Downloading...
Download

Consumption

Copper is red hot right now. Here’s whyCopper’s COMEX price hit a new high on 26th March making the red metal red hot right now. The first three months of 2025 have seen industrial metals make noticeable gains with the Bloomberg Industrial Metals Subindex up 10.55% year to date1. Copper’s gains, however, stand out for numerous reasons. Tariffs The additional premium of COMEX prices over the London Metal Exchange (LME) prices reflects aggressive buying by US traders importing copper in anticipation of a possible 25% tariff on copper imports. This speculation has been fuelled by President Trump last month ordering a probe into the threat to national security from the imports of copper. As aluminium imports were also recently subjected to tariffs, markets are speculating that copper might be next. This rush has triggered a shift in global flows, with metal moving out of LME warehouses and into US Comex facilities, where copper is held on a “duty paid” basis to avoid future levies. As traders front-run potential policy changes, this behaviour is tightening global supply and fuelling price gains, adding to a market already under pressure from rising demand and a looming supply squeeze. Demand China has given an additional boost to copper prices having announced a new action plan to boost domestic consumption by raising household incomes. The stimulus is seen as a positive signal for copper demand, especially as retail sales have already shown stronger-than-expected growth early in the year. China has also set itself a GDP growth target of 5% for 2025, and so far this year, its manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) has remained in expansionary territory — a sign that the economy is holding steady. With momentum building across consumption and manufacturing, copper is getting a fresh tailwind despite lingering weakness in the property sector. Further support for industrial metals, including copper, has come from Germany’s recently unveiled €1 trillion infrastructure and defence spending plan — a move that will inevitably drive greater demand for base metals. Supply Supply tightness in the copper market is being driven by several structural and emerging challenges. Exceptionally low processing fees—caused by an oversupply of smelting capacity, particularly in China—have placed financial strain on global smelters, prompting companies like Glencore to halt operations at its facility in the Philippines. Looking ahead, Indonesia’s proposal to shift from a flat 5% copper mining royalty to a progressive rate of 10–17% risks discouraging future production growth. These supply-side pressures come as the International Copper Study Group reported a slight global copper deficit in January 2025. While a similar shortfall at the start of 2024 eventually turned into a surplus, this time the combination of weakening smelting economics, policy headwinds, and solid demand could make the current deficit more persistent and impactful. Several major copper miners have recently downgraded their production estimates for 2025, adding further pressure to an already tight market. Glencore suspended output at its Altonorte smelter in Chile2, while Freeport-McMoRan delayed refined copper sales from its Manyar smelter in Indonesia due to a fire3. Anglo American expects lower output from its Chilean operations amid maintenance and water challenges, and First Quantum Minerals faces reduced grades and scheduled downtime4. These disruptions are likely to tighten global copper concentrate supply, potentially widening the market’s supply-demand imbalance just as demand continues to strengthen. Sources: 1 Source: Bloomberg, based on total return index as of 28 March 2025. 2 Reuters, March 26, 2025 3 Reuters, October 16, 2024 4 Metal.com. February 14, 2025 This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
COMEX:HGS1!
