TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #132👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
📅 1-Hour timeframe
On the 1-Hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin is still holding the key support at 116829 and has been ranging between 116829 and 118440 since yesterday.
✨ Today, if the 118440 level breaks, we can open a solid long position. However, I still believe that due to Bitcoin Dominance being in a downtrend, altcoins are a much better choice for opening positions.
✔️ If you're only planning to trade Bitcoin, this trigger is suitable. The next entry points would be 120594 and 122733. If we open positions at all three triggers and the market moves upward, we can get strong risk-to-reward setups since we’ve entered with significant volume across three positions.
📊 If the 116829 level breaks downward, we might see sharper corrections. In that case, the next supports will be the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin Dominance, as you can see, the trend is heavily bearish and moving downward.
⭐ The downtrend in dominance is quite steep, and the next support we have is at 60.49. There’s still room for dominance to drop to this level.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving to Total2, yesterday the 1.46 trigger was activated and price moved to 1.5, and it is now sitting just below that level.
💫 If this level breaks, another bullish wave towards 1.62 could form.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether Dominance, this index is also in a downtrend similar to Bitcoin Dominance, which shows that money is exiting both Bitcoin and Tether and entering altcoins.
🎲 So keep a close eye on altcoins in the coming days, because a lot of capital is flowing into them and they could see significant pumps.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Btcdominance
Link/BTC When will we see the pump Chainlink has always been one of my favorite cryptos—and pairing it with BTC just makes sense. I have strong faith in this project, and I believe the days when trendline resistance and support hold Chainlink back are numbered. This beast looks ready to break free.
We’re possibly just weeks, maybe even days, away from a breakout of this 4-year falling wedge. Once that happens, I see LINK/BTC teleporting upward—especially as quantitative tightening ends and Jerome Powell stops being a hater. The stars are aligning for Chainlink to soar. With everything going on behind the scenes between swift and Mastercard and the many more I can list I see this being the underdog.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #131👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll review the futures session triggers for New York.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
Over the past few days, the market hasn't been very focused on Bitcoin, and altcoins have been moving more strongly to the upside.
⚡️ Bitcoin is still ranging between 116829 and 122733 and is fluctuating between these two levels.
💥 Currently, a local top has formed at 120594, and if that level breaks, we can open a long position. The main long trigger will be the breakout of 122733.
📈 If the market decides to correct, key support levels are 118071 and 116829. I’m setting the stop-loss for my previously opened positions below the 116000 zone.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s look at Bitcoin Dominance. The reason I’m saying Bitcoin isn't currently the center of attention is exactly this dominance chart.
🔔 As you can see, BTC Dominance is in a very sharp downtrend with strong momentum, which means capital is flowing out of Bitcoin and into altcoins—giving us better long setups on alts.
✨ For now, I see the trend as bearish, and the next supports are at 61.34 and 60.49.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 is still moving upward and has broken above 1.46, continuing its upward momentum.
✔️ The new top is at 1.5, and a breakout above this level can be used as a trigger for long entries.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Let’s move to Tether Dominance. The 4.22 support was broken yesterday, and the index is now moving downward.
💫 The next support level is 4.08, and breaking that will confirm continuation of the downtrend.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Altcoin Market Structure Outlook | ETH/BTC Rotation AnalysisThis chart outlines a cyclical framework I'm using to anticipate a potential bottom in altcoins heading into Q4. Currently, ETH is outperforming BTC, and altcoins are following its momentum - though many continue to make lower lows relative to ETH.D but as long as eth rallies I see Alts keeping up.
Historically, we've seen altcoin capitulation phases follow a two-stage structure: an initial local bottom in June/July, followed by a final sweep or structural low into October (Q4), as observed in both 2023 and 2024. Given this repeating seasonal pattern, I expect ETH to potentially retrace against BTC in Q4 making a higher low, which could set the stage for altcoins to make a lower low and retest their key range lows — particularly near the 0.25 ETH/BTC level.
Should ETH maintain a higher low and resume trend afterward, it would likely mark a rotation point where capital begins flowing into higher-beta altcoins. Coupled with potential macro tailwinds like rate cuts or dovish policy pivots, this scenario could trigger a strong altcoin rally from Q4 into Q1.
