Bitcoin - BTC | Weekly Market Recap & Outlook 13.07.2025What Happened Last Week?
Bitcoin broke out of the recent downtrend structure and established a bullish leg with clear momentum.
The breakout was supported by volume and price structure, suggesting a trend reversal rather than a temporary deviation.
Weekly Bias and Strategy
The current outlook is bullish.
A retracement or sideways consolidation between the $120,000 and $114,000 zone is possible.
This zone may act as accumulation before further upside.
Key Points of Interest (POIs):
12H Swing Liquidity (turquoise line)
Daily FVG (blue line)
These levels will be monitored for long setups with confirmation on lower timeframes.
Macro Consideration – Fed Chairman Jerome Powell
Recent market speculation has increased regarding Jerome Powell potentially stepping down as Chair of the Federal Reserve.
If such a resignation is confirmed, it may act as a significant bullish catalyst for Bitcoin and other risk assets, possibly accelerating upside without allowing for any meaningful pullback.
Summary
• Bullish breakout confirmed
• Long bias maintained unless major invalidation occurs
• Watching retracement levels for entries
• Macro catalyst (Powell resignation) may trigger strong continuation without retrace
BTC
Bitcoin Roadmap=>End of RallyBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) has gained nearly +10% in the recent weekly candle so far. The question is where this rally could end up. So to get to that zone, let’s go to the weekly timeframe .
Before we start this analysis, let’s take a look at my last analysis on the weekly timeframe , which was well into the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . ( Analysis time: 9 JUN 2025 )
Bitcoin has now entered the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) , and these zones could be the zones where this Bitcoin rally will end. Do you agree with me?
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing a main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was an extended wave . The main wave 5 could end at the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
I expect Bitcoin to start a main correction from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and could continue to support lines and near the $105(at least) .
What do you think about the end of the Bitcoin rally?
Note: Sell orders near $120,000 are very heavy.
Note: Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage attractive volume for liquidation.
Note: If Bitcoin goes above $130,000, it can continue to rise to the Resistance lines (near $150,000).
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Weekly Close Watch: Bitcoin’s Key Level Could Shift the ChartsGood morning, Guys
There's only 1 day and 13 hours left until the weekly Bitcoin candle closes.
It's crucial that this candle closes above the 112,331 level with strong volume. Anyone experienced in economics and technical analysis knows just how significant this is.
If we get that close above the level, I’ll share a powerful analysis with a clear target.
I want to sincerely thank everyone who’s been supporting my analyses with likes—your support is
my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing content.
Much love to you all—we’re more than just a community, we’re a family. 💛
BTC.D Slipping ! ALTSEASON Loading ? This is BTC.D on the daily chart.
It has shown a strong relationship with the 50MA (blue/cyan line), often using it as support. While there were a couple of daily closes below it in the past, they lasted only 1 or 2 candles.
Now we’ve seen 4 consecutive daily closes below the 50MA (including today), which increases the likelihood of a deeper move to search for support.
The next key support zone (green rectangle) is defined by the 200MA (red line) and the 62.25% level (black line) — both of which acted as support before.
If BTC.D drops into that zone, ETH and altcoins could experience a strong bounce.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
BTC crash to 50kLooks like the top is in!
This should propagate into a nice bear run.
Crypto community got BTC to 100,000$
That’s the PUMP
Then the ETF opens the flood gates for corrupt / corporate money supply… that’s the DUMP signal!
Take their money and run!
Where to? Maybe the park… I’m gonna run my DOGE!
BTC/USD 1H chart short-term🔻 Trend:
• Currently visible inheritance channel - confirmed by the yellow inheritance trend (decreasing peaks).
• The price tests resistance in the area 117.564 - possible to break out, but requires confirmation of the volume.
⸻
📊 levels of support and resistance:
• resistance:
• 117,564 (here we are now - resistance test)
• 117,939
• 118,206 (key level - potential breaking from the channel)
• Support:
• 117,205 - a recent hole, valid short -term
• 116,905
• 116,680 - deeper support, possible target with further decline
⸻
📉 Macd:
• The histogram begins to decrease, but the MacD line and the signal line still below zero → still weakness.
