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Deviation

Wait for a deviation play #BTCHi everyone! I did the high time frame analysis on BTC (same as ETH). I think we have not seen the bottom yet. Why? It is widely accepted that previous ATH was the range high...but I'm not convinced. Look at the chart: 1) I have highlighted in red the backtest that triggered the selloff 2) I have highlighted in green the backtest that triggered the upmove Important level and BTC not even touched...a coincidence? Located just below the current range, with a large amount of potential liquidity. What do you think if we break below the current range? Everybody will open a short to 10k ("same as the previous 6k level"). Perfect setup for a bear market rally. Of course, it can go straight to 33-38k but I tend to be cautios in these type of market and look for max pain. Let's see!
by krisztiankabat
5
ETH/USDT : Two ways to take Short on Ethereum BINANCE:ETHUSDT Hello everyone 😃 Before we start to discuss, I'll be so glad if you share your opinion on this post's comment section and hit the like button if you enjoyed it! $ETH has deviated above $1919 and now there's a chance for bears to locate their Short with trigger scenarios : - Pullback scenario: If $ETH went above $1919 for another deviation, Then you can locate your Short after it gets the closings below $1919, Ideally, it's better to wait for secondary confirmation below the formed local low after the rejection below $1919. - Rejection scenario: If $ETH went below $1818 straight from here, Then you can locate your Short after it gets the closings below $1800. For both scenarios, we'll use the current higher high as an invalidation point and both Shorts have the same final target! Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support us with your likes and comments! Attention: this isn't financial advice we are just trying to help people with their vision. Have a good day! @Helical_Trades
Short
by Helical_Trades
6
Deviation? what deviation?!I saw a lot of short setups today and their reason was that $BTC deviated from the range high. Hmm, no it hasn't! and in fact, the market structure in the high time frame hasn't shifted yet. BUT, it is true that this is the last place for Bitcoin to defend before entering the bear territory! Let me break it down for you: This is what we are dealing with above the range high. I like how the mid-range is aligned with the weekly open! that's the first short I would take if we sweep that level and reject immediately. The deviation is valid only if we break and close below the dotted line! after that, you are welcome to short $BTC to the ground. the logical target for this scenario is the range low. But again, for now we have no confirmation of a trend reversal. stay safe and try not to trade on Monday! make sure to hit the boost button so more people find this post xoxo
by CryptoSep
BITCOIN BULL TRAP?????This is what I see happening for BTC at the moment. Retrace back to 42-38k, accumulate and then ATH. Either way, I just need it as an indicator to get into ALTS. Be careful out there. Consider a Donation: BTC: 0x03794f2ae7a97f2e308cb0d46fde8d1728e4b694 (BEP20) 159F3K5sZYnAQC4qt929jkkXKfSgNmukbq (BTC) ETH: 0x03794f2ae7a97f2e308cb0d46fde8d1728e4b694 (BEP20) 0x03794f2ae7a97f2e308cb0d46fde8d1728e4b694 (ERC20) LTC: 0x03794f2ae7a97f2e308cb0d46fde8d1728e4b694 (BEP20) LdH9QfYsPYcjm5hAXfDQrS9Pmmr9QHu8Py (LTC) USDT: 0x03794f2ae7a97f2e308cb0d46fde8d1728e4b694 (BEP20) 0x03794f2ae7a97f2e308cb0d46fde8d1728e4b694 (ERC20) TH6nuZUjRakTV7bA25Uk8AVZe5pLSSxMix (TRC20) bnb136ns6lfw4zs5hg4n85vdthaad7hq5m4gtkgf23 (BEP2) -> MEMO: 106029441 I honestly appreciate all donations. Im really down bad. My first year and lost 90% of my capital. starting balance was $1000. learnt about leverage a month ago and got greedy with it. was going to use litecoin to make it all back but price didnt meet my entry now im stranded. The learning process has been gruesome but I've learnt the hard way. just need to figure out how to tell my mom i lost all her money. Panicking, dont normally do stuff like this but i dont know anyone so i resort to this. THANK YOU IN ADVANCE. Worth a shot.😥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by RektMyMom
BTC/USD Potential inverse Head and ShouldersWe could be seeing an inverse head and shoulders forming on BTC/USD Low Time Frames. It looks as though the MA50 is beginning to curl upwards headed toward the MA100. Crossing that then headed for the LTF golden cross as well would give more indication that we are headed for more bullish continuation. Firstly however, we need to keep a close eye on ~$55,900... deviation below that is fine but a clear 1D close below and we should take our bull goggles off until the lockdown rumors settle down or play out. Until then, an iH&S target would put us at ~$65,900
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Hrempe
2
BA may deviate form trend as it has done in the pastBA looking to leave March lows uptrend temporarily much like it has in the past (as you can see in chart provided). Any dips should put buyers in a good position to rocket to $300+. I have been watching BA since $140. Potential supports are at the $180/200 level. 210 (closing price), 205, 200, 190, 180 are other support levels. Cup and handle as well. Vaccines should take care of delta variants. None of this is financial advice. Do not take any of this as financial advice. This is for entertainment and personal case study purposes only. This is not financial advice.
