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Market Analysis: USD/CAD DipsMarket Analysis: USD/CAD Dips USD/CAD declined and now consolidates below the 1.4350 level. Important Takeaways for USD/CAD Analysis Today - USD/CAD started a fresh decline after it failed to clear the 1.4415 resistance. - There was a break below a major bullish trend line USD/CAD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair climbed toward the 1.4420 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The US Dollar formed a swing high near 1.4415 and recently declined below the 1.4350 support against the Canadian Dollar. There was also a close below the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.4310. There was a break below a major bullish trend line with support at 1.4310. The bulls are now active near the 1.4300 level. The pair is now consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4415 swing high to the 1.4288 low. If there is a fresh increase, the pair could face resistance near the 1.4330 level. The next key resistance on the USD/CAD chart is near the 1.4350 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.4415 swing high to the 1.4288 low. If there is an upside break above 1.4350, the pair could rise toward the 1.4400 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.4415 zone, above which it could rise steadily toward the 1.4450 resistance zone. Immediate support is near the 1.4290 level. The first major support is near 1.4260. A close below the 1.4260 level might trigger a strong decline. In the stated case, USD/CAD might test 1.4240. Any more losses may possibly open the doors for a drop toward the 1.4400 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Trump reshaping Canada’s election and Loonie Six weeks ago, a Conservative victory in the next Canadian election seemed inevitable. Now, that certainty is fading. Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre's support from the American right, including Elon Musk, is becoming a potential liability as Canada faces an unprecedented challenge: the U.S. president openly questioning its viability as a nation, threatening tariffs, and even suggesting annexation. A recent Nanos poll shows 39.6% of Canadians see new Liberal leader Mark Carney as the most qualified to negotiate with Trump, compared to 26% for Poilievre. This uncertainty may be weighing on the Canadian dollar. USDCAD broke lower last week, falling below key support (1.4260 - 1.4466), signaling a shift toward sellers. However, the 1-hour chart shows a minor upward trendline defining the current pullback.
by BlackBull_Markets
CAD/USD 15-Minute Analysis: Head & Shoulders BreakoutCAD/USD 15-Minute Analysis: Head & Shoulders Breakout On the 15-minute time frame, CAD/USD has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern, and the price has broken below the neckline trendline, signaling potential bearish momentum. Here's my idea: Entry:AT 0.4146$ Target: The next significant support level, marked in the green zone. This pattern suggests further downside, but as always, manage your risk carefully and monitor price action as we approach the target zone. Let me know your thoughts and share your analysis below! 👍
Short
by WaveRiders2
Why is the Canadian Dollar Outperforming Expectations?A Deep Dive into the Unexpected Resilience of the CAD In a landscape marked by economic uncertainty, the Canadian dollar has defied the odds, exhibiting remarkable resilience. This unexpected strength is a result of a complex interplay of factors, including the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, market dynamics, and global commodity trends. The Federal Reserve's Pivotal Role The Federal Reserve's shift towards a more accommodative monetary policy has been a key driver of the CAD's rally. The Fed's hints at potential rate cuts, especially in response to a weakening labor market, have weakened the U.S. dollar, boosting the appeal of other G10 currencies, including the CAD. This has created a favorable environment for the Canadian dollar, as investors seek higher-yielding alternatives to the U.S. dollar. Short Covering and Positioning Dynamics Another significant factor contributing to the CAD's strength is a wave of short covering. Traders had previously bet against the CAD, anticipating a divergence between the easing cycles of the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada. However, as the U.S. dollar weakened and the CAD began to rise, these short positions became increasingly unsustainable. Traders were forced to unwind their bets, adding momentum to the CAD's rally. The Impact of Rising Oil Prices Canada's significant oil exports make it particularly sensitive to fluctuations in oil prices. The recent increase in crude oil prices, driven by geopolitical tensions and potential supply disruptions, has provided a further boost to the CAD. As a major oil producer, Canada benefits from higher oil prices, which can lead to increased exports and a stronger currency. Assessing the Risks and Challenges While the CAD's rally has been impressive, it is important to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could undermine its momentum. The Bank of Canada's rate cuts, although expected, could narrow yield differentials and put pressure on the CAD. Additionally, ongoing global uncertainties and subdued risk appetite could limit the loonie's upside potential. Key Data to Watch Several key data releases will be closely monitored in the coming weeks. Canada's GDP data will provide insights into the health of the Canadian economy and could influence the Bank of Canada's policy trajectory. Meanwhile, U.S. economic reports, such as PCE, will be watched for potential shifts that could affect the USD/CAD exchange rate. Conclusion The Canadian dollar's unexpected resilience is a testament to its strength in a challenging economic environment. While the current momentum is positive, investors should remain cautious and closely monitor key economic indicators. By understanding the underlying factors driving the CAD's rally and assessing the potential risks, investors can make informed decisions about their currency exposure.
Short
by MorMedia
GBPCAD: Strong start for GBP fading out?GBP has been the strongest performing currency so far this year - I keep asking myself why?? Country in a recession Stagnant economy Limp Central Bank With today's unemployment reading I'm expecting this to be the start of bearish involvement in sterling, I'm starting with this pair. Think oil has dropped a lot and could be ready to bounce up which is good for CAD. Seem to have broken the ascending trendline and retesting it now, failure to break back in will signify a change in direction. My first target is 1.708, around the MA50 (daily) and clear support.
Short
by Finchcliffe
Ummmm.... Hey as you can see, I don't know diddly about charting but hopefully the fancy bullseye got your attention. This ETF appears to be in distress!! The only reason I'm reviewing is that a friend said it has been a MF recommendation. Sometimes they seem to have good timing but this one and my advice to my friend was, even if you believe in the fundamentals of the ETF, the economy is still in a world of pain and Cnd banks are still under mad pressure. The Div looks nice...maybe after it closes the gap I'll take a look again after that but right now the chart is ugly and I'd stay eagle eyes and not involved.
NEO:HCAL
by Honkytime
Canadian Dollar - CAD - pairs(This post is to be a collection place/"container" for all CAD - Canadian Dollar - and related pairs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- After weeks of consolidation near the bottom of a rising, long-term, weekly price trend channel, the USDCAD looks to be poised for a near-term, +500 pt topside breakout, toward visible targets around the 1.3650s level. The well-formed, large bullish Wedge further suggests a potentially swift, upward price move. The USDCAD Daily;
by Nemo_Confidat
Another Trading OpportunitySo yes we missed the previous swing. Not because our analysis were wrong, but rather because of our refinement of the PB to a much smaller zone. No need to reflect on it or worry about it for too long. It is gone. Let it go. So we move our focus to the next swing. The market is setting up for the next swing. We have a new PB and we are getting ready to jump on it. As always, we have marked out our refined zone from the PB and now we are waiting. Price is currently retracing bearish. We expect prices to come into our zone, and from there we will look to trade this pair. As you already know, if you are regular with our analysis, the target is the 1 hour liquidity target up above.
Long
by PanzyPips
Bulls now in ControlThe 1 hour chart has maintained its bullish momentum fron yesterday. It has gone ahead to clear out the 4 hour zone and breach the 4 hour Bearish PB. Trend is now Bullish on the 1 hour and 4 hour timeframes, and this brings them in sync with the direction of the Daily chart timeframe With our new Bullish PB in place on the 1 hour chart, we have marked out our zone for expected Bullish reversal. We will be looking to take trades when the market returns to the zone, using one of the methods taught on the Panzy Pips course
Long
by PanzyPips