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Dow30

US30Identify which phase of the market you are currently in. DAILY Still in the correct phase of the bull trend. 37060, our significant support area where we believe the correction phase will start to phase out. We had an ascending wedge, which we broke and have just kept going down since then, forming bear flags on the way down. 4H The flat flag pattern is not confirmed as we only have 2 touches on either side, with price hanging in the middle we watch and stay waiting. We have placed to trade ideas, one is the super risk entry the other is the reduced entry. The risk is triggered and we just waiting for the reduced entry to be triggered. 1H Forming a pattern within a pattern (another bear flag) within the possible flat flag. So we can believe the trend we have concluded the bear movement.
PEPPERSTONE:US30Short
by Mhangwane1
Dow to Consolidate and Move Down from HereYM (DOW 30), 4 Hour, Indicators: This is what I need to see turn to get confirmation on our short position up here. The 4 hour is still locked in "embedded" mode on the slow stochastic. My bet is that this is going to come off "embedded" and in the process swing back to the middle of the Bollinger band. . . if that happens, that would take us back to 39921 . . . there is your 300 points. Notice the resistance on the 4 hour from above . . . You also have the top of the BBs on the 4 hour up there. So, it makes sense that it would be a good place to sell off from. Obviously, our stop is back at B/E but, if we wanted too . . .beyond this 4 hour level would also be a good place for a stop. More downside for YM could develop if we bust through the 39900 level if this wedge gives out.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Short
by CeresTrader
US30This big boys came to play with NFP but was equally sorted out without regret. 4H -Serious Doji - Hanging man as the closing candle * Evening Star 1H * 3 touches on either side of the channel * Bearish channel confirmation * Rection and close under 37500 - 37400 can be the next resting place - 37300 is the next significant level should it fall 15Min - Price in a squeeze, we should be expecting a breakout next (one that will be very impulsive) - 37327 area around where double/triple bottom happened - 37520 break = Shoot up (bullish momentum)
PEPPERSTONE:US30Long
by Mhangwane1
#DOW (US30) to the upside----------US30 LONG---------- I went long on US30 index just now after today's corrective move. Last Friday market started restructuring and stopped risk-off behaviour a.k.a. buying dollar, selling equities, etc. This means there is a chance to go against dollar and to buy stocks, indices in these days. Even if this won't be a reversal on the main trends I still think for a few days or weeks we can see risk-on actions from market participants. Now selling equities and buying dollar are not an option for me. This is not a financial advice, do your own research and analysis.
OANDA:US30USDLong
by Szuperpotyka
US30 ShortThe analysis aims to highlight the potential downside risks and factors that could contribute to a decline in the market during this period. Market Overvaluation: One of the primary concerns supporting the bearish stance is the perceived overvaluation of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Throughout the past few quarters, the market has witnessed an extended rally, leading to inflated asset prices. This has created a situation where the market might be due for a correction or even a more significant reversal. Economic Uncertainty: The global economic landscape may contribute to downward pressure on the Dow Jones Industrial Average during the specified range. Factors such as geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and geopolitical events could create uncertainty in the markets, prompting investors to adopt a risk-off approach and exit long positions. Inflationary Pressures: Persistently rising inflation can exert negative pressure on the stock market. A surge in inflation can lead to concerns about potential interest rate hikes by central banks, which might dampen investor sentiment and drive market participants towards safer assets. Technical Indicators: Analyzing technical indicators can further support the bearish outlook. For example, if we observe declining volume alongside declining prices, it may signal a lack of conviction from buyers and potential weakness in the market. Sector-Specific Weakness: Within the Dow Jones Industrial Average, certain sectors might exhibit weakness, leading to a drag on the overall index. Disruptions in supply chains, weakening consumer spending, or regulatory challenges can weigh on specific sectors, influencing the overall market sentiment. Profit-Taking and Rotation: Given the prolonged bull market, investors may decide to lock in profits from their existing positions, causing sell-offs and leading to a potential rotation of funds into other assets. This rotation could result in reduced demand for equities, including those within the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Conclusion: Based on the bearish analysis, a short signal for the Dow Jones Industrial Average within the specified range of 35,420 to 35,455 could be justified. However, it's crucial to remember that financial markets are inherently unpredictable, and trading decisions should be made with careful consideration of risk management strategies. Traders and investors should always conduct thorough research and be vigilant about any potential changes in market conditions.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by realtrademaster
1