NYSE:BALong
by Urmomma
5
BTC analysis: Why 20k could be the bottom.NFA NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. This is just my personal point of view. Hello everybody, in this analysis I've chosen to use the basics: Stoch RSI, MACD, RSI... Along with other tools like: Log Fib, Bottom Ind, Etc. First of all, I'd like to explain what kind of info can be retrieved from this chart. This chart notices about one clear as crystal thing: BTC price tends to go upwards with time, and that price increase tend to desaccelerate with time, also known as diminished returns . Next thing that should be explained is when BTC resumes an uptrend and when it does the opposite. That would be the identification of "cycles". According to popular media, BTC usually increases its price once it's getting closer to its next halvening date and to summarize the theory, BTC has four year cycles as a cyclical asset. My view is that BTC is effectively a cyclical asset where those c ycles are getting extended / longer and that sooner or later, probably by 2024, that extension of cycles won't fit with halvening dates. So what is going on? It' easy to spot that BTC went superbullish from its inception in 2009 to 2011, then crash, then first halvening, then a first "middle cycle peak" by 2013 and after a massive crash a new upward trend pushed the price to a new ATH by early 2014 as a "final cycle peak". Then same history repeated, price went downwards til next halvening which happened in 2016 and a massive bullrun by 2017 which was stopped by some big correction in the summer of that year. Then you got bear period for a year, a great bullrun by early 2019 summer and then our "current cycle" started. To avoid overextending this, what is my point ? My point is that "mid cycles" doesnt exit. Every main cycle has a bullrun, a bear season, and a resume for another final bullrun; and those trends are getting shorter as you can see in the chart checking the measured time bars. What does this mean for the average guy? Well, it's going to be harder to spot if you are in a bullish or bearish trend, but the good news is that those trend are gonna last a little less than previous ones. Whom benefits this? That's easy. Investors and good traders. Average trader is the only one losing here as he wouldnt know what is going on. In this main chart, you can see a log BTC/USD view using a tool which has recognized extremely well the bands which BTC has been using consistently as supports and resistances for its entire history. The black lines are the edges between what we should consider the top and bottom. Any candle going higher than the upper black line would be an extraordinary event pushed by extremely welcomed good news. On the other hand, any candle going lower than the lower black line would be an extraordinary event pushed by extremely spurned bad news. To date, upper black line has never been broken. On the other hand, lower black line has been pierced one time before when the uncertainty took the stock market back in March 2020 and after a massive black swan event and consequently crash, the fear spreaded to crypto market. To summarize this, only another black swan event should be able to drop the price below the black line, and in fact that event would happen, there are extra support zones which should stop the crash as it did back in March 2020. As you can see in this zoomed chart, even if that black swan event would happen this week, price should keep above 12k. And if everything goes well, price should s top crashing around 20k . s3.amazonaws.com Weekly Stoch RSI showing up longest downtrend that it has ever experienced. It's worthy of attention to realize about that every time BTC has touched these levels, Stoch RSI has bounced off providing at least a relief rally. s3.amazonaws.com Weekly MACD showing up biggest crash ever for MACD levels, hitting lowest point ever for BTC. This metric shows up a possible reversal for the short-term as relief-rally and a feasible macro-trend change for mid-term as most optimistic scenario. s3.amazonaws.com Weekly RSI showing up a multiyear weekly rsi support. Any support or resistance drawed line requires at least three pivot points, so there are big chances about RSI could bounce off from that point. s3.amazonaws.com Daily RSI showing up a multimonthly daily rsi resistance. As you can see, this chart summarizes pretty well how every pump attempt from previous wave downwards has concluded as a weaker pump than previous one as that is being translated in that RSI trendline which so far has been unbreakeable. Irretrievably, this trendline will get pierced sooner or later as even if the same trading loop keeps happening, the RSI would be pushed every time closer to the bounce-off point edge. s3.amazonaws.com
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by diversionlulu
5