This chart aims to visualize that rotational capital flow and position sizing opportunity across the cycle.
Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D analysisCurrently, the maximum of BTC.D was 65.38% and the absolute maximum is very close, and then the capital will start flowing into altcoins.
We will have to keep a close eye on where the capital will go: only to highly liquid altcoins, or to a certain industry, or to a narrative, as it was before: “defi”, “memecoin”, and so on...
Do you have any ideas where the capital can go? Write in the comments!
❗️ Also, it is worth noting that such a popular term as "alt-season" lasts less and less, and you have to wait longer and longer for it!
It seems that this time the "alt-season" has every chance to last until the end of 2025, and then... it will be seen. Perhaps the market will gain capital and new powerful players who will set a new vector and new rules by 2028....
But first... we have to live to see it!)
_____________________
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TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #130👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll go over the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, Bitcoin was supported at the 116829 zone yesterday and is now moving upward.
📈 The long position trigger at 118494 has been activated, and the price is currently pulling back to this level.
💥 The 0.236 Fibonacci level is right above the price, and if it breaks, the price can continue moving upward.
⚡️ The current local top is 122733, which can be the first target for the long position. Breaking this level would also be our main trigger for a long entry.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance is still falling and has now confirmed below the 63.96 zone.
🔍 Currently, the trend is fully bearish, and breaking 63.50 will confirm continuation of the downtrend.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 is rising alongside the drop in Bitcoin dominance and has confirmed above 1.33.
🎲 The next resistance is at 1.41, and the current uptrend can continue toward that level.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Tether dominance has confirmed below 4.36 and is continuing its downward move.
✔️ The next support is at 4.22, and breaking this level would initiate the next major bearish leg.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Altcoin Season Has Officially Begun!We're now seeing top altcoins like ETH, BONK, and ONDO outpacing Bitcoin with impressive gains.
Ethereum (ETH) has just broken above $3,100
BONK is surging back toward its winter highs
Portfolios are growing daily — even without active trading
The momentum is building fast, and the next few weeks could be highly rewarding for altcoin holders. Buckle up — Altcoin Season is here.
Bitcoin Dominance Long-Term · 1,000 Days Long Uptrend BreaksBitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D) has been on an uptrend since September 2022, an uptrend more than 1,000 days long.
This uptrend produced a rising wedge pattern and this pattern is as bearish as it gets. During the entire time, from September 2022 until June 2025, BTC.D never ever produced more than 3 consecutive weeks red. Now, in July 2025, we are witnessing the fourth consecutive red week, a major bearish signal. The start of a new downtrend.
The last time BTC.D went bearish was December 2020. The index, as Bitcoin grew to new all-time highs, produced a drop from a high of 74% to a low of 39%. Reflecting strong demand for the altcoins and a very strong rising altcoins market. We are about to witness something similar, better or the same.
As Bitcoin Dominance moves down, the entire altcoins market will move up. Bitcoin will grow together with the altcoins. Everything—Crypto—will grow.
Namaste.
Bullish Altcoins · BTC.D Highest Bearish Volume Since Feb 2021The altcoins market is about to have its strongest and biggest bullish cycle since 2021, or possible ever. We are entering the strongest altcoins season in the history of the Cryptocurrency market.
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
Bitcoin will continue growing, that's old news but let's start by getting this out of the way.
The altcoins are already waking up from major lows and all-time lows and what follows is something hard to comprehend. The hottest bull market ever for the altcoins. Bitcoin is already far ahead.
On the 14th of July BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance Index) produced the highest volume bar in more than three years, since February 2021. This happened after a double-top and only after a drop was already confirmed. In this way this signal carries extra-strength. The 14th of July session ended up closing red.
We all know that Bitcoin Dominance Index goes down only when the altcoins move up. The fact that we have the highest volume in years on a daily basis signals the start of the altcoins market major bull-run. Sustained growth for months and months and months.
Get ready and be prepared. The confirmation is already in place.
The altcoins market is heating up. Crypto is going up.
The wait is over.
Namaste.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #129👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s take a look at the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-hour timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin faced a sharp drop after being rejected from the 122733 top and fell down to the 116829 level.
