TSLA: High R/R Bounce Play Off the Cloud EdgeTesla NASDAQ:TSLA is sitting at a decision point — testing the edge of the Ichimoku cloud while momentum resets. The setup isn’t confirmed, but the risk/reward is compelling for those watching structure.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
Cloud Support: Price is holding right at the top of the cloud. A breakdown would signal trend weakness, but for now, it's a potential bounce zone.
MACD: Momentum has cooled off, but no bullish crossover yet. Early signs of a flattening histogram could suggest a pivot.
Structure: Horizontal support near $292–295 has held multiple times. If this zone holds again, the upside target opens up quickly.
🎯 Trade Specs
Entry: $296.88
Target: $385.50 (+29.93%)
Stop: $274.21 (–7.66%)
Risk/Reward: 3.91 — solid asymmetry
💡 Trading Insight:
This isn’t about calling bottoms — it’s about defining risk. When price compresses at known support, and you’ve got a 3.9 R/R profile, you don’t need to be right often to be profitable.
Chart Patterns
BTC third tap incoming? Recently, BTC has traded for a large amount of time in ranging environments. These ranges have started with a local range high and then an initial 3-tap accumulation (i.e., a local low and then two sweeps of that low) before making a solid attempt at the range highs. The sweeps of the lows are meant to shake people out and provide fuel to try to break higher. The previous two times, that initial attempt failed and the price was sent lower to put in a second 3-tap accumulation at lower prices.
Will the current price move back down to put in the 3rd tap of the current relatively small accumulation? That is my base case. I believe we will see some lower prices locally to put in the 3rd tap. I think the Bitcoin Swing Trade Indicator (BSTI) will fire off green one more time and then we will then make a run to try to break out of this current massive range (that started last year in November). This current range is fairly small, so it is not worth it to me to sell here to try to buy lower.
The bigger question is: Will we have enough fuel to durably break out of this range after the 3rd tap of the current accumulation (green line) or are we destined to repeat the pattern of the last two bigger ranges (red line), one of which we are still in? I personally believe we will break out after the smaller range 3rd tap (the green line) based on the larger context of cycle theory, how long we have been in this range, and how the current small range is part of the larger range starting back in November 2024.
It will be interesting to see what happens.
Da_Prof
Note that TV won't allow publication of a private/unpublished indicator anymore or I would have shown the BSTI, which is now published as invite only. It's implementation is too complicated to publish openly, so I don't feel comfortable doing that. If you want access, please DM me on TradingView. Thanks.
CRO at a Turning Point ?This is CRO on the daily chart.
Price has interacted multiple times with the key resistance at **0.10649** (black line). It’s now testing that level again, and there's a real possibility it flips it into support.
On top of that, CRO is attempting to reclaim the 200MA, while the 50MA is starting to flatten out—potential signs of a longer-term shift.
That said, this process might take some time and could be volatile. CRO’s relatively small market cap of \$3.33B and this week’s major macro events (starting today with CPI) could add pressure in both directions.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
The 3rd Nevada Lithium Elliot WaveI believe LAC may have begun its 3rd elliot wave, with a bottom at $2.33. There also appears to be nice recent strong base support around $2.80. In addition, there appears to be a deviation between price and money flow, as shown with the green arrows - with a potential correction available to push price beyond $3.30 very soon.
I have entered and will watch its daily action and volume with an upside expectation limit around $9-10, then a 4th wave down, etc. Of course, I am not a financial advisor and I have been wrong before and will be wrong again. I trade within this reality and control my risk.
Cable H4 | Potential bearish breakout?Cable (GBP/USD) is falling toward a potential breakout level, where the bearish momentum could cause the price to drop lower from this level.
Sell entry is at 1.3375 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 1.3460 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.3252 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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EUR/USD) bearish chochy Trend Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of EUR/USD (Euro vs. U.S. Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe. Here’s the breakdown
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Technical Breakdown:
1. Market Structure Shift (CHOCH):
The chart highlights a Change of Character (CHOCH), signaling a bearish reversal after a previous uptrend.
This is confirmed by lower highs and lower lows forming after the CHOCH point.
2. New Resistance Zone:
The previous support (yellow box) has now turned into a new resistance level around 1.16400–1.16700.
Price has rejected this area after the breakdown, validating the resistance flip.
3. 200 EMA Breakdown:
Price is now trading below the 200 EMA (1.15928), which reinforces bearish sentiment.
The EMA may act as dynamic resistance on any pullbacks.
4. Target Zone:
The projected target is the key support zone around 1.14582, where price consolidated before the last major bullish move.
