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Defencestock

Defence Stocks Rise After Trump's DecisionDefence Stocks Rise After Trump's Decision As shown in the charts, despite predominantly bearish sentiment in the stock market yesterday — with the difference between the opening and closing price for the S&P 500 index (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) being down by 4% — defence company stocks showed growth. According to the WSJ, Palantir Technologies shares rose by 8% to $84.05 on Tuesday, while General Dynamics and Boeing increased by 5% to $260.12 and $145.365 respectively. Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin gained about 4% each. Why Did Lockheed Martin (LMT) Shares Rise? This occurred after President Trump announced that the defence budget for the 2026 fiscal year would be around $1 trillion, and Defence Secretary Pete Hegset published his announcement about the budget on X (formerly Twitter). The increase in the defence budget by approximately $50-100 billion contrasts with previous statements from US leadership in February, when: → Trump said that "we have no reason to spend almost a trillion dollars on the military"; → Hegset suggested annually cutting the defence budget by 8% — or around $50 billion — over the next five years. Such statements had been putting pressure on the price of LMT stock in 2025. Technical Analysis of the Lockheed Martin (LMT) Chart Today As a reminder, on 3 October we suggested that breaking the psychological $600 level would trigger profit-taking, which would, in turn, drive a correction following the impressive rally. In the same analysis, we outlined a long-term channel (shown in grey). Since then, the price has dropped by more than 25%. Today, the LMT share price is near the lower boundary of this channel. It is worth noting that the recent lows around the $425 level resemble a bullish Triple Bottom pattern. Given this, it is reasonable to assume that bulls may attempt to recover at least part of the decline that started in October 2024. It’s also possible that concerns over rising geopolitical tensions amid the global trade war could support this move. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:LMT
by FXOpen
Long Term - Defence Fundamental PickDefence stocks are currently trading low due to the ongoing tariff trade war. Here are some strong fundamental picks to consider for long-term investment. 📊 Script: COCHINSHIP ⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1338 🎯 PE 🏆 - 42.78 📊 Script: BDL ⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1255 🎯 PE 🏆 - 81.3 📊 Script: GRSE ⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 1523 🎯 PE 🏆 - 44.2 📊 Script: PARAS ⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 917 🎯 PE 🏆 - 73.5 📊 Script: MAZDOCK ⏱️ C.M.P 📑- 2317 🎯 PE 🏆 - 34 ⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio. ✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅ Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes. Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁 Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
NSE:COCHINSHIPLong
by radha_23
2
Europe’s defence awakeningThe race to bolster European defence capabilities is well underway. Since the invasion of Ukraine, European leaders have intensified calls for increased defence spending. The continent, long reliant on US security guarantees, is now facing a critical inflection point. Recent moves by the US administration to engage with Russia without consulting its European allies or Ukraine have underscored the urgent need for Europe to take charge of its own defence. This geopolitical reality has forced European leaders to acknowledge that relying on US support is no longer a guaranteed strategy, accelerating discussions on independent military capabilities and funding mechanisms. Why is European defence spending rising? For decades, the US has outspent Europe on defence, contributing more than two-thirds of NATO’s1 overall budget. However, NATO estimates that in 2024, 23 out of 32 members met the 2% GDP2 defence spending target, compared to just seven members in 2022 and three in 20143. More ambitious goals are being discussed. Poland is leading the way with a 4.12% of GDP2 defence budget, while discussions at NATO suggest some countries may need to increase spending to 3% or higher1. Adding another layer of complexity is the US Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) initiative, which is beginning to reshape US defence priorities. The shift from cost-plus to fixed-price contracts under DOGE is putting financial pressure on defence companies most exposed to the US, which may see constraints on long-term spending commitments. This could have two contrasting effects: while it may limit US capability to fund European defence through NATO, it could also drive European nations to increase domestic procurement and reduce dependency on US defence systems. Additionally, emerging security threats, including cyber warfare, artificial intelligence (AI)-driven military technology, and the growing presence of authoritarian regimes, have reinforced the need