Chart Patterns
Defining the $BTC top with USDT.DWhy is USDT.D so important in defining a CRYPTOCAP:BTC top?
Because, when BTC is in price discovery, there is no previous price action to determine where we might expect a reaction based on price. Therefore, all we really have are fib extensions and speculation if we solely look at past CRYPTOCAP:BTC price. Fear not, USDT.D gives us previous dominance action to evaluate when the BTC price might react. This is because USDT.D is inversely correlated with CRYPTOCAP:BTC price. Evaluating the correlation of USDT.D and CRYPTOCAP:BTC price, I found that in the current cycle, the correlation is approximately a doubling of BTC price for every -3% drop in USDT.D.
IMPORTANT: Everything below is for speculative fun. I will be watching this play out as part of an overall strategy to define a cycle top, but would never think to use it to make any decision in my life, especially if I should do a destination or hometown wedding or what brand of salve to put on my hemorrhoids.
How can we use the USDT.D/ CRYPTOCAP:BTC correlation to help pick a top? Well, we can find demand zones and calculate how far away we are from them. I don't have previous demand zones on the chart, but they have worked in the past to predict a reaction. The demand zones are somewhat subjective, so you can should verify on your own, but there are a few main zones that I see and have marked in yellow. The top of the demand zones, along with the distance from the current USDT.D in parenthesis, are 3.1% (-1%), 2.8% (-1.5%), 1.8% (-2%), and 1.3% (-2.5%). Using these drops in USDT.D, we might see some intermediate tops around $130K, $150K, and $180K.
The cycle top might be around $196K if we get to the lowest demand zone plotted on the chart. Of course, there are more demand zones below that, but I have a hard time seeing USDT.D go below 1.3%.
I added the price path as an extra bit of intrigue. It will likely not play out as I have it drawn, but why post my ideas if I'm not going to climb out on a limb and see if the prediction plays out. That would be a move of a cowardly douche. And although I am a douche, I'm not a coward.
--Da_Prof
OFFICIAL TRUMP Main trend. 16 05 2025Logarithm. Time frame 3 days. After a super pump and a drive of "stupid money", a descending channel was formed on a natural dump. The price came out of it. Now a triangle is forming. The price is clamped. The reversal zones and percentages to the key support/resistance levels are shown extremely accurately according to TA.
If there is no aggressive exit in the medium term, then there will be consolidation and, as a consequence, the formation of a horizontal channel "sholtai / chattai", its key zones are shown.
Now, this "cryptocurrency" is now on 16 05 2025 in 41st place by capitalization.
Reductions from the price highs are about -90%.
From the liquid zone about -84%.
These are not the minimum values of the decline of such hype cryptocurrencies. Just take this into account in your money management. For clarity, the level zones and the % of potential decline if the trend breaks again are shown on the chart (pull the chart down).
Even with such a decline, the price is now at a huge profit. I am not speaking for the creators of the cryptocurrency, but for the first speculators and "investors" who may not have sold everything on the hype.
For the creators of the cryptocurrency, perhaps these are manipulators close to the Trump family, for them, any sale is super profit. But in order to sell, you need to maintain liquidity, and from time to time make interest in speculation and asset retention by investors, that is, do pumps and hype. Use this, and do not be greedy...
Levels and zones, pump/dump, which the price will "feel" are shown in advance. Click "play" on the chart and move the chart up. With a high degree of probability, the hype and pumping of the price of this cryptocurrency will be repeated, given the hype and the long term of the political figure whose name this cryptocurrency bears. Now it is a Trump dump, in the future it will become a Trump pump for some time.
Do not forget to sell on the next hype. If you understand that you are very greedy, and the news background affects you, then sell in parts, or use stop losses to protect profits.
There is no need to guess the minimums and maximums. It is important to know these zones, and have an acceptable average price, from the position of the trend, and its potential. It is regulated by the distributed entry volume (in advance) at potential reversal zones.
