Gold Setup for July 3th: Don’t Get Caught in the Liquidity Net🌙 Good evening, sniper — lock in, load up, and let’s dance with Thursday’s chaos 💣
🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Pulse
Thursday’s setup is not for amateurs:
🔸 Non-Farm Employment Change
🔸 Unemployment Rate
🔸 Initial Jobless Claims
🔸 ISM Services PMI
🔸 Factory Orders
Add to that:
• A Fed still talking tough on rates
• Geopolitical flare-ups in the Black Sea and Middle East
• Gold trading deep into premium…
💡 This is where markets hunt weak hands, then flip direction without mercy.
We don’t chase candles. We wait for exhaustion. Then we execute.
🎯 Bias Snapshot (D1 → H4 → H1)
• Daily closed bullish but deep into old CHoCH + OB
• H4 printed HHs, but structure now presses into stacked supply
• H1 shows momentum fading — RSI divergence + weakening push
📌 Core bias: Still bullish — but every pip above 3360 is loaded with risk.
If 3380 fails to break cleanly, expect rejection.
If it breaks — the market likely wants full liquidity above 3400.
🗺️ Battlefield Zones
🟢 Buy Zone #1 – 3310 to 3320
The sniper’s discount pullback: Fibo 38.2%, M30 OB, EMA 50, and clean imbalance.
Wait for news spike + bullish confirmation to go long.
🟢 Buy Zone #2 – 3285 to 3295
The deep reaction zone.
Fibo 61.8% + OB + gap. Enter only on violent wick and rejection — but RR is exceptional.
🟡 Flip Zone – 3334 to 3340
This is where momentum flips:
• Hold above = continuation toward premium
• Break below = bearish reversal unlocked
No entries here — this is your compass, not your trigger.
🔴 Sell Zone #1 – 3357 to 3366
Classic CHoCH retest. H1/H4 OB with layered liquidity.
If price rejects here on post-news spike — short it back toward the flip.
🔴 Sell Zone #2 – 3387 to 3395
Top-of-range sweep.
If gold blows through zone 1, this becomes liquidity trap central.
Wait for rejection wick + bearish PA confirmation.
🔴 Sell Zone #3 – 3410 to 3420
The final premium kill zone.
This is where the market finishes stop-hunting every breakout buyer.
Fibo extension 1.272–1.618 hits here. If we wick this zone and stall — sniper short back to 3380–3366.
⚔️ Execution Blueprint
Wait for news to trigger the chaos — early entries are a donation.
Short 3357–3366 on exhaustion → target flip zone.
If price overextends into 3387–3395, get ready for the reversal play.
Extreme spike to 3410–3420? That’s your killshot short — ride it back down.
If price retraces into 3310–3320, it’s your safe sniper long.
Panic into 3285–3295? Deep long entry, only with confirmation.
Watch the flip zone (3334–3340) — above = bullish bias holds; below = bears back in control.
🎯 No guesswork. No hope. Just precision. Wait, confirm, and strike.
💬 Let’s stay sharp tomorrow — market will offer clean setups, but patience and clarity are key.
If this plan helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts below.
👉 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry plans crafted with precision.
Smash that🚀🚀🚀 if this plan sharpened your edge.
📝 You already know — we don’t guess, we execute. 🦅
Good night, snipers 💛
⚠️ Disclosure
I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer Program and use their TradingView charts for analysis & educational content.
Commodities
GOLD 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Reversal : 3318
Volume Poc + Value
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30M Engaged ( Dual Entry's Detected )
Gold 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
➕ Objective: Precision Volume Execution
Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸 Bullish Wave Coming From Now : 3352
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
Gold 30M Engaged ( Bullish Entry Detected )
I say nothing , you say me any thing about 📌 **Gold Spot (XAU/USD) – 30m | 2h | Smart Money Perspective**
🔍 After weeks of precision tracking and structural validation, price has now tapped the **Right Shoulder** of a clean *Reverse Head & Shoulders* formation — with absolute respect to structure, liquidity, and OB zones.
