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Btcpattern

On a year on Year basis Bitcoin is where it was in early 2017 I have been talking about Bitcoin following the 2013 - 2017 Fractal and this chart shows us, in a different way, how this is still Valid. The vertical lines on this chart are January of each year. You can see from the Arrow on the left and right, where we are in relation to 2017. Things to note When we first touched the dotted line on both occasions, it led to a GREEN RED GREEN candle, however, in 2024, we got there earlier than we should have maybe and so we have had to "Wait" to fall back into date sequence. Why ? If we look back at 2017, we remained below that dotted line till end of April - Statistically MAY is a great month for Big moves In my monthly candle analysis, I have also mentioned that using monthly candle close patterns, May is likely to be the better month for PA to rise higher We seem to be playing this out BUT we need to notice how PA is Below that Dotted line. PA is under pressure and yet in a great position though the trading volume is Low and consequentially, the candle sizes are not that impressive. We are half way through April . Things will change and Fast...... Hang on
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Bitcoin 50 SMA time snaps and Low to ATH since 2014 - UPDATEIn a similar vein to the chart posted earlier today about the patterns between the 50 and 100 SMA, this post is using the 50 SMA ( RED) and the time spent above and below PA. Alongside this, we have the day counts for PA LOW to PA ATH since 2014 After 2013 ATH and once the 50 SMA dropped below PA, it spent 399 days below PA After 2017 ATH and once the 50 SMA dropped below PA, it spent 329 days below PA After 2021 ATH and once the 50 SMA dropped below PA, it spent 420 days below PA - This is an impressive stat as it includes the Deep Bear that we experienced after the Luna, 3 Arrows & FTX crashes, includes the raising of interest rates and the utter presecution by Banks and SEX in the USa. The fact that the drop below PA was only extended by 35 days ( average) Max shows a strength in Bitcoin sentiment. It could NOT be broken In 2015, once the 50 SMA has risen above PA, it remained there for 938 days In 2019, once the 50 SMA has risen above PA, it remained there for 1001 days In 2023, once the 50 SMA has risen above PA, we have been above for 756 days of an expected average projection of 966 days This projects that PA will Drop Below the 50 SMA in about October 2015, After the ATH as previously. This points towards an ATH in Q4 - this has some confluence with the previous post though open to suggestion. Next is the simple PA LOW to ATH and Back to LOW day counts 2013 ATH to Cycle Low was 665 days then 847 days to Cycle ATH 2017 ATH to Cycle Low was 350 days then 1064 days to Cycle ATH 2021 ATH to Cycle Low was 378 days then, using the average of the two previous day Count from Low to ATH, gives us 952 days to Cycle ATH This puts an ATH in JUNE 2025 ! I do not think this is realistic in anyway however, Anything is possible currently. I do however think that June is about when PA could seriously begin to make Moves higher, with intent to reach a Cycle ATH. The reason being, the weekly MACD will have reached Neutral by then ( if not in mid May ) So while this chart offers some confluence to other ideas, it also offers another ATH date that is way earlier than any previous cycle ATH - While I feel this is unlikely to happen, we Must keep open minds.. the adoption of BTC by main stream now may well accelerate the PA cycle. We shall wait and find out. Be prepared for ALL occasions....including the arrival of an early Bear. - THAT will be in another post, at some point soon Stay safe
INDEX:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
2
Where to from here on BTC part 2This is continuation of the Series of posts on Bitcoin, where I will look at where BTC price is headed in coming weeks and months. Link to first part is in the description. What you are looking in the is a Diamond, it's an extremely common pattern that appear repeatedly, at key inflection point, on all time frames, and this is by far the most accurate pattern that I have encountered in terms of measured move it produces on breakout. I find the results to be most accurate when I follow the following two rules when looking at a breakout of price from the diamond. A breakout is considered valid when at least one candle closes outside of the bounds of the diamond, with respect to the timeframe its drawn on. A breakout is only valid if it happens from the 4th Quadrant of the diamond as highlighted in the chart. The targets of this diamond are highlighted in the chart, to the upside it will hit close to 34K, to the downside around 20K. These targets are not the ultimate highs/lows, but usually this is where the next accumulation/distribution ranges are formed before making another move. Now let's look at some other examples of the diamonds that appeared in the past and played out perfectly. These are all on Daily time frame, if you know how to find them and draw them, they appear on all timeframes. The only thing is that you need to know how to draw diamonds accurately and how to anticipate an incoming diamond formation before it even forms. Please let me know in comments if that's something you want me to cover in another post, I will be happy to share.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by zakoraio