DOGEBTC Strong chance that Dogecoin outperforms Bitcoin soon.DOGEBTC is testing its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which keeps it into a buy zone, exhibiting the same kind of price action it had during its previous Cycle in late December 2020.
That was right before the parabolic rally started where Dogecoin outperformed Bitcoin massively on the last strong known Altseason.
Right now the market is forming the same 1W MACD Bullish Cross it did on December 21 2020, straight after which it broke above the 1W MA50. The rebounded that was causes even broke above the Cycle's Falling Wedge in a rally that lasted 4 months.
We are inside a similar Falling Wedge since 2021 so a break-out may have a similar outcome. This chart shows that it may be time to move some capital to Doge.
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Cryptocurrencies
BITCOIN made new ATH but still much time left before a Cycle topBitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to enter the final week of May, with the month mostly likely to close on a strong green candle, the 2nd straight. Though it made yesterday a new All Time High (ATH) above 109k and many are already talking about a bearish reversal, this chart shows that there is still plenty of time left before the current Bull Cycle tops.
If fact a simple measurement of the Bottom to Bottom and Bottom to Top ranges of the last 3 Cycles is enough to present all the evidence that are needed for this case.
As you can see, the previous 2 Bull Cycles lasted for 35 months (1065 days) from Bottom to Top. Similarly, the Bottom to Bottom (Bear Cycle to Bear Cycle) measurement has been 47 months (1430 days).
This amazing symmetry suggest that BTC is more likely than not to repeat this feat on the current Cycle as well. A 35 month range from Top to Top indicates that the Bull Cycle is expected to peak on October 2025, while a 47 month Bottom to Bottom range indicates that the next Bear Cycle should bottom in October 2026! As far as a potential price top is concerned, various of the previous analyses we've conducted show that $200k is a fair maximum, but the current study focuses on the timing of profit taking and not specific price levels.
So are you willing to book your profits by this October? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Ultimate Cycle Zones breakdown! See when to sell!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its amazing rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), having recovered all of the losses sustained following the U.S. - Chine Trade War. Based on this Cycle's pattern, this 1W MA50 rebound is technically the new Bullish Leg, essentially its 4th of this Cycle.
Among all this, we managed to identify another cyclical pattern, separating the Cycle in terms of Activity Zones:
Naturally its very bottom is what we call the 'Best Buy Zone' (green), where BTC's earliest and most optimal buy opportunities existed. That ranges within the 0.0 and 1.0 Fibonacci levels.
Above that it's the 'Final Buy Zone' (yellow) where in relative efficieny terms, the last long-term buy opportunities existed. That Zone consists of the 1.0 and 2.0 Fibonacci levels.
Third in line is the 'First TP Zone' (orange) where long-term investors who seek lower risk, can start taking profit on their positions. The range on that is the 2.0 - 3.0 Fibonacci levels.
Lastly it's the 'Fina TP Zone' (red) where obviously it is the last opportunity (and with the greatest return but also elevated risk) to take profits before the Cycle prices its Top. This consists of the 3.0 - 4.0 Fibonacci range.
As you may have noticed, each Zone has a .618 interval (highlighted in blue). Zone 1 has the 0.618 Fib, Zone 2 the 1.618 Fib, Zone 3 the 2.618 Fib and one 4 the 3.618 Fib. This is where (so far) the price has made a first consolidation - correction after the start of the new Bullish Leg and before it gets completed at the top Fib. The last such consolidation was from mid December 2024 to late January 2025 and as you see those tend to be significant marks.
This model shows that the current Bullish Leg should prepare us for the Final TP Zone and its first stop is the 3.0 Fib at $135k. This is the bottom of the Final TP Zone and the first region that long-term investors should consider taking profits. The key 3.618 Fib extension is at $210k and in our opinion is the absolute max level we should look to sell all positions as chronologically Cycle wise the trend falls there towards the end of the year, which is where all Cycles topped. A 4.0 Fib test is highly unlikely to take place within this Cycle, unless macroeconomic fundamentals (extreme adoption and/or monetary intervention) kick in and that sits at $280k.
