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BTC/USDT 4HOUR UPDATEHello dear traders, we here new so we ask you to support our ideas with your LIKE and COMMENT, also be free to ask any question in the comments, and we will try to answer for all, thank you, guys. BITCOIN UPDATE: - 4-hour timeframe, the price broke above the $22.7K resistance level a few days ago but failed to hold above it and dropped back below fairly quickly. The massive drop has paused at the $19.5K support level for now. However, the market structure looks bullish at the moment, and a $21.7K seems probable. In this case, the $17.6K area could be tested once again to determine whether Bitcoin would make a new lower low or not. This is not a piece of financial advice. All investment made by me is at my own risk and I am held responsible for my own profit and losses. So, do your own research before investing in this trade. Sorry for my English it is not my native language. Hit the like button if you like it and share your charts in the comments section. Thank you
by CryptoSanders9563
3
✅ BTC 💥 +60k It’s been a rocky start to the year for Bitcoin , but experts still say it will hit $100,000 — and that it’s more a matter of when, not if. Bitcoin’s price plunged down to $37,000 Thursday after a brief rally the day prior, primarily driven by the Federal Reserve’s announcement that it is raising its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point. The Fed signaled that it will continue raising rates aggressively in the coming months and begin reducing asset holdings on its $9 trillion balance sheet in June. Investors continue to wrestle with concerns over rising inflation , geopolitical tensions, and the possibility of tighter monetary policy by the U.S. Federal Reserve . The crypto market has increasingly tracked the stock market in recent months, which makes it even more intertwined with global economic factors. With no end in sight, the war, inflation , and shifting monetary policy in the U.S. will likely continue to drive more volatility in the coming weeks and months, experts say. “The overall market has noticed the high correlation to Bitcoin and the general equities markets,” says Armando Aguilar, head of alternative strategies and research for Ledn, a digital asset savings and credit platform. “The S&P 500 and NASDAQ have had the largest correlations to Bitcoin with 0.88% and 0.91%, respectively. A correlation of one means that they move equally one to the other.” Bitcoin has only been above $45,000 for a few short stretches over the past four months, and hasn’t been above $50,000 since Dec. 25, 2021. Still, Bitcoin has stayed above its 6-month low below $34,000 in late January. Amid the ups and downs, Bitcoin’s current price is a long way off from the latest all-time high it hit in November, when it went over $68,000. But even with the recent decline in price, Bitcoin is still more than twice as valuable as it was just a couple years ago. For Bitcoin , these kinds of ups and downs are nothing new. Bitcoin Price Predictions It was easy to predict a $100,000 Bitcoin price late last year, coming off its latest all-time high in November. With Bitcoin’s big fall since then, the prediction game is even trickier. The most extreme crypto skeptics say Bitcoin will tank to as low as $10,000 in 2022, but a middle ground might be to say the cryptocurrency can still climb to $100,000 like many experts predicted late last year — just on a slower timeline. “The most knowledgeable educators in the space are predicting $100,000 Bitcoin in Q1 2022 or sooner,” Kate Waltman, a New York-based certified public accountant who specializes in crypto, told us back in November 2021. But now, bullish experts are re-evaluating the crypto industry altogether as major corporations like Nike and other big brands are looking at ways to monetize their products in the digital metaverse. The rise of metaverse games, worlds, products, and experiences is increasing the popularity of altcoins, which has changed investors’ sentiments about Bitcoin (known as the original crypto). Many experts are hesitant to predict a number and a date, but rather point to the trend of Bitcoin increasing its value over time. Investors should expect a “pretty sustainable” rise in Bitcoin’s long-term value driven by organic market movement, with the $100,000 threshold in near-sight, predicted Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, last October. “What I expect from Bitcoin is volatility short-term and growth long-term,” says Kiana Danial, founder of Invest Diva and author of “Cryptocurrency Investing For Dummies.” Here are some more predictions we found, ranked from low to high over the next year: Ian Balina Point of View: Bitcoin investor and founder of crypto research and media company Token Metrics Prediction: Bitcoin can go to $100,000-$150,000, but the timeline is unclear Why: Bitcoin is in a bearish sentiment cycle, but the total crypto market and other crypto asset classes are not. Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency, but now others have surpassed it in innovation when it comes to what experts call “Web 3” — aka the new internet built on blockchain. The release of new altcoins and hype about the metaverse will continue to drive the demand for crypto, and Bitcoin will therefore bounce back eventually. Matthew Hyland Point of View: Technical analysis and blockchain data analyst Prediction: Bitcoin can reach $100,000 in 2022 Why: The price of Bitcoin in January 2022 is almost equal to its price in January 2021, but there’s a new demand for altcoins. There’s also an ongoing trend of Bitcoin supply leaving major exchanges (presumably to be stored in offline crypto wallets), Hyland said in a tweet. He also recently tweeted that a dip below $40,000 could lead to “free fall” into a Bitcoin bear market. Robert Breedlove Point of View: Founder and CEO of the digital assets marketing and consulting firm Parallax Digital Prediction: $307,000 by October 2021 (now passed), and $12.5 million by 2031 Why: Inflationary pressures after COVID-19 will drive interest in cryptocurrency, pushing the value of Bitcoin up higher than previous projections estimated, Breedlove said in an interview earlier this year. Known as more of a philosopher type among crypto enthusiasts, Breedlove speaks often about the broader social implications of crypto as a form of more transparent, decentralized currency — but his price predictions haven’t exactly been spot-on. Big financial institutions have made their own predictions, as well, with JPMorgan predicting a long-term high of $146,000 and Bloomberg predicting it could hit $400,000 if the currency climbs at rates comparable to the past. *All text credits to Megan DeMatteo
Long
by MiguelFTCurado
3
Experts Say Bitcoin Could Hit $100,000 In 2022. Here’s What InveIt’s been a rocky start to the year for Bitcoin, but experts still say it will hit $100,000 — and that it’s more a matter of when, not if. Bitcoin’s price plunged down to $37,000 Thursday after a brief rally the day prior, primarily driven by the Federal Reserve’s announcement that it is raising its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point. The Fed signaled that it will continue raising rates aggressively in the coming months and begin reducing asset holdings on its $9 trillion balance sheet in June. Investors continue to wrestle with concerns over rising inflation, geopolitical tensions, and the possibility of tighter monetary policy by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The crypto market has increasingly tracked the stock market in recent months, which makes it even more intertwined with global economic factors. With no end in sight, the war, inflation, and shifting monetary policy in the U.S. will likely continue to drive more volatility in the coming weeks and months, experts say. “The overall market has noticed the high correlation to Bitcoin and the general equities markets,” says Armando Aguilar, head of alternative strategies and research for Ledn, a digital asset savings and credit platform. “The S&P 500 and NASDAQ have had the largest correlations to Bitcoin with 0.88% and 0.91%, respectively. A correlation of one means that they move equally one to the other.” Bitcoin has only been above $45,000 for a few short stretches over the past four months, and hasn’t been above $50,000 since Dec. 25, 2021. Still, Bitcoin has stayed above its 6-month low below $34,000 in late January. Amid the ups and downs, Bitcoin’s current price is a long way off from the latest all-time high it hit in November, when it went over $68,000. But even with the recent decline in price, Bitcoin is still more than twice as valuable as it was just a couple years ago. For Bitcoin, these kinds of ups and downs are nothing new. Bitcoin Price Predictions It was easy to predict a $100,000 Bitcoin price late last year, coming off its latest all-time high in November. With Bitcoin’s big fall since then, the prediction game is even trickier. The most extreme crypto skeptics say Bitcoin will tank to as low as $10,000 in 2022, but a middle ground might be to say the cryptocurrency can still climb to $100,000 like many experts predicted late last year — just on a slower timeline. “The most knowledgeable educators in the space are predicting $100,000 Bitcoin in Q1 2022 or sooner,” Kate Waltman, a New York-based certified public accountant who specializes in crypto, told us back in November 2021. But now, bullish experts are re-evaluating the crypto industry altogether as major corporations like Nike and other big brands are looking at ways to monetize their products in the digital metaverse. The rise of metaverse games, worlds, products, and experiences is increasing the popularity of altcoins, which has changed investors’ sentiments about Bitcoin (known as the original crypto). Many experts are hesitant to predict a number and a date, but rather point to the trend of Bitcoin increasing its value over time. Investors should expect a “pretty sustainable” rise in Bitcoin’s long-term value driven by organic market movement, with the $100,000 threshold in near-sight, predicted Jurrien Timmer, director of global macro at Fidelity Investments, last October. “What I expect from Bitcoin is volatility short-term and growth long-term,” says Kiana Danial, founder