Commodities
Gold Futures ($GC1!) — US Session Setup: Bearish Retest from 618🟡 Gold Futures ( COMEX:GC1! ) — US Session Setup: Bearish Retest from 0.618 Fib in Bullish Breakout Context
⏳ Pre-US Session Playbook
We're currently watching Gold Futures ( COMEX:GC1! ) for a potential short opportunity into the US session open. While the broader structure has broken bullish, we're anticipating a bearish retest scenario from a key Fibonacci level — aligning cleanly with last week’s breakout structure.
No positions have been taken yet — we are setting up for the US session — and are closely monitoring price action near the 0.618 retracement zone before committing.
📍 Setup Breakdown
• 0.618 Fib Retracement from the last bearish impulse aligns with:
○ Recent volume shelf resistance
○ Retest zone from prior breakout
○ An overextended local push into thin volume above 3380
• Bullish Context:
○ HTF breakout from descending wedge structure remains valid
○ Macro buyers still in control
○ Upside continuation risk is high if sellers don’t show up
• Short Bias Conditions:
○ Rejection or absorption in the 3385–3390 zone
○ Weak follow-through above 0.618 (failed breakout scenario)
○ Breakdown of LTF higher low structure post-test
🧠 Strategy Commentary
Although we’re in bullish breakout mode, this is a tactical short setup — a fade into prior structure with clear invalidation. We're not fighting trend, but looking to short into exhaustion at a defined level, with tight risk parameters.
Confluence Factors:
• 0.618 fib alignment
• VRVP volume shelf
• Prior breakout structure retest
• LTF divergence or absorption confirming the fade
🎯 Trade Parameters (Planned)
• Entry Zone: ~3385–3390
• Stop Loss: Tight, 3395–3400
• Target Zone: 3342–3337 (full structure retest)
📌 Patience is key — this remains a setup until confirmed. We'll post live if and when conditions are met.
Let the market come to you.
Gold Rejects Resistance Again – Gold Rejects Resistance Again ?Gold is currently trading near $3,335, showing signs of exhaustion after a failed breakout above the recent consolidation range. The market attempted to push higher but lacked strong momentum, leading to a pullback and possible shift in bias. The price is forming lower highs, indicating bearish pressure building up on the 4H timeframe. Gold is showing weakness after a second breakout followed by a possible retest failure. The market structure indicates a bearish bias
🔍 Market Structure Overview:
- Two Breakouts: Price attempted two bullish breakouts recently. The first breakout gained some traction, while the second failed to hold above resistance.
- Failed Retest: Price has now returned back near the previous breakout zone (~$3,332), signaling a potential bearish reversal pattern.
- The chart structure suggests a distribution phase, with price struggling to hold gains, and sellers slowly gaining control.
🧭 Key Support and Resistance Levels:
✅ Resistance Zones:
- $3,337.54 – Immediate resistance (recent rejection zone)
- $3,348.03 – Strong resistance if price pushes above $3,337
- $3,412.76 – Major resistance from previous swing high
- $3,490.40 – Long-term psychological resistance
🔻 Support Zones:
- $3,318.94 – Immediate support (just below current price)
- $3,303.46 – Key fib retracement (0.382 level)
- $3,248.28 – Strong horizontal support (major zone)
- $3,193.11 – Fibonacci extension level (-0.382)
- $3,159.02 – Next support zone (Fibo -0.618 level)
🟠 Current Bias:
Bearish to Neutral – as long as price remains below $3,337.
If price breaks and holds above $3,337 with volume, short-term bullish reversal is possible.
Yeterday there was a fake news and gold was pumped but after clarification it was dumped. It means buyers are not much interested till fed next meeting and the high price of the gold. Sellers will short the gold on every rise while buyers will wait for low price of the gold for long term trade.
Note
Please risk management in trading is a Key so use your money accordingly. If you like the idea then please like and boost. Thank you and Good Luck!
