I don't know why ???Bitcoin is now at a point where it cannot be ignored! In my view, the bullish wave has started after the corrective wave ended. This wave could continue until it breaks the ascending triangle, then with a slight correction, push the price upward again. The current period and the coming days could be crucial in determining the market's trend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
Bitcoinsignals
BITCOIN Major Pivot bounce eyes $140000!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started off the week with a huge 1W candle bounce on the former Lower Highs trend-line (that started on its All Time High), which has now turned into a Pivot. That trend-line held both last week and 3 weeks ago.
The very same Pivot test took place (October 2024) at the start of the previous Bullish Leg, resulting into a massive rebound that peaked upon a +108.08% rise. That was even higher than the Bullish Leg before it (+92.12%), which also started after a 1.5 month consolidation (Dec 2023 - Jan 2024).
Interestingly enough those Legs show an amazing frequency as the Time Cycles show on their bottoms. Assuming the current Bullish Leg will follow the 'bad case' scenario of +92.12%, we should be expecting to see at least $140000 before the next pull-back/ consolidation.
Do you think such Target is feasible by the end of August? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Trump and the 1D EMA100 saved the day!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rebounded yesterday on its 1D EMA100 (green trend-line) and along with Trump's truce announcement between Israel and Iran, it sent the market into a buying frenzy and back above the $105k mark.
Technically, the 1D EMA100 isn't something to be ignored as since the November 2022 market bottom, each Bullish Leg (Channel Up) that started had a contact (or near) with it that resulted into a considerable bullish extension.
The 1st Channel Up even breached below it, but after rebounding, it reached the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next correction. The 2nd Channel Up rebounded exactly on the 1D EMA100, and reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The 3rd Channel Up almost hit the 1D EMA100 and then rebounded to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
It is obvious that the pattern follows a progression and each Fib extension peak is higher than on the previous Channel Up. As a result, it is not unlikely to see a High even above the 2.0 Fib ext ($168k) on the current (4th) Channel Up, however on the short-term we would still welcome the 1.382 Fib 'minimum' expectation, targeting $130000.
Do you think we should at least be expecting that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Breakout Incoming? Flash PMI & CME Gap in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) started to fall ( about -4%) after the news that the US was involved in the Middle East tension , but it has risen again with good momentum .
Do you think Bitcoin will go below the previous bottom($98,200) again on the 1-hour time frame?
Bitcoin is trading in the Resistance zonezone($102,130-$100,700) and near the Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it appears that a Double Three Correction(WXY) has been completed near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, the first 5 microwaves of the Impulsive have now been completed .
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Bitcoin traders should monitor today’s Flash Manufacturing (expected 51.1) and Services PMI (expected 52.9) . Both forecasts are already lower than last month’s figures (51.3 and 54.8) , but I see a chance they come in even weaker.
Why weaker PMI is likely?
Slowing retail sales and softer labor data point to reduced consumer demand.
High interest rates are starting to pressure both the production and services sectors.
Regional Fed surveys already showed a cooling in business activity.
If the PMI prints below expectations, the market may anticipate a more dovish Fed, pushing the dollar( TVC:DXY ) down and giving Bitcoin a potential bullish boost.
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I expect Bitcoin to move towards filling the CME Gap($103,730-$102,275) after breaking the Resistance lines , and if the Resistance zone($104,380-$103,060) is broken, we should expect further increases.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $103,391-$103,934
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $100,800-$100,250
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $97,691-$97,241
Note: Increased tensions in the Middle East or new and important news surrounding this news can make the analysis invalid, so be more careful with capital management.
Note: If Bitcoin can touch $98,170 , we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN Is this just a giant Bull Flag??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong sell-off yesterday in the aftermath of the U.S. strike in Iran and fears of retaliation, but in later hours recovered some of the lost ground. The recovery is being extended into the Asian and early E.U. hours today and the emerging Channel Down pattern already draws strong similarities with the one in December 17 2024 - January 13 2025.
Both broke below their respective 1D MA50 (blue trend-lines) to form a Lower Low, which in the case of Jan 2025, it initiated a rebound that tested the All Time High (ATH) Resistance. See also how similar their 1D RSI patterns are, testing the same Support level too (41.20).
Given that this time the uptrend has been much shorter since the April 07 2025 Low, this Channel Down may be nothing but a giant Bull Flag in the middle of a standard Bull Cycle Leg. Until confirmed with a 1W candle closing above the ATH Resistance though, the medium-term Target is $111900.
