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Btcbearish

Bitcoin (BTC) Market Analysis1. Previous Analysis Validation Our previous week's analysis played out perfectly, aligning well with the market movement. 2. Current Market Sentiment The market remains bearish overall. However, we are seeing a short-term price pump, likely due to late short positions entering the market. This is resulting in a price move to trigger short liquidations. The recent 4H swing highs are acting as key stop-loss zones. 3. Imbalance & Rebalancing The price is moving upward toward a daily imbalance area (highlighted in orange). We expect the market to rebalance in this zone, potentially leading to a price rejection and continuation of the downward trend. 4. Liquidity Zone Our primary liquidity zone lies between \$100K and \$98K. We anticipate this area to be a key region for price reaction.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by wolfchemist
Is the BTC Bull Tired ? A Healthy Pullback May Be on the Horizon🚨 Market Watch Update 🚨 Hey fam while the macro trend is still bullish overall, I'm noticing signs that this current uptrend might be running out of steam. There’s a good chance we’re nearing a breakdown from the rising channel, which could open the door for a healthy correction down toward that ~$90K area. Last week’s breakout really shook things up a ton of short positions got liquidated, which helped push the price higher in the short term. Classic squeeze move. 👀 But here’s what I’m watching next 🔻 In the near term, I’m leaning slightly bearish. I wouldn’t be surprised if price pulls back into the $102K–$99K zone sometime this week. That range could offer a decent reset before the next major move. 🧠 Remember, when green candles start popping, retail FOMO tends to kick in hard — folks jump in late, thinking the rally will never end. That’s exactly where market makers step in, taking profits and reloading at better levels. Don’t be the exit liquidity. Stay patient. Stay sharp. And as always I’ll keep you posted with a deeper dive soon. 🎯
Short
by momentumwls
Bitcoin hit that 236 Fib circle I warned you about- and now ?As we come to the end of the week, we see the potential for further drop as PA slides along that 236 Fib circle. ( Red) It NEVER ceases to amaze me how PA reacts to Fib circles and yet, as if by magic, there is some Macro News at exactly the same time On this occasion, It seems the US inflation figures on Friday caused this Drop in price. This Chart is the daily verion of the Weekly chart i often post about weekly candle closes. I trust this chart The chance for a drop to arounf 75K is very real and if that fails, down to the 2 Fib extension arounf 68K, though I think that is unlikely We do need to watch on which side of thois Fib circle PA sits tomorrow. - Idealy, it breaks through tonight and next week candle sits on the "Support" side on the circle. If it remains as resistance, A Steep drop is highly likely. In my opinion. Daily MACD is turned down, heading towards it ssignal line. If that crosses, the Daily becomes very BEARISH We have to wait and see what happens and be ready to react. I do have SPOT buy orders around 78 K If we Drop Lower, I will dig up some funds and buy more lol WE WAIT FOR WEEKKY CLOSE
by Orriginal
Bitcoin BEARISH chart - Some reasons to remain AlertAs I have said many times, I always look to Both sides. Bullish and Bearish. This way, I manage to always know what I am going to do should a Market Direction change. I got caught out once before..NEVER AGAIN So, While so many, including Me, look towards Further gains in 2025, there are some indications that A TOP has already been reached. There is NO guarantee that another will come in. The First Clue to a change towards BEARISH is in the main chart. PA got rejected off the very same Trend line that rejected PA in 2017 and 2021, on all occasions, pushing PA into a Bearish Drop. That alone should make you Think hard. Next, we have the NUPL chart ( NET UNREALISED~ED PROFIT LOSS ) The Arrow points towards the line, that once crossed has shown us that the high possible Profits available begin to Tempt traders to lock in profit..to SELL. Once above this line, the next line has NEVER been crossed. ALL profit taking occurs in this Zone. You Will also notice how in 2021, when we had 2 tops, the NUPL reached High, Twice and then fell as traders Took the profits. We have just had 2 tops and have just dropped out of the profit taking Range. We may return, we may not. We have to wait but all the while, understanding the more profit taken now, people