BTC is expected to retreat in the short term, focus on 104500📰 Impact of news:
1. The ceasefire agreement reached earlier did not take effect, and Trump believed that both sides violated the agreement
2. Federal Reserve Chairman Powell delivered a speech 3 hours later
📈 Market analysis:
I haven't updated BTC for a while. Today I want to share my views on BTC with you. BTC is currently encountering resistance and pressure at the 106,000 level and is beginning to retreat. From the technical indicators, MACD is in a dead cross, and RSI is retreating after reaching the overbought area. There is no problem with the short-term bearish trend, and it is expected that it will be able to retreat to the 104,500 level without much problem. However, the recent decline in the gold market, DXY market, and crude oil market may cause funds to flow into the BTC market.
🏅 Trading strategies:
SELL 106000-105500
TP 105000-104500
BUY 140500-103500
TP 105000-106000
If you agree with this view, or have a better idea, please leave a message in the comment area. I look forward to hearing different voices.
BTCUSDC
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart - June 24, 20254-hour chart displays the Bitcoin (BTC) to U.S. Dollar (USD) price movement, currently at $105,121.98, reflecting a decrease of $258.74 (-0.25%) as of 03:15:58. The chart highlights a recent downward trend with a potential support level around $103,509.67 and a resistance zone between $104,651.27 and $107,154.41, indicated by shaded areas. The time frame spans from June 6 to June 25, 2025.
Is Bitcoin Signaling Risk-Off? Structure Breakdown Explained💥 BTC/USD Outlook – Is Bitcoin Losing Steam? 🧠📉
I'm keeping a close watch on Bitcoin (BTC/USD) this week, and the current price action is flashing some key signals.
🔍 Over the past several sessions, BTC has struggled to hold momentum, and we’re now seeing a shift in tone. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market structure is tilting bearish, with a pattern of lower highs and lower lows developing — a classic sign of weakness ⚠️📉.
📐 The most recent downside leg has caused a clear break in structure, and BTC is now retracing back into a potential supply zone, hovering around equilibrium of the recent move. This zone will be critical to watch for signs of seller re-entry.
⏳ On the 30-minute chart, I’m waiting for a decisive shift in structure — a break of local support or a failed rally that confirms bearish continuation. Should that play out, it could signal a high-probability short setup.
🪙 A breakdown in BTC often has broader implications — especially in the risk asset space. If we see weakness here, JPY pairs may strengthen as capital rotates into safer assets 💴🌐.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a licensed professional before making any investment decisions. 📚💼
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical AnalysisBTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical Analysis
Market Structure & Trend
Overall Trend : Bearish (clearly defined by a consistent downtrend channel).
Current Structure : Price is in a corrective downtrend within a descending channel, after multiple rejections from the supply zone.
Key Technical Zones
1. Supply Zone
Strong rejection zone where the price previously reversed sharply.
Still acting as resistance, located around the upper range.
2. Demand Zone
Currently being retested for the fifth time, weakening its strength.
Recent price action shows liquidity sweep and swing low break inside this zone, potentially trapping early longs.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Fibonacci Levels
1D FVG sits below the current demand, aligning with:
Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib).
Acts as a high-probability bounce zone for long entries if demand fails.
A break below this FVG could open up deeper downside toward the 0.786 Fib or beyond.
Psychological Levels
105,000 – Major resistance & potential take-profit area for long positions.
100,000 – Key support and liquidity magnet if the demand zone fails.
Volume Profile
High Volume Node: 102,000 – 106,800 — price tends to gravitate here, indicating potential consolidation or resistance.
Low Volume Area: Below 100,500 — suggests thin liquidity, which may cause sharp moves if price drops into this range.
Scenarios & Trade Ideas
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the demand zone (after multiple retests) and confirms on LTF:
Potential Long to local resistance.
On breakout, target the 105,000 psychological level.
Confluence: High volume area offers both support and a magnet.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold the demand zone:
Enter short position targeting the 1D FVG and 100,000 psychological level.
If that breaks, expect sharp continuation due to low volume below.
Conclusion
Price is at a pivotal point — currently balancing on weakened demand after multiple retests. Watch for LTF confirmation:
Above demand = bullish recovery setup.
Below demand = bearish continuation toward 100,000 and the FVG.
Manage risk tightly due to the proximity of both key zones.
BTC pressure, price under a lot of selling pressure💎 Update Plan BTC weekend (June 22)
Notable news about BTC:
Market overview: Bitcoin's consolidation lasts in the context of increasing macro instability
US President Donald Trump expressed his caution on Thursday when he delayed the decision involving a potential direct attack on Iran for a maximum of two weeks. The global market, including cryptocurrencies, has reacted, slightly increased in Asian and European sessions when investors absorb the impact of crude oil prices in the context of interrupted transport routes.
