EURUSD Buy Trade Idea: Reversal Rocket Ready to Launch!Hey Fellow Traders! 👋
The EURUSD (EU) is setting up for a massive reversal that’s got me hyped! 🚀 After nailing the lows of that descending channel like a pro, price has retraced to our expected zone and is now bouncing hard. It’s time to gear up for a potential buy trade targeting the Buyside Liquidity! Let’s break down this fire setup and get ready to ride the wave! 🌊
📈 The Setup: Reversal in the Making!
EU hit the descending channel lows as predicted, and now it’s showing some serious bullish vibes with a strong bounce off a key weekly trendline support. This isn’t just a random move—price is reacting to a weekly demand zone and a trendline that’s holding like a fortress. 🏰 I’m expecting a reversal to kick in, aiming for that juicy Buyside Liquidity up top. But hold up—don’t just dive in blindly! Let’s talk strategy. 😎
🎯 Trade Details: How to Play It Smart
Entry Zone: Look for a calculated entry in this bounce area. Key setups to watch for:
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or IFVG (Imbalance Fair Value Gap) for precision entries.
Order Blocks (OB) for high-probability setups.
Trendlines/Support Zones: Use these for confluence, as EU is respecting that weekly trendline support.
Target: We’re gunning for the Buyside Liquidity—a high-probability target where price loves to gravitate.
Stop Loss: Place your stops below the recent lows or your chosen setup (FVG/OB) to keep risk tight.
👀 Keep an Eye on DXY for Confluence
The Dollar Index (DXY) is a key player here. A weakening DXY could supercharge this EU reversal, so monitor it closely for extra confirmation. If DXY starts to roll over, it’s like pouring rocket fuel on this trade! 🚀
🧠 Why This Reversal Makes Sense
Weekly Trendline Support: Price kissed this level and is bouncing like it means business.
Weekly Demand Zone: This area has historical strength, making it a prime reversal spot.
Channel Lows Conquered: EU smashed through the descending channel lows and is now retracing for the next leg up.
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder
Don’t YOLO this one! Use proper risk management—calculate your position size, set tight stops, and only enter when your setup aligns. Whether you’re using FVGs, OBs, trendlines, or classic support/resistance, make sure your entry is calculated to avoid getting caught in a fakeout. 💪
💬 Let’s Talk Trades!
What’s your take on this EU reversal? Are you jumping in with an FVG, OB, or something else? Drop your thoughts, setups, or questions in the comments below! 👇 If this idea gets you pumped, smash that LIKE button ❤️, follow for more banger trade ideas, and share your charts with the community! Let’s keep the vibes high and the profits higher! 💰
#EURUSD #ForexTrading #BuyTrade #Reversal #TradingView
Dollar
Stronger U.S. Data Pressures Gold PricesGold remained below $3,340 per ounce on Friday and was on track for its first weekly decline in three weeks. The metal faced pressure after stronger U.S. data, including a rebound in retail sales and a sharp drop in jobless claims, reduced the immediate need for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Fed Governor Adriana Kugler backed keeping rates steady for now, pointing to economic resilience, while San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly maintained her outlook for two cuts in 2025.
Resistance is at $3,370, while support holds at $3,320.
NordKern - XAUUSD InsightNordKern | Simplified Insight OANDA:XAUUSD Short Opportunity Ahead
Gold saw a sharp surge in price today, primarily driven by political headlines that temporarily shook market sentiment. To be specific:
📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 16:56 CET
CBS Reports: Trump asked Republican lawmakers whether he should fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell. This headline alone triggered an intraday spike of +$52/oz in gold as markets priced in increased macro and institutional risk.
As previously stated "Context Matters."
While the President cannot remove the Fed Chair without cause, even the suggestion introduces uncertainty and undermines confidence in the Fed’s independence especially ahead of a high-stakes election cycle.
However, further developments quickly followed: 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 17:58 CET
Trump: “Firing Powell is highly unlikely.” 📅 Jul 16, 2025 – 18:06 CET
Trump: “Reports on me firing Powell are not true.” With this clarification, the initial rally appears overstretched and sentiment-driven, leaving room for a corrective pullback as the market digests the full picture.
Trade Setup - Short Bias
Parameters:
Entry: 3356.40
Stop Loss: 3690.30
Take Profit: 3322.00
Key Notes:
- The spike was headline-driven and not supported by policy shift or macro data.
- Trump’s denial removes much of the political risk premium that had been briefly priced in.
- Watch for momentum fading near resistance and confirmation via intraday structure.
This remains a tactically driven setup. Manage risk appropriately and stay alert for any renewed political developments.
Bear-Trap armed: Gold ticks 4 / 5 boxes - waiting for the spark1️⃣ Why the 2020 déjà-vu is EVEN louder
2025 (now) 2020 (pre-rally)
TradingView ideas still bearish 💬
> 70 % 60 % bearish
Managed-money net-longs ≈ 115 k
-35 % from Apr. –25 % from peak
+ $741 m PM-ETF inflow Record IN-flows
G/S ratio 87 (< 90) Fell to 95
S&P keeps making highs Ditto
2️⃣ What’s still different
Real 10-y TIPS yield +0.7 % vs -1 % in 2020 → smaller monetary tail-wind.