⚡️ Currently, the price has reached an important support area that I’ve marked for you, and at the same time, the RSI has entered the Oversold zone.
✅ Considering the main trend of the market is bullish, this RSI entry into Oversold could be a very good entry point for a long position, as it may indicate the end of the correction.
✨ If the price holds above the 116829 zone, we can enter a long position, and it’s worth opening a position at this level. Further entries can be taken with breakouts of 118494 and 122733.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s go to Bitcoin dominance. It has continued its downward movement and after breaking 64.44, it’s now moving down toward 64.18.
📊 If this level breaks, we’ll get confirmation of the continuation toward 63.96. In that case, long positions on altcoins would be very suitable.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 is also undergoing a correction like Bitcoin and has settled below the 1.3 level.
⭐ If the correction continues, the next level to watch is 1.26. For long positions, you can enter after breakouts of 1.3 and 1.33.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether Dominance. After bouncing from the 4.22 bottom, it has returned to the box between 4.36 and 4.44.
🔑 If 4.36 breaks, the next bearish leg could start. On the other hand, if 4.44 breaks, we’ll get the first signal of a trend reversal.
Bitcoin Dominance Found The Top; ALTcoin Dominance Stepping InHello Crypto traders! BTC.Dominance is falling in an impulsive fashion after we spotted the top within the wedge pattern. Now that is trading in wave (v) of a five-wave impulse from the highs, it just confirms a bearish reversal, which indicates that ALTcoin dominance is stepping in. And with still bullish Crypto market, we might be in the ALTseason.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #128👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s get into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indexes. As usual, I’ll be reviewing the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour timeframe
In the 1-Hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin broke the 118494 top yesterday and is now moving upward.
✔️ According to the Fibonacci Extension zones, the price has moved up to the 0.5 Fibonacci level and has been rejected from there, printing a few red candles for now.
📊 The buying volume in this bullish leg was very high, and as you can see, volume was in convergence with the trend. Now that the corrective phase has started, the volume is also decreasing, and still remains in convergence with the uptrend.
🔔 From a momentum perspective, we’ve reached a market top because RSI has reached the ceiling it previously formed at the 85.90 level, reacted to it, and has now dropped back below the 70 zone.
💥 If the 85.90 zone on RSI is broken, we’ll likely see a very sharp and explosive bullish leg from Bitcoin. In that case, the next targets would be the 0.786 and 1 Fibonacci levels.
🔑 For opening a position now, we can enter on the break of 122512, and we could also use the price’s pullback to the SMA25 as an entry. For now, our triggers aren’t highly reliable, so positions should be based more on market momentum.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move to Bitcoin Dominance. The dominance range box between the 64.44 and 64.82 is still ongoing, and dominance hasn’t broken out of this box yet.
⚡️ If the box breaks downward, a large amount of capital will flow into altcoins, and we could see major pumps in altcoins.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2. Yesterday, the 1.3 top was broken and the price moved up toward 1.33 and has now reached that area.
I✨ f that resistance breaks, the next target will be 1.41. If a correction happens, 1.3 and 1.26 are the lower support zones.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether Dominance. A new bearish wave started yesterday and has continued down to 4.22.
🎲 If this zone breaks, the bearish leg can continue down to 4.08.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Dominance & Altcoins- This graph is purely based on fibonacci law.
- 61.8% is the core of the system ( check rectangles in graph to get it )
- Most of long term traders not even look at the price.
- they just wait the good time to buy using Fibo.
- in 2016 BTC was almost 100%. Altcoins were inexistant. (less than 2% of the market with ETH)
- in 2021 BTC Dominance pushed to 75% (altseason followed the push)
- in 2024 we could see BTC dominance knocks 60% ish ( Altseason will follow )
- BTC is maturing.
- Cryptos are growing.
- Don't look too much at your altcoin wallets.
- Most of the time the story repeats itself.
- Respect the cycle, be patient and eat noodles!
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC.D – Distribution Confirmed. Is the Final Altseason Next?Over the past couple of months, I’ve been tracking the development of a potential high time frame (HTF) Wyckoff distribution range forming on BTC Dominance (BTC.D), and it’s now looking like that structure is starting to break down.