However, traders are very cautious, reflecting the tough stance of Fed President Jerome Powell on the economy, with the reason for the expectation of inflation in the short term due to tariffs.
Bitcoin -large holders continue to accumulate despite the cautious attitudes of traders on the spot and derivative markets.
Technical analysis angle
Bitcoin price fluctuates around $ 104.057 after cutting up the day from the peak of $ 106,457 of Friday. Main technical indicators, such as relative power index (RSI), strengthen the trend of discounts when the price slip down the average line 50.
Money Flow Index (MFI) indicator, monitoring the amount of money poured into BTC, shortening the trend of increasing, stable around the middle line. This reflects the limited interest in Bitcoin on both spot markets and derivative markets.
If the weakness of the Organizing Committee overshadows the demand on the chain and network activity, supporting the exponent dynamic line (EMA) 50 days at $ 103,169 can be helpful, temporarily absorbing the pressure of selling. Overcoming this level, high fluctuations can accelerate the decline, bringing the main levels, such as EMA 100 days at $ 99,085 and EMA 200 days at $ 93,404, in.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Bitcoin BTC price analysis🍿 At the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, we show one of the scenarios that could play out in the first half of June.
Much will be decided today with the opening of the US market. It is very likely that there will be a downward movement at the opening in response to the new tariffs announced by Trump on Friday after the markets closed.
🕯 Well, then we'll have to “keep our fingers crossed” that market players show their strength and hold on and buy back the drop — like say: we're tired of shaking with every crazy statement from Trump.
💰 If the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC stays above $103k, there is a chance that it will be “stuck” in the $103-110k consolidation. The market needs to digest and redistribute the results of two months of #BTCUSD price growth from $75k to $112k.
And considering the position of the BTC.D and USDT.D indices, there is a chance that the “little bit” of capital will pass to the altcoins, and they will shoot up a little.
⁉️ Probably, the safest thing to do would be to watch the altcoins and buy only those that have started a significant upward movement with volume.
What do you think?
BTC/USD Bearish Outlook AnalysisBTC/USD Bearish Outlook Analysis 📉🧠
📊 Technical Overview:
The BTC/USD chart is showing signs of a bearish structure formation, suggesting increased downside momentum in the short term.
🔻 Resistance Zone:
Clear resistance is identified near $110,345, marked by multiple price rejections (🔴 red arrows).
Price failed to break above this zone several times, indicating strong selling pressure.
🔸 Support Zone:
Strong support lies near the $100,000 psychological level.
Price has respected this zone multiple times (🟠 orange circles), indicating buyer interest.
📉 Current Price Action:
A descending trendline breakout attempt failed and price is now consolidating just below $105,000.
Price is forming a bearish flag/consolidation structure after recent rejection.
A breakdown from the current box range is likely to push BTC toward the support zone at $100,000.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC breaks below $104,000, expect continuation towards $100,000.
A daily candle close below support could signal further downside.
📈 Invalidation:
Bullish invalidation occurs if BTC reclaims and closes above $108,000, with volume, retesting resistance at $110,345.
🧭 Summary:
BTC/USD is exhibiting a lower highs structure within a descending channel. Unless it breaks above the resistance zone, the bias remains bearish with a high probability of retesting support.
BTC-----Sell around 105500, target 104000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 17:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price was consolidating at a high level, but the attached indicator was dead cross, and the closing line yesterday was a long upper lead, and the high point was near the 109,000 area. Why is it difficult to continue the rise? The price did not break the previous high point, the continuity was poor, the technical indicators were not obvious, etc., which are all reference data; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European session rose yesterday, and the US session continued to break the weekend correction high position. The price fell under pressure, the intraday high was 109,000 area, and the intraday retracement low was 106,000 area. There is no obvious direction at present, so the European and American sessions are the focus, so pay attention to the strength and weakness of the European and American sessions and the breakout situation, and then we will layout according to the real-time trend. The European and American sessions are currently showing a downward trend.
Today's BTC short-term trading contract strategy:
The current price is 105,500 and directly short, stop loss in the 106,000 area; the target is the 104,000 area;
BTC-----Buy around 107500, target 108000-109000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC on June 16:
Today, the general trend is still relatively obvious, so the trading strategy is to buy at a low price.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Buy in the 107500 area, stop loss in the 106500 area, and target the 108000-109000 area;
BTC/USD Potential Reversal & Bullish Breakout SetupBTC/USD Potential Reversal & Bullish Breakout Setup 🔄🚀
Technical Analysis Overview:
🔹 Pattern Formation:
The chart displays a potential Triple Bottom pattern (🟠), a classic reversal signal forming at the $104,870–$100,000 support zone 🛡️. This structure suggests a strong base is being established for a potential upside move.