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 3,327.26 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 37.832 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 37.762..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Crude oil-----Sell near 66.80, target 65.00-62.00Crude oil market analysis:
The recent crude oil daily line began to decline, but a small V appeared last night, which was also caused by the situation in the Middle East. Israel bombed Syria and crude oil began to rebound. Overall, crude oil is still bearish. We consider continuing to sell it when it rebounds. It has not broken near 64.00, and it is difficult to form a large unilateral. The suppression position is near 66.80. Consider selling it near it.
Fundamental analysis:
Trump’s dissatisfaction with Powell has not been a day or two. Conflict is inevitable, and the impact on gold is also short-term. Yesterday’s pull-up and dive is a case in point.
Operational suggestions
Crude oil-----Sell near 66.80, target 65.00-62.00
XAUUSD , Bullish Setup , R:R 17Hello friends
I am back after a long time and I want to share the results of my efforts of several years with you.
Gold is starting a 5th wave of bullishness and yesterday it gave us the necessary confirmations by rejecting the previous ceiling. I have identified the best buying position for you now. With a reward to risk 17
Take advantage of this opportunity.
If you are interested in Elliott waves or work in this field at a professional level, contact me and share your analysis with me.
I hope we will all be profitable together.
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Outlook: July 17, 2025🔷 Market Context and Current Price
As of July 17, 2025, gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $3,341, slightly above the week’s midpoint. The metal remains range-bound but shows signs of bullish resilience as it tests key structural support zones. Today’s analysis integrates advanced technical methodologies — including Price Action, Fibonacci tools, ICT and Smart Money Concepts — to present a clear directional bias and actionable trade ideas.
📊 4‑Hour Chart Analysis
1️⃣ Price Structure & Trend
Gold has maintained a sideways-to-upward bias, consolidating between $3,320 (support base) and $3,377 (range resistance). Higher lows since early July reinforce the short-term bullish narrative, though price remains capped by supply in the upper 3,370s.
No decisive Break of Structure (BOS) has yet occurred, keeping price within this range. However, minor bullish BOS signals have appeared near $3,332–$3,334, with a confirmed Change of Character (CHOCH) around $3,320–$3,324, as buyers repeatedly defended this level.
2️⃣ Smart Money Concepts & ICT Insights
Demand Zone / Order Block (OB): $3,332–$3,334. This zone aligns with a recent fair value gap and bullish order block.
Supply Zone / OB: $3,355–$3,359, corresponding to prior inefficiencies and institutional selling.
Liquidity Levels: Sell-side liquidity was swept near $3,320 earlier this week, suggesting smart money accumulation below prior lows.
Fair Value Gap (Imbalance): Present at $3,332–$3,333, partially filled and offering a strong risk-reward for long setups.
3️⃣ Fibonacci Levels
Using the recent swing low ($3,320) and swing high ($3,377), Fibonacci retracements show:
38.2%: ~$3,342 — currently being tested.
50%: ~$3,348 — an interim bullish target.
Fibonacci extensions project potential upside toward $3,401 if momentum strengthens beyond the range top.
4️⃣ Key Levels Summary (4H)
Zone Level
Demand / Buy Zone $3,332–$3,334
Structural Support $3,320
Interim Pivot $3,340–$3,342
Supply / Sell Zone $3,355–$3,359
Range Ceiling $3,375–$3,377
🔷 Directional Bias and Strategy
The 4-hour structure remains neutral-to-bullish, favoring upside so long as the $3,332–$3,334 demand zone holds. A confirmed BOS above $3,342–$3,344 could accelerate bullish momentum toward $3,355–$3,360 and even $3,375. Conversely, a breakdown below $3,332 risks revisiting $3,320 and potentially $3,300.