for increased defence investments. Europe’s reliance on outdated Cold War-era military equipment is another critical factor, pushing leaders to modernise their arsenals. How will Europe fund its defence expansion? Ramping up defence spending is a monumental task, especially given high sovereign debt levels across Europe. Yet, leaders are exploring creative solutions to secure the necessary funding. One approach is to reallocate existing European Union (EU) budgets, with discussions centring on repurposing unspent Cohesion Funds and Recovery and Resilience Facility (RRF) loans. However, legal restrictions within EU treaties may limit their direct application to military expenditures. Another potential route is the issuance of European Defence Bonds, mirroring the successful NextGenerationEU pandemic recovery fund. By pooling resources at the EU level, this could offer a coordinated and cost-effective funding mechanism. At the same time, private investment and public-private partnerships are gaining traction. Defence contractors and institutional investors are increasingly seen as strategic partners in financing large-scale projects, particularly in weapons systems, cyber defence, and artificial intelligence. Governments may leverage these collaborations to accelerate procurement and technological advancements. Despite these options, one thing is clear—Europe must find a sustainable funding model to support its defence ambitions without derailing economic stability. Whether through EU-level financing, national budget reallocations, or private-sector involvement, securing long-term defence investment will be paramount in ensuring Europe’s security and strategic autonomy. Impact on defence stocks: can the strong run continue? European defence stocks have had a strong run since 2022, driven by surging order books, government contracts, and the realisation that military spending is no longer optional. Over the past year, Europe defence stocks rose 40.8%, outpacing broader European equities (+11.4%)4 . Defence stocks trade at a historical P/E5 ratio of ~14x, slightly above the long-term average, though still below peak multiples6 There are three key trends fuelling defence stock momentum: Backlogs at record highs: European defence contractors are sitting on unprecedented order books, with consensus forecasting 2024-29 CAGRs7 of ~11% for sales and ~16% for both adjusted EBIT8 and adjusted EPS9. These growth rates compare to just 8%, 11% and 12%, respectively, for the 2019-24 period10. Government commitments: with long-term contracts locked in and additional spending likely, demand visibility remains strong. EU’s push for strategic autonomy: The European Commission has proposed a European Defence Industrial Strategy (EDIS), aimed at spending at least 50% of procurement budgets within the EU by 2030 and 60% by 203511. Conclusion: a new era for European defence The European defence sector is entering a new era of investment and strategic autonomy. With rising geopolitical risks and uncertainty over US support, European nations are taking proactive steps to build a more robust and self-sufficient military ecosystem. While funding challenges persist, the momentum behind higher budgets, technological investments, and NATO commitments makes this shift not just necessary, but inevitable. With the EU backing structural shifts in procurement, defence stocks remain well-positioned, particularly those with exposure to land (for example, ammunition, vehicles) and air (for example, air defence, missiles, drones) domains. 1NATO = The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (an intergovernmental transnational military alliance of 32 member states). 2GDP = gross domestic product. 3NATO 2023 Vilnius Summit Declaration. 4Bloomberg, Europe defence stocks are represented by the MSCI Europe Aerospace & Defence Index and European Equities represented by MSCI Europe Index. 5P/E = price-to-earnings. 6Bloomberg as of 31 January 2025. 7CAGR = compound annual growth rate. 8EBIT = earnings before interest and taxes. 9EPS = earnings per share. 10Company data, Visible Alpha Consensus, WisdomTree as of 31 January 2025. 11European Commission: Joint communication to the European Parliament, the Council as of August 2024. This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
CBOE:EUAD
by aneekaguptaWTE
NOC vs LMT: A Valuation War Between Top Defence Manufacturers!ABOUT COMPANIES Northrop Grumman NYSE:NOC excels in advanced aircraft systems, divided into four main areas: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems, and Space Systems. Aeronautics Systems designs and manufactures cutting-edge aircraft for the U.S. military and global clients. Defense Systems integrates battle management and weaponry, while Mission Systems delivers innovative solutions for defense and intelligence. Space Systems focuses on solutions for national security and commercial purposes. Established in 1939 by John K. Northrop and others, the company is headquartered in Falls Church, VA. Lockheed Martin NYSE:LMT stands as a top global security and aerospace company, dedicated to the research, design, and