AUDNZD Analysis - Bullish - Trade 07AUDNZD Analysis Overview
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1. Seasonality
AUD: Strong **buy** signal for the first week of December, suggesting upward momentum.
NZD: Range-bound signal, indicating weaker performance compared to AUD.
Seasonality Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
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2. COT Report
AUD:
COT RSI : Decreasing from the top but still indicates bullish positioning.
COT Index : Near the top, signaling strong institutional interest in AUD.
Net Non-Commercial : Increasing, aligning with a buy sentiment.
NZD :
COT RSI : At the bottom (0%), but overall positioning is weak.
COT Index : Bottomed at 0%, reflecting limited institutional support for NZD.
Net Non-Commercial : Decreasing, suggesting bearish momentum.
COT Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
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3. Fundamental Analysis
Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) :
AUD : Increasing, pointing to improving economic conditions.
NZD : Increasing, but weaker overall impact compared to AUD.
Endogenous Factors:
AUD : Mix to decreasing, but seasonal strength supports AUD’s buy case.
NZD : Increasing, but weaker compared to AUD.
Exogenous Factors :
AUDNZD exogenous signal supports a buy AUD, sell NZD bias.
Fundamental Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
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4. Technical Analysis
RSI Divergence: Bullish divergence spotted on the 4H timeframe, signaling potential upward movement.
Parallel Channel : Price is at the bottom of a bearish parallel channel, indicating possible reversal to the upside.
Daily Support : Currently holding above a strong daily support zone, reinforcing the bullish setup.
Technical Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
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Final Bias: Buy AUDNZD
All factors—seasonality, COT data, fundamentals, and technicals—align in favor of a BUY setup for AUDNZD. This pair shows potential for upward movement, supported by strong economic and technical signals.