⏳ 1‑Hour Chart – Intraday Trade Setups
The 1-hour timeframe reveals tactical opportunities aligned with the broader bias:
Setup Direction Entry Stop Loss Take Profit
Setup A – Smart Money Long Long $3,334 $3,329 $3,348 / $3,355
Setup B – Breakout Long Long $3,344 (after breakout) $3,340 $3,355 / $3,375
Setup C – Range Short Short $3,355–$3,359 $3,362 $3,340 / $3,332
🏆 The Golden Setup
Setup A – Smart Money Long offers the highest statistical edge:
Entry: $3,334 (at demand OB / FVG)
Stop Loss: $3,329 (below structure)
Take Profits:
TP1: $3,348 (pivot)
TP2: $3,355 (supply zone)
R:R Ratio: ~2.8:1
This setup benefits from multi-timeframe confluences: demand zone, fair value gap, bullish CHOCH, and proximity to BOS, making it a high‑conviction trade.
🔷 External Consensus Check
An alignment scan of professional analyst views shows strong consensus:
Buy interest remains concentrated around $3,332–$3,335.
Profit-taking and caution advised as price approaches $3,355–$3,377.
No notable divergence in professional outlook — most remain cautiously bullish above $3,332.
📜 Summary Report
✅ Bias: Neutral-to-bullish above $3,332; downside risk below.
✅ Key Levels: $3,332–$3,334 (buy zone), $3,355–$3,359 (sell zone), $3,375–$3,377 (range ceiling).
✅ Top Trade: Long from $3,334 with stops under $3,329 and targets at $3,348/$3,355.
✅ Alternate Trades: Breakout long above $3,344 or short from supply near $3,355.
✅ Confidence Zones: Buyers dominate above $3,332; sellers reappear above $3,355.
Conclusion
Gold remains in a well‑defined range, with smart money likely accumulating near the lower boundary at $3,332. With structural supports intact and demand zones respected, the path of least resistance favors cautious upside toward $3,355 and possibly $3,375. Intraday traders are advised to focus on precise execution within the outlined confidence zones, maintaining discipline around stops and targets.
The current market structure rewards patience and alignment with institutional footprints — positioning ahead of breakout confirmation, while respecting range extremes.
WTI(20250717)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The annual rate of PPI in the United States in June was 2.3%, lower than the expected 2.5%, the lowest since September 2024, and the previous value was revised up from 2.6% to 2.7%. Federal Reserve Beige Book: The economic outlook is neutral to slightly pessimistic. Manufacturing activity declined slightly, and corporate recruitment remained cautious.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
65.20
Support and resistance levels:
66.59
66.07
65.74
64.67
64.33
63.83
Trading strategy:
If it breaks through 65.74, consider buying in, and the first target price is 66.07
If it breaks through 65.20, consider selling in, and the first target price is 64.67
Bullish Consolidation After the copper market exploded higher on the Trump Administration’s 50% tariff headline, the market has been quietly consolidating above the breakout level at 5.33. While above this level the risk is higher, and in case of a break back below the 5.30 level, the risk would be a larger retracement. This would likely be caused by the Trump Administration abandoning that threat of a 50% tariff.
Fake news stirs up the market, market trend analysis📰 News information:
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis:
Today, our overall trading can be said to have accurately grasped the trading points, and both long and short positions have earned us good profits.The gold market surged due to Trump's intention to fire Powell. Trump then denied the plan, which dissipated the risk aversion in the gold market and the overall rhythm fell back to a volatile pattern. The current market price of gold closed with a long upper shadow line, indicating that there is a certain need for adjustment in the market. Although the news stimulus has pushed it up to 3377, we need to be vigilant against the risk of a decline after a high rise. Pay attention to today's closing. If it closes below 3345, the bearish trend may continue in the future.
OANDA:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD FX:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
GOLD → Borders are shrinking. Consolidation continues...FX:XAUUSD is adjusting amid controversial CPI data and confirming the local bearish market structure. The PPI is ahead, and gold is consolidating, with its boundaries continuing to narrow...