💥 This wasn't just a random bounce.
It was:
- A confirmation of **previous BOS & CHoCH**
- A retest of **TLQ/ILQ liquidity zones**
- A reaction from the *Extreme OB* within a compression channel
- And a final push fueled by **inefficiency fills** on the left
🎯 The bullish intent remains strong, and if momentum follows through, we're looking at:
- **TP1** → 3345–3355 (minor OB & void fill)
- **TP2** → 3375–3390 (liquidity sweep target)
- **TP3** → 3420+ (range expansion goal)
🧠 This analysis has not just been correct.
It’s been **respected by the market.**
I take pride in every reaction the chart gives us when we respect the language of price, structure, and timing.
There’s no shortcut here — just observation, logic, and discipline.
We don’t chase the trend. We wait for it to **bow in confirmation**.
Like it just did.
— *Mohsen Mozafari Nejad* 🧭
#SmartMoney #GoldAnalysis #XAUUSD #TradingView #MarketStructure #BOS #OB #MSU #ReverseHeadAndShoulders #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis
XAUUSD Weekly Analysis 30 June 4 July 2025Gold has formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the H4 timeframe. While the pattern is not perfectly symmetrical, it is still valid and clearly recognizable. The price has broken below the neckline, confirming a potential shift in market structure to the downside.
Analysis Insight:
The 3340–3350 area, previously a support zone, is now acting as resistance following the neckline break. A pullback to this zone may present a high-probability short opportunity for swing traders, especially if price shows rejection or bearish structure in that zone.
Trade Type: Swing
Trade Setup – Sell on Retracement:
Bias: Bearish on confirmation of retracement rejection
Entry Zone: 3340 – 3350
Stop Loss: 3376 (above right shoulder/high)
Take Profit: 3320/3300/3285/3260
Risk-Reward Ratio: Approximately 1:2
Kindly follow, share, like, support and comment.
GOLD BULLS We saw gold impose a strong bullish strength since the open of this new week, and even at the beginning of the new month (JULY).
Based on this analysis, this bullish momentum has structured in a bullish trend channel which has been shown, we still have more top liquidity to mitigate as we have made a bearish retracement for a continued bullish rally to 3360's, 3380's and 3400's.
Further updates would be given as the market gains momentum
Buying the Dip or Catching a Knife? My Gold Setup Explained.Entered a long position on XAU/USD from the 1H demand zone following sharp intraday selling into a key support level. With gold hovering near $3,300 and a significant testimony from Fed Chair Powell on deck, the setup aligns with both technical rebound potential and fundamental uncertainty that could fuel upside.
The goal here is to play the liquidity vacuum left after aggressive positioning was cleared, with tight invalidation and asymmetric reward.
Technicals:
• Entry aligned with prior price inefficiency and confluence of multiple demand zones
• 1H structure shows clear deviation below the range with immediate buy-side response
• EMA channel flattening, indicating potential compression ahead of expansion
• First target: $3,352
• Risk-managed with defined stop-loss below $3,260
Execution Note: This is not a “hold forever” trade. It’s an opportunistic reaction to unwind + sentiment imbalance.
Fundamentals
• Gold saw a 25% surge in 2024 due to safe-haven demand and dovish policy, but enters 2025 under pressure from:
▫️ A strong USD
▫️ Higher cost of carry
▫️ Speculators taking profit
• Fed policy remains the core variable:
▫️ A hawkish tone from Powell could weigh on price
▫️ Rate cuts would likely revive bullish momentum
• Central bank demand remains supportive
• Geopolitical tensions (Russia-Ukraine, Israel-Iran) could trigger safe-haven bids again.
Bearish headwinds:
• Waning bullish momentum per RSI divergence
• Reduced rate cut expectations post-election
• Powell’s testimony could revive volatility either way.
This is a short-term tactical long, not a macro bet. With sentiment temporarily overextended and key support defended intraday, this is a high R/R window to exploit Powell-related volatility.
