BTC-D
Bitcoin: 130K AREA Upon Triangle Break Out.Bitcoin consolidating in a sub wave 4 and poised to break out (see triangle formation on chart). This breakout would be the sub wave 5 which can take price as high as the 133K to 134K area. In my opinion, this can be the completion of the broadest impulse wave (5th of the 5th). Wave counts aside, this is EXTREMELY important to recognize because it highlights significant price vulnerability and implies very high risk for longs (especially for investors). Of course, these price moves do not play out unless accompanied by a specific catalyst. We have the catalysts in place to drive price higher, but what can lead to a broad corrective structure? Who knows.
There are numerous drivers in play at the moment: the weakening dollar, tariffs, favorable legal environment, etc. And all the talk, videos and other propaganda all point to the continuation of this trend. The broader markets, metals, Ethereum, whatever asset it is, it is continuously going higher with little to no variance. The recipe for total complacency while risk is increasing. Back in April, before the pullback, things looked similar, and then the unexpected reaction to the tariff news at the time. No one saw that coming, and when it came, NO ONE saw or expected that we would be pushing all time highs across EVERYTHING in just a matter of months. When the top is in, the correction will likely be similar or worse. The market is be driven by a declining dollar, not a growing economy.
For the next leg higher into the 130's, what for swing trade or day trade setups. The trend is pretty clear, so it is all a matter of confirming mini pullbacks and continuation or reversal patterns on smaller time frames. Risk can be managed using reference levels on smaller time frames like 4H or 1H for swing trades. The Trade Scanner Pro also provides precise confirmations along with risk and profit objectives. There is plenty of opportunity and ways to play this, without having to get caught as an investor.
The scenario on the chart that illustrates price going to the 130K area assumes a break out occurring this week. IF the market chooses otherwise, like it breaks the low of the triangle instead, then it lowers the probability of the bullish scenario playing out. It's up to the market to choose, all I can do is map out scenarios based on the structure that is in play at the moment.
Either way, it is important to always accept that markets are mostly random. Price action is shaped by the perceptions of the future which can change on a whim. There is no need to feel like you are missing out because when things look their greatest, that is often the worst time to buy and vice versa.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin Technical Setup: Support Holds, Wave 5 in FocusBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) filled the CME Gap($117,255-$116,675) and started to rise, as I expected in my previous idea .
Bitcoin is currently trying to break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) . In the last week's movement, the price of $118,000 can be considered as one of the most important numbers for Bitcoin , with a lot of trading volume around this price.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin has managed to complete the main wave 4 near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) and Support lines . The structure of the main wave 4 is a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) (so far). There is a possibility that the 5th wave will be a truncated wave because the momentum of the main wave 3 is high and Bitcoin may NOT create a new ATH and the main wave 5 will complete below the main wave 3.
I expect Bitcoin to start rising near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($118,277-$118,033) , break the Resistance zone($119,530-$118,270) and reach the targets I have marked on the chart.
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $116,960
CME Gap: $115,060-$114,947
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $121,502-$121,134
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $120,612-$119,783
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,810-$115,522
Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again?
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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BITCOIN Accumulation Phase almost completed. Higher from here?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is making a strong rebound on the bottom of its 1-month Channel Up and this analysis is in direct response to the one we published last week (July 15, see chart below), where we called this one-week consolidation:
We won't be going into too much detail then, as you can see the price made the Accumulation 2 Phase, after an identical +25.9% Bullish Leg, same as April's and by breaking below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), it hit the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level.
As per the May 05 fractal hit, as long as the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) supports this Channel Up, the market should start Bullish Leg 3 towards Accumulation Phase 3 and eventually peak at around +43% from its start at $140000.
Do you think the pattern will continue to be repeated in the exact same order? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Technical Setup: Support Holds, Eyes on $118,600Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected in the previous ideas and finally completed the CME Gap($117,255-$116,675) in the last hours of the week. ( First Idea _ Second Idea )
Before starting today's analysis, it is important to note that trading volume is generally low on Saturday and Sunday , and we may not see a big move and Bitcoin will move in the range of $121,000 to $115,000 ( in the best case scenario and if no special news comes ).