But what do you think? Do you agree with this Zones break-down and if yes are you considering taking profits at 135000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN This Cycle's peak zone is $150k - $200k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its gains week after week since the April 07 bottom on the 1W MA50, which as we've analyzed extensively its a new Higher Low launchpad for the new (current) Bullish Leg, the way it's been consistently doing on the Higher Lows trend-line since the start of this Bull Cycle.
It's in fact the very same Higher Lows trend-line it had during both previous Cycles, which ended up peaking on the Logarithmic Growth Curve's (LGC) top 2 zones (red), breaking also above the 2 SD above band (orange) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB).
This time the price has 'only' broken above the 1 SD MMB (grey), while having breached into just the lower pink LGC zone. This highlights the theory of Diminishing Returns but at the same time also shows the strong upside potential of the market while subject to these conditions.
So assuming it won't hit by the end of this Cycle the 2 SD MMB nor the top 2 zones of the LGC, the bad case scenario seems to be topping the lower pink LGC zone and the good case scenario topping the upper pink LGC zone. Those two give a profit taking range of 150 - 200k respectively and based on the Sine Waves, we should peak around October 2025.
Is that your profit taking zone as well for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ETHEREUM Massive rejection on the 1W MA50. Will it break?Ethereum (ETHUSD) has seen its strongest 1-month rise in recent times since the April 07 rebound and last week that stopped and got rejected exactly on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This rebound is technically the new Bullish Leg of the multi-year Rising Wedge.
The 1W MA50 turned into a Resistance when it last broke on the week of January 27 2025, so almost 4 months ago. Once it breaks and closes a 1W candle above it, we can continue to expect the bullish trend to continue by at least as much as the rise below it (that happened in late 2024).
Technically for now, if it breaks, the upside is limited by the 4100 Resistance, so that will be our Target in that event.
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BITCOIN forming 1st 1D Golden Cross in 7 months! New ATH ahead??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to form its first Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame in 7 months (since October 27 2024). This comes with the price very close to its $109k All Time High (ATH), following a relentless rebound and recovery from the Trade War correction.
Within the Bull Cycle's 2.5-year Channel Up, all 1D Golden Crosses have delivered higher prices instantly and the minimum % rise one has given before a new 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) pull-back, has been +33.11%.
This gives us an immediate Target of $135000 and is very much in line with a number of previous projections that the date show within this Target Region. Notice also how on all 3 last 1D Golden Crosses, a 1W MACD Bullish Cross precedes it. Basically that is the double confirmation of the medium-term bullish extension.
So do you think this 1D Golden Cross is such a strong buy signal and if yes, is $135k the bare minimum Target short-term? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Stairway to 134k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is unfolding a very interesting pattern since its April 07 bottom. That was at $74500 and since that level, it has been consistently targeting all 10k intervals above it: From 74k to 84k, 94k and is now on 104k.
Once it hit all those levels, the price consolidated, forming a very structured Channel Up. Now, the Channel Up may not hold forever but this consistency gives us the idea that it can continue targeting all those levels above it: 114k, 124k, 134k. If this pattern continues to hold for as much time as it has since the bottom, then we may see $134k by late June/ early July.
Do you think it is possible to stay this consistent for that long? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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CARDANO about to form its first ever 1W Golden Cross!Cardano (ADAUSD) is far from dead as not only has it staged a rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but is also close to forming its first ever Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame. Technically this is a similar set-up to November 2020 right after ADA held its 1W MA50, made a Higher Low on its 1W RSI (like today) and started to rise.
This rise ended up forming the top of the 7-year Channel Up just below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension from the previous Cycle High. Basically this whole Bull Cycle has been identical to the December 2018 - December 2020 and right now it appears that the market has started the final parabolic rally.
If the pattern approaches the 1.236 Fib extension again, expect the Cycle to peak around $5.000.
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BITCOIN 's 'Final 6 months rally' kickstarts the Altseason!This isn't the first time we show you this chart but it couldn't be more relevant than today. We have established on previous analyses how Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has most likely started the final rally of its Cycle, historically the parabolic rally of the last 6 months of the Bull Cycle that ends with its Top.
The addition of today's analysis is that with Bitcoin Dominance (orange trend-line) approaching its 8-year Lower Highs trend-line, this 'Final 6 months rally' of BTC is what technically also starts the Altseason. This is when lower cap coins see massive gains compared to the high cap ones.