production of advanced technology systems. It operates in four primary segments: Aeronautics, Missiles and Fire Control (MFC), Rotary and Mission Systems (RMS), and Space. The Aeronautics segment focuses on military aircraft, including combat and drones. MFC specializes in air and missile defense and precision strike systems. RMS develops military and commercial helicopters and cyber solutions, while the Space segment creates satellites and defense systems. Founded in 1912, the company is located in Bethesda, MD. MARKET CAPITALIZATION ● Northrop Grumman (NYSE: NOC) - $75.96 Billion ● Lockheed Martin (NYSE: LMT) - $135.53 Billion TECHNICAL ASPECTS ● Northrop Grumman ➖ The monthly chart shows that the stock price is currently on a distinct upward path. ➖ Previously, it faced resistance around the $360 level, caused a notable pullback. ➖ Subsequently, the price formed a Double Bottom pattern and broke out successfully. ➖ This breakout drove the price to an all-time high near the $556 level but the price started declining from there. ➖ Nevertheless, the stock price found strong support around the $420 level, allowed it to bounce back. ➖ Currently, the stock is approaching its previous all-time high, and if it can overcome that resistance, we can anticipate further price increases in the coming days. ● Lockheed Martin ➖ This stock is on a strong upward trajectory, consistently achieving higher highs and higher lows. ➖ Following a significant breakout around the $500 mark, the stock price surged and is now trading at $568.5, just shy of its all-time peak of $578.7. ➖ From a technical perspective, the price is hovering just below the upper boundary of a parallel channel, which may act as a resistance point. ➖ However, if the price can break through this range and maintain that momentum, we could see even greater upward movement ahead. Relative Strength ● The chart shows that the NYSE Composite TVC:NYA has provided a solid return on investment of about 18% in the last year. In comparison, Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin have done even better, with returns of around 20% and 27%, respectively. REVENUE BREAKDOWN ● Northrop Grumman The company derives its income from four main segments. ➖ The largest share comes from the space systems segment, contributing around 33%, which equates to $14.34 billion out of a total revenue of $43 billion. ➖ Next, the aeronautics systems segment adds nearly 27%, bringing in $11.61 billion of the overall revenue. ➖ The mission systems segment follows closely, accounting for about 26%, or $11.12 billion of the total. ➖ Finally, the defense systems segment generates nearly 14%, totaling $5.99 billion of the overall revenue. ● Lockheed Martin Similar to Northrop Grumman, this company also operates through four segments to drive its revenue. ➖ The aeronautics segment leads the way, contributing around 38.4%, which amounts to nearly $28.77 billion of the total revenue of $74.85 billion. ➖ The rotary and mission systems segment accounts for 26.4% of revenue, equating to $19.76 billion. ➖ Next, the space segment contributes 17.8%, which is $13.33 billion. ➖ Finally, the missile and fire control segment makes up 17.4%, totaling $12.99 billion of the overall revenue. REVENUE & PROFIT ANALYSIS ● Northrop Grumman Revenue ➖ For the FY23 the revenue has jumped by 7.3% to $39.3 B from $36.6 B in FY22. ➖ In the recent June quarter there is no significant surge in revenue as the recent quarterly revenue stands at $10.2 B compared to $10.1 B in the march 2024. But from the last year June quarter the revenue has grown by almost 6% from $9.6 B. Profit ➖ The operating profit has experienced a decline, with FY23 reporting only $2.9 billion, a drop from $6.3 billion in FY22. ➖ In the latest June quarter, the operating profit held steady at $1.3 billion, unchanged from the March quarter. Basic EPS (LTM) ➖ The basic EPS saw a slight rise in June, climbing to $15.26 (LTM) from $14.33 (LTM) in March 2024. However, compared to the same quarter last year, there has been a significant drop from $30.23 (LTM) Analyzing these numbers shows that although revenue has risen, the company is having difficulty producing profits, which may impact the share price in the near term. ● Lockheed Martin Revenue ➖ In FY23, the company experienced a slight revenue increase of 2.4%, rising to $67.6 billion from $66 billion in FY22. ➖ During the recent June quarter, revenue reached $18.1 billion, up from $17.2 billion in the March quarter. Compared to the same quarter last year, this represents a significant growth of approximately 8.6%, up from $16.7 billion. Profit ➖ The operating income has experienced a year-over-year increase. For FY23, it reached $9.0 billion, marking a 23% rise from $7.3 billion in FY22. ➖ However, there hasn't been a notable change in operating profit on a quarter-over-quarter basis. In June, the operating profit stood at $2.2 billion, slightly up from $2.1 billion in March. This figure is consistent with the operating profit reported in the same quarter last year. Basic EPS (LTM) ➖ The basic EPS stood at $27.58 (LTM) in June 2024 ➖ Over the past