Double Top in MELI – Potential Reversal Inside a Channel🧠 Double Top in MELI – Potential Reversal Inside a Channel
Ticker : MercadoLibre, Inc. (MELI)
Timeframe : 1D (Daily Chart)
Pattern : Double Top
Bias : Bearish Reversal within a Bullish Channel
Technical Breakdown
We're spotting a clean Double Top at the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel , a key zone where price has struggled multiple times in the past.
Here’s what stands out:
Two clear peaks around $2,700, signaling buyer exhaustion.
Price has now broken the minor support (neckline) around $2,350, which could trigger further downside in the short term.
The pattern is forming inside a well-defined upward channel, so this move could just be a healthy pullback within the larger trend, or the beginning of something deeper...
📐 Trade Setup
Entry : After the neckline break (~$2,350)
Stop Loss : Above recent highs, at 5% risk
Take Profit : Projected to 6.5% lower, toward the midline of the ascending channel and a high-volume node on the VPVR
📊 The Volume Profile (VPVR) supports this setup:
Lower liquidity between current price and the $2,200–2,250 zone may accelerate the move.
High-volume support is found at the TP zone, which makes it a smart target.
📘 Educational Insight
This setup is a great example of how classic chart patterns (like the Double Top) can still be relevant, even within strong uptrends.
A key lesson here:
Not every reversal is a trend change. Sometimes, it’s just a rotation to rebalance price within structure (like this channel). Risk management becomes crucial.
💬 What do you think? Is MELI heading for a deeper pullback or just catching its breath?
Hit the 🚀 if this helped clarify the setup, and follow for more clean, educational ideas!
Trade Journal: Missed Morning Move & Trading Into New Highs07/17/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis
EOD accountability report: +447.50
Sleep: 5 hours
Overall health: My health ring is signaling that my body isn't well the last few days.
VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm)
— 8:53 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!
— 12:17 PM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (triple sell signal)
— 1:12 PM VXAlgo ES X3 Sell Signal
— 1:40 PM VXAlgo NQ X1DD Buy Signal
What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today?
Today was a bit of a rough trading day, I missed the morning move and was a bit hesitant to make trades.
Saw a lot of MM positioning high up around 6340s and wasn't sure where to get a good entry. Wanted to go in at the MOB but they never went down there.
Sell signals were not as effective today because MM wanted to make ATH but i couldn't figure out the reasoning.
News
S&P 500 ENDS AT A NEW RECORD HIGH, VIX FALLS AS STOCKS RALLY ON SOLID EARNINGS, STRONG ECONOMIC DATA
What are the critical support levels to watch?
--> Above 6300= Bullish, Under 6290= Bearish
Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
NEIROUSDT heavy pump ahead after Cup and Handle breakout#Boom This Cup and Handle which is already formed here gonna pump price crazy and now is just waiting for a valid breakout to the upside and huge #pump after that is cooking so i open 1:4(Risk: Reward) signal here as you can see.
DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision))
<<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
TRX Grinding Higher – Are These the Next Targets?📈🔥 TRX Grinding Higher – Are These the Next Targets? 🧱🚀
Continuing the Altcoin Series, let’s take a look at TRX (Tron) — quietly grinding higher while the crowd stays distracted elsewhere.
As I’ve said before: I’m preparing to divorce altcoins at the top of this cycle. But until then, I’m a trader — and TRX is a chart that deserves our attention right now.
🔍 Two Perspectives, One Message
The 1H intraday chart shows clear structure within an ascending channel, holding its higher lows beautifully.
Meanwhile, the 2D macro chart reveals a long-term channel breakout, now pressing up into key resistance.
📊 Levels That Matter
Short-Term Support (1H):
🔹 $0.29926
🔹 Mid-channel trendline
Macro Zones (2D):
🔸 Current Price: $0.30991
🔸 Next key levels:
$0.38540
$0.46122
Structure to Watch:
Price remains well-supported by the orange trendline — a multi-year diagonal that’s been acting as dynamic support. As long as that holds, TRX remains on the offense.
