BVIV — Trading Ideas on TradingView

BVIV major BULL season ahead, BTC (from 106k) and ALTS ↑↑↑BVIV volatility index is a major confluence that 99% don't look at. Proof of this is there are only 3 posts about it, and one of them is mine lol. This is the 4th one. So you know its special. This btc index is a major predictor of the market. When this shifts majorly, the whole market gets magnetized by it in massive scale. Based on the current long term metrics. BVIV is hinting of another monster shift. It took 16 months for this signal to resurfaced. Last one was from September 2023, where BTC surge from 24k to 112k in 7 months. And as of this writing, June 2025 another big shift is transpiring after 16 months of long wait -- conveying another major ascend ahead in the next coming months. Ideal seeding season is now -- you cant miss out because this change in structure doesnt come often. When this shows up, YOU SHOW UP. :) Expect some weighty rise on the next few seasons. Market will be very very generous. Spotted at 106k btc / 2400 eth. Targets: Sky is the limit. TAYOR. Trade safely. Not financial advice.

BTC Bullish Outlook Based on BVIV Indicators (Oct 2024)Overview: I’m seeing a strong bullish signal for BTC based on the latest data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility Index (BVIV) and related indicators. Here’s why I believe the current setup favors a potential move to the upside. Technical Analysis: BVIV (Volatility Index): The BVIV is trending lower, signaling that implied volatility is cooling off. Historically, declining volatility often precedes price stabilization, which can be a precursor to a bullish breakout. While the Z-score hasn't crossed below 0 yet, the trend suggests that this could soon happen, reinforcing the idea that the market is bottoming out. ATR Percentage: The ATR% is nearing the midline, and a break above it could indicate the start of increasing price action. This typically signals momentum building up for a larger directional move. Given that volatility is cooling off, I interpret this as a bullish signal for BTC. Z-Score of RSI: The Z-score of RSI has yet to cross below 0, but it is approaching the threshold. Once it does, it would further confirm the dissipation of overbought conditions and signal that bearish momentum is fading, adding strength to the bullish case. Macro Factors Supporting BTC: Institutional Adoption: With Bitcoin ETFs progressing toward approval and increasing institutional interest, BTC is poised to benefit from a shift in market sentiment. Global Liquidity Trends: Central banks have recently softened their stance on aggressive rate hikes, improving liquidity conditions for risk-on assets like BTC. This shift could support a price recovery. Safe-Haven Narrative: As inflation remains a concern, Bitcoin could reclaim its narrative as a store of value, particularly if traditional assets struggle amidst ongoing economic uncertainty. Post-Halving Cycle: Bitcoin is now several months into its post-halving phase (April 2024), a period that has historically seen significant price appreciation as supply constraints kick in. We could see this dynamic continue to play out, especially as the market anticipates further price gains in the months to come. Conclusion: Based on the alignment of these technical indicators and broader macroeconomic factors, I believe BTC is poised for a bullish breakout. While implied volatility is decreasing, rising ATR% suggests momentum is building for a strong move. I’ll be watching for confirmation of the Z-score crossing below 0 on the BVIV and ATR% breaking above the midline for additional conviction.

How to use Implied Volatility Index to analyze Bitcoin ▮ Introduction Bitcoin is known for its price volatility. Analyzing the price chart alone is often not enough to make buy and sell decisions. Implied volatility indexes such as DERIBIT:DVOL and VOLMEX:BVIV can complement traditional technical analysis by providing insights into market sentiment and expectations. ▮ Understanding DVOL/BVIV DVOL and BVIV measure the expected implied volatility of Bitcoin over the next 30 days, derived from real-time call and put options. DVOL is calculated by Deribit, the world's largest Bitcoin and Ether options exchange. BVIV is calculated by Volmex Finance; the data is extracted from exchanges (currently Deribit and OKX), and then combined into a single set. * In addition to Bitcoin, it is possible to analyze Ethereum-specific instruments through the ticks DERIBIT:ETHDVOL and VOLMEX:EVIV, whose line of reasoning is the same. ▮ Interpreting the chart 🔶 High DVOL/BVIV values indicate that the market expects greater volatility in the next 30 days. This is usually associated with uncertainty, fear, or expected major events. 🔶 The index does not indicate the direction of the price, but rather whether volatility will increase or decrease. 🔶 Low values indicate an expectation of lower volatility and are usually associated with calmer and more optimistic markets. 🔶 To get an idea of the expected daily movement of Bitcoin, simply divide the DVOL value by 20. For example, a DVOL of 100 indicates an expected daily movement of 5%. 🔶 Divergences between the price of Bitcoin and DVOL/BVIV can signal inflection points. 🔶 Price rising with a drop in DVOL/BVIV may indicate exhaustion and a potential top. 🔶 Price falling with a drop in DVOL/BVIV may indicate exhaustion and a potential bottom. ▮ Example The price of BTC here is at the top in white. The DVOL and the RSI of DVOL are both in red. The reason I put the RSI here is that it is easier to analyze DVOL, since the values are in a fixed range, therefore easier to interpret. On March 25, 2022, the RSI shows a contracted value of 30, that is, low implied volatility. This foreshadows a period of calm that precedes a period of agitation. In this case, the “agitation” soon materializes in a period of price decline. When the RSI then reaches the upper limit range, at 83 (on May 12, 2022), a peak in volatility is characterized. Then, after that, it begins to decrease. This decrease in volatility in DVOL corroborates the moment of Bitcoin’s lateralization within the orange box. ▮ Conclusion Although DVOL and BVIV should not be used in isolation, they can be valuable tools for confirming price chart signals and anticipating major movements. Incorporating implied volatility analysis into your strategy, can improve the timing of entries/exits and help manage risk. ⚠️ But remember: Just because a strategy worked in the past does not mean it will work forever. Past profitability is no guarantee of future profitability. Do your own analysis and risk management.

BVIV BTC recharging again for the next runup based on new index.I came across BVIV - Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility Index to time the next surge. Currently we're on a consolidation phase again, and BTC about to create a new base again for the next series of ascend. It's getting riper every hour now for that next surge. New daily shift has been spotted. We are close to that stage. Let's test this one out. Spotted at 60.0 TAYOR. Safeguard funds always.