Bitcoin Extends Rally – Eyeing $121K+📊 Market Overview:
•Bitcoin is trading around $120,013, up +0.0149% on the day, with a daily range of $117,715 – $120,691 — continuing momentum after a historic rally.
•The rally is supported by strong inflows into BTC ETFs, institutional demand, and pro-crypto legislation recently passed in the U.S. House of Representatives.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key resistance: $121,000 – $122,000 (next technical target post breakout)
• Nearest support: $118,000 – $119,000 (aligns with 50 MA and previous consolidation zone)
• EMA 09: Price is above the EMA 09, confirming strong short-term bullish momentum
• Candlesticks / Volume / Momentum: RSI and MACD remain bullish; rising volume in ETFs and institutional flows confirm upward momentum.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin is likely to extend its gains in the short term if it holds above $119,000–$120,000 and institutional buying continues.
• Holding above $120,000 → potential to test $121,000 – $122,000
• Falling below $119,000 → risk of correction to $118,000
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
BUY BTC/USD at: 119,500 – 120,000
🎯 TP: 121,500
❌ SL: 118,500
SELL BTC/USD at: 121,000 – 122,000 (if bearish reversal signals appear)
🎯 TP: 120,000
❌ SL: 122,500
Btcusdbuy
The Setup: Bullish Breaker in Play!Yesterday, BTC smashed into a strong bullish breaker and bounced like a champ. Today, it’s retracing back to this key level, setting up for what I expect to be another explosive buy reaction. Why? Because this breaker is rock-solid, and the price action is giving us all the right signals! Plus, it’s Friday—the last trading day of the week—and I’m betting BTC will stretch its legs to cover the weekly range. 🏃♂️
🎯 Trade Details: Where to Jump In
Buy Area: Right now, the price is teasing the breaker zone.
Stop Loss: Protect your capital with a stop loss at around ~117,700.
Target: We’re aiming for the Buyside Liquidity sitting pretty around 121,000. That’s a juicy move with solid risk-reward potential! 💪
🧠 Why This Trade Makes Sense
Bullish Breaker Strength: This level has proven itself as a springboard for price action.
Weekly Range Play: Fridays often see BTC push to cover its weekly range, and we’re in prime position to catch it.
Liquidity Grab: The Buyside Liquidity at 121,000 is like a magnet for price—let’s ride it there!
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder
Always trade smart! Use proper position sizing, stick to your risk management rules, and don’t go all-in like it’s a casino. Keep those stops tight to avoid getting wrecked by any sudden volatility. 😎
💬 Join the Conversation!
What do you think of this setup? Are you jumping on this BTC train or waiting for more confirmation? Drop your thoughts in the comments below! 👇 Also, if you like this idea, smash that LIKE button ❤️ and follow for more trade ideas to keep your portfolio poppin’! 🚀
Happy trading, and let’s stack those pips! 💰
#BTC #CryptoTrading #BuyTrade #Bullish #TradingView
BTC sideways above 115k💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE (July 17)
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC Recovers as Trump Steps In to Revive Crypto Legislation Momentum
Bitcoin (BTC) saw a mild recovery, trading around $119,000 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after falling nearly 2% the previous day. This rebound followed an announcement by U.S. President Donald Trump on Wednesday morning, stating that the GENIUS Act is ready to be passed by the House during the legislative “Crypto Week”, sparking optimism in the crypto market. Furthermore, institutional demand continues to grow, with spot Bitcoin ETFs recording over $400 million in inflows on Tuesday, extending the growth streak since July 2.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
🧠 Pattern Overview:
The chart clearly displays an Elliott Wave pattern (1) → (2) → (3) → (4) → (5) along with Fibonacci Retracement and Extension levels, helping to identify potential support and resistance zones.
1. Elliott Waves:
Wave (3) was completed around the $122,144 zone and the market is currently in the corrective wave (4).
Wave (5) is expected to move upward with targets at:
• 1.618 Fibonacci Extension: ~$127,404
• Or further: ~$130,747
2. Support Zone (grey area below):
Located around $115,000 – $116,000, which is:
• The 0.5 – 0.618 retracement of Wave (3)
• Aligned with the EMA200 and dotted black trendline support.
If the price falls into this area, it’s highly likely to bounce back and form Wave (5).