by aneekaguptaWTE
How to manage Capital in an Economic DownturnThe Great Recession is not the first time that the economy has experienced downturn or recession. The last one occurred during the early 1980s, and it caused unemployment to spike and home prices to drop. However, that doesn’t mean that a similar situation cannot happen again. The effects of a recession have lasting implications for consumers and businesses. When consumers have less money to spend on goods and services, businesses must make adjustments in order to remain profitable. In fact, recessions can lead to innovation in industries like technology where creative minds come up with cheaper solutions for everyday problems. Here’s a look at how consumers are affected by recessions, what they’re doing about it, as well as how you can manage your money in these challenging times. What Happens When the Economy Recovers? When the economy recovers from a recession, there are typically two ways that consumers spend their money. One way is that consumers continue to spend on the same products and services that they bought before the recession. The other spending trend that occurs during a recovery is that consumers change the products and services that they spend money on. The reason for this change in spending habits is that consumers have changed their priorities during the recession. When a recession has caused consumers to have less disposable income, they tend to make their money go further. When consumers have less disposable income, they can no longer afford to spend money on certain products and services. The Impact of a Recession on Consumers A recession can have a lasting impact on consumers. Consumers who experience a recession tend to have less confidence in their ability to manage their money. This can cause lasting damage to their credit scores as they seek out lower interest loans or take out a repayment plan. A recession can also impact a consumer’s career and ability to earn a living wage. When a recession occurs, businesses have to make changes to remain profitable. This might include laying off employees or reducing the hours that part-time workers are scheduled for. A recession can impact consumers’ ability to buy a home as well. Mortgage rates tend to be higher during a recession as investors seek out higher returns because of the increased risk of default. Consumer Responses During a Recession When a recession occurs, consumers are likely to make changes to their spending habits in order to save money. The first thing that consumers are likely to do is reduce discretionary spending. Discretionary spending is the money that is spent on entertainment activities, eating out at restaurants, shopping for luxury items, and on travel. Another common response of consumers during a recession is to change how they get their services. When a recession occurs, consumers are likely to change how they get their banking, insurance , and healthcare services as well as how they pay their bills. How Consumers Can Manage Their Money in a Recession The best way for consumers to manage their money during a recession is to make a budget. A budget for spending should include all of the money that goes out of your bank account each month as well as how much money comes into your account. When making a budget, it is important to consider your expenses and income to see if there is any room in your budget to make changes. This can include looking at your monthly expenses and trying to reduce the amount that you spend on certain items. When you are making a budget, it is important to keep in mind that you will have to change it as time goes on. As your income changes, you may have more or less money available to spend each month. Likewise, you may also have more or less expenses to pay each month. Investing in the Stock Market: The stock market is one of the riskiest investments you can make. It’s also one of the most profitable when things go right. The stock market has its ups and downs, but it always rebounds in the long run. Even during a recession, savvy investors know how to make money in the stock market by investing in stocks and other types of securities. Investing in the stock market may seem intimidating at first, but it’s not as complicated as you think! In this Educational article, we’ll show you how to invest in the stock market if you have less than $5,000 to invest. With these tips and tricks to invest in a recession, you’ll be on your way to becoming a successful investor with an impressive portfolio sooner than you think! How to invest in the stock market with $5,000 Before you dive head first into the stock market, it’s important to know how much you have to invest. While the stock market can be rewarding, it’s also one of the riskiest investments you can make. Investing in the stock market is all about risk and reward — the more risk you take, the bigger your reward can be. Investing in the stock market requires at least $5,000 in order to diversify your portfolio. Diversification is key to long-term success in the stock market. Rather than putting all of your eggs in one basket, diversification allows you to spread your funds across many different investments. Diversification is key When you’re investing in the stock market, it’s important to diversify your portfolio. Diversification allows you to spread your funds across many different investments for two reasons: risk reduction and opportunity enhancement. Risk reduction is accomplished by not putting all of your funds into one investment. Instead, you’re spreading the funds across different types of investments. Opportunity enhancement allows you to take advantage of different types of growth opportunities. Understand why you’re investing Before you invest in the stock market, it’s important to understand why you’re investing in the first place. If you’re investing for growth, you’re looking for stocks that are currently undervalued to increase in value over time. If you’re investing for income, you’re looking for stocks that pay dividends. Take advantage of no-fee investments When you invest in the stock market, you pay fees for the management of your portfolio. Mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are mutual funds that are pre-packaged and purchased as a single unit. Mutual funds are professionally managed funds that are offered by financial institutions, whereas ETFs are professionally managed funds that are traded on a stock exchange. If you’re investing a small amount of money in the stock market, you’re better off choosing mutual funds or ETFs that have no or low management fees. Mutual funds and ETFs with no or low management fees are often referred to as no-load funds. Shorting ETFs can be profitable (This strategy is best suitable for Professional Traders) Shorting ETFs can be profitable if you’re investing a large amount of money in the stock market. Shorting ETFs allows you to profit from a declining market. Shorting ETFs is a very risky investment strategy and is not recommended for beginners. If you’re interested in shorting ETFs, be sure to talk to a financial advisor before making any investments. Additional Note: When the global economy is on the verge of recession, investors are scared and their first thought is to run towards things that are safe. In recent years, markets have grown to distrust risky investments such as stocks and other volatile assets. When the global economy is about to go into recession, commodities like gold and oil usually become hot properties for investors wanting to preserve their capital. There are a number of asset classes that thrive during a recession: real estate, bonds, and value stocks—or anything with a low correlation to the stock market. However, at the same time there are also some that suffer: high-beta stocks; growth stocks; growth real estate; luxury goods; emerging market equities; and anything else with a high correlation to the stock market. In our next article we will analyze Gold and Silver as an hedge against inflation and their performance in an economic downturn. Conclusion The recession that took place in the early 2000s is a great example of how a recession can change the way consumers spend their money. During this recession, consumers were likely to spend more money on food and clothing since those were necessities that consumers could not do without. When the next recession occurs, consumers may change their spending habits once again. However, it is important to remember that a recession is a natural part of the business cycle. It is likely that consumers will continue to spend their money in the future even in the face of a recession. Investing in the stock market is a smart way to diversify your investment portfolio. It’s also a great way to earn passive income through dividends. The best way to invest in the stock market if you have less than $5,000 to invest is through mutual funds or ETFs with no or low management fees. Shorting ETFs can also be a great way to make money in a recession if you have a large amount of funds to invest. Even though the technical definition of a recession has been changed/modified it is important to know that unemployment rate determines the condition of a recession.
