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Btccycle

BTC By 2017 Standard; True Bull Market is in the Next 90 Days- Instead of using the halving date as an indicator for the start of the cycle. I took the first time BTC starting breaking its previous all-time high. - By this measure, we were at a similar point in 2017 to where we are now . Boring consolidation after a massive collapse of around 40%. - In 2017, after the 200th day the price of BTC rose by almost 1600% in only 95 days -Adjusting the movements proportionally to what happened in 2017, we should be looking at a ~230,000$ BTC in the next three months.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by falamah
BTC/M1 Money stock still under ATHHave you freaked out already? BTC got rejected by 2019 small bull run high. Fractal of the 2017 bull market would also be rejected by the trend line we just bounced off of. To get the ATH of BTC/M1 BTCUSD would have to go to around 100k. We could have already bottomed, or soon will. Manage your risk. Take profits when everyone is greedy, to be able to re-fuel in times like that. "Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful" - W.B. Fear & Greed Index lowest since March 2020 Thanks for the idea to GeorgeN678/nightwing678 Not financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by papaya_musical_analysis
An Analysis of Macro-Scale Bitcoin CyclesTo date, Bitcoin has followed a repeating cyclic pattern that appears to be directly driven by the mining rate Halvenings. It is useful to take a hard look at what previous cycles were like, in order to capitalize on the bull market happening today. An enormous amount of profit stands to be made by the investor who succeeds in selling a significant share of his or her portfolio as close to the theoretical top of the bull market as possible, followed by a buyback as close to the theoretical bottom of the inevitable bear market as possible. This equity could then be traded at safe prices in the accumulation phase to stack even more profits in preparation for the following bubble. There are several indicators to help gauge how healthy the bull cycle is, such as how much coins are being offloaded from exchanges, the relative unrealized profit/loss, and my favorite, the stock-to-flow model. This chart is an analysis of purely the naked price action on a logarithmic scale, and what characteristics can be seen from it. The important takeaways: None of the previous bull cycles have lasted more than 300 days The percentage increase of each bull market from the previous ATH is decreasing in magnitude each time around. If the bull market follows the same pattern as 2017, then we would expect to top out no more than half the percentage of the 2017 bubble's size. This is due to the ever increasing enormity of Bitcoin's market cap, making it more difficult for prices to rise quickly. One way to mitigate the reduction in percentage gains is to have a portion of your portfolio in top ten altcoins as they will accrete much faster due to the smaller market caps. This obviously has the trade off of increased risk but could be a helpful move for new cryptocurrency investors with low starting capital. Bitcoin bull cycles tend to rise much faster near the end of the cycle. This makes sense if you think about it. The faster the price rises, the more incentive there is for holders to sell more than they are buying. Once a certain threshold is arrived at, the top is put in. A time based selling strategy appears to be a more effective approach than a price based selling strategy. It should absolutely be possible to catch a decent portion of the stratospheric 'finale' of a bitcoin bull cycle by gradually selling away your portfolio as the bull cycle ages. I personally will not start selling until the bubble is at least 240 days old. We are very likely not even half of the way through the current bull cycle. There is absolutely no reason for the pattern to change to shorter bull markets. In fact, the contrarians to this view of Bitcoin's macro picture overwhelmingly support the idea of longer bull markets -- a so called 'super-cycle'. This idea has some merit, making it important to not sell all of your holdings away in the coming months. I have seen no such talk of the opposite happening. Selling heavily now, at 126 days in, will probably cost a fortune in the long run. Thank you for reading, I hope this write-up proves of some use to you.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by mises_satoshi
BTC (Y19.P6.Video.B) Cont.MacroOverviewHi Yesterday i posted the 1st of many planned video's to come. The first video covered BTC at a high level, which encompassed the life cycle of Bitcoin and the many phases that make it up, which is based on my perception and what I see from the historical data. This video is to continue off from where I left yesterday to cover some other components I have observed with the bitcoin cycle. To recap from the previous video, I pointed out the following > The life cycle x2 and how we are moving to the 3rd life cycle and why I think we are about to complete phase 1. Now I talk about other components that I didn't cover or just slightly touched on These are: >Symmetrical triangle >Fib.pitchfork which gives us a channel overview and to understand how we change trends. >RSI >Common baseline \ trend line for support >Price pullback in the phases I didn't get to cover or demonstrate the usefullness of Fib.Circles and its relevance to today. Especially around the pivotal point of 0.618, =7400 price range and its significance. That will be the video after this. Please gives a thumbs up if you agree or like it. Regards, S.Sari /CyptoProspa The Charts to go with this are here"
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ssari
BTC (Y19.P6.Video.A.1st.of.a.series.of.videos) Macro.OverviewHi, Yesterday, I attempted to present a overall assessment of BTC in the single video, which turned out to be bad for a number of reasons, most of all, the voice recording, it was terrible. So I decided to break this presentation into a series of posts, each covering BTC from a specific point of view and level in terms of TA. This video post covers BTC from a very high level, from 2012 to the present day and future, end of 2021. I have kept this video at a high level so I can get a few key points out. The next video will focus on Year 2019 and were we are at. I have also added links here for recent BTC TA, if your interested and these do fit into the next video in terms of reason and the argument as to why we are moving away from a down trend and back to another bull run (Phase 2. watch this video to understand). So please have a listen and I will happy to respond to any questions or points that you want me to cover in the next video. PS> I played back this video prior to posting it and it sounded good. I switched the microphone with a quality one and deactivated the mic component on the bluetooth speaker so it just acts a speaker (BOSE speaker + also acts like a microphone). Fingers crossed, it uploads with no quality loss. The next video post, I will demonstrate the usefullness of Fib.Circles and its relevance to today. Especially around the pivotal point of 0.618, =7400 price range and its significance. Please gives a thumbs up if you agree or like it. Regards, S.Sari /CyptoProspa
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ssari
BTC decisive move 23/25th AprilBTC will make a decisive move around April 23/25th. It will either go up and break out at the end of this triangle or go down to form a new bottom in the 4000 area. I believe BTC is already in an uptrend channel and consolidating right now to built an important resistance level and than confirm upside direction around 25/26th April. I don't anticipate a mega breakout but it will close its downtrend cycle and start a new uptrend cycle. It will take time to rebuilt its value back where it was once, the longer it takes the more stable BTC we will have in the future.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by anakinski