#BTC Update #9 – July 22, 2025#BTC Update #9 – July 22, 2025
As previously noted, Bitcoin is currently trading within both a horizontal range (box) and a tightening triangle formation. Although there was a drop last night, price didn’t pierce the lower boundary of the box and is now showing an upward reaction.
As long as BTC holds above this box, there’s no major risk. Bitcoin has already completed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement from its previous impulsive move. If that correction is sufficient, the next upside target is $127,900.
However, one key point to watch: Bitcoin failed to break its previous high in its last three attempts — a clear sign of price compression and market indecision.
📌 No need to rush into Long or Short positions. It’s best to wait for a confirmed breakout before acting, as premature entries could carry elevated risk.
BTC-D
TOTAL3 / BTC - ALT SEASON BREAKOUT - Bullish Divergence SpottedBULLISH DIVERGENCE on CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 against CRYPTOCAP:BTC 🏁
You will see every time the RSI passed 50 on the Weekly chart in the post-Halving year it signaled Alt Season 🚀
This coincided with 3 tests of this level at 50, with the 3rd test being the real breakout 🤌🏼
Volume confirms change in trend 🏁
AWAITING CONFIRMATION 🚨
🅾️ Close several Weeks above key neckline resistance (currently here)
🅾️ Bullish Cross on the 20 / 50WMA
BTC/USD – TRIANGLE PATTERN BREAKOUT LOADING
We’re coiling up like a spring 🌀 inside this textbook triangle structure — and the breakout is about to go BOOM.
👀 Watch the (E) Wave closely. This is where smart money traps the late sellers.
Once price taps the 117.4K zone, expect a sharp reversal up.
🎯 Target: 121,192
📍 Entry: 117,426
❌ Stop Loss: 116,594
💡 Logic: Classic Elliott Wave triangle → ABCDE complete → final breakout wave incoming.
This setup is cleaner than a fresh fade. Don’t sleep on it 😴
🧠 PATIENCE = POWER
Let the market show its hand — then snipe your entry. 🎯
🕒 Timeframe: 30M
⚙️ Strategy: Elliott Triangle + Breakout Play
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BTC/USDT 125k? or 110k fall again?BTC/USDT 4H Analysis – July 20, 2025
The current market structure shows a bullish pennant forming after a strong impulsive move upward, with price consolidating between key support and resistance levels. This pattern, combined with volume signals and key price zones, suggests a potential for a high-volatility breakout.
🔷 Volume Profile & OBV Insights
The On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator is forming a symmetrical triangle, indicating a volume squeeze. This suggests a potential sudden spike in volume that could confirm the next major move.
Anchored Volume Profile (VPVR) on the right shows a notable low-volume area between 112K–115K. If price breaks below this zone, it could lead to a rapid selloff toward deeper fair value areas due to reduced liquidity support.
📈 Bullish Scenario
If price breaks above the pennant resistance and 119.5K liquidity zone, it may signal bullish continuation.
A successful retest of the breakout level as support would confirm strength, opening the door to:
Short-term target: 123K (supply zone and previous swing high)
Mid-term target: 125K (key psychological level and potential ATH)
Watch for confirmation via OBV breakout and strong bullish volume. Failure to sustain above the 118K–119K area could signal a bull trap.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A breakdown below pennant support and the 115K level would likely trigger a move into the low-volume range.
First key downside target: 114.7K–115.7K, which aligns with the Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618 zone) and a 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG).
This zone may act as a support or a liquidity grab reversal area.
If this zone fails to hold, deeper downside targets become likely:
FVG 2 (~112K)
Psychological support at 110K, which aligns with strong historical demand and a major VPVR node.
This bearish move may either confirm further downside momentum or present a fakeout opportunity if price sharply reverses from one of these deeper levels.
✅ Summary
BTC is coiled within a bullish pennant, with both bullish continuation and bearish breakdown scenarios in play. Volume confirmation and breakout direction will be key. Traders should monitor how price reacts around the 115K–118K zone for directional clarity. A move beyond this range, especially with volume support, will likely define the next trend leg.
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up from support line to $125000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
For a long time, the price was trading sideways inside a wide flat range between the $99000 support area and the $112000 resistance level.
After accumulating volume, bitcoin made a strong upward impulse and performed a breakout, pushing above the top of the flat.
Following this movement, the price action began to form a rising wedge pattern, moving between its clear support and resistance lines.
Recently, price tested the resistance line of the wedge and then started a predictable correction back down towards support.
Now, BTC is approaching the support line of the wedge, which aligns with the important horizontal support area around $112000-$113500.
I expect that the price can test this support line and then bounce up to the $125000 resistance line of the wedge.
