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Crude Oil

Crude Oil Trade Plan Scenarios and Key Levels NYMEX:CL1! It’s Wednesday today, and the DOE release is scheduled for 9:30 a.m. CT. This may provide fuel—pun intended—to push prices out of the two-day consolidation. Also, note that the August contract expires on July 22, 2025. Rollover to the September contract is expected on Thursday/Friday. You can see the pace of the roll here at CME’s pace of roll tool . The chart shows that rollover is about 70% complete, and CLU25 has higher open interest. Note, the front-month August contract is still trading at higher volume. What has the market done? Crude oil is in a multi-distribution profile since the peak witnessed during the Iran-Israel conflict. Crude oil formed a strong base above the 64s and traversed towards the 69s. Prices were rejected at these highs and have since reverted back towards the monthly Volume Point of Control, monthlyVPOC. What is it trying to do? The market is in active price discovery mode and has formed multi-distributions since June 23. The market has been consolidating after prices at highs were rejected. How good of a job is it doing? The market is active and is also providing setups against key levels. Patience to take trades from these higher time frame levels is what is required to trade crude oil currently. Otherwise, there is a lot of volatility and chop that can throw traders off their plan. Key Levels: • Yearly Open: 67.65 • Neutral zone: 67.15–67.30 • 2-Day VAL (Value Area Low): 66.40 • Neutral zone: 66.40–66.20 • 2025 Mid-Range: 65.39 • Key Support: 64.40–64.70 What is more likely to happen from here? Scenario 1: An initial attempt to push higher, pVAL and onVAL finds aggressive sellers pushing prices towards mcVPOC and yMid confluence Scenario 2: pVAL provides support for further consolidation and break back above yesterday's high and price moves towards yearly Open. Glossary: pVAL: Prior Value Area Low onVAL: Overnight Value Area Low yMid: 2025 Mid-Range mcVPOC: Micro Composite Volume Point of Control
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
Crude oil extends fallsThe crude oil market has entered a fragile and uncertain phase, with prices retreating from recent highs. While WTI crude is still holding above the critical $65 mark on a closing basis, it was below this handle at the time of writing. So, the overall tone remains cautious, with a bearish tilt expected to persist in the near term. Technical Outlook: WTI Breaks Key Support The WTI crude chart shows a breakdown of a short-term bullish trend line, and lower lows. The price failed to reclaim the 200-day moving average and found strong resistance since. Currently, it is testing support around $65.00. A daily close below this level could trigger further bearish momentum, with the next support zones seen at $64, and then the next round handles below that. $60 per barrel could be reached if the macro backdrop doesn't improve. Geopolitical Factors: Trump’s Tariff Threats Dismissed Donald Trump’s threats of 100% tariffs on countries buying Russian oil sparked initial concern but were ultimately shrugged off by the market. Traders interpreted the 50-day delay in enforcement and Trump’s historical pattern of backing off such threats as signs that immediate supply disruptions were unlikely. OPEC+ Strategy: Supply Returning to the Market OPEC+ has announced a larger-than-expected production increase of 548,000 bpd for August, with another 550,000 bpd potentially coming in September. This roll-back of earlier voluntary cuts aims to recapture market share, especially as U.S. shale production slows. However, the added supply may cap price gains, particularly as demand is expected to ease after the peak U.S. driving season. By Fawad Razaqzada, Market Analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
Could we see the WTI oil bears getting pleased any time soon?The technical picture of MARKETSCOM:OIL is showing a possible bearish flag formation, which may lead WTI oil to some lower areas. Is that the case? Let's dig in. NYMEX:CL1! Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:OIL
by Marketscom
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Your Trading Plan Explained Do not forget that today we expect Crude Oil Inventories data release - it will be 10:30 am NY time. Ahead of this news, the market is testing a significant daily support cluster that is based on a rising trend line and a horizontal structure. You signal to buy will be a bullish breakout of a minor intraday horizontal resistance on a 4H. 4H candle close above 66,5 will be your confirmation. A bullish continuation will be expected to 67.6 then. I suggest waiting for the news release first and then check how the market prices in the news. If our technicals align with fundamentals, it will provide an accurate setup. Alternatively, a bearish violation of a blue support will push the prices lower. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
FOREXCOM:USOILLong
by VasilyTrader
3
WTI Crude Oil Reverses Lower Near $70 ResistanceA bearish engulfing candle has formed on the daily WTI crude oil chart, with its high perfectly respecting the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement just beneath the $70 handle. Given that the bounce from the June low has been relatively weak compared to the sharp decline from $78, I’m now on alert for a potential break beneath the $64 support level. That said, the 200-day SMA and EMA currently sit between $65.21 and $65.31, which could offer near-term support. Should oil prices attempt to grind higher within the 1-hour bullish channel, bears may look to fade rallies into the weekly pivot (67.59) or the $68.00 handle, positioning for a potential rollover. A clean break below the 200-day averages would shift focus firmly back to $64, near the June low. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CityIndex
