Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors Gold 17/07 – Market Volatile Amid Geopolitical Tensions & Fed Rumors
🌍 Macro Sentiment: Uncertainty Continues
The global gold market opened Thursday with high volatility following headlines that former U.S. President Donald Trump was considering firing Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Though Trump later denied the claim, the initial rumor spiked fear in financial markets.
At the same time:
🇮🇱 Israel launched airstrikes on Syria, escalating regional tensions.
🇪🇺 The EU proposed new tariffs on U.S. imports, increasing global economic friction.
🏦 Inflation concerns persist as BlackRock warns about delayed price pressures from earlier tariff hikes.
📉 These factors have turned gold into a temporary safe haven, but investors should remain cautious as the market is still undecided about direction.
🔎 Technical Outlook – Key Patterns to Watch
The H1 chart reveals price action respecting a wide consolidation range with visible liquidity sweeps on both ends. The market is forming a clean structure of lower highs, hinting at bearish bias unless bulls reclaim upper resistance zones.
Sell-side liquidity has been swept around the 3,320 level.
Order Block Sell Zone remains active at 3,342 – 3,344, potentially leading to a short-term drop.
If price breaks above 3,357 – 3,363 (VPOC & OB zone), a new bullish leg may form.
🎯 Trade Plan for Today
🟩 Buy Opportunity Zone
Entry: 3,312 – 3,310
Stop Loss: 3,306
Take Profits:
→ 3,316 → 3,320 → 3,324 → 3,328 → 3,335 → 3,340 → 3,350
📌 This zone has shown strong demand historically. Look for bullish candle confirmation on the lower timeframe (M15–H1).
🟥 Sell Opportunity Zone
Entry: 3,362 – 3,364
Stop Loss: 3,368
Take Profits:
→ 3,358 → 3,354 → 3,350 → 3,345 → 3,340
📌 This area overlaps with a VPOC level and prior order block – watch for price rejection patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, fake breakouts).
⚠️ Risk Note
With geopolitical and monetary policy headlines dominating sentiment, price may spike erratically. Avoid overleveraging and always respect your SL/TP.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Do you think gold will break below 3,300 and head toward deeper FVG zones?
Or will bulls regain control and aim for 3,377 liquidity?
👇 Drop your analysis and let’s build the best gold trading community together!
Commodities
U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTED
U.S. NATURAL GAS - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTED🕵🏻♂️
The Natural gas has been trading bullish for 7 days in a row since last Wednesday, reaching the 3.6000 resistance level. Primarily this happened due to a warm weather in the U.S. states, that supports the demand on gas. Despite warmer-than-normal summer weather, analysts expect energy firms to inject more gas into storage than usual in coming weeks. Record-high output in June, likely to be surpassed in July, and reduced gas flows to LNG export plants since April's peak, support this trend.
Technically chart shows us a bearish divergence on 1-h timeframe. I suppose the price to slowly decline towards major support level of 3.0000 with minor rebounds. The 2nd option is the rebound from 3.4000 support level with a first target of 3.6000.
One Shot, Clear Strategy – Silver Buy Zone in SightHey everyone 👋
📌 BUY LIMIT ORDER / XAGUSD-SILVER Key Levels
🟢 Entry: 36,892
🎯 Target 1: 37,409
🎯 Target 2: 38,189
🎯 Target 3: 39,246
🔴 Stop: 36,052
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2,79
I double-checked the levels and put together a clean, focused analysis just for you. Every single like seriously boosts my motivation to keep sharing 📈 Your support means the world to me! Huge thanks to everyone who likes and backs this work 💙 Our goals are crystal clear, our strategy is solid. Let’s keep moving forward with confidence and smart execution!
Crude oil---sell near 67.50, target 65.00-60.00Crude oil market analysis:
Crude oil has also started to fluctuate recently. Pay attention to the impact of contract delivery on the trend of crude oil. The daily line of crude oil does not show the strength of its rebound. In terms of operation, it is still a rebound sell. Crude oil continues to be bearish. The situation in the Middle East has not made any major moves temporarily, and the support for crude oil is limited. Pay attention to the selling opportunities near 67.30 today.
Operational suggestions:
Crude oil---sell near 67.50, target 65.00-60.00
Gold prices fall in the short term – What's next?Hello everyone, what’s your take on gold?
Today, gold continues to attract short-term selling pressure as USD buying momentum returns and expectations for Fed rate cuts diminish. On the other hand, an overall positive risk sentiment is also seen as another factor weighing on the precious metal.
At the time of writing, gold is trading around the EMA 34 and 89 near 3,336 USD. With no major updates expected, the market is likely to remain steady throughout the day.