Bitcoin is currently trading near the Support zone($116,900-$115,730) , Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage($116,881-$115,468) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and Support lines .
According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin had a temporary pump after the " GENIUS stablecoin bill clears House and heads to Trump's desk " news, but then started to fall again, confirming the end of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) . Now we have to wait for the next 5 down waves or the corrective waves will be complicated .
I expect Bitcoin to rebound from the existing supports and rise to at least $118,600 . The second target could be the Resistance lines .
Do you think Bitcoin will fill the CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) in this price drop?
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $121,519-$119,941
Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again?
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $114,700
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
HelenP. I Bitcoin will rebound from trend line and rise to $123KHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see a very clear and long-term bullish structure. The entire uptrend is supported by a major ascending trend line that has acted as a reliable foundation for the price for a significant amount of time. Currently, the price is consolidating above this crucial trend line and is interacting with the key support zone between 117500 and 116700 points. I believe that the most probable scenario here is a brief corrective move downwards for the price to properly retest the main ascending trend line. This type of retest is often a healthy sign in a strong trend, as it allows for the confirmation of support and gathers momentum for the next leg up. A strong rebound from this trend line would serve as a powerful signal that the buyers are still in control. Therefore, once the price confirms its bounce from this dynamic support, the path should be clear for a continuation of the uptrend. For this reason, my primary goal for this trade idea is set at the 123000 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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BITCOIN → Consolidation, retest of 120K. Correction of dominanceBINANCE:BTCUSDT , after a rapid rally and touching 123K, rolled back and entered consolidation, giving altcoins a chance. At the same time, Trump signed new crypto laws, but will these laws open new doors?
On June 18, the GENIUS Act was signed. Information can be found in the sources, but there is no direct reference to BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P , except perhaps indirectly: increased confidence in the crypto market, increased liquidity, possible new rules, and pressure on decentralized assets. Bitcoin has not always grown on positive news; more often it has been a deep pullback and liquidation before the momentum.
Technically, Bitcoin is currently consolidating, and I would highlight several key areas: the upper range is 120K-120.9K. The zone between these levels is particularly important, as this is where buyers were previously liquidated and sellers gathered (liquidation is possible).
The bottom is 117K (confirmed) - 116.2K. There is a liquidity pool on the support side.
additional scenario if the market does not reach resistance and decides to form a long squeeze before growth
Theoretically, I am not yet expecting a breakout and growth of Bitcoin. I think that consolidation may continue for some time, especially against the backdrop of a pullback in altcoins and a deep correction in the dominance index.
Resistance levels: 120100, 120850
Support levels: 117000, 116230
Since the opening of the session, the price has been working off the liquidity capture from 117K. There is a reaction - growth, which could bring the price to the zone of interest at 120K. But the question is: will the price hold in the 120K zone? A false breakout of resistance could trigger a correction to 117-116K. Thus, I expect the market to remain in consolidation for some time or even expand the current trading range...
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin may bounce up from support area to 122800 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Analyzing the broader market context on the BTC chart, the past price action has carved out two significant technical structures: a wide trading range and a larger upward wedge pattern. The formation of this wedge indicates a generally positive market sentiment, though the narrowing price swings suggest a decrease in upward momentum. The foundation of the current structure was established around the buyer zone of 105500 - 104500, a level that has historically proven to be a robust floor. This historical behavior provides a critical reference for our hypothesis. Currently, we are observing bitcoin's price action closely, interacting with the current support area, located between 116500 and 117300. The character of the movement here is largely corrective and consolidative, pointing to a state of temporary equilibrium. This consolidation near the lower boundary of the wedge is a pivotal point. My thinking is that a final, brief dip to thoroughly test the 116500 - 117300 support area is a high-probability scenario. Such a move would effectively absorb remaining sell-side liquidity before a reversal. We can then anticipate an impulsive move upwards across the range. Therefore, the logical take-profit for this long position is set at 122800 points, as this level marks the upper resistance of the range and a natural target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Support around 115854.56-116868.0 is the key
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The DOM(60) indicator of the 1W chart is generated at the 119177.56 point, and the DOM(60) indicator of the 1D chart is generated at the 119086.64 point, and then shows a downward trend.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the 115854.56 point, it is difficult to say that it has yet turned into a downward trend.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether it is supported in the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 25 (July 24-26).