of Invest Diva and author of “Cryptocurrency Investing For Dummies.” Here are some more predictions we found, ranked from low to high over the next year: Ian Balina Point of View: Bitcoin investor and founder of crypto research and media company Token Metrics Prediction: Bitcoin can go to $100,000-$150,000, but the timeline is unclear Why: Bitcoin is in a bearish sentiment cycle, but the total crypto market and other crypto asset classes are not. Bitcoin was the first cryptocurrency, but now others have surpassed it in innovation when it comes to what experts call “Web 3” — aka the new internet built on blockchain. The release of new altcoins and hype about the metaverse will continue to drive the demand for crypto, and Bitcoin will therefore bounce back eventually. Matthew Hyland Point of View: Technical analysis and blockchain data analyst Prediction: Bitcoin can reach $100,000 in 2022 Why: The price of Bitcoin in January 2022 is almost equal to its price in January 2021, but there’s a new demand for altcoins. There’s also an ongoing trend of Bitcoin supply leaving major exchanges (presumably to be stored in offline crypto wallets), Hyland said in a tweet. He also recently tweeted that a dip below $40,000 could lead to “free fall” into a Bitcoin bear market. Robert Breedlove Point of View: Founder and CEO of the digital assets marketing and consulting firm Parallax Digital Prediction: $307,000 by October 2021 (now passed), and $12.5 million by 2031 Why: Inflationary pressures after COVID-19 will drive interest in cryptocurrency, pushing the value of Bitcoin up higher than previous projections estimated, Breedlove said in an interview earlier this year. Known as more of a philosopher type among crypto enthusiasts, Breedlove speaks often about the broader social implications of crypto as a form of more transparent, decentralized currency — but his price predictions haven’t exactly been spot-on. Big financial institutions have made their own predictions, as well, with JPMorgan predicting a long-term high of $146,000 and Bloomberg predicting it could hit $400,000 if the currency climbs at rates comparable to the past. *All text credits to Megan DeMatteo
Long
by MiguelFTCurado
4
BTCUSD - we won't hit 40k until we hit itFeb 5th '22, 12AM UTC --- good evening, here's a quick analysis of the BTC price action showing that it is not ready to reach 40k just yet , but might soon. Here I use the Phoenix Ascending, the Stochastic RSI and the regular RSI. General market outlook - Over the past week BTC has been correcting to the upside along with stocks. Now that this slow upward trend seems to have paused for now, there is fear of another breakdown to 33k and below. I do not think it's likely to happen in the short term: that breakdown was initiated by a panic move in the stock market, but stock indices strongly bounced up from where they landed. We could consider that for now, the markets have "absorbed" some of the panic caused by recent US Fed reports, that's why I think that we are not to retest those lows in the next days. Technical analysis, 1D time frame - On the Phoenix, we can see the lsma and rsi are hovering right over 50, which could lead us to think upward expansion is imminent. However I wouldn't be so quick to think that, because of how the two other indicators I use here are looking: the Stoch RSI is about to go below 80 and that could be the reason why the lsma will get temporarily rejected down at 50. (I am not an experienced user of the stoch). It has managed to make its way up here though, so it could retest level 50 by next week and potentially help us exit the current descending channel, but right now it's obvious we're not ready yet, right. Also, the regular RSI has just broken above an important (red dotted) dynamic resistance, while it doesn't necessarily mean the downward trend of BTC is over it shows that the RSI is on its way to recover to the upside. For now, as I expected the previous days, it's touched back down on that red line to find support and could then bounce up from it. in order to exit that major descending channel we've been trading in since ATH, I believe the 1D RSI would have to be above 40-45 at least though. Ultimately, it's still got a bit of work to do, and meanwhile we're still at risk of retesting 33k and below. Thanks for reading!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by relievedHawk1
