Dow Jones potential down side moveDow Jones is showing some sign of wanting to go short with also the potential dollar strength coming into the markets and the bond yield markets having a bullish trend for the last couple of months. Dow has reach a full fib extension and we could see some form of retracement continuation.
Dowjones
DowJones bullish consolidation supported at 41800Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42890
Resistance Level 2: 43540
Resistance Level 3: 43940
Support Level 1: 41800
Support Level 2: 41400
Support Level 3: 41100
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
US30 Breaks Key Support as Geopolitical Risk Weighs on SentimentUS30 – Technical Overview
Amid rising Middle East tensions, the indices market remains under bearish pressure, with risk-off sentiment dominating.
US30 dropped to the 42160 level, as previously forecasted, and has now broken below it.
As long as the price trades below 42160, the bearish trend is expected to continue toward 41780, and potentially 41310 if that level fails to hold.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42160
• Support: 41900 / 41780 / 41310
• Resistance: 42310 / 42410 / 42580
US30 Under Pressure: Possible Short Setup Brewing on the 4HI'm currently eyeing the US30 (Dow Jones Index) for a potential short opportunity based on multi-timeframe structure 📊.
🔍 Weekly Overview:
The weekly chart continues to show sustained pressure, with this week and last week both closing bearish. The sellers are clearly in control at the macro level. 🔻
📆 Daily & 4H Structure:
Drilling down to the daily and 4-hour charts, we can clearly see a break of structure (BOS). The 4H specifically is showing textbook signs of a bearish trend with lower highs and lower lows forming consecutively 🪜🔽.
🎯 Trade Plan:
I'm watching for a pullback into equilibrium, ideally near the 50% level of the recent Fibonacci range. If price revisits that zone, I’ll be looking for short confirmations to ride the momentum back toward the previous lows, as marked on the chart. 🧠💸.
DOW JONES 15 year Cycles are coming to play.Dow Jones (DJI) is consolidating on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past month. Based on a remarkable cyclical frequency as the Time Cycles show, every time this 1W MA50 consolidation takes place since October 2011, it turned into the long-term Support that supported rallies of at least +40.94%.
As their 1M RSI readings also sync, we can expect the current consolidation to end soon and drive the market to at least a +40.94% rise from the 1W MA50. Our long-term Target on this is 59000.
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US30 Stabilizes Above Key Support Amid Geopolitical TensionsUS30 – Overview
The price reacted modestly to ongoing Middle East tensions, reaching our previously mentioned pivot zone at 42160, then reversed and stabilized within the bullish territory.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the price holds above 42160, bullish momentum is expected to continue toward 42410.
A 1H close above 42410 would confirm further upside toward 42610 and 42810.
🔻 To shift into a bearish trend, the price must close below 42160 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, which could lead to a move down to 41780.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42310
• Resistance: 42410 / 42610 / 42810
• Support: 42160 / 41970 / 41780
DOW JONES: Will the 4H MA200 produce a rally?Dow is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.949, MACD = 356.820, ADX = 20.639), trading between its 4H MA50 and MA200 in the past 2 days. The price just hit the 4H MA200 for the 2nd time again at the bottom of the Channel Up. As long as it holds, the pattern can initiate the new bullish wave. We exepct it to repeat the +3.74% rise of the one before, TP = 43,550.
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DowJones resistance retest at 42880Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 42880
Resistance Level 2: 43540
Resistance Level 3: 42940
Support Level 1: 41800
Support Level 2: 41400
Support Level 3: 41100
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Potential bearish drop?Dow Jones (US30) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 42,584.80
1st Support: 41,458.80
1st Resistance: 43,086.08
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Dow Jones Approaches Two-Month Highs AgainThe Dow Jones index has started the week with a strong bullish bias, pushing the price up by more than 1% in the short term. This upward trend has remained solid despite growing military tensions in the Middle East. While the conflict caused significant volatility last week, markets have now digested the uncertainty, with CNN’s Fear and Greed Index remaining steady in the “greed” zone, showing no signs of retreating toward neutral territory. This suggests that confidence remains firm in the short term, allowing demand for risk assets like the Dow Jones to stay consistent in recent sessions.
