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Commonsense

DXY-- Balancing risk management & your ideas!The next level to look for in my eyes if the USD continues to gain strength (other than typical psych levels) is 100.0 ish. Refer to this chart & other postings of mine regarding the DXY/USD if your looking to get a better grasp of my perspective. (Links below) It is also important to keep in mind the weight of the incoming news this week. Remember to use discernment when deciding how you choose to risk your money, whether it be day trading or investing. (Big news this week.) I'm still long.. for what it's worth, but I'm technically neutral. As always, happy trading, & good luck!
TVC:DXY
by Bobbyusesfib
8892 on Nasdaq is imminent. It’s again quite simple. 8892 is only 10% lower from here. That’s just still not enough PE compression. We are still up 525% since January 2010. That’s ridiculous. Purely liquidity melt-up not based on any fundamentals. Earnings were also a garage.. If you know this now you’ll take the red pill and understand how Marcus will work going forward and how they always should have worked. Not 0% rates and unlimited quantitive, easing or QE . QT will be massive and constant for years. With rate hikes for foreseeable future. Period. At best. $200 a share for the S&P. Morgan Stanley had it at $190 a share. $200 a share X 14X equals 2800. Now that’s at best. On Nasdaq. Ultimately. After this failed 15 year fed experiment. And PPI sand CPI much higher than anything reported tomorrow or anytime, this will be an extremely deep recession. And 15-20% chance of a depression. Fed funds rate must be above the CPI rate. This is economics 101. Terminal rate will be north of 7%. Not 4%. The Fed will not stop. No matter what, so follow these “God Fibonacci levels” to the tee. Because the market probably has 20% more to fall at a minimum. And then you can talk about at least being somewhat close to properly priced. Everything is overvalued, especially the NASDAQ, which is the worst and S&P. be smart. Energy. Some healthcare, And qqq puts and spy puts. Nov/December time frame. Very important to have a good amount of QQQ and SPY puts. This is what the revenues are made. To hedge your portfolio and gain from times once in every hundred years a lottery ticket. Watch implied Vol. so you don’t over pay. And for godsakes, SELL EVERY SINGLE RALLY WITHOUT HESITATION. EVERY RALLY. Good luck
NASDAQ:IXICShort
by Section3133
4
CADJPY | D1 | BEARISH — The classical Support & Resistance.Analysis – CADJPY | D1 | BEARISH A simple example of market structure, This is a lesson we've all studied in nursery. What happens when price reaches the support / resistance? I know what you're thinking... It can either reverse or breakout. At the same time we have to use our intelligence, intellect and intuition; our instincts and common sense — in order to be able to make informed and more importantly educated decisions. This is something that makes us traders. Otherwise this analysis is self explanatory. (Sell, sell, sell). Please note this is not financial advise. Thank you.
Short
by IBNE4BBAS
ULTA - journey south?ULTA had the last stand, amongst global markets heading south. But today ULTA was thrown off track. I've been stalking ULTA from 2016. Two years? No problem. Why? Because it was a risky one to go long for the last two years - and I didn't have the financial muscle to take it on. But in the last couple few days I saw a weakening of momentum, and made that judgement call. In the screencast I show why I took a short entry position. I say that common sense in markets is possible but one has to have the experience to make a sound common sense decision.
NYSE:BABAShort
by Captain_Walker
The end of an ERAImagine you tell people anyone can become a billionaire, imagine you tell people to mindlessly "just buy the index" "It keeps going up!". Imagine you have guys like Tony Robbins ("motivator", exactly what people love) and Warren Buffet telling people to start buying the index in their 20's and keep buying their whole life. "You can do it" "Believe in yourself". What happens? Prices get pushed, almost artifically. Like it or not, but the USA are not even bankrupt, oooh no they wish they were bankrupt, they are way past that stage. Yet their stock market is valued so high (due to central bank & FED manipulation - not making conspiracy calls, it is their job to manipulate the economy, literally). It is all going to go VERY wrong, VERY fast. I could make a speech, prove it, shows tons of examples. But does not matter, isn't it obvious? Anyway, there is no rush, we will get warned with no doubt and plenty of time to react. Just wait for the RSI divergence on the monthly chart, I can guarentee if we go up there is going to be divergence. Once we break that high we can go up to 30.000 or 35.000 easy so no need to FOMO short ASAP. Personally I will not trade it because it just takes too long. But if I invested I would be dumping muh bags a little before 30.000 points. Going to try to time the market and say we go down late 2018 or 2019. Got this also: My target would be 10.000 to 15.000 points. A drop of over 50%. Rest in peace "you can do it" believers. Finance is not about motivation and confidence. Mathematical discoveries were not made because of "motivation". Spaceship were not created by "motivation". If people have an issue with motivation maybe they have a problem and need to stop eating fried butter or something. Motivation is not a magical thing that solves everything, it is like breathing, you are supposed to have it in the first place. PS: I will not go short, but when we hit 10 or 15k and people are making calls for the rapture I will buy a small piece of america, prepare that road to Warren Buffet retirement. My favorite holding period is forever. Lmao. It just means he never goes short. Why would I not sell some shares when I know they are going down & buy lower, even if I am very conservative and buy way before the bottom?
DJ:DJIShort
by MrRenev