Notice also the formation today of a 1D MA100/200 Bullish Cross, the first since November 13 2024.
So what do you think? Is $111900 your short-term Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC - Key Battle Between Bulls and Bears – Symmetrical TriangleBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently consolidating within a Symmetrical Triangle , showing indecision among Bulls and Bears around the Support zone($104,380-$103,060) and just above the 50_SMA (Daily) .
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the current range may represent a WXY corrective structure . The market seems to be waiting for a breakout direction , potentially aiming to complete wave 5 after this correction.
The Monthly Pivot Point($103,300) and the presence of significant Cumulative Liquidation Leverage Zones (both Long and Short ) are key liquidity magnets to watch in the short term .
I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the Support zone($104,380-$103,060) AFTER breaking the lower line of the Symmetrical Triangle Pattern and decline to the targets I have outlined on the chart.
Note: Stop Loss: $106,703 = Worst Stop Loss(SL)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN This is the long-term picture. Don't get distracted.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating lately after making a new All Time High (ATH) last month and this is already making part of the market nervous over whether that's the Cycle Top or not.
This is one of those times when it would be best to ignore the short-term noise/ volatility and stick to the long-term picture. And that's exactly what's shown on this chart, with BTC on the 1M time-frame showing the incredible symmetry among its 4-year Cycles, with Bear Markets lasting 12 - 13 months and Bull Markets 35.
Based on that, this Cycle's Top is expected to be priced by October (2025). This also matches the Sine Waves as implied by the 1M RSI, which as been trading within a Channel Down (diminishing returns) since Bitcoin's inception.
So do you also think that we have around 4 months before the market tops? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC Approaching Key Confluence Zone: Pivot + PRZ + LiquidationsBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) appears to have broken the Support lines and is currently declining .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a corrective wave C . The corrective wave structure is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising again from the Support zone($104,380-$103,660) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($104,471-$103,124) , Monthly Pivot Point , Support line , and 50_SMA(Daily) , and the small CME Gap($106,190-$106,150) will also fill.
Note: Stop Loss: $102,520
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN All boxes checked. Couldn't be more bullish than this!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has filled numerous bullish conditions with the latest being holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. This is basically the 3rd time testing and holding it since June 05. Even if that doesn't hold, we have the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) directly below it as the ultimate long-term Support.
This trend-line just so happens to be exactly on the neckline of the Right Shoulder on the long-term Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that has been in development since December 17 2024.
On top of all these, the market also formed a 1D Golden Cross a month ago, always a strong long-term bullish signal. IH&S patterns typically target their 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which sits at $168000.
Is that another indication that Bitcoin is going after 150k at least on its next run? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN The secret trend-line that no one notices..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was under heavy selling pressure yesterday and even the 1D time-frame turned marginally bearish. What most seem to ignore however is the larger picture. On the 1W time-frame, BTC has managed to close the last 5 weeks above the Pivot trend-line.
What that trend-line is? It is the level that initially started as a Resistance from December 09 2024 to January 27 2025, closing all 1W candles below it, despite occasional candle wicks breaking above it. That confirmed it's status as a Resistance at the time.
Now we see the opposite, five straight 1W candles closing above that Pivot line. Check in particular, how flat the last two 1W candles closed, showcasing no just the high volatility that the market is under in the past weeks, but also the same amount of sellers and buyers existing in the market (neutral).
This is an indication that this is a consolidation phase, preparing BTC for the next rally. If we place the top Fibonacci level (1.0) on that Pivot, we get the 2.0 Fib extension just above the $145000 mark. That gels perfectly with various other studies we've conducted showing a similar long-term Target.
So do you think the Pivot line will hold and push Bitcoin to $145k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Geopolitical Tensions & Technical Pattern Point to BTC Decline!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) fell about -5% after tensions between Israel and Iran escalated. Unfortunately , these tensions are still escalating, but Bitcoin has managed to recover about +3% so far.
Bitcoin is moving near the Resistance zone($107,120-$105,330) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin is completing a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure could be Contracting Triangle . In case of a sharp decline in Bitcoin again, we can consider these waves as five descending waves (if Bitcoin does NOT touch $106,600 ).
I expect Bitcoin to start declining again and at least drop to the Support zone($107,120-$105,330 ). The second Target could be the Support line and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage .
Note: If Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($107,120-$105,330), we can expect further increases in Bitcoin.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Is exactly where it should be this time on every Cycle!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has made a new All Time High (ATH) last month, following the April 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). No matter how odd this price action may look to some, BTC is simply replicating the pattern it has during every past Cycle around this time of its final year.
As you can see, besides April 2025, it made 1W MA50 pull-backs and rebounds on June 2021, July 2017 and July 2013. The consistency is remarkable and since we are already now half-way through June, historically Bitcoin only went upwards!
In fact, those pull-backs have been the strongest the market saw before the Cycles peaked on each and every occasion. Two Cycles peaked just above the 2.0 Fibonacci extension while in 2017 it peaked a little below the 5. Fib ext. This indicates that the minimum Cycle Top we can be expecting towards the end of the year is $160000 (marginally below the 2.0 Fib ext).
Many studies point towards the same Target. Do you think it's inevitable? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Cup and Handle making double bounce on the 1D MA50.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to complete a Cup and Handle (C&H) formation, having consolidated for almost a month since the May 22 All Time High (ATH). What makes the bullish potential even stronger is that it is rising after making a Double Bottom on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since October 10 2024.
Given that the long-term pattern is a Channel Up and the 1D MA50 is acting as its natural support trend-line, the Cup and Handle can provide a short-term Target on its 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $122000. On the long-term the Channel Up still has the potential to lead it much higher.
So do you think that 122k is achievable after this Cup and Handle making double bounce on the 1D MA50? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN is only now starting the final Cycle rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) took a hit overnight following the Israel attack on Iran and at the moment the consequences of that action can't be quantified in great detail but on the long-term the bullish trend seems intact.
In fact it remains below the historic Pivot Growth Curve (PGC) that has separated BTC's peak pattern (green Arcs) from bottom and accumulation (red Arcs), and could be tested by next month.
Once broken, the real rally towards the Cycle's peak can start, with most previous studies we conducted showing that $150000 is a fair (if not modest) estimate.
Are you worried about the latest geopolitical conflict or this chart is enough to give you long-term assurances? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Megaphone is the last step before $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is repeating almost to the exact point the 2023/ 2024 uptrend, as right now it is in the process of forming a Megaphone pattern similar to the one during December 2023 - January 2024.
Before that, both patterns started the uptrend when a 1D Death Cross formed the bottom. After the 1st Bullish Leg, a Channel Up on a 1D Golden Cross marked the transition to the 2nd Bullish Leg that eventually led to the Megaphone.
In 2024, when BTC broke above the Megaphone, it started the final Bullish Leg that peaked a little above the 1.786 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. During that process, the 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals have been similar.
As result, aiming for the $150000, which is marginally below the 1.786 Fib ext, is a solid target.
Do you think the pattern will continue to be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Near Breakout – CPI Miss Could Be the Catalyst?Just Released: Key U.S. Inflation Data:
Core CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.3% forecast)
CPI m/m: 0.1% (vs. 0.2% forecast)
CPI y/y: 2.4% (vs. 2.5% forecast)
Market Reaction & Outlook:
The softer-than-expected inflation figures suggest easing price pressures in the U.S. economy — a potential bullish signal for risk assets, such as Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ).
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Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour time frame .
Bitcoin is trading in the upper part of a Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) and is trying to break through this zone. The announcement of US indexes could be a trigger for a breakout of this zone .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave 4 of the main wave 3 . The structure of microwave 4 is a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and near the Support line again and rise to at least $110,670 and if the Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) is broken we should expect new ATHs in the coming days .
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $108,791-$107,887
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $106,840-$105,457
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $111,381-$110,568
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $105,700(Worst Stop Loss(SL)), we should expect further declines.
If you want to know my weekly analysis about BTC , I suggest you check out the following idea:
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Is 'Bullish June Seasonality' about to kick-in?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started June on a very promising note, recovering most of last week's losses and is potentially headed for a new All Time High (ATH). This however, should be no surprise as BTC has exhibited amazing strength during the month of June and onwards since 2013.
As this chart shows, the market has historically rallied on June, in fact it is the month that kick-started Bitcoin's final rallies towards the Top on its last three Cycles.
Based on the 2W RSI, which is ranging within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels, we can argue that the price action is closer to June 2017 than other Cycles. As to how high it can get to, we've analyzed that on other studies, the current analysis only serves to show you that historically we are set for a strong 'Bullish June Seasonality' effect.