WTI Crude Oil Climbs Higher Amid Market OptimismMarket Analysis: WTI Crude Oil Climbs Higher Amid Market Optimism WTI Crude Oil price climbed higher above $66.50 and might extend gains. Important Takeaways for WTI Crude Oil Price Analysis Today - WTI Crude Oil price started a decent increase above the $66.60 resistance levels. - There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $67.15 on the hourly chart of XTI/USD at FXOpen. Oil Price Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of WTI Crude Oil at FXOpen, the price started a decent upward move from $65.50. The price gained bullish momentum after it broke the $66.50 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bulls pushed the price above the $67.00 and $67.50 resistance levels. There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $67.15. The recent high was formed at $67.63 and the price started a downside correction. There was a minor move toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $65.54 swing low to the $67.63 high. The RSI is now above the 60 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the $67.15 zone. The next major support on the WTI Crude Oil chart is near the $66.60 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level, below which the price could test the $65.50 level. If there is a downside break, the price might decline toward $64.70. Any more losses may perhaps open the doors for a move toward the $63.50 support zone. If the price climbs higher again, it could face resistance near $67.85. The next major resistance is near the $70.00 level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $72.50 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by FXOpen
1
CL1! Short Setup – Fading Into Volume Shelf📉 CL1! Short Setup – Fading Into Volume Shelf 🔹 Context: Price just tapped into a heavy upper volume shelf (68.35–68.50) — the exact area where the prior breakdown started. This zone aligns with rejection highs and the upper edge of the VRVP profile. 📌 Setup Logic: 🔺 Entry: 68.36–68.50 (into supply zone) ⛔ Stop: 68.75 (above liquidity peak) 🎯 Target: 66.78 (prior demand + volume node) 📐 RRR: ~4.0:1 ⚠️ Trigger: Do not enter early — wait for rollover of price which it looks like we are getting now. 📊 Why It Matters: 📈 VRVP shows clear upper and lower volume shelves 📛 Price has overextended into a prior rejection zone 🔁 Potential for a mean-reversion leg once we confirm momentum breakdown 📷 See attached chart for full zone layout 🧠 Let me know if you’re entering or watching this one 👇 #CrudeOil #CL1 #FuturesTrading #VolumeProfile #SciQua #OrderFlow
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by JoshuaDanford
TRADING IDEA - US CRUDE OIL - BEARISH FLAG, CONCERNS ON GLOBAL EFOREXCOM:USOIL The US Crude Oil prices went down yesterday, mostly because of the tariffs and concerns on demand. Here is what the Bloomberg is writing: " OPEC+ is discussing a pause in its oil production increases from October is fueling concerns about a slowdown in global energy demand. In addition, the intensification of US tariffs risks slowing global economic growth and energy demand after President Trump ramped up tariffs on numerous countries this week, including a 50% tariff on Brazil." So, despite the pause in oil production increase, which is supposed to be bullish factor the oil prices, we may see the slowdown in global economy and supposedly a recession because of Trump's tariffs. This is a long-term bearish factor for the oil. I think that we will see another bearish impulse here, according to what we observe on the chart. There is a nice bearish flag and i am planning to short it with a target nearby 6,540.00 support level. 🔽 a pending sell stop order at 6615.3 with ❌a stop loss at 6680.9 and 🤑a take profit at 6544.0 Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
FOREXCOM:USOILShort
by ProfessorSingapore
Crude Oil Trade Idea: Intraday mechanicsNYMEX:CL1! NYMEX:MCL1! Bigger Picture: Traders should note that news headlines do not always drive the price action. More often, news outlets look for narrative to align with the price action. Previously, it was about the supply glut and worsening demand due to an uncertain outlook. Now the latest news flow is about Aramco OSP rising, OPEC+ adding another 548K bpd in August — higher than anticipated 411K — of the wounding of involuntary cuts. News outlets now view this as signs of demand growth and low inventories. What has the market done? Market has consolidated, building acceptance around microComposite Volume Point of Control at 65.50 (mcVPOC). Market then broke out of this balance. What is it trying to do? Market is building value higher; 2-day mcVPOC is at 68.29. How good of a job is it doing? Market is holding support and has tested resistance multiple times. It has also held support. What is more likely to happen from here? Further movement higher as long as it holds above support and yearly open confluence in the short term. Key Levels: • Resistance zone: 68.95 - 68.85 • pHi: 68.87 • 2-day VPOC: 68.29 • pSettlement: 68.38 • yOpen: 67.65 • Support zone: 67.70 - 67.50 • pLow: 67.89 Primary Scenario: Crude oil pit session begins with open auction in yesterday’s range. Prices move lower to test prior day's low, 2-day balance support in confluence with yearly open. Prices push back higher towards yesterday's settlement and 2-day Volume Point of Control (VPOC) at 68.33. Secondary Scenario: Crude oil pit session begins with open auction in yesterday’s range. Market consolidates and chops around pSettlement and 2-day VPOC. Market takes out overnight high, fails to go further higher, and reverts lower. Settles below overnight low, however staying above prior low to continue one-time framing higher for the regular trading hours (RTH).