3. Danger Zone if Broken:
If this support fails, price may fall deeper to:
• $113,200 (0.786 retracement),
• Or even lower: $111,600 – $111,800
4. Potential Scenarios:
Two main outcomes:
• Continued Uptrend: Price bounces from the support zone and heads toward $127,000 – $130,000
• Breakdown: If the support breaks, a deeper decline may occur, breaking the wave structure.
Follow the channel for continuous and up-to-date analysis on XAUUSD, CURRENCIES, and BTC.
BTC-----Buy around 118000, target 120000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on July 18:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to rise, the price was above the moving average, and the attached indicator was golden cross and running with shrinking volume. The large-scale upward trend is still very obvious. After the previous strong performance, there was a short-term shock correction trend. According to the current trend rules, it is a correction and a trend of market demand. The trend has not changed; the short-term hourly chart yesterday's European session price support rebound, the current K-line pattern continued to rise and the attached indicator was golden cross, so we still have to look at the continuation of the break in the day and the European session. The moving average support position is 120,000 area; the high point is near 121,000 area.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Buy in the 118,000 area, stop loss in the 117,000 area, target the 121,000 area, break the position and look at the 121,500 area;
Clean BTC Trade – Bounce from Key Trendline SupportHi traders! , Analyzing BTC/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, we can observe that price is respecting the ascending channel and reacting to the dynamic trendline support (blue line). This bounce, aligned with prior structure, signals a potential bullish continuation.
🔹 Entry: 116,249
🔹 Take Profit (TP): 119,434
🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 113,105
Price remains above the 200 EMA while continuing to respect the ascending trendline, signaling sustained bullish structure. The RSI is showing a bullish divergence, which supports the idea of upward momentum. We also saw a strong reaction at the pivot point (115,373), and a bullish engulfing candle formed right near the trendline — adding further confirmation to this potential long setup.
This long setup presents a favorable risk/reward ratio within the context of the broader trend. Targeting a clean break above previous resistance and return to the R1 zone.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (July 2025)4-hour price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD). The price has risen from 118,714.64 to 118,714.64 (+937.9 or +0.80%) over the period. Key levels include a support zone around 115,451.45 to 117,451.45 and a resistance zone near 120,000.00 to 122,188.85,
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) as of July 11, 2025. The current price is $117,979.53, reflecting a 4-hour increase of $1,938.91 (+1.67%). The chart highlights a significant upward trend, with a notable breakout above the $114,719.92 resistance level, reaching up to $121,362.93. Key price levels include support at $116,625.93 and resistance at $121,362.93, with buy and sell options marked at the current price.
Gaussian suggesting the last leg to the upside!As we approach close to the ~1000 days of bull market conditions above the green GC. Volatility to the upside should be coming before peaking at some point probably in October. Make sure to sell some coins before we get back to the core of the Gaussian. We could be seeing the price tank from 40k-50k later next year. Cheers!
BITCOIN UPDATEHello friends🙌
📈Given the upward trend we had, you can see that the price is in an upward channel and has also formed a bullish pattern, which, given the strength behind the trend, seems to have higher targets.
🔊Be careful, the basic principle of trading is capital management, so be sure to follow capital management.
🔥Join us for more signals🔥
*Trade safely with us*
BTC Analysis — Long-Term Buy Zone AheadI'm watching $111,000 as a major buy zone on Bitcoin.
If price retraces to that level, I’ll be ready to enter a long position.
This is not a prediction — it’s a scenario.
Smart traders don’t guess, they prepare.
Let price come to your level. No chasing.
📍Set your alerts and stay patient.
BTC Era, continue to create new ATH💎 BTC WEEKLY PLAN UPDATE (14 July )
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC
Bitcoin (BTC) broke above a key milestone on Friday, setting a new all-time high of $119,999 with no signs of slowing down. The technical outlook supports further gains as momentum indicators remain strong and price action is solidly in price discovery mode, with the next potential target at $135.000
Bitcoin’s Next Stop: $135.000
Bitcoin entered price discovery on July 9, and since then, the king of cryptocurrencies has surged toward the $120,000 target—a key psychological level for traders. Early Monday during the Asian session, BTC climbed to a peak of $119,999, marking a new all-time high and the closest the asset has come to this milestone.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE
Two key momentum indicators on the daily timeframe signal underlying bullish momentum in Bitcoin, suggesting a potential for further upside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 76, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is flashing green histogram bars above the neutral line.
However, if BTC undergoes a correction, it may extend its pullback to find support near the lower boundary of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $115,222.
