To remind you, the Left one was where BTC PA Slowed down from a Steep Rise, A BULLISH TREND, and turned to Ranging. The Drop in the ADX at this point showed us that the previous trend was weakening. I remind you, it DOES NOT SHOW TREND DIRECTION even though, in this case, they follow each other. PA Ranged horizontal on average till we met the Next line, where the previous Trend Strength had reached Neutral ( Note, this is around 20 on the ADX scale ) At the next dashed lime. ADX began rising. Trend strength was increasing. Initially, we saw BTC PA rising to a New ATH and so, it was easy to assume that the Trend Was Bullish again. However, as we see now, it turns out it was a BEARISH trend. So how do we know when this is going to end ? The ORANGE line DI+ ( positive price action ) and the RED DI - ( Negative price action ) can help These are Price Direction index. When DI + rises, this indicates a positive price action and Visa Versa for DI - On its own, this is not easy But, for instance, notice how while we been in the descending channel, the DI+ dropped while the DI- has ranged along the 20 line on average. This indicates a controlled Drop in PA and NOT a Full on Bearish capitulation. There is strength there in PA and this can be seen by the Slow rise of the ADX On a shorter time scales, over the last 5 days we have seen PA rise in price. this is reflected more in the DI- dropping ( Negative price action loosing strength ) more than in the DI + remainf horizontal.( NOT gaining Strength ) This could indicate that we are not finished Dropping yet - and yet, at the same time, we see the ADX weakening. The Bears maybe getting Tired. If we now return to the Chart This fatigue we maybe seeing in the Bears could be reflected in the simple fact that we are now Near a long term Rising line of Support ( bold line) and that we are nearer the lower line of the descending channel ( also support) - We are also very near the 2.272 fib extension that has proved to be support previously. The upper bollinger band is around 90K, which happens to be near Top of current range. So, we may see a push higher soon but we need to understand that the Longer term still Looks like we will continue in the Range Bound for a Few more weeks. I hope this helps but be prepared for anything
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BITCOIN (BTC/USD)BTC/USD – Technical Outlook Bias: Bearish BTC/USD has completed the ABCD pattern and is now printing lower highs and lower lows, confirming a shift in market structure to bearish. Price is currently retesting a previous support, now turned resistance. If this level holds, it could open the door for continued downside; with the 68K–50K zone as a potential BTD (buy-the-dip) area. TARGET 1 (78K): A key structural zone. A clean break and close below this level would confirm bearish momentum and increase the likelihood of price falling. TARGET 2 (66K): Likely to act as a magnet; a previous resistance turned support that launched price toward 100K. A return here would retest the foundation of the previous rally to 100k. TARGET 3 (50K): From a fractal and psychological standpoint, double tops often retrace to the origin of the bullish move. In this case, around the 50K zone. Invalidation: A reclaim of 85K–90K would shift bias back to bullish, signalling potential for upside momentum.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by DENCHMON
Bitcoin’s Monthly RSI Nearing Danger Zone – Time to Sell?The chart above illustrates Bitcoin’s price action alongside the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on a monthly timeframe, which helps identify overbought and oversold conditions. Historically, Bitcoin’s major bull cycle peaks in 2013, 2017, and 2021 coincided with the monthly RSI reaching between 85-95, as highlighted by the blue circles. A downward trendline connects these peaks, suggesting that each cycle has seen slightly lower RSI highs, indicating a potential long-term momentum decline. Currently, the RSI is approaching this historical resistance zone, signaling that Bitcoin may be nearing its market peak. If this trend continues, it could mark the final phase of the bull run, making it a strategic period for profit-taking. Traders should closely monitor RSI behavior, as a rejection from this level could indicate the start of a correction. Historically, a monthly RSI of 85-95 has been a strong sell signal, marking the end of Bitcoin’s bull markets. If Bitcoin follows this pattern again, a distribution phase followed by a downturn could be expected.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by HexaTrades