• Possibility to build a base for reversing the trend, but there is no clear signal intersection.
⸻
📉 RSI (Relative Strength Index):
• RSI below 50, but it starts to reflect slightly.
• MA RSI is still falling → no strong growth dynamics.
⸻
🔍 Applications:
• The downward trend still dominates, but the price is trying to pierce local resistance (117.564).
• If it breaks above 117,939–118,206 and persists, a possible change in the direction at a short interval.
• If he rejects the resistance - a quick descend to 117.205 or lower (116,900-116,680).
⸻
⚠️ Signals for observation:
• Closing the candle 1h above 118.206 - Bullly Breakout.
• Rejection of level 117.564 and descent below 117,200 - confirmation of further decline.
• MacD and RSI - 50 - potential change of direction.
BTC & USDT.D => Bullish Correction Incoming?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Both BTC and USDT.D are sitting around key rejection zones.
💰 BTC is hovering near the $100,000 level — a major previous low and a psychological round number.
📊 Meanwhile, USDT.D is testing the 5% resistance — a supply zone and another critical round number.
As long as $100,000 holds as support on BTC and 5.1% holds as resistance on USDT.D, we could expect a bullish correction across the crypto market.
What do you think? Will these levels hold or break? 🤔
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
The Oracle Singularity: CHAINLINK is Inevitable or Cooked?How many marines are tracking this ascending channel?
How many are watching this Fibonacci time sequence unfold?
How many are following the mirrored bar fractal that might just be a crystal ball into the future?
Today you get all three in one TA. The value here is absurdly high . Even though I offloaded most of my LINK a while back it continues to act like a compass for future macro crypto moves.
You really need to look at the TA to understand what I mean
Now look at this
The deviation in the LINK bar pattern seems to be reaching its conclusion around mid October 2025 and if you’ve seen my last Bitcoin TA you know I’ve been targeting that same mid October 2025 window for a potential BTC top. That’s a serious timeline confluence.
But here's the twist
The main chart projects a $200 LINK by April 2026. If that plays out then I have to entertain the possibility that this cycle extends past my original thesis and that my Bitcoin top call may come in earlier than Chainlink's final move.
If Bitcoin does in fact top in mid October then LINK likely won’t have the legs to hit those upper targets.
Back in 2021 when LINK was trading at a similar price it only took 119 days to reach $50 that would put us at November 2025 for a repeat. Something doesn’t quite add up
Now check the main chart again
This Fibonacci time sequence is liquid gold. It’s nailed major tops and bottoms for years (see the blue circles). Every major move has hit right on time except for the 3.618 in October 2022 which was a rare miss.
But here's the kicker
There’s no Fib time event between October and December 2025. The next ones are in August 2025 and then April 2026
So is LINK trying to tell us the cycle extends into 2026?
Maybe. All I’ll say is this
If the cycle doesn’t extend into 2026 then LINK IS COOKED
BTC: the breakout should be legitAs you can see the breakout had 3 days of rising volume and OBV also broke out so it should bne legit. On daily the upper band of the TMA bands is being tested, probably soon we'll see a retracement, I suppose the former resistance is now the support to test, however if the euphory continues we could see another peak of the price while RSI stays below the "overbought zone".
I'd look at opportunities to short although I usually don't trade BTC, I use it mostly as indicator on when to buy alts.
Good luck
BTC is Back in Price Discovery Mode — Targeting $140K!After a clean break above the previous all-time high, Bitcoin has officially entered a new impulse phase, trading within a steep rising channel.
The green zone around the previous ATH is now acting as a strong support zone, confirming the shift in market structure.
🟠 The macro trend remains intact, and bulls are clearly in control.
🌀 Corrections continue to offer opportunities for trend-following entries, and if momentum holds, BTC could be on its way toward the $140,000 mark — the upper boundary of the macro channel.