Back on June 14th, I noted that while we hadn’t confirmed a trend shift yet, BTC.D was showing strength and likely to push into the 65% region, with altcoin weakness to follow. The very next day, I shared my idea of a potential Wyckoff distribution forming — and since then, it’s followed that path almost perfectly.
🧠 What’s Happened Since?
✅ Sweep of the HTF range high at ~65%
✅ Second deviation of the highs
✅ Volume divergence into supply — declining volume + strong rejection candles
✅ Formation of a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution)
✅ 1D bearish market structure break after the sweep
✅ Price now back inside the range
This is textbook distribution behaviour — even if it doesn’t follow the Wyckoff schematic to the letter, the key elements are present: deviation, volume drop-off, and structural breakdown.
🔮 What Comes Next?
BTC.D is currently holding inside a prior unmitigated daily demand, but given the structural shift, I’m expecting:
A pullback to 65–65.5% (daily supply + range high retest)
Then a continuation bearish, targeting:
🔸 49% (prior accumulation range high)
🔻 46% (FVG fill + range breakout retest)
These lower targets align with where I expect altcoins to top out — so as BTC.D breaks down, I expect capital to rotate hard into ETH and alts, triggering the final phase of altseason before the macro cycle top.
⚠️ Why This Matters
This distribution range has been developing since late 2024, and with BTC.D now showing bearish market structure, combined with:
- ETH.D flipping bullish
- OTHERS.D pushing higher
- Stablecoin dominance pairs breaking down
…we’re seeing confluence across the board for a risk-on altcoin environment.
I believe this is the setup that leads to the final euphoric altcoin rotation before the 4-year cycle top prints later this year.
📌 Watch for the retest. Watch for the rejection. The breakdown will be fast.
This is the window — time to stay sharp.
Let me know in the comments if you’ve been tracking this too, or drop your altcoin rotation picks.
— Marshy 🔥
1D:
3D:
1W:
1M:
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #127👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and the key crypto indexes. In this analysis, as usual, I want to review the New York session futures triggers for you.
⏳ 1-Hour timeframe
In the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin, after the correction down to the 116829 level, is now breaking the 118494 top again.
🔔 This move can potentially start Bitcoin’s next bullish leg. In that case, I think this leg will be a strong one because the correction was very shallow and didn’t even reach the 0.236 Fibonacci level, so the price may perform another sharp move.
💥 On the other hand, the RSI oscillator is entering Overbuy, which increases the probability of a bullish scenario and a sharp next leg.
📈 If the 118494 level is broken, we can open a long position. We already have suitable confirmations for this position since volume and RSI are aligned with price, and also the SMA25 is supporting the price and pushing it upward.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Let’s move on to Bitcoin Dominance. The dominance trend is still bearish and continuing downward.
⭐ Currently, it’s sitting on a key support at 64.44, and breaking this level can continue the bearish move in dominance.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s go over Total2. Yesterday, after correcting to the 1.26 level, it seems the next bullish move has started and it’s heading toward 1.3.
🎲 The main resistance I see for Total2 is still 1.33, and I believe this will be the main ceiling that Total2 will struggle with.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Moving on to Tether dominance. This index is still dropping and is now sitting at the 4.36 support.
✨ Breaking this level will start the next bearish leg, and the price can move toward 4.22. If a correction occurs, the first level will be 4.49.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Rising Wedge on Bitcoin Dominance - [BROKEN DOWNWARDS] The MASSIVE Rising Wedge on Bitcoin Dominance was broken downwards during the past week, most likely the 1W candle will also close below the support of the wedge.
What does it mean? The dominance will dump from 64% to at least 59%. This move can already provide us with the huge Altcoin Season! After this there more likely be a small correction towards 60%, and then we can freely dump further towards 54% zone.
I expect not only small cap, but major altcoins to be sent to new highs as well. Mark my words & be prepared for the last opportunity of this bull cycle!
BTC.D Slipping ! ALTSEASON Loading ? This is BTC.D on the daily chart.
It has shown a strong relationship with the 50MA (blue/cyan line), often using it as support. While there were a couple of daily closes below it in the past, they lasted only 1 or 2 candles.
Now we’ve seen 4 consecutive daily closes below the 50MA (including today), which increases the likelihood of a deeper move to search for support.