Gold is recovering slightly but remains under pressure amid rising bond yields and a stronger US dollar. Higher inflation in the US reduces the chances of a quick Fed rate cut. Traders are cautious ahead of the PPI data release. If producer inflation exceeds forecasts, the dollar may rise again, putting further pressure on gold
Technically, we see consolidation in a symmetrical triangle pattern. Trading within the consolidation has a negative side - low volatility and unpredictable movements. The purpose of such movements is accumulation. However, decisions can be made based on relatively strong levels. In the current situation, we are seeing a rebound from 0.5 Fibonacci (I do not rule out a retest of the 0.7 zone before correction). The price may head towards the liquidity zone of 3322 before rising to the upper boundary of the consolidation and the zone of interest of 3350-3360.
Resistance levels: 3345, 3353, 3369
Support levels: 3322, 3312, 3287
The problem is that the price is in a consolidation phase. That is, technically, it is standing still and moving between local levels. You can trade relative to the indicated levels. Focus on PPI data. At the moment, gold is in the middle of a triangle and is likely to continue trading within the boundaries of a narrowing channel due to uncertainty...
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD Set for Big Move? | Key Zones + CPI Impact Explained !Gold Analysis – Key Levels + CPI Outlook!
In this video, I broke down the recent rejection from the $3366–$3369 resistance zone, the drop to $3346, and current price action around $3357.
We’ll also look ahead at what to expect with the upcoming CPI report — and how it could shape gold’s next big move.
📌 I’ve covered both bullish and bearish scenarios, shared key demand/supply zones, and outlined possible targets.
👉 For full context and trading strategy, make sure to watch the video till the end — and don’t forget to drop your opinion in the comments:
Do you think gold will break $3380 next, or are we headed for another pullback?
THE MAIN ANALYSIS :
BRIEFING Week #29-30 : BTC stalling, ETH & then Alts ?Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Bullish bounce?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci reracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 64.89
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 63.08
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 69.97
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance.
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BITCOIN- MONSTER ORDERS IN THE BOOK -> You Know What This Means COINBASE:BTCUSD “Monster orders” are exceptionally large buy-limit orders clustered roughly 7 % beneath the current market price.
Large buy-limit walls can act like a price magnet—deep liquidity attracts algos and traders hunting fills, often pulling price straight toward the level.
Once the wall absorbs the selling pressure, the magnet flips: liquidity dries up, supply thins, and price can rip away from that zone with force.
They create a visible demand wall in the order book, signalling that whales / institutions are ready to absorb a dip and accumulate at that level.
Price will often wick into this zone to fill the wall, then rebound sharply—treat the 7 % band as potential support or entry.
Such walls can act as liquidity traps : market makers may push price down to trigger retail stop-losses before snapping it back up.
Confirm that the wall persists as price approaches and that spot + derivatives volume rises; if the wall disappears, it may have been spoofing.
Always combine order-book context with trend, momentum and higher-time-frame support for higher-probability trades, Just like the extremely powerful indicators on the chart.
🚀 Marty Boots | 17-Year Trader — smash that 👍, hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!
Falling correction, shorting in European session📰 News information:
1. Beige Book of Federal Reserve's economic situation
2. European and American tariff trade negotiations
📈 Technical Analysis:
Currently, gold continues to consolidate around 3340, and the daily MACD indicator is stuck to the zero axis. Two consecutive days of negative bars also indicate that the overall trend of gold is weak and volatile. The hourly Bollinger Bands are closing, with the upper band located near 3352. The corresponding positions of the upper pressure middle band and SMA60 are basically at 3335-3350, but it is expected to gradually decline over time. On the whole, there are no particularly clear trading signals at present. Both bulls and bears have certain opportunities. It is recommended to wait and see for the time being. Pay attention to the 3342-3352 area above. If the bearish trend is confirmed in the future, you can consider shorting when it rebounds here, with the target at 3330-3325. If gold retreats directly to 3325-3320 and gains effective support again, you can consider going long.