This level has historical significance and aligns with a clean support demand zone.
5. RSI Indicator:
RSI is not yet oversold, sitting in a neutral-to-bearish range, indicating further downside potential.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Trade Idea Summary:
Bias: Bearish
Entry Zone: On breakdown and rejection from the new resistance area (~1.16400–1.16700)
Target Zone: 1.14582 (key support)
Invalidation: A break and close above the resistance zone
Confluence: CHOCH confirmation + support-turned-resistance + 200 EMA breakdown
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Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
GOLD BUY M15 Gold (XAU/USD) 15-Minute Chart Analysis – July 17, 2025
Price is currently trading around the 3,333.71 level after a Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside. The market has entered a demand zone (highlighted in pink), suggesting potential bullish momentum if the zone holds.
A possible bullish scenario is illustrated on the chart:
Price is expected to retest the demand zone between 3,331 – 3,324.
From this zone, a bullish reversal is anticipated with higher highs and higher lows.
If the bullish move plays out, the first resistance level lies around 3,336 – 3,341.
The final target is set at 3,346, marked as the Take Profit (TP) level.
Key Levels:
Entry Zone (Demand Zone): 3,331 – 3,324
Stop Loss (SL): 3,323
Target (TP): 3,346
Intermediate Resistance Levels: 3,336 and 3,341
EUR/USD – Falling Wedge at Major Fibonacci Zone | Bullish ReversAfter a strong mid-June rally, EUR/USD has pulled back into a key fib cluster, showing early signs of reversal from a classic falling wedge pattern — often a precursor to bullish breakouts.
Technical Breakdown:
📉 Descending Trendline
🔍 Fibonacci Confluence:
Price is reacting from the 0.5-0.618 – 0.705 zone (1.16421-1.15969), aligning perfectly with historical demand and the golden zone of the fib retracement.
Just below sits the 0.79 fib (1.15339), which also marks our invalidity level for this idea — a deep but powerful retracement if tested.
💡 RSI:
While still below 50, it has created a hidden bullish divergence between July 12–17, hinting that momentum is flipping back to bulls.
🧠 Educational Insight:
This setup combines Trendlines, Fibonacci retracement theory, and EMA dynamics to build a multi-layered trade thesis — the type of confluence we look for at Wright Way Investments.
Price doesn’t just reverse because it hits a fib level. But when structure, EMAs, and RSI align — the odds increase significantly.
📈 Trade Setup (Idea-Based, Not Financial Advice):
Long Entry Zone: Current area (1.159–1.161), with confirmation above 1.1626
Invalidation: Clean break & close below 1.15339
Target Zones:
🎯 TP1 – 1.1642 (50 fib & retest zone)
🎯 TP2 – 1.1686 (38.2 fib)
🎯 TP3 – 1.1755 (Weekly Resistance)
📌 Summary:
EUR/USD is forming a textbook reversal setup, supported by fib precision and EMA alignment. Patience is key — but the ingredients are here for a strong bullish continuation.
Continue to go long after bottoming outYesterday, the Trump and Powell incident caused gold to rise strongly to around 3377. The rise in gold was only short-lived. In the end, gold closed positively on the daily line, but it closed with a super long upper shadow line. In the end, the gold price quickly rose and broke through the 3377 mark, but fell back under pressure and closed in a volatile market. The daily K-line closed high and fell back in a volatile market. Although the overall gold price repeatedly fluctuated and washed out under the stimulation of news, it ultimately failed to break through the recent large box oscillation range. Today we continue to pay attention to the support line of 3318-25 below, and we will continue to go long if it falls back!
From the 4-hour analysis, the short-term support below continues to focus on around 3318-25, the short-term suppression above focuses on the 3340-45 line, and the key pressure above focuses on the 3380 line. Relying on this range as a whole, the main tone of high-altitude and low-multiple cycles remains unchanged. In the middle position, watch more and do less, be cautious in chasing orders, and wait patiently for key points to enter the market.
GOLD: Bullish Accumulation PatternI spotted a clear ascending triangle pattern on a daily time frame.
To validate a bullish continuation, we need a breakout above the neckline.
A daily candle close above 3370 will serve as a strong confirmation, and we can expect a move up to at least the 3440 resistance level.
#BTC Beware of the risk of a pullback📊#BTC Beware of the risk of a pullback⚠️
🧠From a structural perspective, we are continuing the trend of the long-term bullish structure in the long cycle, but there is no bullish structure as a supporting force in the short cycle, so we need to be wary of the possible risk of a pullback!