From a technical perspective, the bearish trend persists, with prices capped below the trendline. A series of lower highs and lower lows could push XAUUSD to retest deeper levels, potentially reaching the 3,300 USD mark. However, lingering trade uncertainties may limit losses for this safe-haven asset.
This is just my view on the market, not financial advice.
XAUUSDDear traders,
In my previous analysis, I mentioned that gold could extend its short-term decline after being rejected from the range boundary. However, that bearish structure was quickly invalidated following a sharp upside move, signaling a potential trend reversal. If this momentum continues, I anticipate that price may soon reach the levels of 3,355 and 3,365.
Feel free to leave a comment if you have any thoughts to add. Good luck!
Gold Eyes 3365 – Breakout or Rejection?GOLD | Technical Outlook
Gold maintains bullish momentum as long as it trades above 3355, aiming to test the 3365 resistance level.
However, signs of rejection at 3365 may emerge, especially if the 4H candle closes below this level. In that case, expect a period of sideways consolidation between 3365 and 3342.
A confirmed 1H candle close above 3365 would signal bullish continuation toward 3373, with an extended target at 3395.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 3355
• Resistance: 3365 / 3375 / 3395
• Support: 3342 / 3333
Outlook:
• Bullish above 3355
• Breakout above 3365 confirms further upside
• Rejection at 3365 may lead to short-term range-bound movement
DeGRAM | GOLD above the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls defended the channel base at 3 333, snapping the intraday falling wedge and reclaiming the broken trend-line; successive higher-lows since 17 Jul signal fresh upside momentum.
● A clean H1 close over the former pivot 3 355 flips the wedge crest into support and activates the measured-move target at the upper horizontal barrier 3 366, with the March swing cap 3 389 next.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US jobless-claims trend and Fed speakers’ hints that “policy is restrictive enough” cooled two-year real yields, while PBoC’s June data showed net gold purchases for a fourth month—both underpinning spot demand.
✨ Summary
Long 3 345-3 355; hold above 3 355 targets 3 366 → 3 389. Bias void on an H1 close beneath 3 333.
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The short-selling idea remains unchanged, defend 3355📰 News information:
1. Powell responds to White House issues
2. Will other countries impose reciprocal sanctions on tariffs?
📈 Technical Analysis:
Gold closed with a long lower shadow on the daily line yesterday and closed with a doji on the hourly line. In the short term, gold may continue to rise and is expected to touch the 3355 line. If gold cannot break through and stabilize above 3355, then gold may fall back. We can still consider shorting, and the target can be 3330. If the trend is as expected, it may form the embryonic form of a head and shoulders bottom. On the contrary, if the gold price breaks through 3355, stop loss on short positions and pay attention to the high resistance of 3375-3385.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3340-3355
TP 3330-3320
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
TVC:GOLD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
USOIL Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 67.883.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 62.518 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Silver bullish above 3770The Silver remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3770 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3770 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
4000 – initial resistance
4077 – psychological and structural level
4160 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3770 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3727 – minor support
3685 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Silver holds above 3770. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Platinum: Breaking the Supply Barrier?I'm adding a second Platinum position. Price has hit a strong weekly supply area, also a significant monthly supply zone. I'm anticipating a reversal here, as non-commercial holdings are decreasing, and seasonal patterns suggest a potential trend change. To further capitalize on potential upside, I've placed a pending order above the primary supply zone, at a slightly higher, but still relevant. These are older, established and fresh supply zones.
(Note: Reducing the chart size may help to better visualize the long-term significance of these overlapping areas.)
✅ Please share your thoughts about PL1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
GOLD Under Pressure – CPI to Drive the Next MoveGOLD Outlook – Bearish Below 3365, CPI in Focus
Gold is showing bearish momentum while trading below 3365, with a likely move toward 3342.
However, if the price closes a 1H or 4H candle above 3365, it may shift to a bullish trend targeting 3395.
CPI data will be the key factor in determining the next move.
The market expects a print of 2.6%, which would signal no Fed rate cuts this year due to rising tariff pressures.
That said, we expect a 2.7% release, which would likely support a bearish trend for gold.
But if the release is less than 2.6% that will support the bullish trend.
Pivot Line: 3365
Support: 3342 – 3320
Resistance: 3375 – 3395
18/07 Gold Outlook Market Tensions Mount Liquidity Zones in Play Gold Outlook – Market Tensions Mount, Liquidity Zones in Play
Price action heats up as we enter the final trading day of the week. Are you ready to ride the wave or get caught in the liquidity sweep?
🔍 Market Sentiment & Global Highlights
Gold rebounded strongly after dropping on better-than-expected US data. However, several macro risks are keeping gold buyers in the game:
Buy-the-dip activity emerged amid concerns that Trump’s tariff policies may fuel inflation.
