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$CCL Swing Trade AnalysisIn this post, I will be going in detail with regards to my view of $CCL from a technical perspective. As of the time that I am writing this post, $CCL closed at $17.69 with a pre-market trading value of $17.75. Currently, I am bullish long-term on $CCL unless there are new developments that impact the fundamentals of the cruise industry negatively. I also have multiple entries on $CCL in which I averaged up to an average cost price of $16.02. Technical Analysis I believed that I have broken down the technical aspect of $CCL's chart quite clearly in the candlestick chart above, but just to add on a few things: 1. With regards to my price target, if an Ascending Triangle forms, I will take profit when $CCL breaks out towards the upside into the downtrend trading channel which I have drawn in the charts. From there, I may or may not re-enter a position. This will depend on how $CCL reacts to the channel. 2. With regards to my price target, if a Rising Wedge form, I will take profit when $CCL breaks out from the Rising Wedge towards the downside. However, because the downtrend that came before the Rising Wedge is a downtrend that was driven by COVID-19, a black swan event, it is likely that if market sentiments are bullish enough due to the wide availability of COVID-19 vaccines, positive news regarding the cruise industry, etc., prices could still break out towards the upside. As such, these require further monitoring. 3. However, if neither an Ascending Triangle nor a Rising Wedge form, where the market remains uncertain, I will likely hold my position while averaging up/down accordingly, PROVIDED that there are no fundamental changes towards the company and the industry itself. Disclaimer I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment, or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this site, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. If this post has helped you out in making your investment/trading decision, do it give it a like, and follow for more updates regarding this ticker symbol!
NYSE:CCLLong
by UnknownUnicorn6361804
CCL - Carnival Cruise Lines We haven't checked back in with the Cruise Industry in a bit so lets take a look at where we stand. The Cruise industry was one of the hardest hit by Covid19 and to top it off they didn't receive any US stimulus relief money to keep them afloat, making them one of the riskier plays. As the saying goes, with great risk often comes great reward. That being said, if we're going into an already risky industry, might as well pick the company most likely to succeed. In this case, while so far most of the cruise lines are staying afloat, Carnival is the one most likely to make it out ok. We went into this with more detail on our previous CCL posts, but to sum it up, they cover the most territories, have the largest fleet, have the most capital, and can survive the longest without sailings than its competitors. At the moment, the Cruise Lines International Association (CLIA) has announced the decision to voluntarily extend the pause in U.S. cruise embarkations until Oct. 31, 2020. CCL estimated its monthly cash burn rate for the second half of 2020 will be around $650 million, but they have also managed to raise over $10 billion through a series of financing transactions. Technical Analysis: At the moment, we're bullish long term on CCL unless something changes (increase in cases during winter, extended cancellations, etc.) Targets: 1. $21.00 2. $25.30 3. $31.91 Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates. Cheers! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. I am an amateur investor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, or stock picks, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on here, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise. Feel free to give us a follow and shoot us a like for more analysis updates.
