ETHEREUM Perhaps the easiest long out there.Ethereum (ETHUSD) is consolidating just above the Buy Zone of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMBs) where it rebounded on its April bottom.
Throughout its historic price action, every time it hit this Zone and rebounded, it reached at least the bottom of its Mean MM zone (red Zone).
As a result, $4000 towards the end of the year may be the easiest Target in the market right now.
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Cryptocurrencies
BITCOIN Can this Inverse Head and Shoulders deliver $168000?We saw yesterday how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been trading within a short-term Channel Down pattern, which as mentioned was just a Bull Flag on the long-term scale.
Today we examine this on the longer term time-frame and what stands out on 1D is an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). Such patterns are incredibly bullish but are more often seen on market bottoms initiating strong long-term bullish reversals.
This time it has been formed on a 1W Bull Cycle uptrend (Channel Up), so it technically serves as a (very) long-term Accumulation Phase between the Cycle's previous All Time High (ATH) and the next one, which most likely will be the final (peak) of the Bull Cycle.
As mentioned numerous times in the past, IH&S patterns target their 2.0 Fibonacci extension level once broken. That is now at $168000 and falls well within the broader 150 - 200k range that most studies have as a potential Cycle Top.
So do you think that is realistic to expect? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Rejected (so far) where it absolutely SHOULDN'T!!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit today the top of the Channel Down pattern, which as we've discussed numerous times, is most likely on the long-term a Bull Flag technically. Still, this early test has so far turned into a rejection.
Early on to tell as the price remains above even the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but if it breaks above the closes a 1D candle above the top of the pattern, we expect it to immediately target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level at 119500. We have analyzed of course why on the long-term the Target is at least $150k, but this is a shorter term analysis. Notice also how the 1D RSI has already broken above its Lower Highs trend-line.
As long as the price remains rejected within the Channel Down, it is possible to look for support on the 100000 level again, where this time it may make contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) in an attempt to 'attract' the last batch of buyers.
Which scenario do you think will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 27, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout this week’s trading session, Bitcoin has demonstrated an upward trajectory and is positioned to achieve the specified targets of Mean Resistance 110300 and Key Resistance 111700. This progression may ultimately culminate in the realization of the Outer Coin Rally 114500 and beyond. Nevertheless, it is crucial to recognize the possibility of a subsequent decline from the current price to the Mean Support level of 104900 before a definitive upward rebound.
BITCOIN Just wait until OIL turns bullish!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has a unique long-term relationship/ correlation with WTI Oil (USOIL) and this charts shows why.
In the past 11 years, when Oil started to decline sharply, Bitcoin formed a market bottom before Oil did. When Oil started to rise again, Bitcoin was out of its bottom and has initiated its Parabolic Rally stage (green Rectangle). Then Oil peaked after BTC has already priced its own Cycle Top.
Based on this correlation, we can assume that we haven't yet seen BTC's Parabolic stage as Oil hasn't yet started to rise. If we assume that the late April Low on Oil was its market bottom, then only now it has started its rise, so at best BTC has just started the Cycle's Parabolic Rally. If that turns out o be true, then the upside potential is huge for BTC. Needless to say other key macroeconomic factors have to assist e.g. higher adoption, ETF inflows, FED Rate Cut, but that's what the current chart says!
So do you think that Oil can be the driver behind a new Bitcoin parabolic rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Cup & Handle completed! Technical Target $169k!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to complete the Handle of a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern. This comes only days after breaking below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) buy holding the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and rebounding.
Well the 1D MA50 has been recovered and on top of that, the 1D MACD just formed a Bullish Cross. This (isolated) Bull Flag, which is the Handle, technically targets the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $169000.
Do you think that's realistic or a little excessive within thin time-frame? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Major Pivot bounce eyes $140000!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started off the week with a huge 1W candle bounce on the former Lower Highs trend-line (that started on its All Time High), which has now turned into a Pivot. That trend-line held both last week and 3 weeks ago.