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Bitcoin may bounce up from support area to 122800 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Analyzing the broader market context on the BTC chart, the past price action has carved out two significant technical structures: a wide trading range and a larger upward wedge pattern. The formation of this wedge indicates a generally positive market sentiment, though the narrowing price swings suggest a decrease in upward momentum. The foundation of the current structure was established around the buyer zone of 105500 - 104500, a level that has historically proven to be a robust floor. This historical behavior provides a critical reference for our hypothesis. Currently, we are observing bitcoin's price action closely, interacting with the current support area, located between 116500 and 117300. The character of the movement here is largely corrective and consolidative, pointing to a state of temporary equilibrium. This consolidation near the lower boundary of the wedge is a pivotal point. My thinking is that a final, brief dip to thoroughly test the 116500 - 117300 support area is a high-probability scenario. Such a move would effectively absorb remaining sell-side liquidity before a reversal. We can then anticipate an impulsive move upwards across the range. Therefore, the logical take-profit for this long position is set at 122800 points, as this level marks the upper resistance of the range and a natural target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Bitcoin is still bullish (4H)Bitcoin appears to be in a dual bullish structure, currently in the second bullish phase following wave X.
Considering the expansive nature of the correction in the second pattern, it seems we are within an expanding triangle or a diametric structure.
Based on the duration of wave C, it appears that the bullish wave of the second structure is not yet complete.
We expect such fluctuations for Bitcoin in the coming period.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this outlook.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
BTC Dominance Rebound???🧭 Market Outlook
BTC Dominance (BTC.D) remains in an uptrend channel → investors still favoring CRYPTOCAP:BTC over alts.
📉 From Jun 28 to Jul 18, BTC.D dropped -7%, fueling a solid rally in ETH & alts.
⚠️ BTC.D may bounce back if it fails to break the key support (breakdown line/golden circle). Next resistance zone: 70.48%–73.82%. If this plays out → alts may lag during BTC pumps & dump harder on corrections.
🌊 Altseason only if BTC.D breaks down decisively.
But not all alts will fly. Be selective — don’t go all-in on a single coin. 🧠
HelenP. I Bitcoin will correct to trend line and then start riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The price has been trading in a strong bullish structure, clearly respecting the ascending trend line since the rebound from the 107500 level. Each time the price touched the trend line, it formed a higher low and continued the upward movement. After breaking through the important Support 1 zone (115500–116500), BTC made a strong impulse upward and reached a local high above 122000 points. Currently, the price is making a pullback and moving closer to the trend line again. This area has previously acted as a major point of interest for buyers, and now it's expected to play a key role once more. The support zone and trend line are converging, which makes this level critical for the next move. I believe BTCUSD will bounce from this area and continue its bullish momentum. My goal is set at 123000 points. Given the market structure, higher lows, and strong reaction from the support zones, I remain bullish and expect further growth from current levels. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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LTC/USD LITECOIN Adam & Eve Pattern On WeeklyThe Adam and Eve pattern is quite effective and usually signals a trend change to bullish. Once this pattern breaks the neckline I think its straight to $200 before any sort of pullback.
Haven't done a chart in a while cause its been the same old stuff, sideways. We are starting to ignite now. Silver is running which means something is breaking in the background financial system. I see the biggest blow off top you've ever seen coming, its the only way out of this, print print print until it doesn't work anymore.
Also I was reading that Bitcoin is removing its cap for spam in each block in October? This could spell disaster for fees and congestion. Litecoin will skyrocket during that time I believe because the fees will be so high it will price out the little guy trying to send a grand or two. I see an influx of people coming to Litecoin. Good luck , none of this is financial advice just my opinion
Bitcoin Interesting Fractal And Timing! GOING STRAIGHT UP!I noticed that the timing and pattern of how this is playing out in 2025 in Bitcoin is very similar to that of 2017. This fractal is not identical but its damn close. In 2017 there were approximately 15 million people in crypto, very few leverage exchanges, and trading was no where near what it is today. Now we have exchanges everywhere, hundreds of them most with leverage which we didn't really have before. Also not to mention that now we have big players getting in and they aren't buying and selling on the daily, they are buying it all and holding it, hence why we aren't seeing the typical "Alt season". The sloshing effect we had in the early days when traders would rotate out of Bitcoin into alts is not happening as it used to.
In 2017 Trump took office and in the end of March the bull run started in full swing. Something very similar is also happening now that we are in March and these fractals are lining up. Let see how this plays out. I think we are on the cusp of a giant mega bull run like you've seen before.
Crypto traders last year made mega profits cashing out multiple billions in capital gains. Once the selling stops around the end of March and beginning of April from people selling to pay taxes I think its on. This is not financial advice this is just my opinion. Lets see how this chart ages. Thank you for reading.
BTC Double QML Setup: Is Another Drop Loading?Hello guys!
Do you remember the last analysis?
Now this BTC chart shows a textbook example of two consecutive QML (Quasimodo Level) patterns forming (QML1 and QML2), each confirmed by clean engulfed lows.
QML1 caused a strong drop after the high was broken and a new low formed.
Price retraced and created QML2, again with a confirmed engulfed low (engulfed2).
We're now likely to see a reaction at the QML2 supply zone.
If price respects this second QML zone, we could see another bearish move toward the 116k zone, possibly lower.
XRP → ATH retest. Reversal or continued growth?BINANCE:XRPUSDT.P is rallying and ready to test the resistance zone - ATH. Against this backdrop, Bitcoin is consolidating after a bull run. The liquidity pool may hold back growth.