Gold is already at an infl-adj. record – expect a short & sharp squeeze, not a fresh multi-year super-cycle (yet).
3️⃣ Checklist – updated
Signal Status 18 Jul Comment
———————————————————
Gold DAILY close ≥ $3 200–3 250 YES – $3 354 ✔
G/S ratio < 90 YES – 87 ✔
CFTC net-longs < 150 k YES – ~115 k ✔
ETF flows turn positive. YES – $741 m ✔
Equity stress (VIX > 25 or SPX −5 %) NOT YET – VIX 16.5 ✖
4 / 5 boxes = 99 % primed. One spark missing.
4️⃣ What could light the fuse
Date Potential trigger Why it matters
22 Jul Mega-tech Q2 earnings (NVDA/AMD) Any guidance miss → SPX wobble
30 Jul FOMC Fed holds but sounds dovish USD dump + yield spike risk
1 Aug Trump s “reciprocal” duties Imported-inflation scare → VIX pop
Early Aug. DXY crashes < 96 in < 5 days. Disorderly USD slide = funding stress
Hit ≥ 2 of: DXY < 96, VIX > 25, SPX -5 % or HY-spread +75 bp → final ✔.
Bottom line
The bear-trap thesis aged well: sentiment, positioning, ETFs, and G/S ratio have already clicked bullish.
Only equity-market stress is missing. A fast USD slide or a tariff shock right after a neutral Fed is the most likely detonator.
Stay nimble: Collect premium inside $3 250-3 400 while volatility sleeps – but keep alarms on VIX 25 and DXY 96. One red headline could still launch the squeeze.
Disclaimer: Educational opinion, not investment advice. Futures & CFD trading is risky – do your own research and consult a professional.
1 minute ago
Silver Rebounds Toward $38 as Dollar EasesSilver rebounded toward $38 per ounce on Friday, recovering from a two-day decline as the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields eased. The move reflected shifting sentiment on Fed policy and trade conditions after earlier losses sparked by inflation data that reduced hopes for near-term rate cuts.
U.S. stock futures edged higher following record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, driven by strong retail sales, lower jobless claims, and optimism in AI-related tech stocks after Taiwan Semiconductor’s positive forecast. On monetary policy, Fed officials remain divided: Mary Daly expects two rate cuts this year, while Adriana Kugler urges caution due to tariff-driven inflation. President Trump reinforced trade tensions by sending letters to over 20 partners setting new tariffs between 20% and 40%.
In corporate updates, United Airlines expects stronger earnings in the second half of 2025, and Chevron signaled higher future cash flow as production in its top U.S. oil field nears a plateau.
Resistance is at 38.50, while support holds at 37.20.
Pound Pressured by Firm Dollar and UK Data ReviewThe British pound held near $1.339 on Friday, its lowest level in eight weeks, as the U.S. dollar strengthened. The dollar reached a three-week high after President Trump confirmed he would not remove Fed Chair Jerome Powell, despite continued criticism of the Fed’s careful stance on rate cuts. In the UK, markets are closely reviewing recent employment and inflation data. While the labor market shows signs of weakness, updated tax records suggest the slowdown may not be as severe as previously thought.
Resistance is at 1.3535, while support holds at 1.3380.
Sweep On levels and Confirmation of Bullish pressure! Now that we have a sweep on levels we are looking for bullish pressure to continue. They have closed the 4Hr bullish. Being that it is Friday keeping expectation low cause price can break out and push hard or it can end up being Rotational. I feel there is a move here. We just have to wait for it to line up inside of the killzone. NOFOMO Mayn!
EU's Wild Drop: A Sneaky Trap or Reversal Time?Hey Fellow Traders! 😎
What a ride yesterday, right? The EUR/USD took a massive plunge, smashing through the descending channel like a wrecking ball and sweeping up all that liquidity. 💥 But hold up—was that just a clever market manipulation to shake out the bulls? I think so! 🧠
Right now, the price is chilling in a Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG), and I’m expecting some serious action here. This could be the perfect setup for a reversal! The market makers pulled a fast one—tricking bullish traders into flipping bearish after that dramatic drop. But guess what? That’s the trap! 🕸️ Don’t fall for it.
I’m eyeing a long entry right at this level. Here’s the plan:
Entry: Right now—let’s catch this wave! 🌊
Stop Loss: Set it tight around 1.15360 to keep risk in check.