Derivatives market data shows that $76 million was liquidated over the past 24 hours as BTC surged toward its new high. The long/short ratio, which is considered an indicator of bullish or bearish trader sentiment, is above 1—indicating that more derivative traders are optimistic about Bitcoin and are expecting further gains in the king of cryptocurrencies.
Stay tuned to the channel for updates.
BTC: Next price Halving 📊Analysis by AhmadArz: #BTCUSD
By calculating the price growth in the 4-year halving time frame, we came to the conclusion that with the growth of the Bitcoin market cap, its growth will be halved and we can expect $120,000 from Bitcoin, and it is expected to grow up to 270,000 dollars in halvings.
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!
BTCUSD Chart Analysis (Daily Timeframe)Chart Analysis – BTC/USD (Daily Timeframe)
Trend Overview:
* The chart shows **Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** on the **daily timeframe**.
* Price is in a **clear uptrend**, making **higher highs and higher lows**.
* The recent breakout above **\$111,000** suggests a **bullish continuation**.
Moving Average Analysis (EMA 7, 21, 50):
* **EMA 7 > EMA 21 > EMA 50** — this alignment confirms **strong bullish momentum**.
* Price is **well above all EMAs**, especially the 50 EMA (\~\$105,546), showing trend strength and possible institutional support.
* EMAs are **sloping upward**, which further confirms the upward momentum.
Recent Breakout:
* BTC broke out of a **short-term consolidation zone** between \~\$108,000–\$111,000.
* Today’s candle shows a **strong bullish close**, indicating fresh buying interest.
* If this breakout holds, price could extend toward the **next psychological level of \$115,000–\$117,500**.
Support Zones to Watch:
* **Minor support:** \~\$109,000 (EMA 7 + breakout retest area)
* **Stronger support:** \~\$105,500 (EMA 50 and previous swing low)
A break below **\$105,500** could signal a trend shift or deeper pullback.
Summary:
Bitcoin is showing **strong bullish structure** on the daily chart with EMAs aligned upward and a recent breakout above \$111,000. If momentum holds, next upside targets are around **\$115,000–\$117,500**. The bullish trend remains intact unless price breaks and closes below **\$105,500**.
Bitcoin May Continue Rising After Breakout📊 Market Overview:
• Bitcoin recently broke above $118,000, reaching a weekly high of $118,740, fueled by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September and strong ETF inflows into the market
• Katie Stockton from Fairlead Strategies highlights a bullish cup-and-handle pattern, supporting a potential 14% upside toward $134,500
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $120,000 – $128,500 (based on Fibonacci projection).
• Nearest Support: ~$108,300 – previous resistance turned support, along with ~$107,000 near the 50-day EMA.
• EMA 09: Price is trading above the 9-day EMA, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
• Patterns & Volume:
o A cup-and-handle breakout suggests continued upside potential.
o Rising volume on breakouts reflects strong buying interest.
o MACD is bullish, and RSI is not yet overbought — allowing further room to rise.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may continue to rise in the short term if it holds above the 9-day EMA and avoids a sharp drop below the $108k–110k support zone. A break below this area could trigger a deeper correction toward $100k.
#BTC/USDT Bitcoin Recovers Above 108,000 $#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 107600.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upside.
There is a major support area in green at 107217, which represents a strong basis for the upside.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We are looking to hold above the Moving Average 100.
Entry price: 108337.
First target: 108844.
Second target: 109275.
Third target: 109728.
Don't forget a simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.
Prepare for the 2025 Crypto Summer as Bitcoin Shatters RecordBitcoin Experiences Impact of a $12B Short Squeeze: Here is How to Prepare for Imminent Crypto Summer
July 12, 2025 - The digital asset landscape has been irrevocably altered. In a move that will be etched into financial history, Bitcoin has shattered its previous all-time highs, surging with a ferocity that has left bears in utter ruin and bulls in a state of euphoric disbelief. After decisively breaking the formidable $109,000 barrier, the world’s premier cryptocurrency rocketed past $118,000, liquidating an estimated $12 billion in leveraged short positions in a cascade of forced buy-ins that added jet fuel to an already roaring fire.
This is not just another bull run. This is the manifestation of a market that has fundamentally matured. The "Crypto Summer" of 2025, long whispered about in investor circles, has arrived, and it is being majorly fueled by an unprecedented influx of institutional capital and a newly established clear regulatory outlook. While the price charts paint a picture of blistering gains, the underlying story is one of a structural shift in the global financial order.