The very same Pivot test took place (October 2024) at the start of the previous Bullish Leg, resulting into a massive rebound that peaked upon a +108.08% rise. That was even higher than the Bullish Leg before it (+92.12%), which also started after a 1.5 month consolidation (Dec 2023 - Jan 2024).
Interestingly enough those Legs show an amazing frequency as the Time Cycles show on their bottoms. Assuming the current Bullish Leg will follow the 'bad case' scenario of +92.12%, we should be expecting to see at least $140000 before the next pull-back/ consolidation.
Do you think such Target is feasible by the end of August? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETHEREUM Massive rally up ahead.Ethereum (ETHUSD) is trading on its 1M MA50, having recovered half of the Trade War losses. Still underperforming against most of its peers but as we've entered the 2nd half of the year, the traditional Bull Cycle rally is up ahead. We expect at least a 0.5 Fibonacci level test of the Channel Up, targeting 7500.
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BITCOIN Trump and the 1D EMA100 saved the day!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rebounded yesterday on its 1D EMA100 (green trend-line) and along with Trump's truce announcement between Israel and Iran, it sent the market into a buying frenzy and back above the $105k mark.
Technically, the 1D EMA100 isn't something to be ignored as since the November 2022 market bottom, each Bullish Leg (Channel Up) that started had a contact (or near) with it that resulted into a considerable bullish extension.
The 1st Channel Up even breached below it, but after rebounding, it reached the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next correction. The 2nd Channel Up rebounded exactly on the 1D EMA100, and reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The 3rd Channel Up almost hit the 1D EMA100 and then rebounded to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
It is obvious that the pattern follows a progression and each Fib extension peak is higher than on the previous Channel Up. As a result, it is not unlikely to see a High even above the 2.0 Fib ext ($168k) on the current (4th) Channel Up, however on the short-term we would still welcome the 1.382 Fib 'minimum' expectation, targeting $130000.
Do you think we should at least be expecting that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Is this just a giant Bull Flag??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong sell-off yesterday in the aftermath of the U.S. strike in Iran and fears of retaliation, but in later hours recovered some of the lost ground. The recovery is being extended into the Asian and early E.U. hours today and the emerging Channel Down pattern already draws strong similarities with the one in December 17 2024 - January 13 2025.
Both broke below their respective 1D MA50 (blue trend-lines) to form a Lower Low, which in the case of Jan 2025, it initiated a rebound that tested the All Time High (ATH) Resistance. See also how similar their 1D RSI patterns are, testing the same Support level too (41.20).
Given that this time the uptrend has been much shorter since the April 07 2025 Low, this Channel Down may be nothing but a giant Bull Flag in the middle of a standard Bull Cycle Leg. Until confirmed with a 1W candle closing above the ATH Resistance though, the medium-term Target is $111900.
Notice also the formation today of a 1D MA100/200 Bullish Cross, the first since November 13 2024.
So what do you think? Is $111900 your short-term Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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AERO: Clears the Runway! Can it gain altitude!?AERO gave a valid long setup
We were eye a possible retrace of an impulsive move and it displayed enough to trigger a rules-based entry.
Technical Breakdown
Key structural elements supported the setup:
Initial leg up showed impulse-like behavior
Pullback found support at a clearly defined AOI
Multiple MLT levels aligned with a common zigzag framework
Swift bounce off the Golden Corner Pocket (GCP)
Break and close above 0.54 completed the impulse structure
Prior resistance flipped into support
Volume confirmed the move, and price reached the first algo target, producing a reactive wick and confirming potential of algo activity.
This created a textbook TDU-style GCP/Algo/C-3 setup with measured entry and exit.
Risk Management
Partial profit was taken at the first MLT zone
Stop loss was moved into profit post-structure break
Scenario planning:
If move continues: positioned
If move stalls as a larger zigzag: no loss
Outlook
Attention now shifts to the next actionable level, possible second entry long
0.62 is the AOI for re-entry atm
Ideal scenario = Continuation in a wave 3, obvi
Alt scenario = Clean corrective to AOI + long
Bear scenario = Zig Zag complete
Conclusion
The trade played by the book!
Confluence across AOI, GCP, MLT, and volume created a qualified entry — not a guess.