Do you agree that this is about to kick-in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BROADCOM Pull-back to demand zone possible before new High.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) is currently on a 3-day pull-back that started right on the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the 2.5 year Channel Up. The 1D RSI got heavily rejected from deep inside the overbought zone (>70.00) to back down below it and the only times that happened within this pattern, was during short-medium term pull-backs towards its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As a result, the current pull-back can extend a little more towards the 1D MA50 and then rebound. Given a +15% added increas on each Bullish Leg of the Channel Up, we expect to see $320 next.
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BITCOIN The beauty of structured patterns. $150k is next.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has invalidated all bias calling for a deeper pull-back after May's new All Time High (ATH), as yesterday it broke above the previous ATH Resistance, invalidating the short-term Head and Shoulders pattern, while rebounding last week exactly on the dashed Lower Highs trend-line, confirming it as a Support level.
Within BTC's 3 year Channel Up pattern, we have seen this price action structure another 3 times. The minimum rise on such pattern has been +101% and that wasn't even a Lower Highs rebound. The other two that were exactly like the current formation, increased by a lot more.
As a result, we expect Bitcoin to complete a minimum +101% rise from the April 07 bottom, which translates to a clean $150000 Target.
Do you think the structure ill continue to hold up to $150k and possibly beyond? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin’s Reversal from Supports — Is the Correction Over? Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous idea , and it also reversed the decline I intended and started to rise from the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) , Support lines , and 50_SMA(Daily) .
Bitcoin is trading near the Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670) , Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($105,500-$105,265) , and Resistance lines .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave Y . The main corrective structure was the Double Three Correction(WXY) . If the Resistance lines are broken , we can confirm the end of the main wave Y .
I expect Bitcoin to start rising after a re-correction from Cumulative Long Liquidations Leverage and reach the targets I have specified on the chart.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $102,883-$102,181
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $101,318-$100,748
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200(Worst Stop Loss(SL)), we should expect further declines.
Note: $105,500 is an important price for Bitcoin, and if Bitcoin can close the 4-hour candle above it, we can expect a break of the Heavy Resistance zone($104,380-$103,670)
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin's Structure Breaks — PRZ May Trigger a BounceBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has finally continued its downward trend , as I expected in my previous idea .
Do you think this downward trend will continue or not?
Bitcoin has now managed to break the Support zone($104,180-$103,670) and the lower line of the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing microwave C of the main wave Y of the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect Bitcoin to continue to decline to the Support zone($102,000-$107,120) and the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and then start to rise again.
I choose to label this idea as ''Long''.
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,200, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
BITCOIN Log Channel and Waves show we're nowhere near the top.This is Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on its Logarithmic Growth Channel with the use of Rainbow Waves on it. This model accounts for the Halvings (light blue vertical lines) and with the use of Fibonacci Time extensions, it estimates the potential Cycle Bottoms (green vertical lines) and Tops (red vertical lines) within the Parabolic Growth Curve.
A fair value is estimated around the purple trend-line (zone top and bottom) as well as a maximum (red trend-line) and minimum (light blue trend-line) wave.
Interestingly enough, BTC hit that minimum wave trend-line on the April 07 2025 Low for the first time since June 17 2017, making it the strongest buy signal we could get at this stage of the Cycle.
So based on all the above, Bitcoin is nowhere near the top of its Cycle and this isn't just because it hasn't yet touched the next red vertical line (Time Fib 4.382) which is on October 27 2025, but also because it is currently trading below the Fair Value Zone (even below its bottom half).
Both previous Cycles topped considerably above that Fair Value Zone and almost hit the maximum wave. Even if by October 27 2025, Bitcoin 'only' hits the purple (Fair Value) trend-line, it would have reached $135000 and if earlier it can even hit $145000. That is the bare minimum based on that model. If it hits the top of the Fair Value Zone by October 27, then we can see prices as high as $180000 even.
Which price do you think we are more likely to see? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN under brutal 4H squeeze. Buyers or sellers will prevail?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently under the strongest squeeze we've seen this year as it's being compressed between the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Such tight price action usual precedes explosive moves.
Technically two patterns prevail: a long-term Channel Up and a short-term Head and Shoulders (H&S). Naturally, as long as the Channel Up holds (and is still valid), the pattern will attempt to push the price to he 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $121500 (and higher). If on the other hand it breaks (4H MA200 would be an early signal), the H&S may push the price to the -1.0 Fibonacci extension at $95000.
So what do you think? Which pattern will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
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