year, there has been no notable growth in EPS (LTM) Lockheed Martin demonstrates a more robust financial standing compared to Northman Grumman. VALUATION ● P/E Ratio ➖ P/E vs. Median P/E (1) Northrop Grumman's current price-to-earnings ratio over the past twelve months stands at 33.2x, which appears elevated when compared to its four-year median of 15.2x. (2) Lockheed Martin's recent twelve-month p/e ratio is 20.1x, also showing a rise relative to its four-year median of 16.2x. ➖ P/E vs. Industry P/E (1) NOC shows a fair valuation with a Price-To-Earnings Ratio of 33.2x, which is just below the US Aerospace & Defense Industry average of 33.3x. (2) On the other hand, LMT, with a P/E of 20.1x, seems to be undervalued relative to the industry average of 33.3x. ● P/B Ratio ➖ NOC's current P/B ratio of 5.3x appears inflated when stacked against the US Aerospace & Defense Industry average of 3.2x. ➖ In the case of LMT, it stands out as significantly overvalued, boasting a P/B ratio of 21.9x, which is far above the industry average of 3.2x. FREE CASH FLOW ANALYSIS ● Northrop Grumman ➖ In FY23, cash flow from operations saw a remarkable increase, climbing to $3.9 billion, a notable rise from $2.9 billion in FY22. ➖ In the most recent quarter, this figure reached $4.4 billion, up from $3.9 billion in March. ● Lockheed Martin ➖ There was little change in operating cash flow, with FY23 reporting $7.9 billion, which is nearly the same as the $7.8 billion recorded in FY22. ➖ On a quarterly basis, there has been an uptick; for the June quarter, operating cash flow stood at $8.8 billion, an increase from $8.0 billion in March and $7.7 billion in the same quarter last year. DEBT ANALYSIS ● NOC currently has a debt of $16.3 billion, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 114%. While this may raise some concerns, the company boasts an interest coverage ratio of 5.2, indicating a solid ability to manage interest payments on its debt. ● In contrast, LMT carries a debt of $19.3 billion, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 311%, which suggests poor financial health. However, with an impressive interest coverage ratio of 8.9, the company is in a strong position to meet its interest obligations. TOP SHAREHOLDERS ● Northrop Grumman ➖ State Street Global has a notable 9.59% ownership in this firm, while The Vanguard Group possesses a considerable 8.22% stake. ● Lockheed Martin ➖ In addition to the 11.2% held by Lockheed Martin's Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP), State Street Global and The Vanguard Group own 15.1% and 8.99% respectively. ➖ BlackRock also maintains a significant 7.13% interest in this company. CONCLUSION After reviewing all the financial metrics, it becomes evident that each company possesses distinct strengths and weaknesses. It's difficult to determine which one is the superior investment choice at this moment. A look at the monthly chart indicates that both companies are currently at a high point, but they could be good candidates for accumulation during any significant downturns. In 2023, the US spent $916 billion on defense, which was more than any other country. This was an increase of $55 billion from 2022. and this figure could increase given the current global landscape. Therefore, companies like Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin are expected to perform well in the foreseeable future.
NYSE:NOCLong
by NaranjCapital
War/Defence Stocks: Macro Fib SchematicsThis handcrafted idea using Advanced Fibonacci Tools beholds 6 of the largest War Mongering "Defence" contractors. ( Raytheon, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Northrop Grumman, General Dynamics, L3 Harris Tech ) These Fibonacci Schematics show all price manipulation of Support and Resistance. I've started the timeline at 1999 for many reasons. One being the already conceived and "soon to be" conflicts of the Middle East with the "war of terror." (Give me a break) 2001 kickstarted another HUGE flow of stimulus into these defence contractors to fund the West's newest war to keep people "proud to be an American". Solely by continuing the collective punishment of millions of people in the Middle East region. This had already been going on for about 2 decades at least before 9/11. The American Government killed hundreds of thousands to millions of Iraqis and Afghanistan people through this collective punishment. They needed a way to continue their genocidal intent and ethnic cleansing with a false flag terror attack to get the American People back on their side. 9/11 brought out the worst in our country and the "PatRioTiC" US citizens green lit their leaders to dish out more collective punishment even though their leaders had been lying though their teeth for countless years.... I need give only one example with "weapons of mass destruction" Obviously this matters because these Defence Contractors have blood all over their hands that they are basically swimming in it. Anyways, this is just a Macro Analysis. These lines represent death and destruction so investing in them is a moral dilemma which I obviously advice against.