For those who have watched from the sidelines, the question is no longer if they should pay attention, but how they can possibly prepare for the seismic shifts to come. This article will dissect the anatomy of this historic market event, explore the powerful forces driving this new paradigm, and offer a guide to navigating the thrilling, albeit treacherous, terrain of the 2025 Crypto Summer.
Part 1: The Anatomy of a $12 Billion Cataclysm
To comprehend the sheer violence of Bitcoin's recent ascent, one must first understand the market dynamics that preceded it. A short squeeze is a market phenomenon that occurs when a heavily shorted asset experiences a rapid price increase. This forces traders who bet on a price drop (short sellers) to buy back the asset to cover their positions and cut their losses. This sudden surge in buying demand creates a feedback loop, pushing the price even higher and liquidating more short positions along the way.
In the weeks leading up to the breakout, a palpable sense of bearishness had settled among many derivative traders. They saw the price range between $100,000 and $110,000 as a formidable distribution zone—a ceiling where bulls would run out of steam. Emboldened by this conviction, they began to build massive short positions. It's estimated that prior to Bitcoin’s bullish breakout above $109k, short traders had accumulated around $12B in leveraged positions, with many of these bets entered around the $118k level, anticipating a strong rejection from that point.
The trap was set. But it was the bears, not the bulls, who were about to be caught.
The initial catalyst was the clean break above the $109,000 resistance. This was followed by a swift move above a key bearish trend line that had formed on shorter timeframes, with resistance at $111,000. As the price then confidently reclaimed the $112,500 zone and began trading above the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, the first wave of liquidations began.
What followed was a textbook short squeeze of epic proportions. As automated margin calls were triggered, computer algorithms began to market-buy Bitcoin at any price to close the losing short positions. This forced buying pressure propelled BTC through $113,000, then $114,000, and $115,000 in what felt like mere moments. The higher the price went, the more short sellers were forced to capitulate. The $12 billion in leveraged positions, once a wall of sell-side pressure, became a colossal wave of buy-side demand. The price action culminated in a spectacular surge past $116,000 and eventually screaming past $118,800, leaving market commentators and traders alike breathless. This event was a brutal lesson in the inherent risks of shorting a structurally bullish asset in a high-leverage environment.
Part 2: A New Paradigm: Institutional Capital and Regulatory Clarity
While the short squeeze provided the explosive catalyst, the true engine of this bull market is fundamentally different from those of the past. The frenzied, retail-driven manias of 2017 and 2021 have been replaced by a more deliberate, capital-heavy, and institutionally-led advance. The "Crypto Summer" of 2025 is built on the bedrock of legitimacy that only Wall Street and a clear regulatory stance could provide.
The ETF Revolution Matures
The launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs in early 2024 was a watershed moment, but 2025 is the year their impact has become undeniably dominant. These regulated financial products have provided a secure and familiar bridge for institutional investors, hedge funds, and even sovereign wealth funds to gain exposure to Bitcoin. The results have been staggering. In a clear sign of a changing of the guard in the world of alternative assets, spot Bitcoin ETFs have captured an astonishing 70% of gold’s inflows in 2025.
This statistic is more than just a headline; it represents the tangible manifestation of the "digital gold" narrative. For years, proponents have argued that Bitcoin's provable scarcity and decentralized nature make it a superior store of value to the yellow metal. Now, the flow of funds from the world's largest asset managers is proving this thesis correct. BlackRock’s IBIT, in particular, has shattered ETF records, becoming one of the fastest-growing funds in history and signaling to the entire financial establishment that Bitcoin is no longer a fringe asset but a core portfolio component.
The Certainty of Regulation
For years, the spectre of regulatory uncertainty has cast a long shadow over the crypto markets, deterring conservative institutional players. A key driver of the 2025 bull market has been the emergence of a clear regulatory outlook in major jurisdictions like the United States and Europe. With comprehensive market structure bills passed, clear guidelines on custody, and a defined tax framework, the biggest obstacle for institutional adoption has been removed.
This regulatory clarity has done more than just open the floodgates for capital; it has legitimized the entire asset class. Institutions operate on long-term horizons and require predictable rules of engagement. With these in place, they are no longer making a speculative bet but a strategic allocation to a new, globally recognized asset class. This influx of what is often called "stickier" capital—long-term investment rather than short-term speculation—is helping to build a more stable market foundation and reduce some of the notorious volatility associated with Bitcoin.