NYSE:CCLLong
by MannyLo
11
NCLH a good buy?Hello, so today I took profit from LTC, which gave us a good return, yet was countered with downward movement. My thinking of buying both was to hedge against NCLH incase of downward movement and it worked. So I entered into another position in NCLH looking for upward price movement as in the hourly we are oversold with major support at roughly around the 16.81 area give or take a precent or two in either direction. News -Well NCLH did get downgraded just like the rest of the cruise lines to a hold, yet on the NASDAQ its still a majority buy. Trading view is a sell -Cruses are pushing back all cruises till the fall and NCLH was the only one that volunteered to extended it further unlike the other two TA -We are in a downtrend that is represtened by the yellow dotted line. -Price target to the upside is at 19.42 -Downside support at 16.61, which we have hit and pass through over 8 times. -Next downside support is at 15.42 roughly than its 14.10 -RSI is oversold on the hourly -MACD is getting tight and we can predict a pretty big move tomorrow or on Wednesday So I'm going long on NCLH in the short term, yet its hard to judge movement since its correlated with all the cruise lines. If bad news hits ccl or rcl than it hits nclh, yet NCLH has the strongest balance sheet since it is the smallest and has money to last about 18 months. WallstreetBets, if you trust them, pick NCLH over CCL if theres any credibility, yet again besides them NCLH has the better fundamentals and has a much larger hand over its money compared to the others. As of writing this futures just dropped 1.3%, so we could suspect a big move on Wednesday
NYSE:NCLHLong
by nathanielx9
6
Carnival Corp (CCL): Carnival surfs the second wave of COVID-192020 AUG-1: Carnival Corp will resume cruise ship travel with 8 trips planned starting Aug 1st. Just as most COVID cases have peaked in New York and around the world, CCL is announcing a return to business-as-usual. This announcement was made despite CDC warnings. A second wave is highly anticipated. The stay-at-home protesters (although a small minority) aren't helping to contain the spread. However, cruise vacations may not a be a priority for the economically troubled middle and lower classes. Difficult to tell how high demand will be. Then again, consumers have been bottled up at home. Enough will book cruises to create positive (short-term) outlook. Unless Carnival enacts social distancing measures that succeed on their ships, I don't see them exceeding 3 trip this year before an outbreak forces them to suspend travel again. I have no faith in them or the travelers aboard to follow strict guidelines. We can't even do it at home. Imagine a boat full of entitled travelers looking to break from the reality that is COVID. Thanks for reading my non-technical mumbo jumbo. I read the news and speculate human stupidity and greed. Also, science trumps all. What do you think of this idea? References: COVID has peaked: www.cidrap.umn.edu Carnival Cruises resumes August 1st: www.cnbc.com
NYSE:CCLShort
by traderman001
3
Carnival is not yet ready to Party! Need Volume ConfirmationAnalysis: 1/ Price retraced above 50% - It's unlikely to create new low 2/ Consolidating to build strength to take our $13 resistance 3/ Overbought in the last 20+days - likely for price to go down to do a fakeout 4/ Boom!!! The party happens after fakeout - expect at $10 range Confirmations for a big run: 1/ Already oversold for the price to go down for a fakeout - Timer set to alert me to start entering trade. 2/ Waiting for volume to cross above my timer for change in trend 3/ If/when price breaks $13 resistance, I'll add more.
NYSE:CCLLong
by UnknownUnicorn7385311
2
CCL - The Fun Ship Is Finally Ready to Break Free and PartyFull disclosure. My first post. I hope I do a good service with this analysis. My Analysis: In short, CCL retraced a hair above 50% of its previous high. History says it's not going to create a new low. So I'm bullish with the consolidation I highlighted, its building strength for a big bull run up to $18. I set FIB to whole numbers -- $19 (high) /$8 (low) because computer algorithm is programmed to hit those numbers. What do you think? Feel Free to leave a comment.
NYSE:CCLLong
by UnknownUnicorn7385311
2
Bearish on RCL- pending Dividend cut.This one is almost a gem, probably one of the easiest short out there. We all know the cruise sector is taking a huge beating, there's no way they are going back to business until late summer or something.( we are talking at least 1 whole quarter of no income) They will be burning money like crazy this quarter, and possible lawsuits and settlements eventually. when this corona situation is all done and over with, they will need probably 2-3 years to even make back these losses. With that said, There is NO WAY, they can maintain a 3.83 EPS for their next earning report. NO FREAKING WAY. Their current dividend is $3.12 per share , their earning per share is $3.83, that is 81.51% payout to shareholders. There is without a doubt that they will follow carnival and suspend their dividend soon. (just matter of when) I am 100% sure that when they suspend dividend, a lot of people are going to drop this stock, which will cause some selling pressure. The fundamental behind this play is almost on WALL ST HEDGE fund level lol. Enjoy this free play & Good LUCK Short entry 49.90 Cover position target 1 $40.90 Cover position target 2 $34.57