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 3342-3352
TP 3330-3325
BUY 3325-3320
TP 3340-3350
In addition to investment, life also includes poetry, distant places, and Allen. Facing the market is actually facing yourself, correcting your shortcomings, facing your mistakes, and exercising strict self-discipline. I share free trading strategies and analysis ideas every day for reference by brothers. I hope my analysis can help you.
FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD FX:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:XAUUSD PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Quick follow up on yesterday’s 1H chart update
Today, we saw exactly the type of reaction we were looking for at the 3328 retracement level. Price respected the zone perfectly, offering a clean bounce, just as we anticipated and stated yesterday. There was no EMA5 cross and lock below 3328, confirming a strong rejection and aligning perfectly with our plan to buy dips into 3355 and above.
This move further validates our structure and the importance of waiting for confirmations rather than jumping the gun. As always, EMA5 cross and lock levels remain key in tracking momentum shifts. We’ll continue to monitor for a cross and lock above each Goldturn level to confirm the next move.
Also, let’s not forget the 3381 gap we highlighted in Monday’s outlook, it remains a magnet above, and we’re keeping it firmly on our radar.
The plan remains the same: We are buying dips at key levels with solid risk management and using EMA5 confirmations to confirm the moves.
Updated Reminder of Key Levels:
BULLISH TARGET
3381
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3381 opens
3416
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK ABOVE 3416 opens
3439
BEARISH TARGETS
3353 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3353 opens
3328 ✅ HIT
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3328 opens
3305
EMA5 CROSS & LOCK BELOW 3305 opens Swing Range:
3288
3259
As always, we’ll continue monitoring and sharing updates, as price reacts around these zones. Thank you all for the continued support, your likes, comments, and follows are genuinely appreciated!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Strategic Entry, Clear Targets: The GBPUSD Game Plan Is Set📢 Hello Guys,
I've prepared a fresh GBPUSD signal for you:
🟢 Entry Level: 1.33918
🔴 Stop Loss: 1.33734
🎯 TP1: 1.34018
🎯 TP2: 1.34165
🎯 TP3: 1.34347
📈 Risk/Reward Ratio: 2,40
------
Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently.
Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bearish Reversal 3378 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
☄️ Hanzo Protocol: Dual- Entry Intel
Zone Activated: Deep Analysis
➕ 4 wicks connected at 3378
➕ 7 wicks connected at 3385
➕ Body Close at 3370
➕ Body Close at 3385
➕ Liquidity at 3380
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bullish Reversal Entry Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare
Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout
🩸Bullish Reversal 3329 Zone
➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority
➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected.
The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size.
Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation.
🔥 Tactical Note:
We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention.
The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
☄️Gold 30Min Engaged ( Bearish Reversal Entry Detected )
XAUUSD: Market analysis and strategy for July 16.Gold technical analysis
Daily chart resistance level 3382, support level 3300
Four-hour chart resistance level 3365, support level 3320
One-hour chart resistance level 3342, support level 3325.
Yesterday, the lowest price fell to 3320, then fluctuated upward, and rebounded to 3343. As the price fell below 3341 yesterday and accelerated downward, a transition from support to resistance was formed here. Focus on the high point of the NY market rebound yesterday, 3352. Whether it can break through here will determine whether the market continues to rise or is blocked and then falls back like yesterday.
It is worth noting that the trend of the past two days is that Asia is rising and rebounding, and the NY market is falling. Today may be a cycle of yesterday and the day before yesterday. At present, gold is fluctuating and rebounding at 3320. If the NY market cannot break through 3352, it will continue to fall. For the time being, it can be sold high and bought low in this range. After falling below 3320, the next short-term target is 3310~3300.
BUY: 3324 SL: 3320
SELL: 3320 SL: 3325
SELL: 3352 SL: 3357