who buy at current price ranges will have to wait Longer to claim this same level of profit, assuming that the price Rises from here....Or they are in Loss... The SOPR ( Spent Outpuit Profit Ratio ) , shows us that these profits have been taken The thing to see here is the level of Selling, or taking of profit. The SOPR line is down near Neutral, This shows the Selling has Stopped. if we look back at the previous chart, we see that the level of profit is dropping. Less reason to sell....and while PA Drops as it is, there is even more possible LOSS incurred. The people who bought the Top are now getting worried. Also notice the "labels" Top ( Bearish signals) and Bottom ( Bullish signals) We had a Bearish warning around 6 weeks before current Top. The Bullish signal on the bottom line Stopped about 4 weeks ago and you will notice how the "line" has dropped below the neutral line, indicating people accepting Losses, just to get out.... Again, this does not mean we will continue Lower but it is a Loud Warning Bell Fot the Level pf profit to return, we need one of Two things, or Both, to happen 1) Price to Drop so we can Buy Low and wait for PA to rise again and so make profit 2) Buy now. ( Buy the Dip ) and Wait and Hope the Market goes to the prices some people say will happen ( Some are Stupid for this cycle BTW ) The MVRV chart helps us see where that Market is heading. MVRV = Market Value to Realized Value. It is an indicator used to assess whether Bitcoin is overvalued or undervalued I am not going to get to techie here but that yellow line is called Z Score and we are in ATH territory when it is above the green MVRV, as can be seen in the chart We are currently Dropping FAST and Z Score is very slightly BELOW the MVRV line. This happened in Summer 2024 and we recovered as you can see. This Means Bitcoin is becoming Less Overvalued but a Long way from Undervalued What I see here more than anything is how the recent High was up on that line where the 2021 ATH was rejected from. It was the same level of Value that made people say, "OK, This is great, I am out" and Sell. Again, understand, the higher the BTC price goes, the heavier it is to move. We may not manage to get a Bitcoin Way up where that 1st 2021 ATH was. Hugely over Valued. THIS is what I am watching more than anything So, are we in a Bear Market ? NO - But it would be easy to fall into a Mini Bear here, or longer one, if the market does not recover by mid June Latest Why ? Because, as ever, for me, The weekly MACD is the -- THE thing to watch If that MACD drops below neutral when it arrives at Neutral, That is a Big red Flag.... But , in an ideal world, we should be able to understand the possibility of that happening BEFORE it does. The charts above help with that - How mush profit is available, is it being Taken, what potential for more March as a monthly candle, is very likely to close RED, as mentioned in other posts, It is APRIL that will really decide where we go next. It needs to be GREEN, even if only marginally. My decision point is if the MVRV continues to Fall past that 236 fib line.....and stays below Then the MACD and SOPR If Capitulation begins - I BUY MORE - at the Bottom ( possibly around 65K - But I do not expect hat this year...... Bear Markets are not all bad.................... Have AI sold any Bitcoin Yet ? NO - thankfully, I still hold enough profit on my earlier buys to cover the smaller losses I may make while I begin to buy again now, which I am doing, in small quanties...Just incase we move higher soon..Because, as I said before, I look to both sides....and I am more Bullish than Bearish right now.....But open to change. I hope you all understand this logic
by Orriginal
Full analysis of Dominance Tether ( USDT.D )We are at the most important time bullran of Bitcoin and crypto market. We have now reached the bottom of the descending channel and the most important Tether trend line (we were with this trend line from December 2017 to November 2021). If the bottom of the channel breaks and reaches the trend, Dominance Tether will fall by 11% and a strong fomo will form, the price of Bitcoin will reach 70~89 thousand dollars, then we will see a sharp correction of the market after the halving. (unmodified bullran is very dangerous and fragile). But if the bottom of the channel is not broken, dominance will reach the range of 5.5%, as a result, the whole market will undergo a severe correction and the upward trend of the market will remain for the next halving. Market correction can be done with strange and unexpected news. The most important market days are March 11 and May 11 (white dotted line). Be very careful in transactions, especially setting stop loss, in these 2 months whales and exchanges will be more active to get liquidity and stop hunters.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by Sadegh_Sh