🔹 Support Zone:
📉 The price has consistently bounced off the major support area around $100,000–$104,870, indicating strong buying interest.
🔹 Resistance Zone:
📊 The key resistance level lies around the $114,000–$115,000 range 🔵, which has been tested multiple times in the past (🔴 arrows) and could act as a future profit target.
🔹 Price Action & Projection:
Currently, price is trading near $107,025 and is showing signs of bullish continuation after forming a higher low. If the price consolidates above the $104,870 zone and holds support, we could see a potential breakout targeting the $114,000 resistance 📈.
📌 Key Takeaways:
✅ Triple Bottom formation signals trend reversal.
🔄 Bullish structure confirmed above $104,870.
🎯 Next target: $114,000 if breakout holds.
⚠️ Watch for potential consolidation before continuation.
BTC-----Sell around 100500, target 103500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 14:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross. The decline in the big trend was still very obvious. We should pay attention to the breakout and pressure signal of the high point of yesterday's correction and pullback in the 106200 area; the short-cycle hourly chart yesterday's price rebounded and corrected after hitting the low point, and retreated under pressure in the Asian morning today. The current K-line pattern continued to fall, and the attached indicator was dead cross. Then the trend is likely to fluctuate downward during the day, but the strength is not expected to be great over the weekend, so it is still short-term.
BTC short-term trading contract strategy:
Directly short in the 100500 area, stop loss in the 105500 area; target is 103500 area;
BTC/USD – Bearish Continuation from Rising Channel BTC/USD – Bearish Continuation from Rising Channel 🚨🧱
This chart indicates a bearish market structure with the following key technical features:
🔍 Chart Analysis:
Change of Character (CHoCH) 🔄
A shift from bullish to bearish was confirmed by a strong breakdown after the CHoCH marked at the top.
This breakdown invalidated previous bullish structure.
Bearish Flag Formation 📉📐
After the impulsive drop, price formed a bearish flag (rising channel), suggesting a potential continuation move to the downside.
Resistance Rejection 🚫
Price is currently testing and rejecting the 105,800–106,500 resistance zone, previously a support turned resistance.
The rejection from this level adds further bearish confluence.
Downside Projection ⬇️📍
If the pattern plays out, the projected move shows a potential drop toward the major support zone at 100,000–101,000.
📌 Key Levels:
Resistance Zones:
105,800–106,500 🧱
109,500–111,000 🧱
Support Zone:
100,000–101,000 💚
🧠 Conclusion:
The chart suggests that BTC/USD is in a bearish continuation phase, with strong rejection from key resistance and a confirmed breakdown from a bearish flag. Traders should watch for confirmation of continuation below 104,500 to target the 100k support level. Risk management is crucial near volatile zones.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) - Price Consolidating Inside Sym. Triangle - DBITCOIN (BTCUSDT) price has recently bounced up from above the 50EMA (yellow line).
Since May 2025, price has been consolidating sideways and has now formed a symmetrical triangle (blue lines). 10% to 20% volatility could be incoming for Bitcoin this summer.
The key resistance prices that Bitcoin has yet to breakout above are: $110000, $112000, $115000, and $120000+.
Support prices are holding at this time, such as $105000, $104000, $102000, and $100000, $95000.
If price holds above $100,000 to $105,000, there is still a chance that Bitcoin can continue to uptrend and rally higher this year in 2025.
However, if $100,000 price and support levels are lost, a new downtrend could occur and price could possibly test the 200EMA zone (red line).
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 108883.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 109380
First target: 109948
Second target: 110800
Third target: 111670
BTC 4H – Critical Support Zones Being TestedCRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently retesting its $107.2k support, which has now turned into resistance after a decisive breakdown.
Support Levels to Watch:
- Upper Support Zone: $105k – $104.4k
- Lower Support Zone: $101.4k – $100.7k
Bounce from $104.4k–$105k will be a temporary relief, but it needs strength to reclaim $107.2k.
If the upper zone is not held, the next leg will be towards the lower zone, near $101.4k—$100.7k.
Breakout confirmation only above $110k (previous rejection zone).
The market is showing signs of weakness, especially with increased selling around resistance. Avoid rushing into trades—better setups may come if key zones hold or break.
Tip: Watch for bullish divergences or strong volume at the lower support for potential reversal setups.