SP:SPXEducation
by EQTSHARES
US dollar pummelling SwissieThe US dollar is running roughshod over the Swiss franc this week. USD/CHF has shot up 2.16% this week, rising to its highest level since November. In the European session, the Swiss franc is trading slightly above the 0.93 level. The KoF Economic Barometer, a key indicator, rose to 107.8 in January, up slightly from 107.2 beforehand. The economy continues to be above average (with readings above 100), but the index did point to problems in the manufacturing production activity, which is consistent with what is being reported in the major economies. The main driver behind the Swiss franc's tumble is the Federal Reserve decision, as the Fed signalled that it would raise interest rates in March. Fed Chair Powell sounded hawkish after the meeting, saying that inflation could move even higher and that the Fed was prepared to raise rates throughout the year in order to push inflation lower. Powell didn't provide a timeline on rate increases but did not rule out raising rates at every meeting. How aggressive will the Fed be in 2022? That depends, of course, on the strength of the economy. At a minimum, we are looking at four rate hikes, with a strong possibility of more, especially if inflation, which hit 7% in December, persists at high levels. The US dollar also received a boost on Thursday from a stellar GDP report. Advanced GDP for Q4, the first and most important GDP release, accelerated to 6.9% y/y, well above the consensus of 5.5%. This was another reminder that the US economy no longer needs stimulus from the Fed, which plans to wind up its asset purchase programme in March. The markets will be keeping a close eye today on December US personal income and spending, which may show that growth slowed towards the end of the fourth quarter. The core PCE Price Index, which is the Fed's favorite inflation metric, is expected to have ticked higher to 4.8% y/y, up from 4.7%. USD/CHF has support at 0.9238 and 0.9174 There is resistance at 0.9403 and 0.9354
by OANDA
Midea Announces the First 3 Quarters' Financial Results for 2021For the first three quarters, the domestic revenue increased by 24.7% and the overseas revenue increased by 15.51% compared with the same period last year. According to Midea's financial results for the first three quarters of 2021: - The revenue increased by 20.57% to CNY 261.342 billion, and net income attributable to the parent company was CNY 23.455 billion, with an increase of 6.53% year-on-year. Among them, Q3 revenue achieved CNY 87,532 million (up 12.66% YoY), while the net profit attributable was CNY 8,446 million (up 4.4% YoY). - The company's domestic revenue increased by 17% in the third quarter of 2021, while overseas revenue increased by 6.4%. By the end of September, the company had added more than 36,000 overseas private label outlets for the whole year. - The net cash flow from operating activities was CNY 27,897 million, with an increase by 11.52% compared to the same period last year, while its own capital amounted to CNY 128.1 billion (up 2.4% YoY). - The company's research and development expenses amounted to CNY 8,765 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 30.51%. - The online and offline shares of the domestic air-conditioning market are 34.8% and 35.8%, respectively. - The online and offline shares of washing machines are 35.2% and 27.5%, respectively. - The online and offline shares of refrigerators are 18.6% and 14.5%, respectively. Founded in 1968, Midea is a global technology group covering five business sectors. It has about 200 subsidiaries with more than 60 overseas branches and 10 strategic business units, whose products and services benefit more than 200 countries and regions around the world for over 400 million users. It was listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on September 18, 2013. As of the close of trading on October 29, 2021, the company's share price edged up by 0.95% to CNY 68.77, with a market capitalization of CNY 480.2 billion, ranking first in the domestic white home appliances industry.
