Downloading...
Download

China

Hey anon.. you got the balls to buy 40k?! - BTC VLOG #58Some big dumps here with the Evergrande news... when I called 53k lower high it generally indicates probability is with further downside but it in no way can that predict events like potential real estate fueled recession in China. No oracle outside of insiders can predict that. All you can get are hints and probabilities in the TA. 40 to 41k seems bottom of this range, if you have the cajones, and I love these moments... how many times did we touch 30k? Did you have the balls to buy that 30k?! You got the balls to buy this 40k?! What's your invalidation? Buy low sell high, buy range low, sell at your targets. Not telling anybody to buy, not goading people with toxic masculinity, just saying that since I started this vlog, betting on these range lows is where so much money is made. PREDICTION = We want to test the range low. === TimeStamps === 0:00 = Welcome 0:30 = BTC 1 day 1:25 = SPX500 check 5:20 = Possible patterns 6:40 = Adjusting fibs 9:15 = Weak descending wedge 11:20 = Lower high has rewarded me 12:30 = We can get back to bullish 13:45 = NASDAQ 14:25 = BTC 1 weekly 14:45 = BTC 1 monthly 15:45 = ROUGH PREDICTION 16:45 = ... mother of god DESC TRI 19:30 = Closing words ------------------ NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, please don't trade off solely my ideas. Always do your own TA and develop your own convictions.
by tommytoan11
NIO: to Boost Its Battery Swap Stations' Coverage Along HighwaysThe company also has 341 supercharging stations with 2,176 supercharging piles, 515 destination charging stations with 2,878 piles and access to more than 400,000+ third-party charging piles. The Chinese Lunar New Year holiday is a peak travel time for the public, and NIO wants to significantly expand its battery swap stations' coverage along highways before then to make it easier for its customers to travel by car. The electric vehicle company announced Tuesday that it will have a battery swap network covering eight major highways and four densely populated metropolitan areas by the Chinese New Year in 2022. The next Chinese New Year will come on February 1, 2022, and no official schedule has been released, but the holiday is usually seven days. The holiday is typically a time for people working in major cities to return to their hometowns and will also see one of the world's largest population migrations, although it has waned in size in recent years due to Covid-19 concerns. According to NIO's plan, the company hopes to complete a battery swap network along five north-south highways and three east-west highways by then. The five north-south highways are G1 Beijing-Harbin Expressway, G2 Beijing-Shanghai Expressway, G4 Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao Expressway, G5 Beijing-Kunming Expressway, and G15 Shenyang-Haikou Expressway. The three east-west highways are the G30 Lianyungang-Horgos Expressway, the G50 Shanghai-Chongqing Expressway, and the G60 Shanghai-Kunming Expressway. The four metropolitan areas the company hopes to cover are Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, and Chengdu-Chongqing. William Li, founder, chairman and CEO of NIO, said Tuesday that the company's number of battery swap stations covering the highway now stands at 99 and will increase to 169 by the Chinese New Year. Notably, NIO has previously built battery swap networks covering the G2 Beijing-Shanghai Expressway and the G4 Beijing-Hong Kong-Macao Expressway. On September 20, the company announced the completion of its battery swap network covering the G1 Beijing-Harbin Expressway, making it the third fully connected expressway battery swap network. The G1 Beijing-Harbin Expressway is 1,229 kilometers long, and NIO has provided 10 battery swap stations along its route, one every 120 kilometers on average. In addition, NIO announced on September 16 that with three new battery swap stations in highway service areas in operation, it has completed its network of battery swap stations in highway service areas from Beijing to all major cities in the surrounding area. The network consists of 12 highway battery swap stations, centered on Beijing, covering the service areas in Hebei and Tianjin on seven highways: Beijing-Chengde, Beijing-Harbin, Beijing-Lhasa, Beijing-Chongli, Beijing-Shanghai, Beijing-Hong Kong-Macau, and Beijing-Qinhuangdao. According to CnEVPost database, as of September 21, NIO had 484 battery swap stations in China. This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
NYSE:NIOLong
by EqualOcean
Cataclysms are brewing in the global stock markets. China.All because of the situation with one of the largest developers in China - China Evergrande Group, which found itself on the verge of default (debt size ~ $ 300 billion). The possible bankruptcy of the company will hurt not only the Chinese economy (remember Lehman Brothers). Deposits in Chinese banks are about to $35 trillion, which is twice the size of the United States. Chinese financial crisis will lead to unforeseen circumstances and will affect all world markets. Industrial production has negative rates in China. Now it is near the lowest level since the global financial crisis. The devaluation of the yuan seems inevitable. Best regards EXCAVO
Long
by EXCAVO
10
Evergrande Explained: What Does It All Mean For Markets?Evergrande is something that most of you will have heard about lately, and if you haven’t… you should get the know about it. 