At the same time, we get one more confirmation of why a $150k BTC Target is realistic, as by the end of 2025, this price would still be on the 0.618 Fibonacci level of the 8-year Fib Channel Up, a rather 'bad case' scenario based on this pattern.
So what do you think? Will BTC's Final 6 months rally spark a massive Altseason too? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN making the FINAL PUSH! Only 6 months of BULL left!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has had n astonishing symmetry among its Cycles in the past 11 years, as all three of the Bear Cycles have had identical durations (13 and 12 months twice) as well as the two Bull Cycles (both 35 months).
As a result, there is no reason to assume otherwise for the current Bull Cycle as well, which if it also lasts for 35 months, it will peak in October 2025. This means that BTC might 'only' have another 6 months of Bull Cycle ahead of it but that's not bad news as historically this phase tends to be the most aggressive part.
Even if it's not, various studies we've done before point out that a price around $150k would be more than fair and practically a 'pessimistic' scenario for the Cycle High.
Do you think that will be the case? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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ALTSEASON is here!The Crypto Total Market Cap (excluding the Top 10 coins) broke above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and is consolidating on an overbought 1D RSI (>70.00).
Since October 2023 when this set of conditions emerge, the long-term Channel Up starts a rally (technically its Bullish Leg). This is what in the crypto world is known as 'Altseason',which is when the lower cap coins see enormous gains relative to the top 10.
The last Bullish Leg (2024) rose by +200%. The previous one, even more. If it 'just' repeats the +200% Leg, we are looking at a market cap of $525 Billion.
The time to invest in alts is now!
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DOGEUSD Massive Bull Flag targets $0.40 like late 2024!Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) is posting a Bull Flag pattern on the 4H time-frame, being supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
A similar Bull Flag was formed at the start of its previous major rally in October 2024, which made the price jump to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, in as much time as it took for the price to reach the Bull Flag's start from the bottom.
As a result, we expect DOGE's next short-term Target to be $0.40.
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BITCOIN on similar spot as before the U.S. elections! 155k next?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above the Lower Highs trend-line of its December 2024 High and so far on the current 1W candle, it's consolidating on it.
This is the exact same price action we saw on the October 21 2024 1W candle, which after breaking above that Lower Highs trend-line at the time, it spend 2 weeks consolidating on it before the November 05 U.S. election result started a relentless 7 week rally just below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
Note that on both fractals, the Lower Highs break-out and then re-test, took place on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. If BTC manages to close above it at all times, we will have a strong case to expect again a Bullish extension as last December. The symmetrical level just below the 2.0 Fib ext in today's terms is $155000.
Do you think that will be next after a short-term consolidation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN about to test its ATH following HUGE U.S. - China deal!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is marching towards the $109000 Resistance, which is its All Time High (ATH), following the U.S. - China trade agreement 3 hours ago. This can be a huge fundamental boost to the bullish trend as technically, every time the Resistance level broke during this Bull Cycle, the break-out that followed was extremely aggressive.
On October 2 2023, the Resistance test resulted into a strong break-out, which completed a +96.18% rise from the bottom before a 1D MA100 (green trend-line) pull-back. At the same time of the Resistance break-out, we had a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross and a 1W MACD Bullish Cross.
The October 29 2024 Resistance test on the other hand was initially unsuccessful and made a 5 day rejection back near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) before the next successful test. Again the rise was more than +96.18%.
As a result, we are expecting to see at least $145k by July (+96.18%) once the Resistance breaks.
Do you think that is a realistic time-frame for $145000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 9, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin leapfrogged our Interim Coin Rally 100000 via Key Res 97500 in this week's trading session and is clearly aiming to retest the next target of completed Inner Coin Rally 108000. Nevertheless, current price movements indicate a potential retracement from Mean Resistance 104000 toward the Mean Support level at 99300, with a further possible decline likely toward an additional Mean Support target at 94000. However, it is imperative to recognize the potential for upward momentum from the current level, as this could facilitate a trajectory toward the Key Res 106100 and the next Interim Coin Rally at $108,000 and beyond.
DOGEUSD Started its final rally and can hit $1.300Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) just broke above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) again for the first time since March 24 2025 and is doing so after a clear rebound on its 1W MA100 (green trend-line). This is a technical bottom formation, that resembles the one on September 11 2017, right before that Cycle's final rally was initiated.