Let’s see how price reacts into $3,350+. Any sustained strength there would open room toward $3,400, while failure would confirm a retest of $3,260s.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BTC/USD Fake out before Pump | Bullish Flag formationBTC/USDT (1D) Market Outlook – July 1, 2025
Introduction
BTC is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern after printing a swing high at 108.9K and a recent swing low at 98K. The price sits just below a major supply zone.
Context 1: Key Zones
Supply: 104.6K – 112.1K
Demand: 74.4K – 82.5K
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3 zones below price, with one near 88–90K
Context 2: Technical Confluence
Liquidation Zone: 106.2K
Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618): 102.1K
Psychological Levels: 105K and 110K
Context 3: Market Structure
Pattern: Bullish flag
Trend (LTF): Sideways/consolidation
Volume Profile: Heavy activity near 105K–110K
Bullish Scenario
Breaks above 106.2K (liq zone)
Pulls back to 102.1K (golden pocket), forms higher low
Retests resistance for continuation
Alt scenario: clean breakout above resistance → ATH retest
Bearish Scenario
Breaks below 106.2K and flag support
Fills FVG, breaks prior low at 98K
Triggers macro downtrend toward 88–90K zone
Summary
BTC is at a decision point inside a bullish flag, facing supply. A break above 106.2K favors upside continuation, while rejection and a lower low could trigger a deeper retracement. Watch key levels closely.
Cocoa Futures: CC1! Potential Pullback at Familiar Supply ZoneCocoa futures (CC1) are approaching a key demand zone previously tested in March 2025. This area, highlighted on the chart, presents a potential for a pullback, fueled by likely buy orders from commercial traders, as indicated by bullish sentiment evident in the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report. We're watching for a reversal pattern within these highlighted zones, signaling a shift from the current upward trend. This anticipated pullback, driven by commercial market participation, could offer a compelling entry point for traders looking to capitalize on a potential reversal in the agricultural commodity.
✅ Please share your thoughts about CC1! in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
GOLD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 3,347.31 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 3,353,67.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
NATURALGAS1! Short time Breadkdown Alert !!This is the 4 hour chart of Natural Gas Futures.
NATURALGAS1 has given a short-term channel breakdown; the previous support may now possibly act as resistance at 300 level.
The breakdown target is the lower boundary of the broader channel, which may now act as support near at 240 level.
If lop is sustain then we may see lower prices in NATURALGAS1.
Thank You !!
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 36.897 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Gold Holds Above 3342 Ahead of Key U.S Data –Bullish Bias IntactGold Rises as Market Awaits Key U.S. Economic Data
Gold prices are pushing higher as investors position ahead of today’s major U.S. economic releases, including NFP and unemployment figures. Expectations of weaker data are supporting bullish sentiment.
Technical Outlook (XAU/USD):
Gold maintains a bullish structure as long as it trades above 3,342.
→ A push toward 3,365 is likely
→ A 1H close above 3,365 would open the path toward 3,375
However, if price closes below 3,342 on the 1H chart, bearish momentum may build, targeting 3,331 and 3,320
Key Levels:
• Resistance: 3,365 / 3,375 / 3,390
• Support: 3,341 / 3,331 / 3,320
GOLD Will Move Higher! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,347.97.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,408.78 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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DeGRAM | GOLD retest of the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Price holds above the broken blue resistance line, now acting as support near 3 347, while an inner up-sloper is guiding a stair of higher lows inside the new grey channel.
● The confluence of channel mid-line and 3 355 swing high is the gate; its clearance activates an equal-width objective at 3 380, with the outer rail / former consolidation lid at 3 425 next.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Easing US ISM-services prices trimmed real 2-yr yields and the dollar, while latest WGC data show June net central-bank purchases rising for a third month, reviving dip-buying in gold.
✨ Summary
Long 3 345–3 355; hold above 3 355 targets 3 380 → 3 425. Invalidate on an H1 close below 3 320.
-------------------
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USOIL BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
USOIL SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 66.89
Target Level: 61.90
Stop Loss: 70.21
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 8h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Gold Breakout Retest – Will PRZ Trigger the Next Rally?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) attacked the Resistance lines and Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) as I expected in yesterday's idea .