No skinny dipping yetHi folks! First - as I like to update on my positions (because you should never trust anyone who do not put their money where their mouth is - and Tradingview should definitely have a "Proof of Position"-feature: I got liquidated on one of my shorts (46.3k, SL 52k, TP 30k) - equivalent to a 0.9% loss of my total free equity portfolio. I still hold the (49.5k, SL 56k, TP 30k) short and added an even larger (52.5k, SL 56k, TP 30k) short. I am currently short BTCUSD for about 2.5% of my free equity portfolio. In my opinion, we are in a massive financial bubble that will eventually burst - even from a Black Swan or (most likely) due to (possibly some combination of) very highly probable factors such as liquidity decrease and less complacency. This has - as you mave have seen from my ideas for the past couple of months - convinced me that the best thing you can to is to sit it out, bet on volatility and possibly enter some short positions is a possibility arises, although with a proper risk management strategy (see the Kelly Criterion). Now, as I have stated multiple times, I am mostly trading VIX futures these days in the since that I buy big amounts of short term future contracts (you can do this through ETFs such as VIXY/VXX etc for simplicity, but you should definitely understand the math before you jump into this - which holds for all investments). However, the grim technicals in BTCUSD - especially the volume divergence - has made me enter short positions for the last month. After the fact, you may say I was too early or placed a too tight SL on my first short, but this is a probabilistic game and you lose sometimes - also, the tight SL is often a bad idea in crypto markets unless you are a scalp trader. Also, if you have the opportunity to enter volatility contracts for a good price (not binance vol options!), that might be better than shorting. Now, I have marked concurrent divergences in RSI and MACD on the daily as buy (long)/sell (short) signals with a price range until the next opposite indicator. As you can see, this simple indicator has yielded massive gains at all signals this year (given that you held the entire position until an opposite signal appeared, which is not recommended due to the change in expected value, and also required you to hold a loose SL at some occasions). This indicator - especially coupled with a volume divergence (which is arguably the most important) - hold up very good historically in both directions. Just check for yourself if you do not believe me. We also saw a first rejection off the what was the support line of the broken ascending wedge today, and the singal is confirmed on up until 4h - if this continues to hold throuhgout the dayly candle, it is another important indicator that supports the sell signal based on the stated triple DIV. For the record, I am a huge believer in blockchain technology, and I also own some staked DOT and ETH. I also plan to place the potential profit of my shorts and/or volatility bets in crypto (in addition to real assets) if I am right - I just think this is a terrible risk/reward environment where the expected value is higher on the short side than the long side in both the U.S. stock market, bond markets and crypto. DYOR. NFA. Never take the words of others as a given, and never take advise from one some without skin in the game. I wish you all well :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TheDots
Triple DIV on Daily as well - Take profit/shortHi folks! As those of you who have followed my predictions for a while now are aware of, I have a massive bearish bias these days - while my predictions in the last weeks have yet to become a reality, my stated short positions are still alive and well. This is first and foremost due to the extremely scary macroeconomic state (and thus fragility of the financial markets), but also the fact that we have had massive Bearish Divergence on both RSI, MACD and (most importantly) Volume in almost asset classes. Today, the triple DIV played out in BTCUSD on the daily as well, piling on to my bearishness. My position placed today is Short BTCUSD at 49500, SL 56000, TP 30000 - adding to my short from 46300 with SL 52000 and TP 30000. For the record, I also hold over 30% of my portfolio in VIX futures (@VIXY) due to the mentioned macro picture. The reason is a combination of systemic overvaluation in addition to the fact that liquidity is evaporating from the markets (just check trading volume and decrease in margin debt). I would state that shorting is a risky business, and that just taking profits and/or buy volatility contracts might be a preferable option here. I would never recommend shorting to anyone unless one feels extremely confident in the probability distribution and you know how to manage risks - I just state my position to let you know that I put my money where my mouth is. DYOR. NFA. Never take the word of others as a given - and never take advise from someone who has no skin in the game. I wish you all well.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TheDots
12
Update - Really bad BTCUSD Technicals!Hi folks! See my previous posts - I just marked the concurrent divergences in RSI and MACD that leads to my long(blue)/short(red) signals. If someone think the market structure is bullish - please let med know! My position is the same as in the last post: . See my linked post regarding the VIX for an idea of a good R/R bet right now* DYOR. NFA. Never take the word of others as a given - and never take advise from someone who does not walk the talk! I wish you all well!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TheDots
4