➡️At present, there is a relatively large resistance near 121,000, and the support reaction near 116,000 has been realized. The short-term support area we need to pay attention to next is 112,000-114,000
Let's take a look👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
SUI‑USDT – Exhaustion or Extension?1. Why this zone matters
Price has reached the 0.886 Fib retrace of the May -> Jun swing.
Momentum is fading: 1‑hour RSI peaked lower (60 vs. 69 on the prior swing).
OBV and hourly volume both rolling over
2. Order‑flow snapshot (since 14 Jul 00:00 UTC)
Spot CVD → up Retail/FIAT buyers still lifting offers.
Perp CVD → down Aggressive shorts absorbing that demand.
Aggregated OI → up, now stalling Fresh longs trapped; beginning to unwind.
Interpretation: spot bids are being offset by short perps, and the build‑up in leverage is leaking—classic exhaustion.
3. Historical stats to know
The combo Spot CVD ↑ + Perp CVD ↓ + OI roll‑over + RSI bear‑div has produced a ≥ 1 % downside move within 30 minutes about 65 % of the time on tier‑1 alts (Jan 2023 – Apr 2025 sample).
4. Checklist before I short
M5 structure break (lower‑high plus close below the last M5 swing low).
Need a 1H candle CLOSE below the yellow ascending trendline!
Perp CVD flips ≤ 0 and OI prints two consecutive down‑ticks.
TPO sell tail with at least 3 single prints right at the high.
If all three fire → short is live. Otherwise, stand aside.
Bottom line
Momentum is fading; spot buying is being soaked up by stealth perp shorts, and leverage is already leaking out. Wait for the checklist—then look for a mean‑reversion move lower.
And remember: Reaction beats prediction.
BTC Just Broke the High - But Don't get Trapped!Bitcoin just swept the recent high, triggering breakout euphoria. But this could be a classic liquidity grab, not a true breakout. If price fails to hold above the level and shifts structure, we may see a sharp bearish reversal BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSDT 👀
AUDNZD 4H TIME FRAME ANALYSISAUDNZD is currently in a short-term downtrend on the 4-hour chart. Price has been forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish pressure. Recent candles show rejection at higher levels, supporting downside continuation.
1.09400 – 1.09550: Strong resistance zone where price was previously rejected multiple times.
1.09380 (your entry) aligns with a minor lower high, reinforcing this level as a valid sell area.
EUR_JPY WILL GO UP|LONG|
✅EUR_JPY is trading along the rising support line
And as the pair is going up now
After the retest of the line
I am expecting the price to keep growing
To retest the supply levels above at 173.166
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Gold price fluctuates! Gold operation guide!Market news:
In the early Asian session on Thursday (July 17), spot gold fluctuated in a narrow range and is currently trading around $3,341 per ounce. Rumors that Trump plans to fire Federal Reserve Chairman Powell caused violent market fluctuations. The US dollar once plummeted, and then narrowed the decline; while the London gold price gave up most of its gains after soaring. If Powell is fired in advance, it may be unfavorable to the US dollar, because it will shake the outside world's confidence in the US financial system and the safe-haven status of the US dollar.
Trump's repeated statements have caused the international gold price to experience violent fluctuations in a short period of time. The market's concerns about the independence of the Federal Reserve have become an important driving force for the rise in gold prices. However, geopolitical tensions still support gold prices. Israel launched an airstrike on Damascus, Syria on Wednesday, destroying the Ministry of Defense building, which is very close to the Syrian presidential palace. Trump's trade policy has further injected uncertainty into the gold market.
Technical Review:
The news that Trump's big mouth "considered replacing Federal Reserve Chairman Powell" caused violent fluctuations in the financial market. Although the storm subsided after Trump's denial, Wall Street has sounded the alarm. Rumors that Trump will fire Powell caused market volatility, and the US dollar index plunged and closed down 0.36% during the session. Spot gold was on a roller coaster ride, rising sharply from 3320 to 3377 in the late trading, then plunged back to 3336 and then rose again to 3357 before closing sideways around the 3350 mark.Technical daily chart structure alternates between positive and negative cycles to maintain the adjustment of the Bollinger band middle track, the indicator is neutral, the Bollinger band closes, and the RSI indicator is flat. The four-hour chart and hourly chart indicators are neutral. Affected by market news, the gold price alternates between long and short cycles and fluctuates widely, the moving average is glued, the RSI indicator middle axis is flat, and the Bollinger band is flat and closed. Gold maintains a wide range of fluctuations, selling at high prices and buying at low prices.