NYSE:NOC
by MichaelBsul
Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) October 2023 to April 2024 Neutral to Long: The company's fundamentals and dividend history are strong, suggesting a potential long position. However, the recent underperformance (negative YTD return) and the volatility might be a concern, which introduces some caution, hence the neutral stance. Fundamentals: Market Cap: $110.91 billion Operating Margin (TTM): 13.43% EPS (Earnings Per Share): $27.3 PE Ratio: 16.13 Revenue (TTM): $67.39 billion Quarterly Revenue Growth YoY: 8.1% Profit Margin: 10.48% Return on Equity (TTM): 68.31% Recent Earnings: Q3 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.67 (actual EPS not yet reported). Q2 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.45, and the actual EPS was $6.63, resulting in a positive surprise of 2.79%. Q1 2023: Estimated EPS was $6.06, and the actual EPS was $6.61, resulting in a positive surprise of 9.08%. Q4 2022: Estimated EPS was $7.39, and the actual EPS was $7.4, resulting in a slight positive surprise of 0.14%. Technical Indicators: 5-Year Return: 9.02% 10-Year Return: 16.31% 1-Year Return: 13.94% YTD Return: -7.52% Dividend Yield: 2.72% Volatility (1Y): 21.49% Sharpe Ratio: 0.7561 Dividends & Splits: Last Dividend Date: December 29, 2023 Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 2.86% Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $12.6 Last Split: 2:1 on January 4, 1999 Analysis: Lockheed Martin has shown consistent growth in its revenue, with a YoY quarterly revenue growth of 8.1%. The company's earnings have been positive, with recent quarters showing a positive surprise in EPS compared to estimates. The company's fundamentals, such as the operating margin and profit margin, are robust. The PE ratio is at a moderate level, indicating that the stock might be reasonably priced. The company has a strong dividend history, which is a positive sign for income-focused investors. However, the YTD return is negative, indicating some recent underperformance. The volatility is also relatively high, which might be a concern for risk-averse investors. In conclusion, Lockheed Martin appears to be a fundamentally strong company with consistent growth and a good dividend history. However, potential investors should be cautious about the recent underperformance and consider the company's volatility before making an investment decision. Please note that this analysis is based on historical data and does not guarantee future performance. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NYSE:LMTLong
by Kopachelli
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) October 2023 to April 2024 Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) Fundamentals: Market Cap: $73.996 billion EPS (Earnings Per Share): $30.13 P/E Ratio: 16.232 Book Value: $102.293 Operating Margin (TTM): 11.49% Profit Margin: 12.27% Return on Assets (TTM): 8.45% Return on Equity (TTM): 31.91% Wall Street Target Price: $504.33 Revenue (TTM): $37.881 billion Gross Profit (TTM): $7.474 billion Recent Earnings: Q2 2023: Actual EPS of $5.34 vs. Estimated EPS of $5.33 (Surprise: +0.1876%) Q1 2023: Actual EPS of $5.5 vs. Estimated EPS of $5.09 (Surprise: +8.055%) Q4 2022: Actual EPS of $7.5 vs. Estimated EPS of $6.57 (Surprise: +14.1553%) Technical Indicators: 52 Week High: $547.6509 52 Week Low: $414.56 50-Day Moving Average: $436.8846 200-Day Moving Average: $453.325 Beta: 0.437 (indicating the stock is less volatile than the market) Dividends: Forward Annual Dividend Rate: $7.48 Forward Annual Dividend Yield: 1.53% Payout Ratio: 29.72% Performance Metrics: YTD Return: -9.27% 1-Year Return: 4.55% 3-Year Return: 17.6% 5-Year Return: 11.52% 10-Year Return: 19.05% Analysis: Northrop Grumman has demonstrated a solid financial performance with a healthy profit margin and return on equity. The company's earnings have been consistently beating estimates, indicating strong operational efficiency. The stock's P/E ratio is relatively moderate, suggesting it might be fairly valued. The company also offers a decent dividend yield, making it attractive for income-seeking investors. However, the stock has underperformed YTD, which might be a concern for short-term investors. Given its industry positioning and financial metrics, it seems to be a stable investment for those looking at the defense sector.
NYSE:NOCLong
by Kopachelli
2
Is the DFEN dip buyable?I think that the dip is very buyable. Fundamentally, Russia has made the world more dangerous. Shipments of weapons to Ukraine have depleted US and European stockpiles. NATO is in a growth mode as proposed by former president Trump some years ago. While many would like less defense spending and shift it into social spending or infrastructure or clean technology government funding. the pragmatics are that national security is generally higher on the priority list. DFEN just dropped below the high volume area of the volume profile on the 15 minute chart in a VWAP breakdown. The relative strength lines did a bottom bounce on the indicator. I will exploit this as a long buying opportunity looking to a modest 5% upside target at minimal risk.
AMEX:DFENLong
by AwesomeAvani