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Buyjpy

GBPJPY short day-tradeI took this entry signal however when the new candle opened price quickly moved down thus changing my SL pips and size. The new calculated size was not the minimum contracts that I can trade -AND- due to the Fear of Missing Out I still entered anyways. I technically forced this setup since it originally met my criteria but I wasn't fast to the gun and the conditions of the situation quickly changed and it suddenly didn't meet my criteria YET I still entered- FOMO. I'll be much better off trading based off of Logic rather than Fear/Emotion when moving forward. I want to learn from this. Not just that I believe I Need to learn from this to become a successful trader.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
1
Short NZD/JPY setup 3/18/20This was a well executed trade. I waited patiently and executed for the most part without fear. I wasn't thinking while executing but more so focusing on my process. I've adopted the belief that "getting into the habit of taking profits off the table, discipline" is a useful belief. It caused me to close the position at 11 pips profit. I believe this to be a useful belief but I must also cut losses prior to my SL if I'm also going to TP before 1:1 RR
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
1
USD/JPY SHORTFundamentals:- The USD has been surprisingly bouyant considering the recent Employment data and the fact that Trump just pulled out of the Iranian Nuclear Deal. Although the Iranian deal may be a financial positive for the US it should still send investors flocking to safe haven currencies such as the JPY. I would like to see some more downside pressure on this currency pair before committing to the trade. Techncials:- It was the techncials that caught my eye on this trade. The daily chart shows a nice double top with the base line running at 10880 giving a good suggestion for a sell entry. This double top is also the 61.8% Fibonacci pull back from the January High. So a good area of confluence at around these prices. For the full analysis sign up to the 30day free trial on the BOAFX Trading Signal Solutions website.
Short
by FreeForexSignals4u
GBPJPY ShortFundamental Analysis:- We are looking for a weaker GBP next week as CPI is expected to drop slightly y/y although this will not have a long term effect on the value of the GBP; Brexit negotiations could still weigh heavily on the GBP. There is talk of a second referendum if Parliament don't get the deal they want to leave the European Union which could effect the GBP either way. On the JPY side of the equation;- although data from Japan has not been outstanding it is more the safe haven quality of the currency that I am interested in. With the USD weakening against most major currencies investors could start looking to JPY for stability. At the current price of over 152.00 I would consider the GBP to be overvalued against the JPY Technical Analysis:- As you can see from the chart the downside in the GBP/JPY last week was met by a 61% Fibonacci retracement where the price seems to have found resistance. I am expecting the GBP/JPY to have another leg down to retest support around the 14700 level. Trade price :- on market open as long as it does not open above 15280 preferably between 15200 and 15230. stop loss:- Above 15370 take profit :- 14750
Short
by FreeForexSignals4u
RELATIVE VALUE: BEST EXPRESSION OF BREXIT - GBP VS USD, JPY, CHFAn analysis of which LONG has the best value against the short GBP to play the Brexit. [ - GBPUSD has a target handle of 1.385. - GBPJPY target handle at 1.483. - GBPCHF target handle at 1.335 . - IMO currently i rule out GBPUSD short, as USD doesnt have the same "risk-off" demand as CHF and JPY. Also USD and GBP economies are perhaps the most highly correlated, both economically and politically out of the pairs hence Brexit downside may/ will spill over into USD uncertainty also and may cause a lack of USD demand relatively to the unlinked regions of JPY and CHF. Not to mention GU has moved 400-500pips lower (the most) in a week and short liquidity is getting tighter - i think momentum is slowing in this pair - it isnt making any lows. Also at 1.41 there is little interest to get short/ for new shorts to be added as we near the all time low handle at 1.38 - hence JPY/CHF denominations which arent at all time low levels are better expressions of downside GBP. - I think a dynamic and better way to play the BREXIT vote is using a long CHF or JPY denominator as you get a "two-way" short. e.g. investors will be actively buying JPY and CHF to hold a risk-off asset, that hedges against volatility/uncertainty/risk that the Brexit possibility holds (even more so if polls continue to become more skewed to a Leave vote - Guardian recently posted 55% in favour of the leave) - thus by denominating CHF or JPY you benefit from the demand momentum AND the Supply momentum of everyone wanting to sell/get rid of GBP as uncertainty and perceived risks/vols increases. - Therefore, Given the further 300pips of downside available in GBPCHF downside (300pips) relatively to JPY (100 pips) it has some way to to fall yet - especially once investors begin to realise JPY is an over expensive risk-off asset, they will demand CHF more as the next best/ cheapest way to hold safety AND GBP downside. - Also, since Sunday night short GBPJPY has performed twice as well as GBPCHF (2x as many pips lower - however this means that now GBPJPY is becoming oversold so we should choose short GBPCHF now). The GBPJPY 2x move lower vs GBPCHF is unsurprising as historically investors seek JPY first, until long liquidity tightens (overpriced) then they seek CHF as the next best alternative. However it is important to note, that in most high risk occasions, at the point of the event CHF and JPY eventually end up at the same levels e.g. it is a time horizon difference, JPY isnt necessairly better than CHF in the long run, JPY just receives liquidity BEFORE CHF, but not more than CHF in the end. - Illustrating this - GBPCHF has lost the LEAST to date in pips compared to GBPJPY and GBPUSD over the last while - hence why currently GBPCHF is the best short/ has the most pips available to short. Thus assuming you have missed the short GBPJPY I advise now adding GBPCHF short as we have 300 pips until the nearby handle at 1.338 (rather JPY only has 100 pips to the handle at 1.483). -Also one other element to note, is that EUR pairs e.g. EURJPY and EURCHF are also relatively cheaper than GBPJPY and GBPCHF - short EUR numerated shorts are also the next best/ next most valuable shorts after GBP numerations. Hence - imo once GBPCHF reaches the handle at 1.335 I will be looking to short EUR numerations as they are still relatively cheaper (The demand is for GBP as GBP is the most sensitive), however short EUR is the next most sensitive numerator as the EUROZONE is the next most affected ccy, since the UK EU Referendum directly impacts Euro area economy. Volatility demand: - Also not to mention GBPJPY and GBPCHF 1wk and 1m risk reversals in the long run are becoming negative at a higher rate/ momentum compare to USD e.g. investors are buying GBPJPY and GBPCHF Puts at an increasingly faster rate than GBPUSD puts (the change of the RR values are increasingly negative more than the GU - The GU RRs are almost already fully priced). Hence we are no
Short
by QuantumLogicTrading
short USDJPYWe are looking to short the USDJPY trading out of the monetary policy report tomorrow morning. The market is starting to believe that the BoJ will add further stimulus but I don't think that is the case o at this meeting. Safe haven flows are still a big factor in the direction of this currency pair with the JPY being a sort after currency in times of risk off sentiment. I expect a spike up on the lead up to the announcement then a sell off if the BoJ do not announce further stimulus. learn to trade like a pro for FREE bankonadam.com
Short
by FreeForexSignals4u