Rate cut expectations remain strong as US core inflation shows no signs of cooling.
Geopolitical risks intensified as Israel conducted fresh airstrikes on Syria.
EU threatens $84B in tariffs on US goods should trade talks break down.
💡 These tensions are giving gold strong support — especially as traders prepare for potential volatility into the weekend.
📈 Technical Overview – Liquidity Zones at Play
Yesterday's bounce from FLZ H2 (3310) — a critical demand and liquidity zone — triggered a clean reversal. Sellers took profit, volume shifted, and buyers regained control. Price has since pushed up to retest the OBS SELL ZONE + CP Pattern near the 334x area with a sharp reaction.
For today, price is likely to revisit lower liquidity pockets (M30–H2) before making the next directional move.
🔑 Key Levels to Watch
🟢 BUY ZONE: 3318 – 3316
Stop Loss: 3312
Take Profits: 3322 – 3326 – 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360+
⚡ BUY SCALP ZONE: 3326 – 3324
Stop Loss: 3320
Take Profits: 3330 – 3335 – 3340 – 3345 – 3350 – 3360
🔴 SELL ZONE: 3363 – 3365
Stop Loss: 3370
Take Profits: 3360 – 3355 – 3350 – 3346 – 3342 – 3338 – 3335 – 3330
⚠️ Final Notes
Today’s session has no major news releases, but as it’s the end of the week, we may see liquidity grabs and unexpected volatility. Stay disciplined, stick to your plan, and always respect TP/SL.
🔔 Follow the key zones carefully – volatility loves indecision.
Bullish continuation?The Silver (XAG/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
pivot: 37.29
1st Support: 36.29
1st Resistance: 39.10
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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Gold bullish breakout supported at 3308The Gold remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a continuation breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 3308 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 3308 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
3387 – initial resistance
3400 – psychological and structural level
3435 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 3308 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
3290 – minor support
3268 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the Gold holds above 3308. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DeGRAM | GOLD correction from the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Repeated rejections at the channel mid-band (3 346) and the higher swing-highs marked by red arrows form a descending wedge inside the bigger rising channel.
● Price has slipped back under the intraday up-trend and is tracking a fresh 30 m falling channel; a close below 3 328 completes the bear setup and points to the lower channel rail / former bounce base at 3 296.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US retail-sales surprise (+0.5 % m/m) lifted 2-yr Treasury yields while Fed’s Daly warned “inflation progress isn’t enough”, reviving dollar demand and capping bullion.
✨ Summary
Short 3 340-3 345; sustained trade beneath 3 328 opens 3 296 → 3 255. Thesis void on a 30 m close above 3 355.
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SILVER: Strong Bullish Sentiment! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 38.281 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
XAUUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
COPPER Top of 4-year Rising Wedge. Sell.Copper (HG1!) eventually followed the bearish break-out signal we gave on our last analysis (April 03, see chart below) and within 2 days it hit our 4.1250 Target:
Right now the price sits at the top of the 4-year Rising Wedge pattern and on the 1W time-frame it is a textbook technical sell signal.
With the 1W RSI also rejected on a Lower Highs trend-line, we are looking to aim for the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) at least. Every Bearish Leg since the July 11 2022 Low, reached at least its 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level before rebounding again.
As a result, our Target is 4.700, which given a fair 3-month time-frame, should be at the time marginally below the 1W MA50, in line with all previous bottoms of the Rising Wedge.
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XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 17.Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance: 3382, support below 3300
Four-hour chart resistance: 3375, support below 3320
One-hour chart resistance: 3352, support below 3320.
Trump's remarks in the NY market on Wednesday ignited the market. First, it was reported that Powell would be fired, and then it was reported that Trump denied the news. Gold quickly rose to 3375 and then quickly fell back. Under the impact of the news, the price fluctuated very quickly, jumping up and down quickly.
From the current market trend, the day before yesterday, it fell to 3319 and stopped falling and rebounded. Yesterday, it tested 3319 again and quickly pulled up. Yesterday, the price hit the high point of this week near 3375 again and fell back quickly. There is support below and resistance above. If it approaches the 3320 support for the third time today, it is likely to fall below, and then trigger a long stop loss, and it may fall rapidly at that time.
If it falls below 3319, it will look at the 3280~3300 range.
SELL:3319 SL:3324
SELL:3352 SL:3357
GOLD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,337.24
Target Level: 3,283.55
Stop Loss: 3,372.93
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUSD long Lion SETUPhello everyone
the price is in a strong demand area
as liquidity has been withdrawn
and the fair value gap has been filled
but we are waiting for formation pattern on a smaller frame in order to enter an upward wave.
we also have resistance area
so in short. I expect an upside go upppp