⚠️ Narrative-Free Trading
Let’s be real — Tron isn’t the sexiest narrative play.
But the chart doesn't lie: structure is intact, trend is up, and targets are in sight.
This is the kind of setup where emotion gets left at the door — we trade the level, not the label.
Buy over support
Exit near resistance
Control risk — always
TRX may not trend forever — but for now, it’s trending just fine.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
#USDJPY: Price is currently accumulating ! Wait For DistributionAt present, the USDJPY currency pair appears to be in an accumulation phase, as evidenced by the absence of significant price movement throughout the current week. Several factors contribute to this trend.
Firstly, several significant economic events are scheduled for this week, particularly tomorrow and Friday. These developments hold substantial implications for the future trajectory of the USDJPY pair. Consequently, there exists a possibility that the price may experience a decline prior to initiating a bullish trend.
Secondly, there are two primary areas where the price could reverse its course. The extent to which the USD reacts to the economic data will serve as an indicator of the potential reversal zones.
It is imperative that you conduct your own analysis before making any financial decisions. This chart should be utilised solely for educational purposes and does not guarantee any specific outcome.
Regarding the stop loss, as this is a swing trade, it is advisable to employ a larger stop loss if the price reaches entry zones. The take profit level can be determined based on your entry type and analysis.
We wish you the best of luck in your trading endeavours and emphasise the importance of trading safely.
Kindly share this analysis with others through likes, comments, and social media platforms. If you have any questions or require further assistance, please do not hesitate to comment below. We are here to provide support.
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GOLD SELL M15Gold (XAUUSD) - 15-Minute Chart Analysis
This is a bearish short-term setup for Gold based on price action and key market structure levels.
Analysis Summary:
Entry Zone: Price has reached a supply zone around 3340, which is expected to act as a resistance.
Stop Loss (SL): Positioned at 3348, just above the supply zone to account for potential false breakouts.
Target (TP): The downside target is set at 3325, where previous support and volume interest converge.
Key Technical Levels:
Supply Zone: 3340 – 3348 (Red zone)
Resistance: 3340
Intermediate Support:
3335
3330
Final Target Zone: 3325
Structure Breakdown:
EQH (Equal Highs): Suggests a liquidity grab above recent highs.
BOS (Break of Structure): Indicates a shift from bullish to bearish structure.
CHoCH (Change of Character): Confirms potential trend reversal.
The expected price movement is a rejection from the supply zone, followed by lower highs and lower lows targeting 3325.
Trade Idea:
Sell around: 3340
Stop Loss: 3348
Target: 3325
XTZ Is Waking Up – Next Stop $2.25?SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:XTZ is currently bouncing from the lower boundary of a broadening wedge pattern on the weekly chart, signaling a potential trend reversal. This structure, characterized by widening price swings, has been developing since mid-2022.
The recent bullish move has pushed the price above a key resistance zone, with rising volume supporting the momentum. The upper boundary of the wedge aligns with the next major target zone near $2.25.
Resistance 1: $1.00
Resistance 2: $1.45
Resistance 3: $2.25
Cheers
Hexa
BINANCE:XTZUSDT
xrp breakoutXRP has broken out of a multi-month consolidation zone, clearing major resistance levels around $2.75–$3.00. The current price action shows strong bullish momentum supported by moving averages and an overextended RSI.
Key levels:
Entry: $3.46 (market price)
Stop-Loss: $2.75 (below 0.382 Fibonacci and prior resistance)
Target: $4.49 (based on previous price structure and Fibonacci extension)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: ~1:3.9
Analysis:
Bullish EMA alignment (price is above 20/50/100/200)
RSI is overbought (~87), which signals strength but also warns of potential retracement
No retest of breakout zone yet — caution on late entries
This setup is momentum-based, not for late chasers. I will monitor for a clean retest around the $3.00–$3.20 area for a safer re-entry if price pulls back.