The next key support zone (green rectangle) is defined by the 200MA (red line) and the 62.25% level (black line) — both of which acted as support before.
If BTC.D drops into that zone, ETH and altcoins could experience a strong bounce.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
$BTC.D: Failed breakout above 66%. Was that it? Time and again we investigate the CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance chart. In my opinion it is the most important chart in the Crypto markets. I have supported the idea that we will see CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D touch 66% in this market cycle. In my first blog on this topic on April 14th I published the idea here in Trading view.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 66%, CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 / BTC down to 0.43 for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
Since April time and again we looked at this chart and since I first preached the idea of CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 66.2% from 63% in April we had some hiccups in the way where the Altcoins tried to claim leadership. On May 20th I indicated that the short-term blip is not consequential.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D : Have we seen the top or a local top in the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ? for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
We reaffirmed our view on June 22nd, and we confirmed our commitment to CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 66%.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC weathering the storm: CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D close to 66%. CRYPTOCAP:BTC to 160K. for BITSTAMP:BTCUSD by RabishankarBiswal — TradingView
We briefly touched 66% and failed to breakout on June 27th. Now we have hit an air pocket. In my opinion this should also pass. Confirming my view of CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D to 66.2% and 160K $BTC.
Verdict: CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D will cross 66.2% before all set and done. Price performance of Altcoin can be good going from here.
Verdict: CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D will cross 66.2% before all set and done. Price performance of Altcoin can be good going from here.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #126👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the potential triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see on the 1-Hour chart, Bitcoin started a bullish move after breaking the 111747 resistance, which continued up to 118494.
✨ Currently, the price is consolidating after reaching that resistance and has formed a range box between 116829 and 118494, fluctuating within this zone.
💥 The RSI oscillator has exited the Overbuy zone and is now near the 50 level. If it drops below 50, there is a possibility of a deeper correction.
⚡️ Confirmation of a deeper correction would come with a close below the 116829 level. The next support areas will be Fibonacci levels, which I have marked on the chart.
✔️ Since the SMA25 has reached the candles and there is no significant momentum yet, we’ll need to wait for the SMA99 to approach the price to see if momentum enters the market.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Looking at Bitcoin Dominance, yesterday it reached the 64.18 support level and managed to bounce back, closing above 64.44.
🔔 Currently, it’s consolidating above 64.81, and if this holds, the trend could turn bullish for now.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2’s main resistance is at 1.33, but the price was rejected at 1.3 and is now correcting toward 1.26.
🔍 If the correction continues, the 0.382 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels would be reasonable areas to watch. If the upward move resumes, the next target will be 1.33.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Tether Dominance has had a steep drop from 4.72 and has now reached 4.36. If support holds at this level, we could see a correction back toward Fibonacci zones.
🎲 A break below 4.36 would confirm continuation of the downtrend.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #125👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
In this Bitcoin analysis, I want to switch to a higher timeframe and analyze the daily chart because a very significant resistance has been broken and it’s important to take a closer look.
📅 Daily Timeframe
On the daily chart, as you can see, a bullish trend started around the 80000 level and in the first leg moved up to 110183. After a prolonged correction, the price has now managed to break that previous high and begin a new bullish leg.
⚡️ As shown, volume was sharply decreasing during the correction phase, but in the past few candles, significant buying volume has entered the market, enabling the price to break above 110183.
💥 The RSI oscillator is entering the Overbuy zone in today’s candle, which could be a sign of continuation of this bullish move. The next RSI resistance is around 78.47.
🎲 Meanwhile, based on Fibonacci levels, 120140 and 134922 are key zones that could mark the end of this bullish leg. The price is currently very close to 120140, and we need to watch for the market's reaction to this level.
✅ If 120140 is broken, Bitcoin will likely head toward 134922. In that case, I believe this leg could be the final bullish leg of this bull run, since I’ve previously mentioned that my target range for Bitcoin in this cycle is between 130000 and 180000.
📊 The curved trendline I’ve drawn is very important in this leg. As long as the price remains above this trendline, the market momentum will stay bullish, and the likelihood of continued upward movement increases.