Technicals look very bad ATMMassive DIV in both RSI, MACD ans Volume on the 4h ++ now - if T.A. is your trading game, the picture could not get more clear imo. Of course, we might get some market manipulation here due to the ridiculously low volume, but this is a game of probability, it damn sure looks like a solid downside move is the most probable. My trade ATM is a small Short from 46300 with SL 52k and TP 30k (I always take profit according to the Kelly criterion, so I will close most way before 30k). Vertical lines represent long (blue)/short (red) positions based on concurrent DIV in RSI and MACD on the 4h* Also see my linked post on the global risk state for a broader perspective! DYOR. NFA. I wish you all well! Neer take the word of others as a given - and never take advise from someone who has nothing to lose by giving it!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TheDots
7
Massive Bearish DIV on almost all time framesHi folks! This is just a short and simple post based on the simple principle of concurrent divergence. We can se a very clear divergence on the 1h here, but the divergence is als very clear almost all time frames (1D and shorter). Although not marked in the chart, we can also see a massive decrease in volume during the last bounce - this is very rarely a good sign for a bullish move! Buy/Sell signals according to my principles are marked as blue/red verticals respectively. Be careful! DYOR. NFA. I wish you all the best!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TheDots
8
Wait for next bottom + divergence!As always - wait for the dead cat to bounce to make a bet that it is not dead after all. In other words - wait for a lower bottom with bullish divergence and decide whether to make a bet or not if that happens based on the sentiment in all financial markets. Marked "short" due to my belief that we will see lower prices soon - not because I recommend open short positions, as I think the market in untradeable atm. DYOR. NFA. Never take the word of others as a given! I wish you all well :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TheDots
BTC following Bearsh Divergence signalHi folks! For my massive warning based on the global macro state, see linked post. Otherwise, BTCUSD posted a very clear Bearish Divergence on the 1h the past day or two which seems to play out according to the signal now (sell signal marked with red vertical line). Also, before the El Salvador news and the latest round of "Pin The Donkey - Elon version", we saw a big breakdown from a symmetric triangle - and given the rather muted reaction to these events, this might act as a confirmation of the said bearish breakout. Marked short because I believe we will see lower prices - not because I am opening a short position (as I do not short except under very special states such as "Sell the news"-events like the Eth 2.0 launch in Dec/Coinbase launch. My point of making this post is as a warning not to be greedy in a macro state where one should be very fearful as an investor. Otherwise, I am a massive fan of a Decentralized financial system, so I am very bullish on some crypto projects in the long haul, and also have a decent amount of ADA and DOT staked in their respective protocols. DYOR. NFA. Never take the word of others as a given! I wish you all well :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TheDots
Be careful - Wait for next bottom (long VIX?)Hi folks! I think we are in a macroeconomic state that suggest extreme caution with ones investments, so I would personally rather stack up on something like VIX futures than anything else these days - se the linked post on my macro take). Note that the big stock indexes (Sp500, Nasdaq, Dow, Nikkei, DAX etc.) also have horrible technicals right now. However, there might be decent trading opportunities in volatile assets, and we have seen time and time again that the trigger for trend reversal is a strong bullish divergence at the second big bottom on the 30m/1h on BTCUSD. If we see this now, it might also be a decent time to start a DCA again for People Who sold in time. Be careful! Never take the word of others as a given. I wish you all well :) DYOR.NFA.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by TheDots
The kettle has been turned onBears are losing the attempt to play the downtrend and instead turning resistance areas into support,the channel has not broken and support still stands 10.6,10k.The accumulation over the past 3 months is setting up for a huge ending quarter for the market in my personal opinion. I think this test of resistance may be the right amount of pressure at exactly the right time for the bulls to break through. Weekly: Very short term bearish.10.7k-10.4k Monthly: Bullish trend occurring with increasing levels of volatility for Big 15 swaps.
Long
by Glo1235122
BTCUSD: The granddaddy of all crypto, we go as far as BTC gonesHi All, Hope all your trades are going well! It's all in the chart. BTC short-term looks to be heading 3000-2375 Please caustion when trading BTC, BTC has been Pronounced dead 328 times I ask you all not trade against the trend, however, it's up to you all. I firmly believe we have At the bottom before BTC can bounce back 3500. Be sure to follow me and like this post if it was helpful, and thank you all. Like the Phoenix we will rise from the ashes Happy trading People....
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by letsgetit