Downloading...
Download

Cashflow

$SEDG BEATS + and No Worries! Confessions from the DeskConfessions from the Desk: 10X, Black Coffee, and No Worries SolarEdge is up 20%, and my Feb 21, 2025, $20 strike call has officially 10X’d. That’s right—after weeks of my portfolio looking like a crime scene, I’ve finally hit a clean, beautiful, 10X multiplier. And today? I’m sipping my black coffee like a hedge fund manager who actually knows what they’re doing. Not even the endless tariff talk, geopolitical panic, or Fed fearmongering can shake me today. Let them try—I’ll just take another sip. Now, let’s be real. Am I suddenly a genius? No. Did I see this coming? Also no. But I’m here, and I’m winning. And in this market, that’s all that matters. So cheers to today. The market gods have finally smiled upon me.
NASDAQ:SEDG
by TwoBULLISH
Kinross Gold $KGC: Cash Flow King or Gold Risk? Kinross Gold (KGC): Cash Flow King or Gold Risk? 🏅💰 1/10 Kinross Gold NYSE:KGC surged 5.07%, hitting $10.57 per share. Revenue last quarter was $1.432 billion, driven by strong operations. 🔥 The gold sector might be glimmering again... 2/10 Earnings alert! NYSE:KGC releases its Q4 2024 results on February 12, 2025. Last quarter’s EPS beat was impressive: $0.232 vs. $0.178 expected. Will they outperform again? 📈 3/10 Free cash flow is booming: $450 million last quarter. Kinross repaid $650 million of a $1 billion loan. That’s aggressive debt reduction—investors love a clean balance sheet. 💸 4/10 Kinross trades at a P/E ratio of 17.59, relatively reasonable for its sector. Analysts see upside, especially considering the company’s free cash flow yield, outperforming peers like Barrick and Newmont. 📊 5/10 Risks remain. Gold price volatility directly impacts NYSE:KGC 's profitability. A price downturn would hurt margins despite their strong cash flow. ⚖️ Can Kinross hedge against gold’s wild price swings? 6/10 Strengths: NYSE:KGC ’s operational efficiency and strong cash flow allow it to reduce debt aggressively. Its high-quality assets in stable regions offer a defensive advantage. 🛡️ 7/10 Weaknesses: Kinross relies heavily on gold prices. Operational issues at key mines like Bald Mountain or Round Mountain could disrupt production guidance. ⛏️ Will mine performance stay strong? 8/10 Opportunities: Kinross can expand production in current and new mining regions. Operational improvements could boost margins, especially with ongoing debt reduction enhancing financial flexibility. 🏆 9/10 Threats: Competition for mining rights, inflationary pressures, and geopolitical risks threaten NYSE:KGC ’s long-term stability. Can they manage rising costs while expanding operations? 🌐 10/10 Is Kinross Gold NYSE:KGC worth the risk or reward in 2025? Vote now! 🗳️ Golden buy opportunity 🏆 Hold for now 🔄 Too risky, avoid ⚠️
NYSE:KGCLong
by DCAChampion
1
XRP/USD Trade Update - Liquidity Grab & Potential Reversal I’m still holding my XRP/USD long position, but price recently broke to the downside from a wedge formation. Instead of continuing directly toward my TP, it’s now seeking engineered liquidity before making its next move. 🔎 Key Observations: ✅ Liquidity Grab: Price is dipping into a key liquidity zone, sweeping weak hands before a potential move back up. ✅ 30M Order Block: I’ve identified a demand zone around 2.8170, which could act as support for a reversal. ✅ Bullish Continuation? If price holds the 2.8170 area and reacts strongly, I anticipate a move back toward TP levels. However, if this zone fails, I’ll reassess my bias. 🎯 Plan Moving Forward: 📌 Watching the 30M order block reaction closely. 📌 If bullish confirmation appears, I expect a push back toward my TP. 📌 If invalidated, I’ll adjust my trade accordingly. Let me know what you think—are you still bullish on XRP/USD? Drop your thoughts in the comments! #XRPUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #Liquidity #OrderBlocks #Forex #CryptoTrading Bless Trading!