Today's analysis:
The gold market last night was quite exciting. In the middle of the night, Trump claimed that he would fire Powell. After the news came out, gold soared by more than 50 US dollars in a short period of time, but the market was only controlled by emotions in a short period of time. After all, the chairman of the Federal Reserve is independent, and Trump cannot have the right to fire Powell. Once the emotions passed, although gold fell sharply, it also pushed up the trend of gold prices to a certain extent! At present, after the strong rise of gold in 1 hour, it quickly fell back and closed with a long upper shadow line. The change in gold buying did not successfully stabilize. Then this market is actually a kind of catharsis of the news. The confidence of gold buying in directly rising again is not very sufficient. The gold 1-hour moving average is still in the form of dead cross selling. So gold rebounds or continues to sell.The gold 1-hour pattern excludes the influence of the upper shadow line stimulated by yesterday's news. In fact, the whole rhythm is still fluctuating and falling. The upper shadow time is not long, and it is probably just a temptation to buy. After the ups and downs of gold last night, it rebounded again to the 3360 line or continued to fall under pressure. So gold continued to rebound under pressure and continued to sell at high prices below 3360.
Operation ideas:
Buy short-term gold at 3325-3328, stop loss at 3317, target at 3350-3370;
Sell short-term gold at 3357-3360, stop loss at 3368, target at 3340-3320;
Key points:
First support level: 3330, second support level: 3319, third support level: 3303
First resistance level: 3358, second resistance level: 3370, third resistance level: 3386
DXY Outlook: Bullish Move Fueled by Fundamentals & GeopoliticsTechnical Analysis (4H Chart & Broader Context) 📈🕓
The DXY 4H chart shows a clear bullish trend 🚀, with higher highs and higher lows since early July. DXY has caught a strong bid, breaking above short-term resistance near 98.40 and now eyeing the previous swing high 🎯. This matches the consensus among analysts: DXY remains in a bullish structure, with momentum supported by both technicals and macro factors.
Key resistance: Next upside target is the previous high (around 99.60 on the chart), with further resistance at the psychological 100 level 🏁.
Support: Immediate support at 98.20, then 97.60 🛡️.
Momentum: Strong bullish candles and no major bearish reversal signals on the 4H. Some analysts note positioning is stretched, so a short-term pullback or consolidation is possible before more upside (IG).
Fundamental Analysis 💹🌍
Why is DXY rallying?
Fed Policy & US Data: The US economy is resilient 💪, with robust services data, strong retail sales, and a recent uptick in core inflation. The Fed is less dovish, with markets now expecting a slower pace of rate cuts 🏦.
Interest Rate Differentials: The US keeps a yield advantage as the Fed is less aggressive in cutting rates compared to the ECB and BoJ, especially with Europe and Japan facing weaker growth and possible further easing 🌐.
Geopolitical Factors: Ongoing trade tensions (Trump’s tariff threats) and global uncertainty (including Middle East risks) are driving safe-haven flows into the dollar 🛡️🌏. DXY typically strengthens during periods of geopolitical stress.
Positioning: CFTC data shows USD long positioning at multi-month highs, which could mean the market is crowded and vulnerable to short-term corrections ⚠️ (IG).
Trade Idea (Bullish Bias, Targeting Previous High) 💡💵
Setup:
Bias: Bullish, in line with the prevailing trend and macro backdrop 🟢.
Entry: Consider buying on a minor pullback to the 98.20–98.40 support zone, or on a confirmed breakout above the recent high 🛒.
Target: Previous swing high near 99.60, with a stretch target at 100.00 🎯.
Stop: Below 97.60 (recent swing low/support) ⛔.
Risk Factors:
Overbought positioning could trigger a short-term pullback ⚠️.
Any dovish surprise from the Fed or rapid de-escalation in global tensions could cap further gains 🕊️.
In summary: The DXY’s bullish trend is underpinned by resilient US data, a hawkish Fed, and global risk aversion. Your bullish bias is well-supported, with the previous high as a logical target. Watch for short-term pullbacks, but the broader trend remains up unless key support is lost. 🚦
#DOGS/USDT – Launchpad or Breakdown?#DOGS
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is on its way to breaking it strongly upwards and retesting it.
We have a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel. This support is at 0.0001385.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, supporting the upward trend.
There is a key support area in green at 0.0001362, which represents a strong basis for the upward trend.
Don't forget one simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
We have a trend of stability above the Moving Average 100.
Entry price: 0.0001430
First target: 0.0001452
Second target: 0.0001514
Third target: 0.0001590
Don't forget one simple thing: ease and capital.
When you reach the first target, save some money and then change your stop-loss order to an entry order.
For inquiries, please leave a comment.
Thank you.