Gold seems to have broken the Resistance zone($3,350-$3,326) and Resistance lines and is pulling back to this zone.
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Gold appears to have completed wave 3 and is currently completing wave 4 .
I expect Gold to have a chance to rise back to the Resistance zone($3,394-$3,366) after entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
Note: Stop Loss (SL) = $3,297=Worst SL
Gold Analyze (XAUUSD), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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GOLD → Attempt to consolidate above 3350 for growth to 3400FX:XAUUSD , after retesting resistance at 3347, is breaking through the key level, while bulls are trying to hold their ground above support. There is potential for growth to 3400.
Gold retreated from its weekly high of $3366 ahead of key US employment data (NFP), which could set a new direction for the movement. But technically, this looks like a correction to consolidate above the level before continuing to rise. After three days of growth, the price faced selling amid a recovery in the dollar and profit-taking. Weak employment data (especially below 100,000) could reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut as early as July and support gold. Conversely, a strong report will strengthen the dollar and put pressure on the metal. The market is bracing for high volatility
Resistance levels: 3363, 3393, 3400
Support levels: 3347, 3336, 3311
The price has entered a new range of 3345-3400. Consolidation is forming above the support level before a possible rise. I do not rule out another retest of 3345-3336 (liquidity zone) before realization and a rally to 3400.
Best regards, R. Linda!
Gold Market Update: Stuck in summer time range / SeasonalityGold is stuck so far last 4-6 weeks in tight range trading conditions
due to summer time seasonality also strong gains previously
expecting range locked conditions in July as well here's an
overview of 5 years and 10 years of seasonality data by month
until at least August expecting dead market conditions it's best
to focus on trading the range or trading with automated algo instead.
Here are the two tables showing month-over-month percent changes in gold prices (London PM fix USD/oz) for June, July, and August:
| Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % |
| ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: |
| 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% |
| 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% |
| 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% |
| 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% |
| 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% |
| Year | June Close | July Close | August Close | June % | July % | August % |
| ---- | ---------: | ---------: | -----------: | -----: | ------: | -------: |
| 2023 | 1,942.90 | 1,951.02 | 1,918.70 | –0.04% | +0.42% | –1.68% |
| 2022 | 1,836.57 | 1,732.74 | 1,764.56 | –5.65% | +1.80% | +1.80% |
| 2021 | 1,834.57 | 1,807.84 | 1,785.28 | –1.47% | –1.48% | –1.22% |
| 2020 | 1,761.04\* | 1,771.65\* | 1,968.16\* | +8.66% | +11.19% | +10.99% |
| 2019 | 1,342.66\* | 1,413.39\* | 1,523.00\* | +5.29% | +7.95% | +7.74% |
| 2018 | 1,270.00\* | 1,230.00\* | 1,194.00\* | –1.09% | –3.15% | –3.02% |
| 2017 | 1,257.00\* | 1,243.00\* | 1,280.00\* | +0.72% | –1.10% | +2.93% |
| 2016 | 1,255.00\* | 1,364.00\* | 1,322.00\* | +3.24% | +8.67% | –3.11% |
| 2015 | 1,180.00\* | 1,172.00\* | 1,116.00\* | –2.06% | –0.68% | –4.69% |
| 2014 | 1,320.00\* | 1,311.00\* | 1,312.00\* | –0.65% | –0.68% | +0.08% |
🔍 Summary Highlights
June has been weak more often than not—negative in 6 of the past 10 years.
July shows modest gains overall—positive in 7 of the last 10.
August is the strongest summer month—positive 6 times out of the past 10, with several double-digit y/y gains (like +10.99% in 2020).
Silver Extends Gains to $36.70Silver hovered near $36.70 on Thursday after rising 1.4% in the previous session, supported by easing trade tensions and stronger expectations of Fed rate cuts.
Markets are now watching key US economic releases to see whether silver can sustain its upward momentum.
Resistance is at 37.50, while support holds at 35.40.