#BTC/USDT#BTC
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are experiencing a rebound from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 103141.
We are experiencing a downtrend on the RSI indicator, which is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 moving average.
Entry price: 105268
First target: 106500
Second target: 107405
Third target: 109006
It didn’t reject. It repriced.BINANCE:BTCUSDT just tested the 4H OB at 105,044 — and didn’t break. That’s not weakness. That’s precision. The kind of structure Smart Money doesn’t chase, it absorbs.
Here’s the breakdown:
Price retraced into a clean OB off the 0.236 fib, holding structure without even needing to sweep the BPR below
Volume supported the move — no absorption, no deviation
Short-term high is now marked at 106,487, and above that, my next draw is 108,941
If price closes back above 106,000 with momentum, the path of least resistance is clear: continuation. If we lose the OB and reclaim fails, BPR becomes the fallback zone — anything deeper, and we’re re-evaluating the narrative.
Execution plan:
Long from OB (already tested) — continuation depends on reclaiming 106K
TP1: 106,689
TP2: 108,941
Invalidation: 103,429 (50% fib) or hard break into 102.7 BPR
There’s no “maybe” in structure. Price is either reacting or it isn’t. This one is.
Setups this precise don’t wait — they’re mapped. You’ll find more in the profile description.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) - Daily Price Consolidation Under ResistanceBitcoin (BTCUSD) price has been in a short-term downtrend since June 2025.
Price is currently consolidating under $106,000 resistance.
Watching to see if an evening star candle pattern prints on the daily chart, for a very-short-term pullback.
Support targets: $105,000, $104,000, $101,000, $100,000.
Resistance targets: $107,000, $109,000, $110,000, $112,000.
Bitcoin has been correlating with the USA stock market, tech stocks, consumer sentiment, and breaking news.
Last 133 days of the bull market!This idea gives more details about the pint in the cycle we are at right now. When measuring the duration between halving and tops we usually see the best in ~500 days after the halving. Following my previous idea about topping in October you can find the same pattern translating in 546 days after last halving. If this proves right , we are about 133 days before top. At this point we should see fireworks till October. In blue is price action in those 133 in 2017 and in yellow 2021, according to the btc nature of diminishing returns we should see peaks bellow those years.Cheers
Technical analysis of BTC contracts (outlook for next week)Technical analysis of BTC contract on June 7 (next week outlook):
The weekly trend, after the price hit the high point of 112000 area, it retreated under pressure. The current K-line pattern is negative, but the price is still at a high level, which also exacerbates the overall trend of volatility. The daily price was fluctuating downward before Friday. The impact of yesterday's data caused the price to rise, which seemed to break this trend, and it also became contradictory. The technical indicators of the four-hour chart and the hourly chart changed very quickly, and there was no reference signal for the medium and long term; in general, the current trend will continue the oscillating pattern, with the upper pressure position in the 107000 area and the low point support position in the 100600 area;
BTC-----Sell around 104000, target 102000 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on June 6:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a big negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was dead cross. The large trend of falling again appeared to be advantageous. The price continued to break the previous low position, and the upward stage trend was also broken, so the market outlook will also fluctuate downward; the short-cycle hourly chart of the US market fell sharply, and the low point touched the 100300 area. The price supported the rebound in the morning. The current K-line pattern continued to rise, and the attached indicator was golden cross, but the price was already close to the moving average resistance of the four-hour chart. Today, the decline continued to break the low, and the rebound strength could not be large. This is a rule.
BTC short-term contract trading strategy:
Sell at the 104000 area, stop loss at the 104500 area, and target the 102000 area;
Price tapped the low — but didn’t break structure. That’s all I BTC delivered a clean sweep into the 15M low, filled the imbalance, and now it’s reclaiming. If you’re still wondering whether it’s valid — you’re not reading structure. You’re chasing candles.
Here’s the setup:
Price swept a key low at 104,870.98, tapping into a precision FVG
That move also kissed the edge of a lower BPR — institutional order flow at work
Now we’re rotating back toward the 15M OB near 106,438.94, with the first real reaction zone at 105,779.08
Above that, fib confluence and the OB offer a decision point: either distribute from 106.4 or break higher into premium inefficiency zones.
If price stalls at 0.5 (105,831) and rejects hard, I’ll expect a revisit to the low. If we blow through with displacement — we’re heading higher.
Execution bias:
Longs are valid as long as price holds above 104,870
TP1: 105,779
TP2: 106,438
Failure to reclaim FVG = scenario invalid, stand down
This isn’t a “setup.” It’s a replay of logic. The market does this every day — if you know how to listen.
More trades like this? No noise, just precision — check the profile description.