However, the important volatility period is expected to be around August 2-5 (maximum August 1-6), so we need to look at what kind of movement it shows as it passes through the volatility period that will occur in the future.
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Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, there is a possibility that the decline will be restricted.
Therefore, the key is whether there is support around 115854.56-116868.0.
This is because if it falls below the HA-High indicator, there is a possibility that a downtrend will begin.
Also, since the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising around 115854.56, it can be seen as an important zone.
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An indicator called Trend Check has been added to the OBV indicator.
This indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the StochRSI, PVT-MACD oscillator, and OBV indicators and expresses them in a column.
Accordingly, if the TC indicator rises from the 0 point, it can be interpreted that the buying force is dominant, and if it falls, the selling force is dominant.
Therefore, if it rises above 0, it is likely to show an upward trend, and if it falls below 0, it is likely to show a downward trend.
Also, if the TC indicator touches the highest point (6) or lowest point (-6), there is a high possibility that the trend will reverse, so you should think about a response plan for this.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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BITCOIN FINAL WARNING BEFORE HUGE MOVE!!! (urgent) Yello Paradisers! I am Sharing with you my idea about #Bitcoin of what's going on with Bitcoin right now: be very careful because the Fear and Greed Index, a special one, is at "Greed". We are seeing funding rates, the accumulated funding rates, as extremely positive. We are seeing bearish patterns forming.
In this video, I'm describing the confirmations we are waiting for that will confirm that Bitcoin is about to make a huge movement. Make sure that you are trading with professional trading strategies and that you are waiting for confirmations before any trade execution. Also, make sure that you have tight risk management because only the best, most professional traders will win long-term in this game.
Don't be a gambler. Don't try to get rich quick. Make sure that your trading is professionally based on proper strategies and trade tactics.
BTC/USDT 125k? or 110k fall again?BTC/USDT 4H Analysis – July 20, 2025
The current market structure shows a bullish pennant forming after a strong impulsive move upward, with price consolidating between key support and resistance levels. This pattern, combined with volume signals and key price zones, suggests a potential for a high-volatility breakout.
🔷 Volume Profile & OBV Insights
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a volume squeeze. This suggests a potential sudden spike in volume that could confirm the next major move.
Anchored Volume Profile (VPVR) on the right shows a notable low-volume area between 112K–115K. If price breaks below this zone, it could lead to a rapid selloff toward deeper fair value areas due to reduced liquidity support.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price breaks above the pennant resistance and 119.5K liquidity zone, it may signal bullish continuation.
A successful retest of the breakout level as support would confirm strength, opening the door to:
Short-term target: 123K (supply zone and previous swing high)
Mid-term target: 125K (key psychological level and potential ATH)
Watch for confirmation via OBV breakout and strong bullish volume. Failure to sustain above the 118K–119K area could signal a bull trap.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A breakdown below pennant support and the 115K level would likely trigger a move into the low-volume range.
First key downside target: 114.7K–115.7K, which aligns with the Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 zone) and a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG).
This zone may act as a support or a liquidity grab reversal area.
If this zone fails to hold, deeper downside targets become likely:
FVG 2 (~112K)
Psychological support at 110K, which aligns with strong historical demand and a major VPVR node.
This bearish move may either confirm further downside momentum or present a fakeout opportunity if price sharply reverses from one of these deeper levels.
✅ Summary
BTC is coiled within a bullish pennant, with both bullish continuation and bearish breakdown scenarios in play. Volume confirmation and breakout direction will be key. Traders should monitor how price reacts around the 115K–118K zone for directional clarity. A move beyond this range, especially with volume support, will likely define the next trend leg.
Bitcoin- 175-200k by year's endEvery major Bitcoin move over the last decade — whether a jaw-dropping bull run or a brutal crash — has shared one silent macro trigger.
It’s not the halving.
It’s not ETF hype.
It’s not Twitter sentiment or TikTok FOMO.
👉 It’s global liquidity.
