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Conflicting

AUDUSD: Up or Down (Waiting and Watching) Weekly there is potential support from the 50 week moving average (0.7745), on the daily there is resistance at 0.7775 the current rise may be a retest of this level. On the H4 we are seeing a test of the 20 EMA from below. Looking to H1 there is a shorter term, bullish flag a break out would not be valid IMO unless the 0.7775 level also breaks and holds W1: Double Top to 200, bearish signs on RSI major support at 0.7500 D1: 20 EMA crossing down the 50, and hovering on the 200 EMA right now. H4: Behaviour Looks indicitave of consolidating to rise, price action is behaving a little bullish, there is a flag rather the normally demonstrated quick railroad track or pin bar to the 20 EMA.
by Christopher-James
1
ETHUSD .382 Support Break Sign of Weakness.ETHUSD has broken 273 (the .382) support from the major bullish trend on the larger time frame (See large red arrow). The bullish trend is still intact in my opinion, but this support break confirms short term bearish momentum. Situations like these are very conflicting since the larger time frame presents a bullish condition while short term selling weighs on this market at the moment. Based on the structure on the 15 minute chart, momentum is now bearish and I would expect selling pressure to push prices lower toward the next major support at the 247 area. As long as price stays below the 280 resistance, it is reasonable to expect lower lows. Two scenarios can happen that will negate this short term bearish outlook. 1) The formation of a broad double bottom in the 274 area (where we are at the time of this writing). 2) A break above the 280 resistance followed by a higher low. Until one or both of these bullish scenarios emerge, I will be watching for price to retrace and hold the 247 support. From there I will reevaluate and look for bullish reversals. I am not a big fan of shorting a market that is generally strong, I like to stack probabilities in my favor. My preference is to stay flat and wait for bullish momentum to return. Let's see how this plays out. Stay tuned for my next update.
BITFINEX:ETHUSD
by MarcPMarkets
18