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by Juicemannn
9
XRP/USD: Bullish Continuation from Falling Wedge Formation Description: Current Setup: I am still holding my trade on XRP/USD, targeting 3.3901. The pair is currently consolidating within a wedge-like structure, a classic falling wedge. This pattern often signals a continuation of the prevailing bullish trend. Why Bullish Bias? 1. Liquidity Grab: Price swept multiple lows during this consolidation phase, confirming liquidity inducement. 2. Trend Continuation: Higher timeframe analysis aligns with bullish intent, and this wedge structure adds confluence for a push toward my TP. 3. Institutional Order Block: Price perfectly tapped into the 4H institutional order block, validating my entry point at 2.8887. Expectations: As the consolidation narrows, I anticipate a breakout to the upside, driving price toward my target. I’ll be monitoring how price reacts near the wedge breakout for confirmation of momentum. Key Levels: • Entry: 2.8887 • TP: 3.3901 • SL: 2.6529 What’s Next? If price maintains bullish momentum after breaking the wedge, it could signal additional opportunities for continuation trades. Stay tuned as I update progress on this trade! Bless trading!
COINBASE:XRPUSDLong
by Juicemannn
$GOLD: Potential Bullish BAMM on A High Cash Flowing Gold MinerThis gold miner has a lot of cash flow and actually brings in some income, which are two traits that are quite rare to see in gold miner stocks. Though it does trade at a very high P/E, it still appears to be a financial rarity within the sector, and therefore the Barrick Gold Corporation has caught my attention, and I would expect that this one will be among the top performing miner stocks if the price of actual gold were to rise. As for the technicals, we have some monthly Bullish Divergence at the 100-Month Moving Average, and we are going to be looking to break above a trend line that could later bring us up to the 0.786-0.886 retraces to complete a Gartley.
NYSE:BLong
by RizeSenpai
3
2 Free Online Games that Have Helped Me Become a Better Investor2 Free Online Games that Have Helped Me Become a Better Investor. So Im in the middle of reading the " A Man of for All Markets" by Edward O. Thorp, and its fascinating. Hes a mathematician who proved there was a potential edge in blackjack (21) based on the cards that were left in the deck. He also went on to be investing fund manager who focused on covered calls and warrants and had a consistent track record for 20-25% annual returns. But his logic covered in his book focused on not only the odds of winning but the sizing of bets in both playing games and investing. Risk management and bet sizing is not spoken about enough in life I believe. In the age of YOLO and wall street bets, clearly its not celebrated enough. A YOLO bet is a massive bet because 'you only live once'. how silly mathematically and how foolish from a consistency basis. Been there done that. Bet sizing is key for survival. If you cant endure and survive long enough to be massively right, then your out of the game. In the video I share 2 games that I think are awesome for practicing these concepts. I really I had learned to play and practice these concepts in games like this in college or high school. Its a math simulation. the Coin flip game is fantastic for learning how to manage risk and bet sizing. The Cashflow game by rich dad poor dad is awesome for taking investment habits and cash managements and applying them into a mini lifecycle that rhymes with real life. If youre new to investing, or just sharpening your skills, I definitely recommend both games. Have a great day, Cheers!