And right now, this powerful force is expanding fast — the same setup that previously drove Bitcoin from $5K to $70K in under a year.
But here’s the twist: as of today, Bitcoin is already trading near $120,000, not $20K or 30k.
That means the engine is already roaring — and if this macro thesis holds, the next stop might just be $175,000-200.000 by year's end.
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🧠 What Is Global Liquidity, Really?
Global liquidity = the total money sloshing around the financial system.
It’s often measured through M2 money supply, combining:
• Cash
• Checking/savings deposits
• Easily accessible liquid assets
The most comprehensive view comes from Global M2, which aggregates liquidity from 20 of the world’s largest central banks.
Right now, Global M2 is not just rising — it’s breaking to all-time highs.
And if history repeats itself, Bitcoin tends to follow this wave closely.
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📅 Past Performance: Bitcoin and Liquidity Walk Hand in Hand
Let’s break it down:
• 2016–2017: Liquidity surges → BTC +5,000%
• 2020–2021: Post-COVID easing → BTC $5K to $69K
• 2018 & 2022: Liquidity dries up → BTC crashes ~70%
It’s a recurring pattern:
Liquidity drives the crypto cycle.
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💡 Why Liquidity Moves: Interest Rates and Central Banks
Central banks control the tap.
• 🟢 Cut rates → Easier credit → More lending → More liquidity
• 🔴 Raise rates → Tighter credit → Less spending → Liquidity contraction
In 2022, the Fed tightened hard.
🧊 U.S. money supply shrank.
📉 Bitcoin fell from $70K to $15K.
But starting August 2023, the Fed paused, then pivoted.
Since then:
• 🟢 The U.S. M2 supply rebounded
• 🟢 Global M2 began expanding again
• 🟢 Over 64 global rate cuts were made in just six months — one of the fastest global easing cycles in history
The last time we saw this much cutting? 2020.
And we all know what happened to Bitcoin then.
U.S M2
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🟢 Today’s Setup: The Engine Is Already Running
Fast forward to mid-July 2025:
Bitcoin is no longer at $30K — it’s already testing $120K.
Intraday highs have touched $123K, with a current consolidation zone between $117K–$120K.
This isn’t a "recovery rally" — we’re already in price discovery territory.
The question now becomes:
Is $150K and above next… or are we topping out?
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📈 Charting the Path: Bitcoin vs Global M2
When we overlay Bitcoin price over global liquidity trends, one thing becomes crystal clear:
📊 Bitcoin tracks liquidity direction.
• When money supply expands, Bitcoin rallies.
• When money dries up, Bitcoin tanks.
Given that global M2 is at record highs, and liquidity conditions are easing globally, the chart suggests there’s still plenty of fuel in the tank.
And if we follow the same growth, Bitcoin could realistically reach $175,000 before 2026 kicks in.
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Technically:
As we can clearly see from the posted weekly chart, you don’t need to be an expert to recognize the strength of the current uptrend.
While last week printed a small bearish Pin Bar, this alone shouldn’t raise major concerns — especially considering the presence of multiple key support levels, starting from the 110K zone.
In the context of a strong and well-established trend, such candles often reflect normal short-term profit-taking, not a reversal.
🎯 Conclusion – Don’t Fight the Tide
This isn’t about hopium.
It’s not moon talk.
It’s about macro flows and monetary velocity.
Ignore the noise.
Watch what the central banks are doing.
Because Bitcoin moves not on wishful thinking, but on waves of liquidity — and the tide right now is rising fast.
Whether $175K comes by year-end, one thing is clear:
We are in the middle of a liquidity-driven expansion phase, and Bitcoin is already responding.
Stay focused, manage your risk, and don’t chase — ride the wave. 🌊
$BTC Will Go Up Alongside Alt SeasonSomeone posted on one of my tweets the following:
" Jonnie my bro, the only problem for me right now is that btc didnt top yet. You also talked how btc shoud top around 200k range. Alt season can only come when btc reach top"
MYTH DEBUNKED ✅
CRYPTOCAP:BTC does NOT need to top in order for Alt Season to commence.
Both can and will occur in tandem 🤝
BTC Update – Short-Term Pressure Building
Bitcoin is still being pushed down below the BB center.