NYSE:RCLShort
by WallSt007
9
3-5 times chance, with low risk?Welcome to my first IDEE ! We are currently on an upward trend, which is within 2 significant trend lines. Carnival has suffered a heavy loss as a result of the Corona crisis and has to suspend the voyages until further notice. The stock reacted with a slump of about 80% !!! However, Carnival benefits from the Saudis as new investors and the cheap oil price. Therefore, I think that there is some potential here and that the stock will double in the shortest possible time. Carnival itself assured that they would "survive" without income until the end of the year. What it looks like after that remains open. But who believes that the Corona crisis will paralyze the whole year? For this people, this stock is probably nothing! If the upper trend line is broken, the cash registers ring! Attention: This is just an idea as the further course of the stock could be ! I accept no liability! :-)
FWB:CVC1Long
by Marco_777
Disney Under 100 - Corona Virus Won't Kill Star Wars Disney PlusThe parks are closed and ESPN is running Rudy over and over again as most Major League sports are on hiatus . People instead of looking for a pure cruise play rebound Like $RCL should probably gobble up the opportunity to own $DIS sub 100. Disney has a more diversified business and assets here is a list . #DisneyPlus and Marvel assets alone make $DIS very compelling here. In short the Corona Virus wont kill Star Wars en.wikipedia.org
NYSE:DISLong
by InvisbleHand
$RLC can continue falling in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. The demand for Royal Caribbean Cruises' shares looks lower than the supply. The company operates as a cruise company. Due to the spread of COVID-19, the demand for the company's services fell. This and other conditions can continue to cause a fall in the share price in the next days. So I opened a short position again from $26,24; Information about stop-loss and take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NYSE:RCLShort
by KozakHlib
3
$RLC can fall in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. Royal Caribbean Cruises has a strong downside trend. The company operates as a cruise company. Due to the spread of COVID-19, the demand for the company's services fell. This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price in the next days. So I opened a short position from $33,73; stop-loss — $37,53. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NYSE:RCLShort
by KozakHlib
$NCLH can fall in the next daysContextual immersion trading strategy idea. Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings has a strong downside trend. The company operates as a cruise company. Due to the spread of COVID-19, the demand for the company's services fell. This and other conditions can cause a fall in the share price in the next days. So I opened a short position from $12,28; stop-loss — $13,13. Information about take-profits will be later. Do not view this idea as a recommendation for trading or investing. It is published only to introduce my own vision. Always do your own analysis before making deals. When you use any materials, do not rely on blind trust. You should remember that isolated deals do not give systematic profit, so trade/invest using a developed strategy. If you like my content, you can subscribe to the news and receive my fresh ideas. Thanks for being with me!
NYSE:NCLHShort
by KozakHlib
Long Long Long TVIXBail Repo Market Bail Euro Market Bail America Free Money for everyone!!!!! None of these methods have done enough to quell investor's fear. And deservedly so. There is no end in sight to this CoronaVirus, unless the summer heat "magically" kills off the virus. Prolonged stretches of forced social distancing and furthermore travel ban will affect the hotel industry, airline industry, taxi industry, cruise industry, etc. These are industries that employ millions of people globally and touch billions of people's lives in some way. To claim that a trillion dollar stimulus would solve this issue when there is no end in sight is laughable. The amount of money that would have to be printed to sustain American society would be in the trillions per month, let alone bailing out each affected industry. America, along with every other country, may be be forced to keep printing to avoid blood on the streets. And even when we manage to solve this CoronaVirus, the damage may be irreparable. Our money supply will have grown so much, yet consumers' purchasing power none. How are they to afford inflated prices? And why are banks still collecting on their loans? Shouldn't the first priority be to pause the expenses of the people, instead of maintaining the revenue of the banks? Maybe I am narrow minded, but I can only see more fear develop as market conditions and society worsens. I believe TVIX will pass $1000, pass $1150, then $1300 and hopefully peak at $1500. If by some chance TVIX reaches $2500, it's probably time to stop playing the market and buy a gun. Please leave a comment on what you think on the current state of the economy and society. I'd love to hear different perspectives. What will our future society look like? Are we going to move on to a new form of money through the IMF? Is bitcoin the answer? Will we see a new form of governance? Is this the scenario that gets people to flip the board?
TLong
by choiinho10
5