6
I LATE PUBLISHED THIS, BTC wyckoff schematic #1:Brace yourselves! The chart is a crystal clear warning siren for an impending crash in the Bitcoin market. What we're seeing here is the textbook setup of a Wyckoff distribution phase, a manipulative masterpiece played out by the smart money to trap unsuspecting retail investors before the rug is pulled. Phase A was just the smart money dipping their toes, testing the waters for liquidity. Phase B, the buildup, was where they revved up the engines, creating a façade of a bullish frenzy, drawing in the crowd with the hype. But then, boom! Phase C hit with the Outthrust After Distribution (UTAD), the classic fake-out move. It's the smart money whispering, 'This is as high as we go, folks,' before they start offloading their bags onto the latecomers. Now, as we edge into Phase D, the Sign of Weakness (SOW) has revealed itself. This isn't just a dip to buy; it's a cliff edge. The Last Point of Supply (LPSY) attempts are feeble, and the demand is drying up faster than a puddle in the Sahara. And what's next? Phase E. The markdown. The avalanche. This isn't just going to be a correction; it's shaping up to be a freefall. The volume profile is whispering secrets of a sell-off that's ready to stampede. Those support lines? They'll snap like twigs under a boot. We're not just talking about testing lows; we're talking about rewriting the bottom line. This is the moment where fortunes are lost, where the latecomers holding the line get burned. The chart is screaming caution. It's not a matter of if, but when. The crash is looming, and it's going to be cataclysmic. Don't be the one left holding the bag when the smart money has cashed out and left the building. This is your warning! | TO BE FORMAL AND PROFESSIONAL. Here's a breakdown of the typical phases and events in the Wyckoff Schematic #1, as they might relate to your chart: Phase A: This phase marks the stopping of the prior uptrend. Key elements include: Preliminary Supply (PSY): Where large interests begin selling the coin and volume increases. Buying Climax (BC): Where demand is fully satiated, and there is heavy buying from the public, leading to a sharp rally and subsequent sell-off. Automatic Reaction (AR): The immediate sell-off after the buying climax, setting a range for the trading range (TR). Phase B: This phase is characterized by building a cause for the new downtrend. Secondary Test (ST): Where the market tests the supply and demand balance at the upper and lower bounds of the TR established in Phase A. Upthrust (UT): A test above the TR that fails and falls back into the range, showing that demand is not strong enough to break through the supply. Phase C: This phase indicates the readiness to leave the TR and begin a new downtrend. Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD): A sign of weakness, where price goes above the TR again but attracts heavy selling from the smart money, confirming they are distributing their holdings. Phase D: The price begins to move downward as the distribution phase is ending. Sign of Weakness (SOW): Price action that moves below the support level of the trading range, suggesting that supply is overwhelming demand. Last Point of Supply (LPSY): The final attempt to move up into the TR, which fails due to lack of demand. Phase E: This is the markdown phase where the price declines. The chart depicts a series of lower highs and lower lows, consistent with a bearish trend. The annotations on your chart suggest that the analyst is anticipating a bearish market based on the Wyckoff distribution phases. They have marked out specific events and are forecasting a continued downtrend into the future phases (D and E). It's important to note that while Wyckoff's methodology is respected among some traders, it's not infallible and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques. The chart also includes some narrative annotations about market events, like SEC announcements, which the analyst is using to support their interpretation of the price action within the framework of the Wyckoff Method. These external factors are used to give context to the price movements and potentially indicate the actions of institutional investors. I hope I was early to warn everyone but I did, just forgot to do it here in TradingView.