This remains a great example of structure over sentiment and waiting for the market to meet criteria before engaging.
BITCOIN This is the long-term picture. Don't get distracted.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating lately after making a new All Time High (ATH) last month and this is already making part of the market nervous over whether that's the Cycle Top or not.
This is one of those times when it would be best to ignore the short-term noise/ volatility and stick to the long-term picture. And that's exactly what's shown on this chart, with BTC on the 1M time-frame showing the incredible symmetry among its 4-year Cycles, with Bear Markets lasting 12 - 13 months and Bull Markets 35.
Based on that, this Cycle's Top is expected to be priced by October (2025). This also matches the Sine Waves as implied by the 1M RSI, which as been trading within a Channel Down (diminishing returns) since Bitcoin's inception.
So do you also think that we have around 4 months before the market tops? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETHEREUM Battling to hold its 1D MA50.Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been trading within a 5-week Channel Up pattern and in the past 2 days almost tested its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). So far this is holding, showcasing the strong presence of buyers in that price region, which also happens to be the bottom of that Channel Up.
Ahead of a 1D Golden Cross that may potentially be formed in a week or so, this is the strongest buy signal we get since the April 09 bottom. Given also that the price is trading close to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the December 16 2024 High, the upside potential is significant. The obvious medium-term Target is that High at 4100.
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BITCOIN All boxes checked. Couldn't be more bullish than this!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has filled numerous bullish conditions with the latest being holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. This is basically the 3rd time testing and holding it since June 05. Even if that doesn't hold, we have the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) directly below it as the ultimate long-term Support.
This trend-line just so happens to be exactly on the neckline of the Right Shoulder on the long-term Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that has been in development since December 17 2024.
On top of all these, the market also formed a 1D Golden Cross a month ago, always a strong long-term bullish signal. IH&S patterns typically target their 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which sits at $168000.
Is that another indication that Bitcoin is going after 150k at least on its next run? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN The secret trend-line that no one notices..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was under heavy selling pressure yesterday and even the 1D time-frame turned marginally bearish. What most seem to ignore however is the larger picture. On the 1W time-frame, BTC has managed to close the last 5 weeks above the Pivot trend-line.
What that trend-line is? It is the level that initially started as a Resistance from December 09 2024 to January 27 2025, closing all 1W candles below it, despite occasional candle wicks breaking above it. That confirmed it's status as a Resistance at the time.
Now we see the opposite, five straight 1W candles closing above that Pivot line. Check in particular, how flat the last two 1W candles closed, showcasing no just the high volatility that the market is under in the past weeks, but also the same amount of sellers and buyers existing in the market (neutral).
This is an indication that this is a consolidation phase, preparing BTC for the next rally. If we place the top Fibonacci level (1.0) on that Pivot, we get the 2.0 Fib extension just above the $145000 mark. That gels perfectly with various other studies we've conducted showing a similar long-term Target.
So do you think the Pivot line will hold and push Bitcoin to $145k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Is exactly where it should be this time on every Cycle!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has made a new All Time High (ATH) last month, following the April 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). No matter how odd this price action may look to some, BTC is simply replicating the pattern it has during every past Cycle around this time of its final year.
As you can see, besides April 2025, it made 1W MA50 pull-backs and rebounds on June 2021, July 2017 and July 2013. The consistency is remarkable and since we are already now half-way through June, historically Bitcoin only went upwards!
In fact, those pull-backs have been the strongest the market saw before the Cycles peaked on each and every occasion. Two Cycles peaked just above the 2.0 Fibonacci extension while in 2017 it peaked a little below the 5. Fib ext. This indicates that the minimum Cycle Top we can be expecting towards the end of the year is $160000 (marginally below the 2.0 Fib ext).
Many studies point towards the same Target. Do you think it's inevitable? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Cup and Handle making double bounce on the 1D MA50.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to complete a Cup and Handle (C&H) formation, having consolidated for almost a month since the May 22 All Time High (ATH). What makes the bullish potential even stronger is that it is rising after making a Double Bottom on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since October 10 2024.