Take Profit: Aiming for those juicy highs (check the chart I shared in my last post for the exact levels). 📈
This setup is screaming opportunity, so let’s talk about it! 💬 What’s your take—are we reversing or is the market still playing games? Drop your thoughts below, smash that Like button if you’re with me, and Follow for more trade ideas! 🚀 Let’s keep the community buzzing. 🐝
#Trading #EURUSD #MarketAnalysis #ReversalSetup
Bitcoin harmonic pattern. Back to back Gartley. BTCGOLD ratio.The BTC/GOLD ratio has experienced a significant correction, currently standing at 27 gold ounces per 1 Bitcoin, down from a peak of 41, representing a decline of 34%.
Gold, priced at $3,114 in US Federal Reserve notes, is in a sustained bull market.
It is reasonable to anticipate that the digital equivalent of gold will gain traction once gold stabilizes at a higher price point.
The Gartley pattern is recognized as the most prevalent harmonic chart pattern.
Harmonic patterns are based on the idea that Fibonacci sequences can be utilized to create geometric formations, which include price breakouts and retracements.
The Gartley pattern illustrated indicates an upward movement from point X to point A, followed by a price reversal at point A. According to Fibonacci ratios, the retracement from point X to point B is expected to be 61.8%.
At point B, the price reverses again towards point C, which should reflect a retracement of either 38.2% or 88.6% from point A.
From point C, the price then reverses to point D. At point D, the pattern is considered complete, generating buy signals with an upside target that aligns with points C and A, as well as a final price target of a 161.8% increase from point A.
Often, point 0 serves as a stop-loss level for the entire trade. While these Fibonacci levels do not have to be precise, greater proximity enhances the reliability of the pattern.
Will these consecutive Gartley patterns succeed in bolstering Bitcoin's strength? We will soon discover the answer.
USDZAR Bullish ideaAs we can see this is our USDZAR quarterly shift idea were we are anticipating price to rally to the upside toward our draw on liquidity objectives. We had a weekly volume imbalance and monthly mean threshold order block show us support after we took out major liquidity points. We also showed more support on our daily FVG and a market shift taking place after a displacement. We are anticipating a rally for USDZAR and will be looking to see how price plays out.
USDZAR is an exotic pair that is part of the emerging markets and emerging markets/exotic pairs can usually lead ahead of major forex pair or lag between major forex pairs so this can also help us with our intermarket analysis of forex pairs when determining our dollar strength against other basket currencies.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY): Bearish Move From Key Level
I think that Dollar Index may drop from a key daily horizontal resistance level.
As a confirmation, I spotted an inverted cup & handle pattern on an hourly time frame
and a bearish violation of its neckline.
The market will most likely continue falling at least to 98.36
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Dollar MoonHey,
Been a while that I shared a chart here, sorry for that.
I love the place where the dollar is at the moment.
The easiest plays are from these long-term value areas, and this one is also stacked with a trendline making it a bit more obvious for everyone.
The daily trend is broken since yesterday, shifting bullish long-term. I think a daily pullback is likely, perhaps even back to daily lows to fill up demand.
But long-term, I am super bullish for the dollar.
The $ has been bullish since 2008, we all see it.
Time for the next leg up.
Let's go!
Kind regards,
@ mnieveld
DXY: potentially aiming for January 2025 highsAlthough we do not Trade the dollar specifically, it is a good barometer the feel out other assets.
It seems like DXY reached a MONTHLY LEVEL. I expect price to form a FVG within this rectangle on the daily level. Which will eventually create a GAP on one of the currencies. Will follow up when this happens.
IMO reversed and is going to reach the daily level quick. This will mean, POUND, EURO DOWN.
Dollar Index Bullish OverviewThe Dollar moving Bullish as we expect it to within the Gold Fund! As soon as we saw a '5 Bearish Wave Completion' on the DXY, straight away buyers entered the market & start pushing price back up.
My Gold Fund investors & Gold Vault Academy students know from our 'Q3 Market Breakdown Report' what we're expecting for the Dollar in the next 3 months.
Dollar holds steady uptrend despite Trump’s tariff threats.
President Trump announced a 30% tariff on imports from both the EU and Mexico, a hike from the 20% previously imposed on the EU in April. He also warned that if no agreement is reached on the Ukraine war within 50 days, countries trading with Russia could face a 100% tariff.
Meanwhile, market volatility is being amplified by speculation over Fed Chair Powell’s potential dismissal, as attacks against him intensify from Trump and his allies. Deutsche Bank warned that Powell’s removal could trigger sharp swings in both the dollar and bond markets.
DXY has extended its two-week rally after testing the recent low, approaching the 98.00 threshold. The index remains within the ascending channel, indicating the potential continuation of bullish momentum. If DXY breaches above the resistance at 98.25, the index could gain upward momentum toward 98.60. Conversely, if DXY breaks below the support at 97.60, the index may retreat to 97.00.
The Gold Retrace for Ultimate Entry!looking for price to continue with its pullback to find where exactly support is. Once we see price establish support we should get some type of signal for entry and price can continue with this bullish price action to make new highs. If we get a full 71.8% pullback that should make for a nice bull run. Just need to wait for the confirmations first before reacting cause we might get a lot of chop until then.