SP:SPXEducation
by ValuePig
5
Cash flow vibrationsIn the previous post we started to analyze the Cash flow statement. From it, we learned about the existence of three cash flows - operating cash flow, financial cash flow, and investment cash flow. Like three rivers, they fill the company's "lake of cash" (that is, they go with a "+" sign). However, there are three other rivers that flow out of our lake, preventing it from expanding indefinitely. What are their names? They have absolutely identical names: operating cash flow, financial cash flow, and investment cash flow (and they go with a "-" sign). Why so? Because all of the company's outgoing payments can also be divided into these three rivers: Operating payments include the purchase of raw materials, the payment of wages - everything related to the production and support of the product. Financial payments include repayment of debt and interest on it, payment of dividends, or buyback of shares from shareholders. Investment payments include the purchase of non-current assets (say, the purchase of additional buildings or shares in another company). If the inflows from the three rivers on the left are greater than the outflows into the rivers on the right, then our lake will increase in volume, meaning that the company's cash balances will grow. If the outflows into the three rivers on the right are greater than the inflows from the rivers on the left, the lake will become shallow and eventually dry up. So, the cash flow statement shows how much our lake has increased or decreased over the period (quarter or year). This report can be presented as four entries: Each value of A, B, and C is the difference between what came into our lake from the river and what flowed out of the lake by the river of the same name. That is, the value can be either positive or negative. How can we interpret the meanings of the different flows? Let's break down each of them. Operating cash flow . In a fundamentally strong company, it is the most stable and powerful river. The implication is that it should be the main source of "water" for our lake. Negative operating cash flow is an indicator of serious problems with the business because it means it is not generating money. Investment cash flow . This is the most unpredictable river, as sometimes it can be very powerful and sometimes it can flow like a thin trickle. This is due to the fact that the purchase or sale of non-current assets (recall that these may be buildings, equipment, shares in other companies) does not occur as regularly as operational activities. A sudden negative investment flow tells us about some big purchase. Shareholders do not always view such events positively, as they may consider it an unwise expenditure or a threat to dividend payments. Therefore, they may start to sell their shares, which causes their price to drop. If a big purchase is perceived as an opportunity to reach the next level and capture more market share, then we may see exactly the opposite effect - an increase in share price. Financial cash flow . A negative value of this cash flow can be seen as a very positive signal because it means that the company is either actively reducing its debt to creditors, or using the money to pay dividends, or spending the money to buy its own stock (*), or maybe all of these together. (*) Here you may ask, why would a company buy its own stock? Management sometimes does this when they are confident in the success of their business and want to support the growth of their stock. The company becomes a major buyer of its own stock for some time so that it begins to grow. The process itself is called share buyback . Positive financial cash flow, on the other hand, signals either an increase in debt or the sale of its own stock. As far as debt is concerned, you can't say that loans are bad for business. But there has to be a measure. But the sale by a company of its own shares is already an alarming signal to the current shareholders. It means that the company doesn't have enough money coming out of operating cash flow. There is another type of cash flow that is not a separate "river," but is used as information about how much cash the company has left to meet its obligations to creditors and shareholders. This is Free cash flow . It is simple to calculate: just subtract one of the components of the investment cash flow from the operating cash flow. This component is called Capital expenditures (often abbreviated as CAPEX). Capital expenditures include outgoing payments that go toward the purchase of non-current assets , such as land, buildings, equipment, etc. (Free cash flow = Operating cash flow - Capital expenditures) Free cash flow can be characterized as the "living" money that a company has created over a period, which can be used to repay loans, pay dividends, and buyback stocks from shareholders. If free cash flow is very weak or even negative, it is a reason for creditors, shareholders and investors to think about how the company is doing business. This concludes my discussion of the cash flow statement topic. Next time, let's talk about the magic ratios that you can get from a company's financial statements. They greatly facilitate the process of fundamental analysis and are widely used by investors around the world. We will talk about the so-called Financial Ratios . See you soon!