"EUR/USD Reversal Setup: Breakout Potential from Descending ChanThis EUR/USD 4-hour chart shows a potential bullish reversal from a descending channel. Price is approaching a key support area around 1.15621, with a projected breakout targeting the 1.16940–1.17199 resistance zone. The chart suggests a possible upward move if support holds.
Btcusd techinical analysis.The chart shows a BTC/USD (Bitcoin vs. US Dollar) technical analysis on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a detailed breakdown:
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🔍 Chart Elements & Interpretation:
1. Trend Lines:
Upper Pink Trend Line: Acts as a resistance from a previous high.
Lower Pink Trend Line: Represents a support line from the recent upward trend.
Blue Channel: Shows a rising wedge or ascending channel (often a bearish reversal pattern).
2. O.B (Order Blocks):
Upper O.B Zone (~120,000–121,000): Potential supply zone or area of resistance.
Lower O.B Zone (~117,500–118,500): Possible demand zone or support.
3. Price Projection:
A measured move of 2,585.6 points (2.18%) is marked upward from the current breakout attempt.
4. Current Price:
BTC is trading at $119,771.8, with a +0.90% increase at the time of this chart.
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🧠 Technical Outlook:
Bullish Case:
Breakout above the upper trend line and clearing the upper O.B could lead to a continuation toward 122,000+.
If BTC respects the demand zone and bounces, the uptrend may resume.
Bearish Case:
Failure to break above resistance or rejection at
SEIUSDT Rebounds from Key Support - Pump Loading?BINANCE:SEIUSDT Rebounds from Key Support - Pump Loading?
BINANCE:SEIUSDT just touched a major support level on the 4H chart and is now showing signs of a bullish reversal after breaking above the descending trendline. This setup looks similar to previous price actions where NYSE:SEI delivered sudden explosive moves post-breakout. If history repeats, we could be looking at another strong rally ahead.
Entry looks promising, but as always, manage your risk wisely and set a proper stop loss to protect your capital.
BINANCE:SEIUSDT Currently trading at 0.265
Buy level : Above $0.263
Stop loss : Below $0.243
Target : $0.337
Max leverage 5x
Always keep stop loss
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This is idea for positional trading in niftyBased on a confluence of Technical Analysis, Gann theory, and Astro-cycle studies, the market continues to experience downside pressure. This phase is likely a volume accumulation zone, which could set the stage for a stronger uptrend in the coming weeks.
The current bearish undertone is expected to gradually shift, with potential positive momentum emerging around August 5, 2025.
Scenario 1: Buy on Dip (Accumulation Zone)
Entry: Buy Nifty Futures in the 24,850 – 24,900 range
Stop Loss: 50 points
Target: 25,200 – 25,800
Note: This setup is valid only if the price retraces to this support zone, or halt before breaking out above 25,300.
Scenario 2: Breakout Buy
Entry: Buy Nifty Futures above 25,300
Stop Loss: 30 points
Target: 25,800
Note: This is a momentum-based entry upon confirmed breakout.
Altcoins Psychological analysisAs I’ve said many times, altseason began in 2024 . After a significant correction, we entered the second bullish wave in April 2025 .
As shown in the chart, the orange zone represents the break-even prices for most retail investors. FOMO will begin as we enter this zone, which will encourage whales to dump their coins, since liquidity will be returning to the market. Retail investors may then struggle to exit their positions as theire positions are not so profitable.
To take advantage of this wave, you should reassess your break-even prices and begin selling gradually throughout this ongoing trend.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:XRPUSDT BINANCE:ADAUSDT
ETH relative to AltcoinsI fee like at this current point as we see altcoin pairs bleed against ETH and BTC while putting in lower lows while Eth puts in higher highs we will not see the altseason we are hoping for until altcoin pairs hit here range lows which I can see happen end of Q3 into the start of Q4 but until then they can still rise as ETH.D continues its rally but I feel until altcoins reach its range lows being the .25 lvl on (TOTAL3-USDT)/BTC we will not see that face melting rally we are looking for.