NYMEX:CL1!
by EdgeClear
Usoil buy trade am holding since last week📈 USOIL Trade Update – Long Position Holding Strong Since Last Week 🔥 Guess I didn't post this last week... Caught this buy from the demand zone around $64.16, with a clean structure shift and bullish momentum confirmation. The market is respecting structure with higher highs and higher lows forming beautifully. As price approaches my target zone, I’m locking in profits and managing risk. Trade has been running smoothly for days 💪🏽 SL at break even now, Holding patiently for that final push to the $70+ area. Let's see how the market reacts at that key zone.
TVC:USOILLong
by Solidwealth
Strong USOIL Setup: Long from Support + 4.34 R/RHey Guys, hope you're all doing well! I've placed a limit buy order on USOIL from a key support level. Below are the relevant levels for your reference: - 🔵 Entry Level: 67.424 - 🔴 Stop Loss: 66.803 - 🟢 Target 1 (TP1): 67.908 - 🟢 Target 2 (TP2): 68.456 - 🟢 Target 3 (TP3): 70.036 📊 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.34 Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently. Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
FX:USOILLong
by TraderTilki
2
Crude Oil Eyes 3-Year Resistance Once AgainWTI has rebounded cleanly from the neckline of an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern—formed ahead of the June Middle East conflict—establishing a strong support zone above $63.40. Prices are currently trading above $67. A sustained hold above this level could target $69 and $72, aligning with the upper edge of the 3-year declining channel. A confirmed breakout above $72 may extend gains toward $78, $80, $84, and $88 respectively. On the downside, a close below $63.80 may trigger renewed selling pressure toward $60, $58, and $56—within the mid-zone of the broader down trending channel. - Razan Hilal, CMT
FOREXCOM:USOIL
by FOREXcom
WTI Crude Oil: Double Engulf + H&S Breakdown Points to $40Hello guys! Let's dive into WTI! The weekly chart of WTI Crude Oil reveals a bearish Head & Shoulders pattern playing out over a long-term descending channel. Price recently got rejected from the upper trendline, showing weakness despite a short-term bounce. - Engulfed 1 & 2: Two major engulfing zones failed to hold as support, turning into strong resistance. - Bearish Scenario in Play: After the recent upside move into resistance, price is likely to follow one of two paths: - Continuation Within the Channel: Rejection from the upper bound of the descending channel leads to a stair-step decline toward the $47–52 zone. - Final Rejection from Supply Zone ($83–89): A larger corrective push could test this area before a full collapse toward the long-term demand zone. Main Target: The blue shaded region ($36–47) stands out as a strong long-term demand zone, where buyers may finally step in. ____________________ Invalidation point: Unless crude oil breaks above the $89 zone with strong volume, all signs point to further downside. The chart structure favors a slow bleed with temporary bounces, ultimately targeting the $40s.
TVC:USOILShort
by melikatrader94
11
Crude oil $ukoil - Final falling oil has been a barometer of the financial market for the last decades. I look at the formations and I see that we will see a renewal of the bottom in the coming months, I will not say the reasons, you just need to wait a little. I've been talking about the fall for a long time, but it's not over yet. After the final fall, I expect a renewal of the highs, due to the worsening situation in the Middle East, this will be after September Best Regards EXCAVO
FX:UKOILShort
by EXCAVO
6
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Move Up Ahead! Last week, I already shared a bullish setup on WTI Crude Oil on a daily time frame. I see a strong intraday bullish confirmation today. After a test of an underlined blue support area, the price went up strongly and violated a resistance line of a bullish flag pattern on a 4H time frame. The market is going to rise more. Goal - 68.2 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
FX:USOILLong
by VasilyTrader
1