DFT H4 - DIA derisked for medium term long positionDIA is finally derisked for medium term. Will wait a last pull back before entering for cross validation but you can start to buy the next dips. -Short term is still ranging. -Medium term is building up its bullish momentum. -Relative volume is increasing. h4 mapping of the price, we map, forecast not predict in Multi UT analysis ;) gl ////// FFT - STRAT ////// Some rules to understand the form of the strategy: (Can answer to your question about the content of DFT strategy :) ) - shade of red trends = primary (the black one are secondary trends) - Redish trends is primary as medium investors are arbitring short/long term investors decisions. Div: Trend vs demand/supply -Ascending trends with red cloud is most likely tested twice before break up. -Descending trends with green cloud is most likely tested twice before break up. Conv: Trend vs demand/supply -Ascending trends with green cloud doesn't need retest to break up. -Descending trends with red cloud doesn't need retest to break down. -MA follows Geometrical expension 2^n (32 128 512) to match snowball market effect and have a linear scale btw sampling and TF. red cloud = supply area (Ma max negative deviation) + Cloud cluster = sell wall (cluster of MTF deviation) green cloud = demand area (MA max postive deviation) + cloud cluster = buy wall (cluster of MTF deviation) node = lowest uncertainty point & supply=demand (no deviation)
Long
by Mr_Gesier
1
SPX's Deviation from 200W MA since inception's day 1957-weeklyHey guys what's up This is a weekly study VS. daily i did last time. I am including all the data here so you can copy, share or edit it on Microsoft apps. feel free to reuse or redistribute all my work to our trading view community or out side it. March's low is most likely a fresh new cycle to say the least " believe it or not" with out bias you would come to this conclusion one way or another and you should accept if before time proof that for you. (even if we get big corrections this is how financial markets behave : -) ) Moreover i probably did allot of mistakes here and there, missed allot of important details ... but i did everything with the best to my ability : -) wish you all the best. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Summery 11 times : Green count . Above 50 54% of pullbacks single digits 46 % double digits correction very close margin to favor one over the other. All deviations above 50 : ----------------------------- Deviation Pullbacks/correction 54.84 13.08 57.25 7.17 61.99 22.39 59.53 13 61.78 7.35 60.42 34.52 54.78 8.77 55 9.83 crash came for less 57 7 58 10.59 56.33 4.62 ****************************************************** Summery 11 times : Blue count. 40-40.99 46 % single digits pullbacks 54 % double digits corrections All Deviation 40-49.99 : ------------------------------------ 47.29 49.94 2000 crash 46.11 10.05 48.98 10.29 43.78 5.96 41.79 10.03 46.15 9.12 46.07 5.32 47.50 21.46 crash of 1957 43 3.52 43 6.82 43 5.9 ******************************************************** Summery 21 times : Orange count 30-30.99 76 % single digits pullbacks & 24 double digits corrections - pullback. That’s a huge jump from the 40s. All deviation 30-30.99 : ------------------------------------------- 30.38 10.55 32.61 11.84 33.61 5.16 33.27 9.84 34.60 4.35 34.63 6.67 34.73 6.03 30.65 4.82 31.37 4.81 31.37 4.81 32.83 7.52 37.74 10.90 39.74 5.33 33.19 4.11 34.17 5.58 30.23 8.48 37.05 7.53 33.05 14.71 37.21 26.44 33.38 7.79 30.20 6.10 ************************************************************* Summery 47 times : Dark Green count 20.20.99 71 % single digits Pullbacks 29 % double digits corrections All deviation 20-20.99 27 8.9 20.46 8.27 29.12 35.52 covid crash 21 5.46 22.86 6.80 22.58 7.63 27.76 20.21 24.38 3.56 27.73 6.82 25 Nothing happened 20 2.95 20 2.99 21.16 14.37 within a pullback 29.64 15.09 27.54 8.90 25.59 10.94 24.34 57.72 2007 crash 25.16 11.86 23.05 6.84 21.72 8.08 20.55 9.73 22.43 5.36 21.76 4.80 20.97 3.43 21.08 6.67 27.70 6.83 25.41 6.60 25.29 5.59 25.16 20.33 28.12 11.30 23.19 9.24 27.62 4.03 23.50 8.98 25 49.95 crash of 1973 20.25 37.36 crash of 1969 23.90 23.70 crash of 1966 24.20 4.39 24.97 10.94 N.h 24.35 3.33 N.h 24.17 4.78 25 4.19 23.51 4.47 27.54 29.27 crassh of 1962 25.19 3.90 27.83 14.06 25 3.95 24 4.39 *********************************************************** Summery 25 times : Purple count 10-19.99 72 % signal digits Pullbacks 28 % double digits. All deviations 10-10.99 19 1.74 18 1.94 16.5 5 14.64 6.08 15.93 4 17.04 21.58 17.39 6.22 15.65 7.30 14.88 4.45 14 7.27 19.93 21 12.85 11.68 14.147 15.12 10 8.10 14.89 20.45 17 5.45 12.33 15.39 16.11 7.60 11.94 11.36 14.29 8.36 13.64 4.76 13.62 8.43 18.89 7.58 15.31 5.19 19 4.6 ********************************************************************* Deviation below 10 % of spx: Very shocking results Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Long Long Long Long Long Long Long Long The safest area to go long with every thing else is being absolute !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Deviation pullback 9.60 4.60 ********************************************************************** All acceptable pullbacks happened above 10 % of SPX's 200W MA !!! very safe zone to be long is when deviation is 9.99 and under . Most important discovery of this study of this indicator with every thing else being absolute !!! ********************************************************************************** Deviation Below 200W MA: 49-37 Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy Buy and Hold Hold Hold Hold Hold All Deviation below 200W MA ----------------------------------- 16.90 7.04 49.44 37.98 10.64 8.03 5.87 4.12 6.15 38.94 5.55 26.75 10.05 13.92 3.35 ************************************************ Summery of all summaries : ( Keep this handy close by for your swings : -) --------------------------------------------- Deviation Singal.D Double.D 50 + 54 46 40-49.99 46 54 30-30.99 76 24 20-29.99 71 29 10-19.99 72 25 Below 10 4.6 Zero ------------------------------------------------ Hope this would be like a Guide Book for this weekly indicator. Keep the summaries close by for your trading . wish you all the best.
SP:SPX
by samitrading