Fundamentally, there is excitement across the entire cryptocurrency market. Altcoins are rallying after Bitcoin hit a new high and entered consolidation. The BTC.D index is declining, which generally provides a good opportunity for altcoins to grow. However, the index is approaching technical support, which may affect market sentiment overall...
As for XRP, there is a fairly strong liquidity pool ahead — the ATH resistance zone. The price is in a distribution phase after a change in character and a breakout of the downtrend resistance in the 2.33 zone. The momentum may exhaust its potential to break through the 3.35-3.34 zone, and growth may be halted for correction or reversal (in correlation with Bitcoin's dominance in the market).
Resistance levels: 3.35-3.40
Support levels: 3.0, 2.64
A breakout of resistance without the possibility of further growth, a return of the price below the level (i.e., inside the global flat) will confirm the fact of a false breakout of resistance, which may trigger a correction or even a reversal.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Bitcoin Struggles Below $120K:Will the CME Gap Pull Price Lower?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has been experiencing a high momentum bullish trend in recent days, which few people expected, especially when it crossed $120,000 . However, in the past 24 hours , Bitcoin has fallen back below $120,000 .
Bitcoin is currently trading in the Resistance zone($119,720-$118,240) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($118,757-$117,829) on the 1-hour time frame .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 4 . Main wave 4 is likely to have a Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to attack the Support lines and fill the CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) in the next hour.
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $123,087-$120,922
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $116,305-$114,325
Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again?
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $121,000
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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Bitcoin - Bears will push the price fill CME Gap- Bitcoin has broken down from the trending support,
- Price has been going down without any retracement on 1H candle.
- Looks like bitcoin will CME gap before going up further.
- A high risk Short Trade opportunity is here
Entry: 117,431
Stop Loss: 119,670
TP1: 116152.8
TP2: 114403.6
Move SL to Breakeven on TP1 hit
Don't forget to like and follow
Cheers
GreenCrypto
TRX Approaching Cup Breakout – Market Decision Imminent
TRX/USDT – Daily Chart Analysis
TRX is shaping a textbook Cup Pattern on the daily timeframe — a strong bullish continuation signal if confirmed. Price has gradually curved upward, and we are now testing the key resistance area at 0.29–0.30.
📌 Key Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Breakout Scenario:
A confirmed breakout and daily close above 0.30 would validate the cup formation and set the stage for a rally toward the next target zones at 0.35 and 0.45 — measured based on the cup’s depth.
🔹 Bearish Rejection Scenario:
If the resistance holds, expect a pullback toward the midline (~0.24) for potential accumulation and base-building before the next move.
💡 Volume confirmation and breakout momentum are critical to watch here. The market is approaching a decision point.
🟢 Our directional bias remains bullish — we anticipate the breakout to occur, leading to an upward continuation. However, we’ll wait for confirmation of the breakout and completion of the pattern before entering a long position.
The Critical Blue Line – Will Bitcoin Soar or Sink
🔹 Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Key Blue Line, Bear Trap Possibility & Long-Term Scenario
On the Bitcoin chart, the blue horizontal level has acted multiple times as both support and resistance. The price has broken it several times but failed to sustain above, indicating high-volume decision-making zones by institutions and large players.
📉 Why this pattern keeps repeating:
Strong supply and demand concentration at this level.
Inability to break and hold shows market indecision.
Repeated fakeouts are likely used to shake out weak hands.
🔍 Important hidden scenario: Bear Trap Potential
If the price dips below the blue line but quickly reclaims it, it may form a bear trap, tricking short sellers into entering prematurely. This move could ignite strong bullish momentum from trapped sellers and renewed buyers.
🔮 If price holds above the blue line:
Signals market strength and potential bullish structure shift.
Targets:
109,800
117,200
120,000+ (Long-term)
📛 If support fails again:
Retracement toward the lower channel near 101,000 or lower is possible.
📊 Conclusion:
This zone is one of the most critical decision points in the current market. Traders should combine volume, candlestick behavior, and confirmation signals to avoid getting trapped by fake breaks
BTC Rejection from QML Zone: Towards on 113,600 SupportHello guys!
This chart shows a QML (Quasimodo Level) setup in play on Bitcoin. After price created a new high and engulfed the previous structure, it returned to the QML zone (around $119K–$121K) and reacted exactly as expected: strong rejection.
The sharp selloff from the QML area confirms a bearish shift in structure, and now the momentum is tilted to the downside.
The next key level to watch is the 113,600 demand zone, where the price may either bounce or consolidate.
As long as the price stays below the QML zone, bears have control.
You should consider that the main trend is bullish, and the stop loss may be hit, so please manage your risk!
ETH BEARISH BAT POTENTIALETH can go slightly higher but it’s at/near the .886 retracement and meets a valid bearish bat pattern.
I would be targeting a full move if it is unable to break above the .886.
Too many euphoric here. The move has been really scammy off the hype news of Genius Act which everyone saw coming. Expect a sell the news event and BTC.D bounce would destroy alts for one last capitulation most alts may drop 40-50% from here. Then the real bull will start.