GBPCAD - Inverse head and shoulders pattern forming?Analysis:
Price last week managed to put in a new higher high showing us that we're in an upwards trend meaning that we only want to be going long on this pair. At this level we saw that price held as support if we look left so we expect that it will hold again. Now for this particular setup we don't have any fib levels which we usual look for but we do instead have another pattern, an inverse head and shoulders pattern. This is a bullish chart pattern which is often followed by a bullish move after the second shoulder is formed which is what we expect and this second shoulder lines up with our support level. To add further to this level of support we have a previous downwards trendline that was broken and now is being retested for support. We expect that buyers will set here and will want to hold this level making it a good buying opportunity. Taking a look at the fundamentals we have the GBP which is the 3rd strongest major currency compared to the CAD which is the 2nd weakest major currency so this is already going in our favour, but we get even more confluence as we dig deeper. As of the most recent report for institutional positioning on the CAD we saw an increase in both long and short positions so this is pretty neutral but this isn't the same story for the GBP. As of the most recent report on the GBP for institutional positioning we saw an increase in long positions and a decrease in short positions showing the strength of the GBP and we expect that this will continue. Overall the technicals and the fundamentals are pointing to bullishness on this pair which is why we have our long bias on GBPCAD.
Please feel free to leave any comments you have and like this idea if you agree with us. Any feedback or comments will be read. We appreciate it all.
Stay Safe - JPI
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does to. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