🔽 If this trendline is broken, we could see the first signal of a trend reversal. A close below 110183 would confirm that the breakout was fake, and a break below 100763 would open the door for a longer-term short position.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
CoinMarketCap chart and correlation with BTC
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(USDT.D 1D chart)
USDT dominance is showing a downward trend along the medium- to long-term downtrend line.
The decline in USDT dominance can be interpreted as an upward trend in the coin market.
Therefore, if it remains below 4.91 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to enter a bull market.
The coin market is expected to show a major bull market until 2025.
At this time, the USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 3.42 and then rise, causing the coin market to enter a bear market.
Therefore, a major bear market is expected in 2026.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
You might think that it would be good if it continued to rise in a bull market, but in reality, that is not the case.
The reason is that if the price continues to rise, you have to buy more money.
Therefore, it will show a pattern of falling when appropriate and rising again when appropriate.
As I mentioned earlier, 2025 is a major bull market, so it will eventually show a rising pattern.
So, when should we buy and when should we sell?
It would be nice if we could know this a little bit faster, but we can never know.
Currently, BTC is renewing its ATH, so it is even more difficult to predict the movement.
Therefore, we can only predict it through predictable chart analysis techniques.
Among them, the method I use is to predict and respond to the high point using the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and the DOM (DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM) indicator using the Heikin-Ashi chart.
The DOM indicator indicates the end of the high and low points, and the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are used to establish a basic trading strategy.
The sky blue (#00bcd4) arrow is generated, indicating that the DOM (60) indicator is likely to be generated soon.
In other words, it means that the end of the high point is becoming more likely.
When the DOM(60) indicator is created, there is a high possibility of resistance, so the price is likely to fall.
Therefore, you should think about a countermeasure for the decline.
However, as I mentioned earlier, since 2025 is expected to show a major uptrend, it is recommended to sell in installments at an appropriate level to preserve profits.
The reason is that we cannot know how far it will fall.
The start of a full-scale decline is likely to begin when it falls below the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, if it falls after the DOM(60) indicator is created, we should observe whether a new HA-High indicator is created.
If a new HA-High indicator is created, the key point is whether there is support in the vicinity.
If a new HA-High indicator is not created, it is likely to fall to the current HA-High indicator location of 73499.86.
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A trend line has been formed between highs, but a trend line between lows has not yet been formed.
Therefore, it is difficult to predict how far it will fall once the decline begins.
In the 2025 bull market, BTC is expected to rise to around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92).
Therefore, we should also consider countermeasures for this.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
When will the altcoin bull market start?
I think the timing is when BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline.
I think the rising BTC dominance means that the funds flowing into the coin market are concentrated toward BTC.
Therefore, we should consider that a market for trading BTC has been formed.
If BTC dominance fails to fall below the 55.01-62.47 range, BTC dominance is expected to rise to around 73.63-77.07.
At this time, it is highly likely that it will encounter strong resistance and begin to decline.
Since it has not fallen below the mid- to long-term trend line, it seems likely that it will continue to rise.
In order to eventually turn into a downtrend, BTC dominance must fall below 60.
If not, I think it will be difficult to expect an uptrend in altcoins.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to continue until July 11.
Therefore, the key issue is whether there is support near 111696.21.
If there is support at the 111696.21 point, it is expected to rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43).
If not, we need to check whether there is support near 108316.90.
As I mentioned in the previous idea, three conditions must be met to break through the 111696.21 point upward.
- The StochRSI indicator is showing an upward trend with K>D,
- The PVT-MACD oscillator is showing an upward trend (if possible, above the 0 point),
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is maintained above the High Line,
If the above conditions are met, I said that there is a high possibility of a stepwise upward trend from the 111696.21 point.
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The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 18 (July 17-19).
Therefore, we need to see if it can be maintained above 111696.21 until the next volatility period.
If it fails, we need to check if it is supported above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, near 108316.90.
If not, it is likely to fall to the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart or near 99705.62.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if the HA-High indicator rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise uptrend, and if the HA-Low indicator falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend.
The end of the stepwise uptrend is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend.
That is, we can see that the support around the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section will be important turning points for the future trend.
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On the USDT dominance chart, it seems likely that August 3rd will be the volatility period.
Looking at the BTC chart, it seems likely that August 2nd to 5th (August 1st to 6th) will be the pre-movement for the volatility period of August 1st to 6th.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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