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by Be_Capy
Cash flow statement or Three great riversToday we're going to start taking apart the third and final report that the company publishes each quarter and year - it's Cash flow statement. Remember, when we studied the balance sheet , we learned that one of the company's assets is cash in accounts. This is a very important asset because if the company doesn't have money in the account, it can't buy raw materials, pay employees' salaries, etc. What, in general, is a "company" in the eyes of an accountant? These are assets that have been purchased on credit or with equity, for the purpose of earning a net income for its shareholders or investing that income in further growth. That is, the source of cash in a company's account may be profits . But why do I say "may be"? The point is that it's possible to have a situation where profits are positive on the income statement, but there is no money physically in the account. To make sense of this, let's remember the workshop I use in all the examples. Suppose our master sold all of his boots on credit. That is, he was promised payment, but later. He ended up with a receivable in assets and, most interestingly, generated revenue. The accountant will calculate the revenue for these sales, despite the fact that the shop hasn't actually received the money yet. Then the accountant will deduct the expenses from the revenue, and the result will be a profit. But there is zero money in the account. So what should our master do? The orders are coming in, but there is nothing to pay for the raw materials. In such circumstances, while the master is waiting for the repayment of debts from customers, he himself borrows from the bank to top up his current account with money. Now let us make his situation more complicated. Let us assume that the money borrowed he still does not have enough, and the bank does not give more. The only thing left is to sell some of his property, that is, some of his assets. Remember, when we took apart the assets of the workshop , the master had shares in an oil company. This is something he could sell without hurting the production process. Then there is enough money in the checking account to produce boots uninterrupted. Of course, this is a wildly exaggerated example, since more often than not, profits are money, after all, and not the virtual records of an accountant. Nevertheless, I gave this example to make it clear that cash in the account and profit are related, but still different concepts. So what does the cash flow statement show? Let's engage our imagination again. Imagine a lake with three rivers flowing into it on the left and three rivers flowing out on the right. That is, on one side the lake feeds on water, and on the other side it gives it away. So the asset called "cash" on the balance sheet is the lake. And the amount of cash is the amount of water in that lake. Let's now name the three rivers that feed our lake. Let's call the first river the operating cash flow . When we receive the money from product sales, the lake is filled with water from the first river. The second river on the left is called the financial cash flow . This is when we receive financing from outside, or, to put it simply, we borrow. Since this is money received into the company's account, it also fills our lake. The third river let's call investment cash flow . This is the flow of money we get from the sale of the company's non-current assets. In the example with the master, these were assets in the form of oil company stock. Their sale led to the replenishment of our notional money lake. So we have a lake of money, which is filled thanks to three flows: operational, financial, and investment. That sounds great, but our lake is not only getting bigger, but it's also getting smaller through the three outgoing flows. I'll tell you about that in my next post. See you soon!
NASDAQ:AMZNEducation
by Be_Capy
UNP:Head and shoulders?!Union Pacific Corporation Short Ter m - We look to Buy at 205.26 (stop at 192.50) A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders is forming. Previous resistance at 205.00 now becomes support. Support could prove difficult to breakdown. Preferred trade is to buy on dips. Further upside is expected. Our profit targets will be 241.01 and 260.00 Resistance: 240.00 / 280.00 / 300.00 Support: 205.00 / 180.00 / 160.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NYSE:UNPLong
by VantageMarkets
Graphical and Fundamental Analysis of Riot Blockchain (RIOT)1. Graphic Analysis The price has broken a diagonal support at the white line. If going to bet on a rise, I would expect a bear trap at $4. If the downtrend continues, the next targets will be hit on the Fibonacci projection. $1.30 would be the longer target. The indicator at the bottom demonstrates the correlation with the price of Bitcoin, which is positive. The macro scenario remains bad, largely due to the FTX crash. The quarterly results presented by blockchain and mining companies are being released, and by the way, they are not good. The question is: if the next results are not positive or if more companies fail, to what extent this would affect Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. 2. Fundamental Analysis
NASDAQ:RIOT
by andre_007
TEVA - Double Bottom?TEVA has been a repair story now for many years. With litigation in the process of being resolved, debt burdens of $2 bn. per year appear manageable with cash flow - TEVA is moving away from a debt/litigation story to an equity story. Cash Flow of $3bn + per year, Net Income of ~ 2bn.+.... warrant a blended Intrinsic Value of ~ $22 per share. TEVA's technicals show a textbook double bottom with positive divergence. Reverting to trends and fibonacci levels confirm $22 target.
NYSE:TEVALong
by The-Trend-is-the-Friend
2
MCDOWELL_N BUY @ 844 & TARGET @ 855Dear Traders, MCDOWELL_N BUY @ 844 & TARGET @ 855 Many people made huge profits last week and as per my predictions , the market was running same direction and entry and exit strategies where bang on target. Dear traders kindly follow our signals for maximum profits, our signals are based on analytics, algorithms, mathematical derivatives. Always be a responsible trader, kindly trade only when you have maximum opportunity in the market with minimum risk and with keynotes like data,analysis and proper strategies. Kindly message us for strategies and analysis.