This has been one of the main causes of the latest sell off in markets. Its affecting all financial markets from the stock market to the crypto market right now. I want to explain why that’s the case and what impact it might have going forward… 

What is Evergrande?
 For anyone who has never heard of Evergrande or maybe has heard it but isn’t sure what it is… Evergrande is Chinas 2nd largest Real Estate developer and 122nd largest company in the world. 

 They employ over 120,000 people. 

 They have over 1,300 building projects in China. 

 And importantly, they also have some of the largest company debt in the world…

 They owe approximately 300 BILLION dollars.

 And can’t afford to pay it back…

 So What Does It All Mean & Why Is This Important?
 Evergrande defaulting on its debt payments has shaken confidence in Chinese real estate markets and caused investors to “de-risk” their portfolios… 

Its caused volatility and market sell offs in the stock market as investors or lender to Evergrande are no doubt selling assets to cover some the capital now at risk of default with Evergrande. 

Its also made investors worry about a wider spread debt crisis or “contagion” event in markets where lenders or debtors to Evergrande are then also at risk if those debts are not paid back. 
 So Whats Going To Happen? So while we outline what this does mean for markets its important to also outline what it doesn’t mean… There are fears that this could be a similar event to the real estate crisis in the US around 2008 where Lehman Brothers defaulted on their debts… and we all know how that ended right?

 Well I don’t think this is the same… and more importantly I don’t think that the Chinese authorities would allow that to happen. 

This event in some ways has been caused by the Chinese authorities trying to calm the excesses they knew about in the Chinese real estate market… So I believe this is somewhat a controlled explosion by authorities in China that are looking to deleverage their market excesses. 