Given that the long-term pattern is a Channel Up and the 1D MA50 is acting as its natural support trend-line, the Cup and Handle can provide a short-term Target on its 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $122000. On the long-term the Channel Up still has the potential to lead it much higher.
So do you think that 122k is achievable after this Cup and Handle making double bounce on the 1D MA50? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the past week, Bitcoin has exhibited considerable volatility. After reaching a peak at the first Mean Resistance level of 109500, the cryptocurrency experienced a significant decline. Nevertheless, on Friday, Bitcoin demonstrated a notable recovery, ascending to a newly established resistance now designated as the new Mean Resistance level marked at 110300.
At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downward as it retests the initial Mean Support level of 104000 while aiming to target the Mean Support at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to recognize the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $ 104,000 and/or $ 101,500, which could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level of $ 110,300.
BITCOIN is only now starting the final Cycle rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) took a hit overnight following the Israel attack on Iran and at the moment the consequences of that action can't be quantified in great detail but on the long-term the bullish trend seems intact.
In fact it remains below the historic Pivot Growth Curve (PGC) that has separated BTC's peak pattern (green Arcs) from bottom and accumulation (red Arcs), and could be tested by next month.
Once broken, the real rally towards the Cycle's peak can start, with most previous studies we conducted showing that $150000 is a fair (if not modest) estimate.
Are you worried about the latest geopolitical conflict or this chart is enough to give you long-term assurances? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Megaphone is the last step before $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is repeating almost to the exact point the 2023/ 2024 uptrend, as right now it is in the process of forming a Megaphone pattern similar to the one during December 2023 - January 2024.
Before that, both patterns started the uptrend when a 1D Death Cross formed the bottom. After the 1st Bullish Leg, a Channel Up on a 1D Golden Cross marked the transition to the 2nd Bullish Leg that eventually led to the Megaphone.
In 2024, when BTC broke above the Megaphone, it started the final Bullish Leg that peaked a little above the 1.786 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. During that process, the 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals have been similar.
As result, aiming for the $150000, which is marginally below the 1.786 Fib ext, is a solid target.
Do you think the pattern will continue to be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETHEREUM This Megaphone emerged on all previous Cycles.Ethereum (ETHUSD) is showing incredible strength at the moment as it broke above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and its goal now will be to close the week above it.
This resembles May 2020 and January 2017 when again the price was struggling to break above its 1W MA50, all within a similar Megaphone pattern, and eventually succeeding. The similarities among those 3 patterns so far are striking despite being formed on different Cycles.
As you can see, we are currently on the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the Megaphone, which is exactly where ETH was during the other 2 Cycles when it tested the 1W MA50 and broke out. Once the 1W MA50 turned into Support, the market never looked back and initiated the parabolic rallies of 2020/ 2021 and 2017.
Based on that, we expect ETH to test the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, around $7000.
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BITCOIN Is 'Bullish June Seasonality' about to kick-in?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started June on a very promising note, recovering most of last week's losses and is potentially headed for a new All Time High (ATH). This however, should be no surprise as BTC has exhibited amazing strength during the month of June and onwards since 2013.
As this chart shows, the market has historically rallied on June, in fact it is the month that kick-started Bitcoin's final rallies towards the Top on its last three Cycles.
Based on the 2W RSI, which is ranging within the 0.236 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels, we can argue that the price action is closer to June 2017 than other Cycles. As to how high it can get to, we've analyzed that on other studies, the current analysis only serves to show you that historically we are set for a strong 'Bullish June Seasonality' effect.
Do you agree that this is about to kick-in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BROADCOM Pull-back to demand zone possible before new High.Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) is currently on a 3-day pull-back that started right on the 0.786 Fibonacci level of the 2.5 year Channel Up. The 1D RSI got heavily rejected from deep inside the overbought zone (>70.00) to back down below it and the only times that happened within this pattern, was during short-medium term pull-backs towards its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
As a result, the current pull-back can extend a little more towards the 1D MA50 and then rebound. Given a +15% added increas on each Bullish Leg of the Channel Up, we expect to see $320 next.
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