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 June 12 WeekYM1! US30USD DOW 2023 June 12 Week No change to previous analysis, observing reaction to 34605-34275 area. Last Friday's up bar showed significant weakness. Possible scenario: Short if 34605-34275 is rejected again Reason: Higher low toward previous resistance, on reducing volume. The professionals may engineer a false break to suck in traders unaware of the weakness. We shall wait to short on rejection of recent high. Price Reaction Levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35750 34605-34275 32692 31657 Price Volume Analysis: Weekly: Ave vol up bar = NTC Daily: Ultra low vol up bar close off high = significant weakness Like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week. *For education purpose only.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 June 05 WeekYM1! US30USD DOW 2023 June 05 Week Welcome myself back from holiday! Some selling into higher prices, so will watch reaction to 24605-34275 area. Possible scenario: 1) Short if 34605-34275 is rejected again 2) Higher low toward previous resistance, for long on retracement. Retracement down bars need to be on lower volume for this to happen. Price Reaction Levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35750 34605-34275 32695 31657 Price Volume Analysis: Weekly: Lower vol wide spread up bar = possible weakness Daily: Higher vol wide spread up bar = possible weakness Like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week. *For education purpose only.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 15 May WeekCBOT_MINI:YM1! Last week's test and reject 33670 short yielded 270pts. Market approaching intermediate axis 32994. Possible scenario: 1) 32994 is supported and market returns into 33850-32994 range 2) 32994 becomes resisted and market head toward 31657/30513 Price Reaction Levels: Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 33632 34275-34605 33850 32994-33195 31657 Price Volume Analysis: Daily & Weekly: Possible No Supply down bar close off low = strength Like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable trading week. *For education purpose only.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 MAY 08 WEEKCBOT_MINI:YM1! Test and reject of 34275 for first week of May: Entry: 34105 | Risk 100pts (reduced size) | Exit 33674 | Profit 430pts Now that YM has exited rotation, and tested boundary, we may see the likelihood of a rejection trade from 33670. Set your alarm there. Possible scenarios: 1) Test and reject of 33670 = short Volume Analysis: Daily: High volume breakdown from rotation, followed by lower vol up bar close off high = confirmation of supply overcoming demand H4: Lower vol up bar close off high = weakness Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605 34275 33670 32681 31657 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
Caterpillar: At site 🚧Caterpillar is at site, working on wave (2) in magenta, which should lead further downwards into the magenta-colored zone between $198.40 and $171.37. From there, the share should turn upwards again, climbing above the resistance at $266.04. However, there is a 34% chance that Caterpillar could slip through the magenta-colored zone and drop below the support at $160.02. In that case, we would expect the share to develop a new low in the form of wave alt.2 in green first before heading upwards again.
NYSE:CAT
by MarketIntel
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 24 WEEKYM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 24 WEEK Discretionary trade at the 34275 rejection yielded 350pts. With price failing to reach previous supply level 34605, could market be indicating that demand at higher levels have been exhausted? If so, we may be looking at further distribution (i.e. selling) Possible scenarios: 1) With weakness observed, wait to short at rejection at 34605 // 34275 2) Possibility of rotation between 33670 - 34275 = trade at boundary of range Volume Analysis: Daily: Possibility of buying climax. Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605 34275 33670 32681 31657 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead. CBOT_MINI:YM1!
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 17 WEEKCBOT_MINI:YM1! YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 17 WEEK Previous long scenario2 at 32595 // 33590 worked well. Potential weakness observed. Market now is approx. 500pts away from 34605. Possible scenarios: 1) Trade to be guided by channel 2) With weakness observed, wait to short at channel's supply line or rejection at 35228 // or 34605 previous rejection area Volume Analysis: Weekly: higher volume up bar close off high = minor weakness Daily: Higher vol mark up to close lower, and a close below middle of bar = potential weakness Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605 33590 32595 31657 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677
Walmart: Within Reach 🙌Ever been to the supermarket and couldn’t reach the topmost rack? Walmart seems to have a similar problem, struggling to let go of the mark at $150.12 to hit the turquoise zone between $152.54 and $161.76. However, we expect the share to touch at this area soon to finish wave B in turquoise. This done, it should turn downwards, returning below $150.12 and slipping further below the support at $136.09 to complete wave (A) in magenta. After a short counter movement back above $136.09, the share should drop below the support at $117.27 and into the gray zone between $116.49 and $105.01 to place the final low of wave IV in gray, which should then initiate a new upwards trend. There is a 37% chance, though, that Walmart could shoot through the turquoise zone and conquer the resistance at $161-76 directly.
NYSE:WMT
by MarketIntel
YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 03 WEEK YM1! US30USD DOW 2023 APR 03 WEEK Price was marked up on low volume = possibility of trapping longs. Keep your stops tight if you are holding long positions. Possible scenarios: 1) Sell if False break of 33590, test and reject of recent high 2) Long on test and accept of 32595 // 33590 Volume Analysis: Weekly: Low vol up bar close off high = possible selling, trapping longs Daily: Wide spread low vol up bar close off high = possible selling, trapping longs Price reaction levels Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept 35228 34605 33590 32595 31657 Remember to like and follow if you find this useful. Have a profitable week ahead.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!
by paradox677