If that is the case then the fear in the market currently of contagion risks and full blown market crisis is over exaggerated. That means there’s a real possibility that this COULD offer an opportunity to get a good entry into the market during this pullback.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by JoelWarby
4
ChinaYesterday saw some significant moves in several key macro factors. The charts below detail the sharp escalation in China stress (at the national, rather than real estate sector specific level) & the impact that had on broader risk appetite in markets. The Evergrande story has been in motion for months. Up until yesterday, contagion had been restricted to immediate peers – Chinese real estate / financial names, a few Australian miners. What changed yesterday was the move in Chinese Credit Default Swaps (CDS). Sovereign CDS liquidity is poor but the signal is unmistakeable – markets moved this from an idiosyncratic story to one with potentially far broader ramifications. For the first time in a while the risk off move had a material impact on the credit markets – "European financial" & "high yield" bonds especially. Again, our models suggest this is very much a statistical abnormality. The spike in VIX was a significant move on Qi models. VXEEM, VDAX (implied volatility measures for emerging markets and the DAX respectively) & the gold/silver ratio experienced similar moves. What next? China is the epicentre of current market moves & your view on how the Evergrande story unfolds is critical. China bears will see these factor moves as a genuine re-pricing. If so, Qi can high-light those markets that are lagging versus the new environment. In times of stress it is more important than ever to quantify relationships between asset price & the macro environment. LOOK UP™
TVC:VIX
by UnknownUnicorn25542523
Navigating the Evergrande into the Chinese Golden WeekThe Evergrande FUD is spreading, fuelled by western media looking for another Lehman moment to cover. The people selling the news have no clue to what extent the CCP plunge protection team is mandated to go to protect the real estate prices. After all real estate is 80% of household wealth, and if retail hurts, Xi's image will be tarnished. To make things more pressing, China is going into a 10 day long hibernation starting the 1st of October, the Golden Week where most services including financial markets will be closed.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ichiokuS
BTC-Predictable as alwaysGood Morning traders! Yesterdays PA was easy to understand if you new what to look for. Retail traders are PREDICTABLE and therefore the markets movements are. The market has moved exactly as anticipated, sweeping out the retail orders stacked at the bottom of the range. We are now currently sitting on the neckline of a large head and shoulders pattern. These patterns are subjective, and become "valid" once we break and close under the neckline. Again don't you think whales and funds know of these patterns.... From this point onwards I will be looking to enter longs, however I will be prepared that price can easily pull right back to the yellow circle around 37k. The current market is being influenced by the spx500 and Evergrande, how it will play out is anyone's best guess, but I would suggest the Chinese government will stop a default to stop toxic debt seeping into the greater market. As always trade safe EnvisionEJ
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PLong
by EnvisionEJ
Is Evergrande the next Lehman Brothers ??China`s economic model is based on real estate investment to drive growth. 20 Mil apartment buildings per year. China`s residential property is 20% of GDP every year. Too much! Real estate activities in China close to 30% of GDP every year. Huge! Chinese Government is Bashing the private sector, look at GOTU and BABA for example. Evergrande, second largest property developer in China has more than $300 billion in debt! Evergrande has $83.5 million interest payment Sept. 23 and a $42.5 million payment on Sept. 29 Failure to to pay in 30 days can put Evergrande in default. Today Evergrande has a Market Cap of 30.099B! At its peak, Evergrande was traded 13.5X higher! Evergrande’s potential debt blowup can send shock waves through financial markets! Today was just the beginning.
HKEX:3333Short
by TopgOptions
11
XPeng Says P5 Had 6,159 Orders in 24 Hours of Official LaunchThe company said that 54 percent of those orders were for the LiDAR-equipped models. XPeng Motors said Friday that it accumulated 6,159 orders for its new sedan, the P5, in the first 24 hours of its official launch. The company announced Wednesday evening Beijing time that the P5 became available for order in China in six configurations with a subsidized price range of CNY 157,900 (USD 24,500) to CNY 223,900, and deliveries will begin in late October. XPeng said today that 90 percent of these new orders are for models that support XPILOT 3.5 and XPILOT 3.0, its autonomous driving assistance system. It's worth noting that this does not mean that all of these customers are subscribed to the XPILOT system, as they will need to spend additional money. XPeng did not disclose the percentage of customers who subscribed to the service. XPeng debuted a new naming scheme for the P5 model, with the P representing the model's highest level of intelligence, followed by the E and G. The numbers in the names of the different models represent their NEDC ranges. The P series, with the highest intelligence rating, offers a choice of 550 km and 600 km NEDC ranges, while the E and G series both offer a choice of 460 km and 550 km ranges. Among these models, only two models of the P series are equipped with LiDAR, priced at CNY 199,900 and 223,900 respectively. They can allow users to pay for a subscription to XPILOT 3.5 at a standard price of CNY 45,000, and users will be able to enjoy a discounted price of CNY 25,000 if they subscribe before delivery. The two E series models are priced at CNY 177,900 and CNY 192,900 respectively. They allow users to pay for a subscription to XPILOT 3.0 at a standard price of CNY 36,000, and users will be able to enjoy a discounted price of CNY 20,000 if they subscribe before delivery. The two models of the G series are priced at CNY 157,900 and CNY 172,900 respectively and do not support the XPILOT system. This article was first published by Phate Zhang on CnEVPost, a website focusing on new energy vehicle news from China.
NYSE:XPEV
by EqualOcean