Part 3: Reading the Charts and Chains
The story of this bull run is written not only in the headlines but also in the data. A confluence of technical chart patterns, on-chain analytics, and market sentiment indicators paints a uniquely bullish picture, suggesting that this rally may have much further to run.
Technical Analysis: Echoes of the Past, Pointers to the Future
For seasoned market observers, the BTC price action in 2025 has mirrored the 2017 macro bullish breakout. The fractal nature of Bitcoin's four-year cycles, often centered around its programmatic "halving" events, appears to be playing out once again. The structure of the consolidation below $100,000 and the subsequent explosive breakout bears a striking resemblance to the patterns that preceded the parabolic run to $20,000 in 2017.
On a more granular level, the price has decisively conquered several key technical levels. The break above the bearish trend line at $111,000 was a critical signal that the downtrend pressure had been absorbed. Now, with the price trading firmly above $113,500 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average, these former resistance zones are expected to act as strong support levels for any potential pullbacks. The next major hurdle appears to be the $116,800 resistance zone, a level that, if cleared, could open the door to a much larger upward expansion.
Perhaps the most tantalizing model for predicting the cycle top is the Bitcoin "power law" model. This model suggests that Bitcoin's price growth over time follows a predictable exponential path when plotted on a logarithmic scale. Developed by analyst Giovanni Santostasi, the model views Bitcoin's long-term growth not as a random walk but as a structured, measurable trajectory akin to natural growth phenomena. According to analysts applying this model, Bitcoin is currently trading ahead of its long-term power law curve. Historically, this has been a sign that the market is entering the final, euphoric phase of its bull cycle. Based on this model, some analysts believe a Bitcoin Christmas rally to $200K or even $300K is possible, with the parabolic rally potentially lasting until the end of the year.
On-Chain Analysis: A Supply Shock in the Making
On-chain analysis, which involves examining data directly from the blockchain, provides a transparent view of investor behavior. One of the most encouraging signs for this rally is that Bitcoin Supply On Exchanges Remain Low Amid Latest Milestone. When investors move their BTC off exchanges, it is typically to place them in secure, self-custody wallets for long-term holding. This reduces the immediately available supply that can be sold on the market, creating a "supply shock" dynamic where even a small increase in demand can have an outsized impact on price. The current trend indicates that new institutional buyers and long-term believers are accumulating coins and have no intention of selling at current prices.
Further bolstering the bullish case is the metric of profitability. The market has reached a point where Bitcoin has broken records with 100% profitable days and unmatched returns. This means that for a vast majority of its history, buying and holding Bitcoin has been a profitable endeavor, reinforcing its narrative as one of an incredibly successful long-term asset.
However, a note of caution comes from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, which warns that despite the breakout to over $118,000, liquidity is still thin. This means the order books on exchanges are not particularly deep. While this can amplify moves to the upside, it also means that a large sell order could cause a sharp and swift correction. This thin liquidity explains the continued volatility and serves as a reminder that the market, while more mature, is still susceptible to violent price swings.
Sentiment Analysis: A Rally Without the Mania
Perhaps the most compelling argument for further upside potential is what is absent from this rally: hype. In previous cycle tops, the market was characterized by a palpable mania. Bitcoin dominated mainstream news, celebrity endorsements were rampant, and stories of overnight crypto millionaires were inescapable.
This time is different. In a sign that suggests significant further upside potential, the current Bitcoin All-Time High Lacks Hype. Google Trends for "Bitcoin" are not at their peak, social media is not yet in a state of collective FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out), and the general public is not yet clamoring to get in. This suggests that the rally so far has been driven by the "smart money" of institutions. The retail-driven "mania phase," which typically marks the final blow-off top of a bull cycle, has not yet begun. This quiet confidence, devoid of irrational exuberance, is seen by many analysts as one of the healthiest indicators for the market's future.
Part 4: The Macroeconomic Tailwinds
A key factor is the falling dollar and anticipated Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback against a basket of foreign currencies, has been in a significant downtrend throughout 2025, hitting its lowest levels in over two decades relative to its moving averages. There is a historically strong inverse correlation between the DXY and Bitcoin; a weaker dollar makes assets priced in dollars, like BTC, more attractive to foreign investors and also pushes domestic investors to seek hedges against currency debasement.