SZSE:000333
by EqualOcean
BRITANNIA: Consumption SectorSl- 3250 #CLEANANDCLEARCHARTS WHY does consumption sector stocks like ITC, BRITANNIA, NESTLE does not participate in this whole rally of nifty? EVEN these were the few sectors which were used throughout the lockdown and then also it didn't give breakout or 100-200% return. BECAUSE at that time everyone knew that consumption sector is never going to be in bear phase and when everyone new something then it will eventually not happen in Stock Market. It is a BLUECHIP stock and it won't start rallying from tomorrow. It will take some time, if nifty starts retracing this week then it will participate. And in next Index rally will outperform. CONSUMPTION sector stocks are like metal sector - They have their own Cycle(Periods of consolidation) so PLAN OF ACTION is try to buy every dips towards that yellow zone( the more closer to yellow zone= less SL) (Will post analysis of ITC, Nestle, HUL, Dabur) Queries in comment section.
NSE:BRITANNIALong
by AmateurTrader100
5
BASICS OF SAVING & INVESTMENT | RULES YOU SHOULD NEVER BREAK Debt and living on credit is a universal norm. While the "wisest" among us are trying to persuade themselves how they "hack" the system buying on credit card smartly, the richest among us keep following totally different commandments . You must remember that debt makes you dependent , it makes you submissive to the system. To become truly free and wealthy, here are the simple rules that will change your life if you follow them: 1 - Spend less than you make 2 - Do not save what is left after spending, but spend what is left after saving 3 - Invest the rest in the industries that you understand 4 - Never borrow to invest 5 - Stop trying to get rich quick 6 - Never let your emotions intervene 7 - Patience pays The rules by themselves are very easy and straightforward, however, most of us are not disciplined enough to follow. Learn them, try them, practice them and one day you will become free! ❤️Please, support my work with like and lovely comment!❤️ It truly helps! Thank you!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by SignalProvider
8
ITCDisclaimer: I'm.not a SEBI Registered financial advisor all views posted are just for mutual learning and I'm not responsible for your profits or losses ,build your own conviction through learning and take action ,don't enter blindly , I hope this post add some value to your learning 😊 About stock :ITC is forming a Triangle Pattern and looks good upto Rs365 ( minimum hldng period 1year& Ardmore around 190levels) for very short-term traders Targets could be 220&235 StopLoss -199
NSE:ITCLong
by yaparla510698
1
DE GREY MINING RUN TO CONTINUE?DE GREY MINING (ASX:DEG) has just had a much needed rest. After 8 months and +3000% increase its well deserved after its Pilbara WA "Mallina" Project surpassed 2.2Moz Gold Projection. Sitting 50KM south of one of the most ideal ore exportation capitals in the Southern Hemisphere (Port Hedland WA) it's easy to see why De Greys is going from Strength to Strength, and they haven't even scratched the surface with multiple Gold anomalies yet to be fully explored. Technicals: Area of Interest approaching... Fib Retracement Golden Pocket Near, recently broken .382 level. Uptrend Intact. Has already hit Major Trend Based Fib Retracement target previously for +170%. Healthy retrace almost complete IMO. Ichimoku still intact and Bullish. MACD starting to round anticipating the turn BUT not confirmed. RSI starting to flatten having just crossed the 50. Stochastic indicating oversold region. Approaching MA50 looking for reaction. Some Fundamental Highlights.. Mallina Project quickly turning into Tier 1 Project +2.2 Moz Gold Deposit. Project location among the best in the World. Stable Cash Runway + $28million CASH (30 June 2020) & Debt Free. With such a rapid growth it's hard not to keep an eye on the rising star De Grey Mining, BUT I'm more interested in future projections of Gold consumption and what this means for the Sector. With global demand predicted to rise by 2.1% annually and Australia set to be the No.1 Gold Producer in 2021 it's a good sign for the Domestic players with production set to rise by 9% 2020-2021. These Ideas are NOT 'Financial Advice'!. Scenarios are based off a mixture of TA and Fundamentals current at the time. All IMO GLTA. Happy Hunting!!!
DLong
by Trader_Johnni
2