The 1W RSI has already broken above its MA trend-line (yellow) and every time that took place since October 16 2023, DOGE posted a strong rally. As you can see, the similarities between the two fractals are remarkable, both unfolding a structured bullish pattern on similar stages, with a 1W MA50/100 Bullish Cross leading to the massive Bull Flag (green) that bottomed on the 1W MA100 and initiating the parabolic rally.
In 2017 it topped on the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, so if it continues to replicate that fractal, we expect this run to hit $1.300 by the end of the year and make the Cycle's Top.
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TIAUSD just broke above the 5-month Falling Wedge!Celestia (TIAUSD) made a major bullish break-out today as not only did it break above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but also above the 5-month Lower Highs trend-line (December 06 2024), which is the top of the Falling Wedge pattern!
With the 1D RSI also on Higher Lows, this bullish momentum is targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level at 4.000, which is where contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is expected to be made.
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BITCOIN Monthly RSI Heatmap reveals ultimate Cycle Sell Zone!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has resumed the long-term bullish trend and as of the writing of this analysis, it is about to test the $100k key psychological level. Now that the Bull Cycle is entering its final stage (most likely for the next 6 months at most), it is time to see potential exit levels as close to the expected Top as possible.
There is no better long-term indicator to assist us on this than the 1M RSI, which historically offers a great level to Sell when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fibonacci range of its Channel Down. Currently it is still considerably distanced from that Zone, so the upside potential despite the recent break-out, is huge.
The Sine Waves indicate that in symmetrical terms, the Cycle Top should be priced around November 2025 (previous ones on November 2021, December 2017, December 2013). The closer the 1M RSI is to this date when it enters the 0.786 - 1.0 Fib Zone, the better as the higher the price will most likely be.
Based on this Cycle's Channel Up (blue), a fair Cycle Top range would be $150k - $200k. Would you agree? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin is Overbought, but $100,000 Target is Still at HandFenzoFx—Bitcoin is overbought at $97,000, a signal indicated by the Stochastic Oscillator. The price is expected to consolidate before the uptrend resumes. In this scenario, a dip toward $93,565 may provide a favorable entry point into the bull market.
Watch this level, followed by $91,720, for bullish signals such as candlestick patterns.
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CAKEUSD Ahead of a monumental Triangle break-out.PancakeSwap (CAKEUSD) has been trading within a Triangle pattern since the December 04 2024 High and the price has been on the tightest squeeze possible since.
As you can see, it has been ranged for the past 2 weeks withing the 0.382 - 0.618 Fibonacci range and this is also reflected on the 1D RSI sequence.
If the price breaks above the top of the Triangle (Lower Highs trend-line), we expect a rally towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (5.3000). Alternatively, you may target on a safer note either Resistance 1 or the 1.618 Fib ext.
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BITCOIN Mirror fractal from the past calls for massive rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) appears to be repeating almost the exact same price action as mid-late 2020 as it has broken above the Pivot trend-line that separates the recent distribution from the 2nd Accumulation phase and has successfully re-tested it while the MA50 (blue trend-line) is holding as Support.
If the latter continues to hold, then it might fuel a massive rally similar to October 2020 - April 2021. As you can see both fractals started of with a 1st Accumulation Phase (blue Rectangle) being supported always by their respective MA200 (orange trend-line), which led to the eventual Distribution Phase (red Arc). Even their RSI sequences are identical.
Is this another pattern supporting that BTC will reach at least $150k next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Litecoin Consolidates: Wait for This Before BuyingFenzoFx—Litecoin surged from $80.0 as anticipated. A candlestick pattern signaled this move yesterday morning. Although the bullish wave broke above the $91.9 resistance, the uptrend has since paused. Currently, the price trades slightly below this level, consolidating gains.
In swing trading, the key rule is to buy at the dip and sell at the high. Thus, we are not entering at this stage. Notably, the LTC/USD 1-hour chart shows a long-wick bearish candlestick, confirmed by another bearish close, with a decline in volume.
The trend stays bullish above the 50-period simple moving average. With immediate resistance at $93.65, the bearish momentum may test the previous day's high at $89.5. If this support holds, the uptrend could resume toward the $96.7 target.