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Daxforecast

From Euphoria to Exhaustion: DAX 8H Short LoadedAfter an impressive rally, DAX has now returned to its previous highs. But this upward move looks more like an engineered push rather than a healthy breakout. From a technical and sentiment-based perspective, it feels overextended. That’s why I initiated a short position from this level. No need to predict the top—just follow the setup and manage risk. Technicals: • Price has returned to previous highs after a sharp V-shaped recovery. • The rally lacks structure—no clear consolidation or volume support. • We’re also near a historical EQ level that has acted as a turning point before. Fundamentals: • Philips cut its 2025 profit margin forecast citing U.S. tariffs as a major drag—this isn’t an isolated signal. • Hugo Boss and other exporters confirmed revenue weakness due to U.S. trade tensions, adding to the bearish bias for European equities. • President Trump’s warning about additional tariffs on pharmaceuticals could severely affect key European sectors. • Global trade uncertainty and tariff retaliation fears have returned. These external shocks are significant for export-heavy indices like the DAX. • With the Fed’s policy decision pending and no concrete trade deals, markets are shaky. Sentiment remains fragile. This isn’t just a chart move — it’s a narrative setup. Markets can push higher on euphoria, but engineered rallies without backing tend to snap. I don’t need to catch the top perfectly — just be in when reality bites back. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
OANDA:DE30EURShort
by AR33_
2
DAX at a Crossroads: Will Resistance Trigger a Pullback?The German 40 (DAX) has been on a strong bullish run, now trading into a key resistance zone near previous range highs. This area is likely packed with liquidity (buy stops), making it a potential turning point. Given the overextended price action and current fundamentals, a retracement is likely as profit-taking and stop orders trigger. While sentiment has been bullish, caution is warranted at these levels. I am expecting a pullback before any further upside. Not financial advice.
FOREXCOM:GER40
by fxtraderanthony
DAX 40 Index Technical AnalysisDAX 40 Index Technical Analysis Market Profile Insights Value Area Analysis Trading ABOVE yesterday's value area high Seeking extension from Monday's Point of Control (POC) Anticipating potential reaction zones at Monday's High Volume Nodes (HVNs) Current price positioning suggests bullish market sentiment Trade Parameters Entry Point: 22,833.71 Target Price: 23,356.52 Stop Loss: 22,572.31 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Technical Narrative Price breaking through previous resistance levels Showing strength by trading above key market profile structures Volume profile indicates institutional accumulation Momentum suggesting potential trend continuation Entry Confirmation Criteria Multiple timeframe alignment Strong volume profile Market profile structural support Momentum indicator confirmation Risk Management Considerations Monitor reactions at previous HVNs Use market profile levels for dynamic stop management Be prepared for potential consolidation zones Conclusion High-probability bullish setup with robust market profile confirmation. Disciplined, structure-based approach recommended.
ICMARKETS:DE40Long
by FXCapitalClub
GER40/DAX "GERMANY 40" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the GER40/DAX "GERMANY 40" Indices Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at any point. however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 3H period, the recent / nearest high level. Target 🎯: 19,300 or Before 19,400 Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ Economic Factors: Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China and the US, could negatively impact German exports and growth. Trade tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and China, as well as between the US and the EU, could negatively impact German exports and growth. Brexit uncertainty: The ongoing Brexit process could lead to uncertainty and volatility in the European markets. Monetary Policy Factors: ECB's monetary policy: A less accommodative monetary policy from the European Central Bank (ECB), potentially leading to higher interest rates, could negatively impact the index. Interest rate differential: A widening interest rate differential between the US and the EU could lead to a stronger USD and weaker EUR, negatively impacting the index. Geopolitical Factors: EU political instability: Political instability in the EU, potentially driven by a more fragmented European Parliament, could negatively impact the index. Global geopolitical tensions: Escalating global geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, could negatively impact the index. Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any decisions. Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release. Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
FPMARKETS:GER40Short
by The-Thief