NSE:UNITDSPRLong
by Tallastrading
GRASIM B @ 1550 & TARGET @ 1562GRASIM BUY @ 1550 & TARGET @ 1562 Many people made huge profits last week and as per my predictions , the market was running same direction and entry and exit strategies where bang on target. Dear traders kindly follow our signals for maximum profits, our signals are based on analytics, algorithms, mathematical derivatives. Always be a responsible trader, kindly trade only when you have maximum opportunity in the market with minimum risk and with keynotes like data, analysis and proper strategies. Kindly message us for strategies and analysis.
NSE:GRASIMLong
by Tallastrading
INDIACEM B @ 232 & TARGET @ 235Dear Traders, INDIACEM B @ 232 & TARGET @ 235 Many people made huge profits last week and as per my predictions , the market was running same direction and entry and exit strategies where bang on target. Dear traders kindly follow our signals for maximum profits, our signals are based on analytics, algorithms, mathematical derivatives. Always be a responsible trader, kindly trade only when you have maximum opportunity in the market with minimum risk and with keynotes like data, analysis and proper strategies. Kindly message us for strategies and analysis.
NSE:INDIACEMLong
by Tallastrading
DELTACORP B @ 270 Target @ 275Dear Traders, DELTACORP B @ 270 Target @ 275 Many people made huge profits last week and as per my predictions , the market was running same direction and entry and exit strategies where bang on target. Dear traders kindly follow our signals for maximum profits, our signals are based on analytics, algorithms, mathematical derivatives. Always be a responsible trader, kindly trade only when you have maximum opportunity in the market with minimum risk and with keynotes like data, analysis and proper strategies. Kindly message us for strategies and analysis.
NSE:DELTACORPLong
by Tallastrading
The Cashflow Game: by Robert KiyosakiDId you hear the Cashflow Game? What it's the Cashflow Game? In my definition, the Cashflow Game it's a way to measure your financial education and how do you use the money?, how do you apply the knowledge and learningedge in your personal life?, What kind of education I should to get?, My own answer it's nothing of this answer. My best anwer it's that if you wan't to know the way to use your money, you will need to be auto-didactic and get your auto-learningedge in based your experience to have knowledge. You don't need any education what school or university show you to learn this cashflow game. Schools doesn't teached us about money, financial education, Forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, personal and motivational development, and much more others theme that I know very well. School teached us about History, Arts, Math (Algebra, Trigonometry, basic math, etc...), Science (Natural Science, Biology, Physics, Chemistry, Environmental Science, etc..), Spanish, English, languages, sport, vocational courses, etc... But school never will teach you about financial education, money and how do you get a personal and motivational development, never and always the education system will be design to be corrupt and creating poor people without knowledge about financial education. the only subject not teached in the school. That it's my perspective point to know very well this theme, and people don't ask about it. Now, I wan't to make a step by step to discuss by part how it's work I.Education: If you want to learn about cashflow, the first step it's to get education, Don't go to the school to attent to show you this theme. As I said, school doesn't teach us about financial education. And you will need to be auto-didactic and get an alternative education what school teach. For example: reading books about best authors or best=-seller like Secrets of the Millonaire Mind, Rich Dad Poor Dad,etc... You can to find up books based in the personal or motivational development, you can to learn about finance, financial market, economy, psycology, any story or topic that you interesting, etc... You can to learn any languages. You will need to get medidate and exercise. One of my best point that I write in the rectangle it's the following: Your mind it's your main asset to invest in your knowledge . So, let's me see to say you one thing: People are inconscient about that your mind it's your main asset and this it's a way that nobody will teach you, and also school don't teach it. If you want to get an alternative education, you will need to invest in your own knowledge, and this will be alone, you will need to learn to be auto-didactic. II. Investments: This it's my favorite section. if you want to make any investment, there's a lot way that you can to get passive income, but to learn about investment, you will need an alternative education in the first section that you will need to be auto-didactic. I like the business, real estate. Also, the real estate it's one of the profitable business that Robert Kiyosaki do, and I want to apply it in the future. And assets are a good way to get profit when you invest in cryptocurrencies, Gold, Silver, Oil, Bitcoin, Shares by long