RSI is trending lower, and MACD is nearing a bearish crossover.
PSAR is hovering close to price, a warning sign.
This could still be a pause before the next leg up — but don’t ignore the signs.
And just a thought: Trump Media buying $2B in BTC might’ve marked a local top.
Prepare in advance.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
LTC Litecoin Short Term Pull Back Quick and SharpI believe Litecoin Is topping out on the 2 hour. Looks like we may come back down and tap support at around 104 but I wouldn't be surprised a wick hits 100. I have buy orders around 103-106. I am not super confident on a deeper pullback so thats why my buys are there is so i don't miss the dip. Id rather make a little less money than miss a buy in trying to nail the bottom. Litecoin is starting its breakout from a 7 year consolidation and accumulation phase. This should be pretty massive. Litecoin is going to benefit considerably from these new bills that are being signed and many of the favorites in the top 100 will soon disappear!
The time for Litecoin to shine as I have been talking about for years is now. I am almost certain that this is that time. My predictions all still hold if you would like to go read them. I was just off on timing. Timing is the hardest thing to predict especially with how wild this planet has been lately. None of this is financial advice its just my opinion.
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up from support line to $125000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
For a long time, the price was trading sideways inside a wide flat range between the $99000 support area and the $112000 resistance level.
After accumulating volume, bitcoin made a strong upward impulse and performed a breakout, pushing above the top of the flat.
Following this movement, the price action began to form a rising wedge pattern, moving between its clear support and resistance lines.
Recently, price tested the resistance line of the wedge and then started a predictable correction back down towards support.
Now, BTC is approaching the support line of the wedge, which aligns with the important horizontal support area around $112000-$113500.
I expect that the price can test this support line and then bounce up to the $125000 resistance line of the wedge.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
When This Support Breaks, Altcoin Season Becomes Official!Trading Fam,
We have many signs that altcoin season is almost upon us. Solana is breaking important resistance. Eth is nearing its target (both of these posts can be found below). But the most important indicator imo can be found on our BTC.D chart. Dominance has now reached an important support. I was kind of expecting a bounce here. And it still could bounce. But if it doesn't, then I feel like I can officially state that we will be in altcoin season for the rest of the year. Here's what you should be watching. If the body of that daily candle closes below our support today and then a new one opens and also closes below the support, its a wrap.
Let's go!
✌️Stew
Bitcoin: Genius is on the scene The U.S. House passed the Genius Act on July 17, following Senate approval in June. The bill sets comprehensive federal standards for stablecoins, clearing the way for banks and fintechs to issue them under clear reserve and audit rules. This represents a new milestone for the crypto market, and its leading coin - BTC. During the week, BTC managed to hold steady above the $118K. On Tuesday, there has been one attempt to push the price toward the $116, however, the price swiftly returned to the previous grounds. The highest weekly level reached was at $122,8K, reached on Monday, however, this level was also unsustainable. The majority of trades during the week were around $118,5K.
The RSI modestly moved from the overbought market side, ending the week at the level of 65. This could be an indication of a forthcoming price reversal, however, considering strong demand for BTC, such a move could be easily postponed. The MA50 started again to diverge from MA200, indicating that there will be no cross of two lines in the coming period.
BTC managed to hold levels above the $118K, which is an indication that investors are still not ready to sell in higher volumes, in order to take profits. The RSI is indicating potential for a short reversal, however, in the current circumstances, it might be postponed. A move toward the higher grounds is also quite possible, especially taking into account BTCs recent push toward the $122K. At this moment charts are pointing to equal probabilities for a move toward both sides. On one hand, the $116K support was indicated through price during the previous week, as well as the $122K. The start of the week ahead will determine which side will prevail in the week ahead.
$ETH Closes Above the 50WMA - Alt Season Signal ALT SEASON ALERT 🚨
CRYPTOCAP:ETH Closed the Week ABOVE the 50WMA
Historically this has signaled the start of ALT SEASON.
*NOTE* 2020 had the pandemic hiccup.
This bottoming pattern looks very similar to the 2017 explosion.
Also the RSI matches the 2019 bottom.
Dare I call it yet bros? 🤓