Mastering the German 40 Index: A Comprehensive Trading Strategy 👀👉 In this detailed video, I examine the complexities of trading the German 40 Index (DAX), sharing my personal trading plan and strategies aimed at identifying lucrative trade opportunities. Most importantly, my goal is to provide you with the essential tools to effectively navigate the indices markets. 📈✨ KEY HIGHLIGHTS: ✅ Trading Strategy Overview: I outline a structured approach to planning trades and identifying optimal trading opportunities. ✅ Technical Analysis Techniques: We explore concepts such as Wyckoff Theory and ICT (Inner Circle Trader) principles, emphasizing their application in real-world trading scenarios. ✅ Timeframe Analysis: The video guides you through analyzing higher timeframes to inform lower timeframe entries, ensuring a well-rounded trading strategy. ✅ Entry Points & Risk Management: Learn how to pinpoint entry points, set effective stop-loss orders, and establish profit targets to maximize your trading success. 🎯 ✅ TradingView Features: I highlight essential features of TradingView, showcasing two advanced indicators: the Volume Profile and VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price), which are crucial for intraday analysis and understanding market trends. 📊 🔔 Disclaimer: Trading involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct thorough research and consider your financial situation before engaging in trading activities. Join me on this journey to enhance your trading skills and gain valuable insights into the German 40 Index! Don't forget to comment and if you found the info of value, giving this post a BOOST would be awesome! 🙏
THINKMARKETS:GER40Education
by fxtraderanthony
19
GDAX DAX 40 (German 40) Technical Analysis & Trade IdeaTheres a full video analysis posted before this. The DAX 40's recent bullish surge reveals signs of exhaustion on the monthly and weekly charts. Lower timeframes suggest a manipulative price structure primed for a potential trend reversal. Here's the breakdown: - Overextension: Extended trends often succumb to corrections or shifts in direction. The DAX 40 appears ripe for such a move. - Liquidity Engineering: The 4-hour and daily price action hints at manipulation. The downside breakout followed by a stop-loss raid indicates possible accumulation to fuel a bearish move. - Reversal Pattern: This market behavior aligns with recurring reversal setups I've observed consistently throughout my trading experience. Trade Idea - Direction: Short (with the potential for significant downside) - Timeframe: Expect bearish momentum through February and March. - Monitor: Watch for validation on lower timeframes (e.g., a bearish break of the current range). - Risk Management: Set appropriate stop-loss levels based on your risk tolerance. Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. Before making any trades, perform your own in-depth research and exercise prudent risk management.
SPREADEX:GDAXIShort
by fxtraderanthony
1
DAX H4: Too early for bears to enter? Fed did it again.Bears in Twitter start to ask themselves whether they were all wrong or they were too early to bet against the market after the Fed was hawkish-but-not-too-hawkish in yesterday's meeting. DAX is a heavily automotive, banks and other cyclic assets weighted European index. Europe has performed better than America, but if ECB decides to implement an even more hawkish strategy than that of the Fed, those "better European gains" will vanish relatively soon. That is why, together with the current economic, political and social-unrest context; I am beginning to feel bearish on DAX and CAC. DAX could be shaping a H&S pattern the next days that could end up pretty bad if inflation does not calm down, ECB continues to raise rates and unemployment increases. Therefore, my prediction is that DAX will not reach ATHs and stay around 15580-16250 to drop later on to 11350-13350. Could there be again a Head and Shoulders on its way?
XETR:DAXShort
by alexinve
2
DAX: Startle ReflexesWe don’t know what has startled DAX so much that it has jumped upwards and has come quite close to the mark at 12425 points again – maybe, someone tested its startle reflexes… However, the index is already back on track and should continue to move downwards into the pink zone between 11421 and 11060 points to finish wave III in pink, which it could also do in the slightly lower and larger blue zone between 11352 and 10828. Afterwards, DAX should perform a countermovement into the upper pink zone between 12129 and 13066 points, before dropping into the big green zone to complete the overarching downwards movement. Indeed, wave 2 in green could also end in the blue zone between 9980 and 9456 points, which provides a little bit more room southwards.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by MarketIntel
DAX: HiccupsLooks like DAX has the hiccups, the way it is hopping about nervously. We don’t know what has affected its stomach – maybe it is the fact that the index is still indecisive about wave (2) in white. Apparently, it has not yet determined whether it has already completed wave (2) in white or wants to finish it a bit lower still, before resuming the overarching ascent. However, there is only room until the support at 12425 points, as below this mark, our secondary scenario with a probability of 40% would come into play. In that case, DAX would have to take a detour through the green zone between 12140 and 11150 points first, before rising again.
EUREX:FDAX1!
by MarketIntel