term. Now, trading or investing in the financial market it's the popular in this era. They're trading in Forex, commodities, stock market and cryptocurrencies. Now, I have this way how I trade in each market. For example: I like to trade Forex with commodities (Gold, Silver and Oil) togethers. As I know that I do not trade Forex a lot and I trade cryptocurrency. But in the future, I hope to open up an account in USD to trade Forex and commodities togethers. I choose the commodities to trade with Forex togethers because Gold, Silver and Oil it's make movement with the globe economy and this it's a way how will affect by Forex market. Remember, Forex it's the largest financial market in the world, and more biggest than any financial market. For that, Forex it's a financial market that you can to negotiate with dollar, euro, pounds, Canadian Dollar, aussie, Yen, and anothers currencies. This it's one of my favorite market to know the situation of the economy in based the CPI, Inflation rates, jobs, economy activity and sectors, economical data and analytical. and much more to take in note. For that, Forex it's the main financial market in the world. Now, before I started with Forex market, and now I'm in cryptocurrencies. But more later, I will go back to trade Forex with Gold, Silver and Oil. One of my strategy that I made before it's to find up 15% weekly, and included until 20% weekly to management my money. But now, I thinking to change my goal when I going to start with Forex again and find up 30% monthly to change my expectative. 30% monthly it's very great to start and keep this plan to long term. Now, in the anotherhand, the cryptocurrencies it's one of my market that I love. Now, I decide to add the stock market (indices and some shares) to trade togethers with cryptocurrencies. One of my goal at the moment that I invest in cryptocurrency it's to find up 300% by year and keep this plan toward long term. And recently, I open up a third account just to make position trading to keep trades until weeks, months and included years in focus in cryptocurrencies and stock market. I dont have any % like goal, it's a way to use it to keep this position so toward long term, but yes putting a target price that I believe that this asset will reach this price. For example: It's like to buy 4,000 ADA contract to $2 dollar and I believe in the future that Cardano will reach $100 USD, without matter how long time I keep this position trading toward long term?. But all based in the USD account to get dollars profits. But yes, I calculate my potential loss in SL, that I note very well, but I put the price that I believe that this asset will reach in the future without so late. III. Use of Money: The use of money it's a way to management your money creating your lifestyle using your money that you get in the market, business, asset or passive income. This it's very easily creating a plan to management your money by sections like saves, investments, jubilation, spends, emergency, health, etc.... You just need to determine the % that you want to put in each section. And also, the use of money require that you always follow the trend of money reading economical news, politics, commodities, cryptocurrencies, stock market if you have money into Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, Shares, etc... And also, reading Forex news it's important to leading the situation of the economy actual. Guys, this is it. This it's a way to get a cashflow plan in your life. If you like this educational content, I invite you to share this analysis with traders, enthusiastic, experts, or friends that should to know this educational content of the high quality.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by harisonhbn9718
Get your match on profitsToday I will be analysing Match Group. For everyone who doesn’t know this company they are creating and managing many dating platforms one of their well-known is Tinder. Cashflow comes from subscriptions (like Tinder Plus) and other services. Buy Signal -support at 129.46$ (3 times) -daily RSI oversold area -daily MACD indicates slowing selling pressure -current price is below analyst estimates ->>> TipRanks: „The average price target is 175$ with a high estimate of 190$ and a low estimate of 148$. -Bumble (same industry) reported good quarter few days ago-> positive momentum Sell Signal -under the SMAs -RSI/MACD weekly+monthly indicate downtrend!! -misled earnings by -15% -potentially Delta-Virus result in new lockdowns Conclusion I think this is a great company with a nice discount, in addition, the Wall Street/analysts like the stock too if we look at what %-rates the stock recovered from the March Lows that makes total sense. So, I would be willing to buy at the support of 129.46$ (109,90€) with a tight stop loss of 122.18$ (108.82€) and a price target of 145$ (123.06€) which would be a +11.79% return. This number is approximately the mid of the parallel channel but at the same time I took it because of the past reaction contacted support line where it every time bounced 11.79% up in just 3-4 days which indicates the importance of this line.