Dada Nexus Beats Q2 2021 Earnings Estimates, Growth AcceleratesCreating extra value for JD.com's 530 million active users will be the company's next strategic endeavor. With the tumultuous unfolding around China's major New York-listed tech companies, plenty of mid-cap stocks have been affected as well, losing their market value in 2021. In some cases, however, investors' fear has little to nothing to do with the firms' real fundamentals. Dada Nexus (DADA:NASDAQ) may be one such company. The Chinese operator of on-demand delivery and retail platforms recently posted its Q2 2021 financials. This time, the key results slightly exceeded both the analyst consensus and the firm's own projections, showing a pro forma revenue growth of 81.3% (the revenue recognition model was changed in April) and CNY 549 million in net loss – the Street's average expectation was CNY 615 million. Dada was founded in 2014 as an "open local on-demand delivery platform" and took its present form after a merger with JD.com's (JD:NASDAQ) spinoff JDDJ in 2016; since the completion of that deal, it has been developing around a duo of products, boosting the core services' scope and building adjacent businesses and partnerships. In June 2020, the firm went public on Nasdaq, raising funds vital to stay competitive in the ongoing battle for Chinese consumers. A growth-stage company, Dada is scrambling for a larger market share while moving towards profitability. Throughout the June quarter, its expansion continued. This article looks at the key indicators' dynamics to analyze Dada Now and JDDJ's performance within those three months. We first crunch the newly reported data, then calculate key ratios to track the progress in financials and unit economics. To top it off, we provide a glance at Dada's tech initiatives beyond the two platforms. "JD's over 530 million users" and COVID-19 In the twelve months through June 2021, the number of JDDJ's active users reached 51.3 million, increasing by 58.8% year-on-year. Dada relates this growth, among other things, to its cooperation with JD.com. During the earnings call, the company's executives stated that it "continued to win customers' trust" and is going to proceed with the "in-depth cooperation with JD to better serve the omnichannel and on-demand needs of JD's over 530 million active users." In addition, a new tool is being constructed at the intersection of the two digital ecosystems: 'Fujin', the former's entry point within the latter's app, has been tested in a handful of cities, including Shenzhen and Shanghai. The duet's convergence is happening amid a post-COVID boom in the Chinese on-demand retail market. The number of users in the space has lately skyrocketed and is projected (link in Chinese) to grow at a 31% CAGR from 2019 to 2023. Consumers have changed their shopping habits forever. It's also crucial that despite the magnitude of new possible outbreaks in China, this trend will remain strong, as the fix-cost-burdened offline stores are embracing online traffic. And Dada is among the country's top platforms that drive brick-and-mortar players' online sales, accelerating their adoption of digital tools. From the ESG perspective, COVID-19 has pushed Dada Group to shoulder more social responsibility. Its executives stated that the company had worked "closely with local governments to provide the daily supplies and the on-demand delivery for the customers," and, as a result, "received recognition from the government." More merchants, new partners and categories Users are just a part – although the most critical one – of the story. The supply-side matters as much. As per the company, this quarter, JDDJ made significant progress in category expansion. In retrospect, Dada started its business with groceries and has now covered a number of areas, such as pharma and apparel. By now, it has been taking the lead in the supermarket category and seeking partnerships with big chains. By the end of Q2 2021, hands had been shaken between Dada and "80 chains out of China's top 100." The most recent attempt in the consumer electronics arena was emphasized a couple of times in the investor conference. As on-demand retailing has gradually been recognized by smartphone manufacturers, Dada has partnered with hundreds of distributors and established cooperation with Apple and vivo, among other major brands. Besides, the company stepped further into the PC category, cooperating with Microsoft, Asus, Dell and Alienware, among others. In response to an analyst's question, the executives disclosed that the potential of some new categories, including home appliances and cosmetics, will be further explored. User acquisition at full pelt In Q2, Dada's total expenses have added to around CNY 2.21 billion. The sales and marketing cost grew from CNY 386 million in Q2 2020 to CNY 824 million in Q2 2021. According to the unaudited financial results, this boost was mainly driven by the rising "incentives given to JDDJ consumers" and "referral fees paid to retailer store staff and third parties" to attract new users to the platform. Considerable investment was also directed to R&D, showing the intention to build comprehensive tech products on top of the company's commercial network. (One is Haibo.) The operations and support expenses reached CNY 1.14 billion, compared with CNY 1.10 billion in the same quarter of 2020. The rise in rider cost stemming from the increasing intra-city delivery order volume mainly contributed to the accretion of this category; but this was partially offset by the decrease of rider-related costs incurred by the last-mile delivery business model upgrade – "effective since April 2021, the cost of riders for last-mile delivery services has been directly paid through third-party companies instead of through the company." Even though the company experienced massive revenue growth in Q2, the spending on market expansion has kept the net profit margin at low levels. On a sequential basis, though, Dada improved its net profit margin, thanks to the efficiency gain in operations and consumer incentives. Unit economics steadily improving Positive dynamics in absolute figures, be it revenue or user pool growth, are never enough to claim success for a pre-profit platform economy enterprise. Dada's key business ratios, nonetheless, show some progress, too. The trailing-twelve-months (TTM) revenue of JDDJ jumped from CNY 1.10 billion in Q4 2019 to CNY 2.97 billion in Q2 2021. In the meantime, the number of the platform's new users has been growing steadily, from 24.4 million to 51.3 million, up by 110.2%. The average revenue per user (ARPU) thereby rose from CNY 45.20 to CNY 57.90. Using Meituan's Q2 2019 number (53.6%) as a proxy for quarter-on-quarter user retention rate (as opposed to customer churn) and the only assumption in this analysis, we found that JDDJ's user base may not only grow on the TTM basis, but the speed might have been accelerating continuously over the past eight quarters, which was perhaps caused by the platform's significant word-of-mouth marketing potential and effective referral system. New tech, no red flags Reporting a financially solid three-month period, Dada announced a few other updates this time. For one thing, it included an extra 1,000 stores into SaaS Haibo's network. The company is also developing an open autonomous delivery operation system, enabling on-demand retail applications for various hardware providers. The system has been tested and reportedly adopted by JD's SEVEN FRESH and Yonghui Superstores. Both projects are narratives to keep tabs on. Those are highly likely to become key differentiators in the upcoming maturity phase of the on-demand delivery and retail market. Over the past quarters, Dada Nexus has been growing at high double digits; good fundamentals and a balanced tactical arsenal are set to protect its market position. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
DLong
by EqualOcean
long position < we are hold it for 6 - 12 monthPlatON, initiated and driven by the LatticeX Foundation, is a next-generation Internet infrastructure protocol based on the fundamental properties of blockchain and supported by the privacy-preserving computation network. “Computing interoperability” is its core feature. By building a computing system assembled by Verifiable Computation, Secure Multi-Party Computation, Zero-Knowledge Proof, Homomorphic Encryption and other cryptographic algorithms and blockchain technology, PlatON provides a public infrastructure in open source architecture for global artificial intelligence, distributed application developers, data providers and various organizations, communities and individuals with computing needs.
Long
by mustafa_abdullah16