BTCUSDT: Elliot waves 4hrFollowing the previous analysis, I imagine such a path for Bitcoin in the 4-hour period. It seems that the fifth wave moves similar to the first wave. And this view that you see next to the chart is taken from wave 1-1 of the first wave and the maximum value that Bitcoin can rise is the range of 21000.
Btcusdforecast
BTC weakening I haven't posted on here for quite a while, so I decided to update you on BTC.
We can appreciate that BTC has been forming bearish flags throughout this bear market. These are typical distribution patterns where traders take profit and bottom pickers gamble based on thin assumptions.
We can see that every time BTC broke out these formations it resulted in a strong volatile move to the downside. We also have similarities in how every time BTC recovered above the 52 MA, the loss of it would validate the pattern providing resistance and points of entry for shorts.
BTC had a mild reaction based on the last inflation data that had found resistance at the Anchored VWAP of the bottom of 2018. VWAP are level of interest where institutions look for liquidity in either sides (Supply and Demand). Institution and big funds to enter or unload their bags need a high amount of liquidity in order to fill their orders or pass their assets to you, otherwise they would create a strong reaction in the market or simply lose money in the spread created. VWAP is volume weighted average price so track the price average weighted for its volume suggesting areas where the price has strong volume.
BTC at the moment has clearly broke out the formation, however this time it seems there is less gasoline on fire. We have a very important level to keep our eyes on which is the previous 2017 peak. This level proved to be a strong support. At the same time the price have been overstretched to the downside which is clearly shown in the oscillators.
I would be cautious at this point as strong volatility may enter in both sides at this 18800. The pure target of the formation is down to 11k which is a strong possibility now. However pay attention at the data at 18800 as things may reverse quickly.
Short term I expect a retest to the broken support of the formation before a continuation to test the 18800 support.
At the moment I am staying on the sidelines waiting for a strong candle signal which either confirm the downtrend and show a potential reversal.
In my community we have recognised the warning signs early and we are out since 24000 avoiding a 17% drawdown of the last drop.
Just always remember to use sound risk management...DCA can be powerful long term (5 to 10 year) but short term will destroy your capital as I believe we don t have infinate fund and you will find yourself in a strong losing position. DCA is best at the beginning of a bull trend rather then in a bear market.
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BTCUSD preparing for another drop!!BTCUSD(D) long-term downtrend over the long term. Currently, the price has broken out of the daily channel and below all the level of support and creating a series of lower highs on the pull back. It is highly likely that price will create another impulse to the downside as the price action is likely to follow the long-term downtrend.
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BTC nothing much to add since my last update,perfectly followingBTC is looking bearish here and I have a time window for the first temp low on week of Sep 5th
Checkout my previous posts, no line moved since after, just following the script
There are a lot of buy prints on the recent low, a small move up is expected into EOW
BTCUSD top-down analysisHello traders, this is the full breakdown of this pair. We will take this trade if all the conditions are satisfied as discussed in the analysis. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
BTC Buy signal on DailyIn the history of the BTC, when we get a blue, buy signal on the Hash Ribbons indicator, we had nice pumps. Sometimes it was macro low, sometimes was not. But on the Smallest end, we had a 33% pump, and we had much much higher.
1. Average Pump before the major correction was around 60%. That was average, but you can see it was from 33% to 240%+-
2. Average days around 40.
Don't forget, if you look at the chart, it does not mean the moon now. It can test last low, before signal in this case around 17.5K (in history it did not break it, but it has retest it before pump)
Not Financial Advice DYOR.
BITCOIN CONSOLIDATING & PREPARING FOR UPSIDE.BITCOIN CONSOLIDATION & PREPARATION FOR A MILD BOUNCE FROM THE ASCENDING TRENDLINE.
Bitcoin has been consolidating on the ascending trendline which had been established over the past 2 months since its price bottomed in mid-June. The move looks to have been completed & relief on CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD price seems to be in the works.
RSI
The RSI on the 1H is at 30 (barely oversold), RSI on the 4H is at about 26 at the point of writing, and on the 15M, we can see RSI at the mid-range of 50. On the macro time frames the signal would be that after the latest capitulation move CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD is ready for relief & we should be eyeing a move to the ~61.80% level to the ~38.20% Fibonacci levels.
BB%B
The BB%B indicator with a longer period of 75 shows that there has been a double bottom of price action, which is also reflected on the chart at the support levels of $20,800 where the price has already bounced twice. We can expect to see a strong expansion or oscillation of the indicator to the upside above 1.0 readings over the next 36 hours from the writing of this post.
Targets
Based on the cyclical timeframe measurement, we should be able to expect the price to hit targets of $21,550 within the next 24 hours of the time of writing.
The secondary target for the relief bounce of price would be $21,795 within 48 hours of the time of writing based on the cyclical timeframe measurements.
If you managed to fill your entries around the $28,000 levels, you could expect a 3.18% move to the upside at target 1 ($21,550) & a 4.56% move to the upside at target 2 ($21,795).
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As usual, this piece of analysis is simply my perspective & due diligence is imperative when you are entering your trades.
Leave a like or comment if this piece of analysis helped.
Good luck trading.
NOIV
BTC forecastHi guys
Bitcoin price dropped from 25000. This area is not strong enough to cause the previous floor to break.
For this reason, in my opinion, we can see the return of the price from around 19800-19700. So, I am looking for the buy (long) trigger in the specified box.
The first target can be the range of 24000 and then 25100, 27200 and finally 29000.
As you can see, I don't have a precise opinion about the final target of this upward move and I prefer to move with the price and wait for the sell (short) trigger in the specified areas. (targets)
Wait for the next update of this analysis for the next move
good luck
BTCUSD first UP then DOWNHi fellow traders, BTCUSD still looks like a sideways correction and it's getting longer and more complex as the weeks go by. We are still expecting a final wave lower after this WXY correction ends. Watching closely for a sell opportunity from the blue box area. We will be updating the charts if the structure changes. Goodluck!
Potential reversal of BitcoinBefore starting an another bitcoin prediction i want to make it clear, I have been long from 19k level and bought some altcoins as well like Theta, Chainlink and Avax, I am okay if btc does another leg down. I have only invested small portion of profit which i did last May 2021.
BTC is either collecting orders at support level or taking a break for another leg down. However my estimation is bull up for upcoming reasons
Fear and Greed Index, Whenever Fear is lower than 15, it is a good time to go long, whenever greed is higher than 80, prepare to drop your bags)
20k zone, This zone was a peak of 2017 bullrun and so many investors are either going for BE or adding to their position.
BTC is making HL, each pullback is leaving higher HL on the chart, this means BTC can go parabolic on potential bull run.
Despite of high FED interest and high inflation, markets did not give up as much as Covid panic, this makes me thing that maybe BTC is outperfom rest of the indices.
Wish you all the best luck guys.
Risk management if we break 26k i will bring my SL to BE which is about 19k, same goes for my altcoins as well.
Good luck