NASDAQ:MTCHLong
by Chrlstlan
Ford valuation looks greatA New Product Shows Ford Is Finally Taking Electric Seriously Ford just announced the release of its Lightning all-electric F150, due 2022. Available at essentially the same price point ($39,974) that Tesla has advertised for its Cybertruck, due late 2021. A Ford rep dropped this little bomb on Tesla's triangle-shaped Cybertruck in a media interview: “Our customers told us they want something modern and advanced, but did not want their truck to look like a doorstop or a spaceship.” Boom. The new F150 does look a lot better than the doorstop, and it has some cool features. Instead of an engine under the hood, it has a spacious storage space there, which they're calling a "frunk." The frunk has a 400-pound capacity and four 110-volt power outlets and two USB charging outlets. There's a total of 11 outlets on the truck. Whereas Tesla will void your warranty if you try to power your home with your car battery, the F150 outlets are specifically designed to serve as backup power (9.6 kW and 3 days worth of power) for your home. If your F150 is plugged in and an outage occurs, your F150 will automatically switch to providing power to your home. Wow. You do have to buy an extra 80-amp wall box and home power system to make that work, though. The wall box also increases range and charging speed. For charging away from home, Ford has a North American charging network with more than 63,000 plugs. These will charge an extended range F150 from 15 to 80 percent in about 41 minutes. The standard-range truck has a range of 230 miles, while the extended-range truck can go 300 miles. The F150 offers hands-free highway driving to compete with Tesla's autonomous driving features. The Valuation on Ford is Insane Most of the "cheap" companies out there are trading at a price to free cash flow ratio around 7 or 8. Ford is trading at 2 P/FCF, making it cheaper on that basis than just about any other company I follow. Forward P/E is around 12, with P/S at 0.38 and P/B at 1.46. Get this: according to Fidelity, the 5-year PEG ratio for Ford is 0.25. 0.25 !!!! Ford has also been crushing analyst estimates on recent earnings reports. Sentiment is Strong Ford has an 8.8/10 analyst score and an 85/100 fundamentals score from S&P Global. Ford's ESG score leaves a little something to be desired, but maybe that will improve as the company electrifies. Put/call ratio is bullish at 0.66. Technicals look good. On the monthly chart, moving averages are pointing upward, and price is sitting right atop the 200-month EMA. Similar story on the daily. We popped through a resistance line the last few days. I am buying any dip to the 20- or 50-day EMA. Weekly recently made a 50-200 bullish moving average cross: With news, valuation, sentiment, and technicals all lined up, I bought both shares and a couple long-dated 2023 calls at the $12 strike, because YOLO.
NYSE:FLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith
38
Free Cash Flow, Dividends, and Buybacks Are on a TearAs the market has rotated from overpriced large-cap tech stocks to underpriced small-cap value stocks, three of the best-performing metrics have been dividend yield, share buybacks, and inexpensive free cash flow. $COWZ is a mid-cap fund that tracks stocks with high free cash flow yields, and its performance has been accordingly stellar. Even after its huge recent rip, this fund could still have room to run. Here are some comparative metrics on COWZ vs QQQ: QQQ P/E: 34.90 QQQ P/CF: 21.45 QQQ Yield: 0.54% COWZ P/E: 16.90 COWZ P/CF: 6.74 COWZ Yield: 1.79% This is a genuine value fund that's invested in stuff like LOW, TGT, MO, IBM, and HP, not one of those junk value funds based on EBITDA or book value and heavily invested in debt-ridden garbage like unprofitable energy companies. Normally I hesitate to buy something that's been on such a tear, but the genuine value on offer here makes this in fact quite a defensive investment, even at current levels. It's based on real earnings, not trumped-up EBITDA, and it buys businesses that return value to shareholders and pay you like an owner. This is probably my new go-to ETF. Of course, in addition to value, this is also now de facto a momentum fund. The recent dramatic shift in momentum and the rebalancing of momentum ETFs in March means that momentum factor ETF buyers are now buying inexpensive value stocks like the ones held by COWZ, not overpriced tech stocks like the ones held by ARKK. That should remain true for at least the next six months, until the momentum funds rebalance again.
CBOE:COWZLong
by ChristopherCarrollSmith