A technical end of year path to very high heights in 2021The RSI is clearly in the bull zone. And we appear to be essentially parabolic at this point. I believe all these ideas predicting pullbacks at every level up to 20k, are going to result in us squeezing straight through to a new high.
Fundamentally, bitcoin is win-win at the moment.
If coronavirus is cured and the markets propel forward on good economic recovery news, there's more money for bitcoin. If its all doom and gloom, governments print money to save their economies, then Bitcoin becomes the inflation safe haven and more money for Bitcoin.
Last time we were at this MACD level, opening up on the weekly, we went up 13k in 2 months. Which would put us at 24k target price over the next month or two. This should also drive the macd up to around it's previous all time high. At which point, you would expect the market to pause, perhaps retest the previous 19k high for support. And then we're free for the next run-up!
If that happens; then we're going to see the mother of all buy signals with an all-time MACD high touch, ease off, then power through. Historically when that has happened on larger indices the price never goes back below that point. And the markets rocket upwards. Which would give Bitcoin the technical fuel to achieve the more outlandish price predictions; 40k right up to lottery winner levels.
But this is just an idea at this point... based on 3 assumptions:
1) Bitcoin is experiencing the start of its next big bull run.
2) We power through, invalidating all these ideas for a significant pull back on/before 20k.
3) We touch the previous macd high, and then push through it a few weeks later!
If they're valid... then 2021 should be a very pleasant year provided you don't meddle too much and miss out on the easy bull money!
Centered Oscillators
EUR.USD H4 Short 13CCI tlbThere have been multiple signals on H4 from 13 CCI trendline breaks, each requiring teeny stoploss and having potential targets easy to spot/reap. The price action is trying hard the whole time to say UP, but until it gets above 1.1826 and H4 CCI shows a divergence, the price may still attempt to reach H4 targets of 100p to 250-300p lower.
Since the moves are working and stops are so teeny, and there still is no diver., I've shorted again @1.1816 and 1.18080 . Current SL 1.182. If it is hit today, look for an H4 CCL tlb to the upside.
EUR.USD H4 Short 13CCI tlb,100x13CCI still shows not divergence, indicating that upmove is not complete. But seeing a CCI tlb of up-trendline along with very tiny stop required, some folks are happy to risk that for a potentially big move down. Price complted an abc up, but be nimble for further move up
S 1.18315
SL 1.1838 or 1.1864
TP 1.1546 or a lot less. Exit when CCI crosses up thru a downtrendline
Hoag's 80% Value Play-Election "sell the news" (Short)Hoag's 80% Value Play
(Election Day Short-SELL THE NEWS)
Uber looks Toppy, Multiple Potential Dbl Tops
(Unconfirmed)
Reasons for Trade:
1. Have retraced to areas of .618-.786, and to + .786
of its range from IPO high and most recent high, respectively
2.At volume high rn, break back into value, and held for 2 consecutive 30m candles,
suggests price will revisit value low 80% of time. VL is at reload long levels
3. MACD internals Looking weak.
4. Was recently oversold, and is hovering near OS
5. Significantly decreasing buy volume impetus, very telling.
RR 4.22:1
Enter trade at confirmation of M top, at break through .786 level on downside
and acceptance into value at $35.96
Stop set at M Top* at $38.25
Move Stop to scratch at touch of value low near potential reload long levels, $26.30. If accepts into
value low, trail stops, 3 highs/Lows method.
Caveat: This is a short trade in the event of unfavorable election results where rideshare worker's rights (gig economy) is on the ballot in California. NYSE:UBER
For entertainment purposes only, not trade advice. DYOR!
Tech sector showing weakness despite gains on election dayWhen comparing tech focused ETFs/indexes, namely $NDAQ and $XLK, we can see that $SPY has recently been outperforming them. My theory is that this is an unusual case and a sign that tech stocks are near tops.
Given that I did not receive the dip I wanted, I have difficulty putting on a short position on tech. There is also the factor that the highs have not been truly swept yet.
Just something to keep an eye on.
$NDAQ/$SPY
$XLK/$SPY
For options plays, it would appear leaps for $NDAQ would be ideal, while short term plays on $XLK would work out. $NDAQ is quite illiquid.