Until then, every dip is a gift in this bullish cycle. 🔥
🧠 Trade with the trend. Manage your risk. Stay ready.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC - Falling Correction = Continuation?BTC has been playing by the rules lately!
Every time Bitcoin forms a falling correction, it turns out to be a bullish continuation pattern — and history might be repeating itself 👀
As shown on the chart:
Previous falling channels (flag/wedge structures) have consistently led to strong bullish impulses.
The current correction also appears to be a falling channel, hinting at another potential bullish leg soon.
As long as the structure holds and no major support is broken, the next target could be a new all-time high.
Let’s see if BTC continues to respect this textbook behavior.
📌 Remember: Falling corrections in an uptrend = healthy continuation!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC – Bullish Continuation Ahead ?Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined rising channel since mid-2023, respecting both upper and lower bounds beautifully.
After each impulsive move, we’ve seen healthy corrections followed by bullish continuations — a classic market structure in play.
🟦 Accumulation Zone: After a long accumulation phase, BTC kicked off a strong bullish cycle.
🟥 Correction Phases: Each major move was followed by a red correction zone before resuming the uptrend.
🟧 Current Phase: BTC is consolidating just below the upper channel boundary. A breakout above this zone could confirm the next bullish wave toward $140K+.
🔵 Key Observations:
Structure remains intact within the channel
Previous breakout zones now acting as support (blue arrows)
Continuation patterns are forming, signaling potential upside
🏹As long as the orange zone holds, BTC remains in a bullish structure, and a breakout would likely push us to new highs.
📍Will history repeat and BTC continue its journey toward the upper channel boundary? Let’s wait for confirmation!
💬 What’s your bias here? Are you bullish or waiting for a deeper pullback?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BITCOIN - Local Conditions for Growth ContinuationCRYPTOCAP:BTC showed us an astonishing growth from $108,000 to $118,000 in a few days! But what is next and where is the next target?
At the moment the price is consolidating below the ATH, in fact there are two resistances: $118,500 and $119,000. To continue pumping, Bitcoin has to break both of them with strong impulse.
To be honest , the current price development reminds me of what we've seen a couple days ago: breakout of the resistance -> consolidation below local highs -> strong breakout and growth continuation. Something similar can be expected now as well.
In the past couple of years CRYPTOCAP:BTC taught us a lesson of waiting no time to hop on the train . When it pumps - it does it quickly, just like it does it this time. So, waiting for the best entry near $109,000 - $110,000 might leave you behind while Bitcoin will be pumping towards $125,000.
Bitcoin DominationHistorical cycle data on the indicator points to the possible end of bitcoin's dominance growth. This may indicate the beginning of capital reallocation in favor of altcoins. At least until May 7 we will have a short-term altcoin season, but if we are lucky, even until the end of May.
⚠️ Caution Amid Geopolitical Factors
While a temporary altcoin season may be on the horizon, it's essential to consider broader economic factors. Ongoing trade tensions, particularly involving the U.S., could introduce volatility into the markets. Such geopolitical uncertainties might render the current altcoin rally a bull trap, with potential downturns in the summer months.
Beautiful Bitcoin breakout, as called. PLEASE SEE PROFILE FOR MORE INFO!
What an absolutely gorgeous Inverse Head & Shoulder for #Bitcoin.
Had suspicion this time WAS different for #BTC.
Let's talk ROUGH ESTIMATES for social #gold.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is no longer a hard to anticipate as it's become an institutional asset. Follow the $, volume. ETF's are performing similar. Leveraged funds, not so much
Anyway, enjoy the ride #Crypto!
#BTC Update #6 – July 11, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #6 – July 11, 2025
Bitcoin has surged nearly 9% from the supply zone and is currently trading around the $119,000 level. However, looking at the current volume, the momentum seems to be fading.