However, it is important to note that the Dow has historically shown significant sensitivity to trade war developments. Although ongoing negotiations between the United States and China continue, the outcome regarding tariffs remains uncertain. If no agreement is reached, negative trade dynamics could resurface, triggering a renewed loss of confidence and possibly leading to sustained selling pressure in the long term.
Consistent Bullish Trend
Since early April, the Dow Jones has maintained a strong buying trend, with price movements consistently above the 40,000-point level. So far, there have been no major bearish corrections that would break this structure. However, the price is currently facing a key resistance level. If this barrier holds, it could mark the beginning of a corrective phase in the short term.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The RSI line has begun to show a bearish divergence, as it records lower highs, while the Dow’s price posts higher highs. This reflects an imbalance in market forces, which may lead to short-term downside corrections.
TRIX: The TRIX line, which measures the momentum of exponential moving averages, remains above the neutral level (0), but has started to flatten, potentially signaling the beginning of a neutral phase, especially as the price tests resistance zones.
Key Levels to Watch:
42,700 points: A critical resistance zone, aligned with the 200-period simple moving average. A breakout above this level would strengthen the current bullish bias and help consolidate the uptrend.
41,900 points: A short-term support level, associated with a recent neutral zone. It could act as a barrier against downward corrections.
41,064 points: The final support, aligned with the 50-period simple moving average. A drop to this level could threaten the ongoing bullish trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Follow him at: @julianpineda25
US30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East TensionsUS30 – Bearish Bias Amid Escalating Middle East Tensions
U.S. indices, particularly the Dow Jones (US30), are under sustained bearish pressure due to intensifying geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. With no signs of de-escalation or negotiation, market sentiment remains risk-off.
Technical Outlook:
As long as the crisis continues, US30 is likely to maintain its downward momentum. The price appears set to test the 41770 level, with potential continuation toward 41310.
Only a clear signal of de-escalation or diplomatic engagement may reverse this trend, possibly triggering a recovery toward 42810.
For now, the directional bias remains bearish.
Key Levels:
• Pivot: 42160
• Support: 41770, 41310, 40700
• Resistance: 42410, 42810, 43210
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Dow Jones Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring US30 for a selling opportunity around 42,400 zone, Dow Jones was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a corerction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 42,400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Gold Breaks $3400 – Targets $3500 Amid Tensions (READ)By analyzing the gold chart on the lower timeframe, we can see that today, following Israel's missile and airstrike attacks on Iran, gold experienced a sharp rally. As anticipated last night, gold finally managed to break through the strong $3400 resistance, surging over 600 pips to reach $3447.
Currently, gold is trading around $3438, and given the escalation in geopolitical tensions, I expect further upside movement.
The next potential targets are $3449, $3469, and possibly $3500.
⚠️ Due to ongoing conflict and extreme volatility, it's advised to avoid trading or proceed only with minimal risk exposure.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
DowJones uptrend retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 43192
Resistance Level 2: 43620
Resistance Level 3: 44290
Support Level 1: 42100
Support Level 2: 41420
Support Level 3: 40990
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Pullback From Support
US30 shows some strength after a test of a key intraday support.
A cup and handle pattern on that and a violation of its neckline
indicate a local strength of the buyers.
I expect a pullback to 42550
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US30 Analysis: Liquidity Dip or Deeper Correction?📉 US30 (Dow Jones) Trade Idea 📉
Currently analysing US30 – the Dow Jones Index 🏛️, and there are some key developments worth noting…
On the 4-hour timeframe, we’re observing a clear shift in market structure, with price breaking through previous lows ⚠️. This raises two possibilities:
🔹 It could be a liquidity grab before a rally 🚀
🔹 Or, it may be the beginning of a deeper end-of-week sell-off targeting levels below 🔻
At this stage, I’m watching for a potential counter-trend short position — but only if the conditions outlined in the video are met with precision 🎯.
🧠 As always, it’s about waiting for confirmation, not jumping in early. Disciplined execution is key. 🧩💼
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for educational purposes only. Always do your own analysis and manage risk accordingly.
DowJones INTRADAY important support retest Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 43190
Resistance Level 2: 43620
Resistance Level 3: 44290
Support Level 1: 42100
Support Level 2: 41420
Support Level 3: 40990
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.