Short
by osodatsismoso
BTC → Bitcoin Sell-off at $45,800! Time to Short? Let's Answer.Bitcoin made it to the measured move target at $45,800 which was followed by a massive 11% sell-off in the course of an hour. This is the second major sell-off at these levels in under a month. Is this the opportune time to short? How do we trade this? 🤔 We have several data points in favor of a short. We've completed a Measured Move, three legs up in a bull trend, two massive sell-offs (8% and 11%) in under a month at the major resistance level of $46,000 and an RSI under its Moving Average. I also have my Bitcoin Lifetime Analysis which describes in far more detail, why we need a massive pullback before we see new all-time highs: We need to wait for a 4HR candle to close below its 200EMA or a Daily candle to close below its 30EMA. You could argue its reasonable to short now, but we lack confirmation, so the probability of profit is lower at this stage. I prefer more probability in my trades. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Short Entry: $42,600 🟥 Stop Loss: $46,900 ✅ Take Profit: $38,300 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:1 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Measured Move Complete! 2. Two Sell-offs near the $45,000 area 3. Three Legs Up in a Bull Channel 4. RSI at 52.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short. 5. Wait for Final Sell signal, Short 1:1 Risk/Reward. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 There is over a 60% chance of a measured move after the breakout of a major resistance, normally, a trading range. That means the distance from the trading range resistance, to the top of the breakout, will happen again above the top of the breakout. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by TraderEngineering
Bitcoin Falling to $35,000!? The Ascending Wedge Calls for Doom.Bitcoin has fallen out of the 4HR bull channel and failed to break above the Weekly Resistance 3 times. This is a decent short-term sell signal that if your trade is managed properly, the probability of profit is on your side. How do we trade this? Bitcoins macro trend is bullish, so we must exercise caution when considering a short. While the trend is a major data point, we must also consider the rest of the picture in front of us. Bitcoin has failed three times to break Weekly Resistance, a reversal signal. We've fallen out of the 4HR bull channel, another signal to sell. There's a gap to minor support which has been tested twice and the RSI is below the Moving Average with room to fall; all data points in favor of a short. It is reasonable to have a short-term sell bias on this 4HR timeframe but proceed with caution. The first sign of a bull reversal bar closing on or near its high means it's time to exit the trade. Trade Idea: Short Entry: $37,630 Stop Loss: $38,270 Take Profit: $36,350 Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 Key Takeaways 1. Fell out of Bull Channel, Now in Ascending Wedge. 2. Currently re-testing bull channel support. 3. Gap down to Minor Support at $36,200. 4. RSI at 48.00 below Moving Average, Bias to Short. 5. Short to Minor Support. You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk! If you found this analysis helpful, click the Boost button and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by TraderEngineering
BTC EMERGENCY !!!After the postponement of Bitcoin tradable funds, we saw the market fall to the $34,800 area, which is currently correcting its previous wave. Apart from the fact that this news had a negative impact on the market and some people started giving bearish strategy ideas, but the mood of the majority of people is positive for the growth of Bitcoin. As I explained in one of the previous analysis, the reason for the fall of Bitcoin if it happens, I decided to do another bearish analysis, which I hope will fail like last time. If Bitcoin can recover the level of $38,000, there is a possibility of growth and failure of the analysis. But if Bitcoin loses the level of $36,000 and the weekly candle stabilizes below this price in 2 days and 7 hours, we will see the nature of the market change to a bearish one.
Short
by MyNameIsMilad
4
BTC Sensitive Now !!!As we see the return of bullish sentiment and hope for a return to the uptrend, at the same time we are faced with a critical situation that has emerged in the 4-hour timeframe of the chart, which provides documentation of the market falling again. If the upward trend of bitcoin cannot continue from the range of 30,000 to 32,000 dollars, there is a possibility of correcting and completing the distribution pattern and falling again to the range of 22,000 to 20,000 dollars.
Short
by MyNameIsMilad
What about Bitcoin, where is the price going?The rebound was a necessary measure of the market, as they came to an extreme level of overbought, this situation could be observed on intraday indices. A bearish divergence has formed, the downtrend continues. - The market will go down in steps. I expect a more interesting rebound from the level of 0.5, after which I expect a reversal to form from the level of 0.618. - On the weekly chart, the bearish divergence looks strong and promises a more serious fall in the asset. - Soon I will attach an analysis to this idea with my more in-depth picture of the Bitcoin market. I will show you from which zones I will take spot purchases.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GarateTradeCrypto
Potential short opportunity area for BTCWhile Bitcoin continues to hold its uptrend channel, I see a potential short opportunity in the near term. Currently, BTC is holding the middle of this channel, and I believe it's possible for it to retest the Fair Value Gap (FVG) at $32,677. Interestingly, this FVG level also coincides with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, adding further significance to this price point. In the past, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to reject from this value, which could indicate a potential reversal or pullback.
Short
by sahbil
BTCUSDT AnalysisWe saw big bullish of BTC. end of the week we have interesting moment of BTC, its 19th day BTC is in flat we had a lot of touches and lot of liquidations, at least we are in bear and its showing us Trend Line and 200 MA, our trend is below of this 2 thing and its continue moving, what I need to see here is brake support or resistance for make sure which way will chose market to go, but in my opinion BTC bearish because USDT Dominance is going up, on USDT Dominance 1D chart we saw double bottom and broken trendline, ( I have analysis of USDT Dominance you can see that in my ideas) I am going to short BTC for 3 reason, First - last month we have bearish scene, Second - we saw aggressive touch of Bearish Trendline and Resistance zone, Third - USDT Dominance bullish scene.
Short
by elmakacho