If a correction takes place, the potential support zones are:
✨First stop: $114,000
✨Second stop: $113,000
✨Third stop: $111,500
After a pullback, the next target may be around $122,000. However, macroeconomic risks are rising. The U.S. is considering a 500% tariff on Russia imports, and in the past, even a 100% tariff triggered a sharp drop in Bitcoin.
Since BTC has already made a significant move up, I don’t think opening a Long or Short position is wise at the moment. Just observing for now.
Bitcoin: Final Push in the 60-Day Cycle?Bitcoin appears to be making its final move higher within the current 60-day cycle. We could potentially see a push into the $121K–$122K range before a sharp correction takes us down to around $110K–$112K toward the end of the month, driven by the 3-day cycle timing.
After that, we’re likely to form a new 60-day cycle low, which could set the stage for a renewed move to the upside.
Is it time to go long?
At this point, the risk/reward doesn’t look favorable for new longs. Personally, I’m watching for one final push above $120K to consider opening a short position into the expected cycle low.
NETFLIX 1D MA50 test is a new buy opportunity.Netflix (NFLX) has been rising non-stop since the April 07 bottom on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This bottom has been the latest Higher Low of the 3-year Channel Up that started on the June 14 2022 bottom.
This kickstarted its third long-term Bullish Leg. The previous two have been fairly similar (+210% and +195.93%) so we can assume a minimum total rise of +195.93% until the next top (Higher High of the Channel Up).
We can also see that on each Bullish Leg, after the initial rebound, the stock always tested the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) around the 0.236 Time Fibonacci level. That has always been the best buy opportunity of that stage.
As a result, we believe that the recent short-term correction is a buy opportunity in disguise, targeting a Higher High at $2200.
Check out our previous analysis on Netflix:
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MicroStrategy ($MSTR) – Bitcoin Proxy Setting Up AgainMicroStrategy Incorporated NASDAQ:MSTR remains the definitive institutional proxy for Bitcoin exposure, uniquely combining its enterprise software operations with a high-conviction, leveraged Bitcoin accumulation strategy. Its $1.42B BTC purchase in April 2025 further cements this thesis, making MSTR a prime vehicle for traders seeking amplified BTC exposure via equities.
Since our May 5th analysis, MSTR has rallied ~14.61%. We’re now eyeing a re-entry opportunity on a pullback to the $394–$387 zone, aligning with technical support and previous consolidation.
🎯 Bullish targets remain unchanged: $490.00–$500.00, backed by Bitcoin strength and MicroStrategy’s unwavering strategy.
🔁 Re-entry: $394–$387
🟩 Targets: $490–$500
#MSTR #Bitcoin #CryptoStocks #BTC #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #MicroStrategy #HighBeta #CryptoExposure #TradingSetup
Bitcoin’s Final Wave & Time Reversal Zone _ New ATH Loading?Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the weekly time frame and answer these questions :
Can Bitcoin create a new All-time High(ATH) or not!?
At what price range can Bitcoin's uptrend end!?
When can we expect the uptrend to end!?
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin appears to have managed to break the Resistance lines , although we saw a fake break a few months ago , and it also appears to have a Hammer Candlestick Pattern in the previous weekly candle , which could signal the completion of Bitcoin's pullback to the Resistance lines(broken).
In terms of time , if we want to analyze the Bitcoin chart and look at Bitcoin's past, in general, the months of June(Average=-0.13%/Median=+2.20%) and especially July(Average=+7.56%/Median=+8.90%) have been among the most productive months for Bitcoin , and the months of August(Average=+1.75%/Median=-8.04%) and September(Average=-3.77%/Median=-4.35%) were the months when Bitcoin had a correction . Technical analysis tools show the end of the upward trend and the beginning of Bitcoin's correction at the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing the main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was extended .
I expect Bitcoin to trend higher(+10%) in the coming weeks and create a new ATH . New ATH could be created in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and TRZ , and then we can wait for the start of the main correction .
What do you think about Bitcoin’s future movement? Can Bitcoin create a new ATH? When and at what price?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,000, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.