Furthermore, the anticipation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve to stimulate a slowing economy makes holding cash and low-yielding government bonds less attractive. This monetary policy shift encourages a "risk-on" environment, where capital flows out of safe-haven assets and into those with higher growth potential. As the ultimate digital risk-on asset, Bitcoin stands as a major beneficiary of this capital rotation.
The magnitude of this rally has also had fascinating side effects, such as the fact that the Bitcoin Surge Pushes Satoshi Nakamoto Into Global Top 15 Rich List. Based on the estimated 1.1 million BTC held by Bitcoin's pseudonymous creator, the recent price surge would place their net worth among the wealthiest individuals on the planet—a testament to the incredible value creation of this new technology.
Part 5: How to Prepare for the Imminent Crypto Summer
With a potential parabolic rally to $200,000 or $300,000 on the horizon, the central question for every investor is how to position themselves. The answer depends heavily on one's experience and risk tolerance. (This section is for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice).
For the Newcomer:
1. Education Before Allocation: Before investing a single dollar, take the time to understand what Bitcoin is. Learn about its core principles of decentralization, scarcity, and self-custody. Do not simply buy based on FOMO.
2. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): Entering a market that is already in a parabolic uptrend can be risky. DCA involves investing a fixed amount of money at regular intervals, regardless of the price. This strategy reduces the risk of buying the top and smooths out your average entry price over time.
3. ETFs vs. Self-Custody: For the first time, investors have a simple choice. Buying a spot Bitcoin ETF through a traditional brokerage account is easy and secure. However, the core ethos of Bitcoin is self-sovereignty ("not your keys, not your coins"). Learning to use a hardware wallet to take self-custody of your coins is the ultimate way to embrace the technology, but it comes with greater personal responsibility.
For the Experienced Investor:
1. Prudent Risk Management: The warning of thin liquidity should be heeded. Volatility will remain high. Use stop-losses to protect capital, avoid excessive leverage, and do not get caught up in the euphoria. Have a clear plan for both entry and exit points.
2. Develop a Profit-Taking Strategy: No asset goes up forever. It is crucial to have a plan for taking profits. This could involve selling a certain percentage of your holdings at pre-determined price targets (e.g., $150k, $200k, $250k) or using technical indicators to signal a potential market top.
3. Look Beyond Bitcoin: Historically, a major Bitcoin rally paves the way for a subsequent "alt-season." As Bitcoin's dominance peaks, capital often rotates into Ethereum and other alternative cryptocurrencies with strong fundamentals, leading to explosive gains in those assets. Researching promising projects now could position you for the next phase of the crypto summer.
Finally, it is essential to address the question: Breakout Or Brutal Bull Trap? While all signs point to a sustained, institutionally-backed bull market, the risk of sharp corrections remains. Parabolic advances are often followed by equally dramatic pullbacks. The thin liquidity could exacerbate such a move. Staying grounded, managing risk, and sticking to a well-defined plan are the keys to surviving and thriving.
Conclusion
The Bitcoin story of 2025 is a symphony of powerful forces playing in perfect harmony. The violent crescendo of a $12 billion short squeeze announced its arrival, but the enduring melody is one of profound structural change. The unwavering commitment of institutional capital, flowing through newly approved and highly successful ETFs, has provided a stable and deep foundation for the market. This, combined with a clear regulatory framework and supportive macroeconomic tailwinds from a weakening dollar, has created the conditions for a historic "Crypto Summer."
Unlike the retail-driven manias of the past, this rally is characterized by a quiet confidence, a lack of widespread hype, and on-chain data that points to a severe supply shock. Models like the power law suggest that the journey is far from over, with potential targets that would have seemed fantastical just a year ago.
The road ahead will undoubtedly be volatile. But for those who understand the underlying dynamics at play—the institutional shift, the market structure, the on-chain truths—the path to navigating this new era is clear. The summer has just begun.
BTCUSD (Bitcoin): Forex Technical AnalysisDate: 11 July 2025
Momentum: Up
First Scenario : long positions above 115,706.14 with targets at 117,269.52, 117,904.51 and 118,513.05
Second Scenario : short positions below 115,706.14 with targets at 114,544.35, 113,774.89 and 113,053.39
Comment: RSI - Bullish.
Supports and resistances :
118,513.05 **
117,904.51 *
117,269.52
116,747.25 - Last price
114,544.35
113,774.89 *
113,053.39 **