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Dowjonestrading

DOW JONES: This is only the beginning of the recovery.Dow Jones touched yesterday the 1D MA100 and with it turned the 1D technical outlook neutral (RSI = 47.338, MACD = -251.570, ADX = 41.460). As presented last time (see idea link at the bottom) the rebound level was the bottom of the Channel Up and now that is confirmed as the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross. Much like the bearish wave of February-March, the 1D MA50-100 Bearish Cross signifies the bottom and the beginning of a new long term rally. Since the drop has been remarkably similar (both -6.46%) it is possible that the rise will be proportional too (+7.18%). This will be a little over the R1 level (TP = 35,100). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
4
DOW JONES: Failed on the 1D MA200, further decline possible.Dow Jones failed to close Friday's 1D candle over the 1D MA200 and opened the day lower. The 1D technical outlook remains bearish (RSI = 33.039, MACD = -323.740, ADX = 47.730) as the medium term Channel Down is still holding. A crossing over the 1D MA100 reverses this. Until then we can expect the decline to continue until it tests the HL trendline of the Channel Up or better yet the reversal is confirmed by a Buy Cross on the 1D MACD. A potential rebound there targets the R1 level (TP = 35,100). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by InvestingScope
3
DOW JONES: Top is in. Sell signal confirmed.Dow Jones turned neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 52.418, MACD = 174.150, ADX = 47.396) for the first time in one month after the price was rejected inside our targeted zone consisting of R1 - R2. The price completed an approximate +6.20% rise, which is the technical norm inside the four month Channel Up pattern that is holding to this date. Technically this is a sell signal, targeting the 1D MA50 (TP = 34,650). A 1D candle close under the 1D MA50, signals an additional sell, targeting the bottom of the Channel Up and the 1D MA200 (TP = 34,150). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by InvestingScope
10
DOW JONES: Technical pull-back possible inside the Channel Up.Dow Jones is highly overbought on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 74.321, MACD = 411.840, ADX = 51.669) and coupled with the price approaching R1 (35,530) and R2 (35,885), which form a HH Rejection Zone, the probability of a technical pull-back strengthens. HH bullish legs inside the Channel Up get rejected after reaching a +6% rise, so even on that parameter, Dow is close. The 1D RSI is also almost on the HH trendline. Consequently we are going short, targeting the 1D MA50 (TP = 34,400). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Short
by InvestingScope
9
DOW JONES: Short term trade.Dow Jones has formed a Triangle pattern on the 4H timeframe with the technical outlook primarily bullish (RSI = 63.320, MACD = 81.030, ADX = 45.324) as the rise in the past 7 days has been very aggressive. We will take a short term trade on Dow following the breakout outside the Triangle. Over it, we will buy and target the dotted HH trendline (TP = 34,800) while under it we will sell and target the 4H MA50 (TP = 34,250). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30
by InvestingScope
1
DOW JONES: pulling back to the 1D MA50 again.Dow Jones has had a technical HH rejection at the top of the dotted Channel Up and just as quickly, the price is approaching the 1D MA50, which offered support on the June 26th rebound. The 1D technicals are neutral (RSI = 48.089, MACD = 156.460, ADX = 28.256) indicating that the 1D MA50 is now the pivot level: as long as it holds, expect the price to bounce on it again, so we will buy and target the R2 (TP = 34,95) but if it closes a 1D candle under it, sell and target the bottom of the dotted Channel Up (TP = 33.000). The strongest buy opportunity on a four month basis is when the RSI hits its HL trendline. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30
by InvestingScope
8
DOW JONES: Bullish as long as 1D MA50 holds. Bearish if broken.Dow Jones turned flat following the rebound on the 1D MA50 three days ago with both the 4H and 1D technicals neutral (RSI = 53.777, MACD = 111.180, ADX = 25.084). As long as the 1D candles closes over the 1D MA50, stay bullish and target the R2 (TP = 34,950). A crossing under the 1D MA50 will most likely target the 1D MA200 and possibly even lower at the bottom of the diverging Channel Up, aiming to complete a -5% decline (TP = 33,000). That can be an excellent long term buy entry. However if the RSI rebounds on its HL trendline, then enter the buy earlier regardless of a 1D MA200 hit or not. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30Long
by InvestingScope
1
DOW JONES on the 4H MA50 on the Channel UpDow Jones touched the 4H MA50 and bottom of Channel Up 2 that is dominating June's price action. Naturally, the 1D technicals are bullish (RSI = 63.354, MACD = 250.370, ADX = 14.024) and the 4H ones marginally neutral, which indicates a short term buy opportunity. With the 4H STOCH RSI making a Bullish Cross inside the oversold zone, that is technically a buy signal at least on the short term. The next technical Resistance is R2 and that's our target (TP = 34,950), which is also the Top of December 13th 2022. If the candle closes under the 4H MA50 though, which would also mean crossing under Channel Up 2, we will short targeting the 4H MA200 (TP = 33,500). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US30
by InvestingScope
2
DOW JONES: Levels to trade for continuation of rejection of the Dow Jones is bullish on a 1D MACD Bullish Cross with all of its 1D technicals in deep green (RSI = 60.720, MACD = 99.160, ADX = 23.397). This short term bullish trend is almost the same as April's that was later rejected at the top of the long term Channel Up. Consequently, we are selling at the top, targeting the bottom (TP = 33,300) of an emerging Channel Up pattern. If on the other hand the index crosses over the R1, we will take the loss on the sell and go long, targeting the top (TP = 35,200) of the Channel Up, unless the price closes under the 1D MA50 earlier, in which case we will book the profit earlier. Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
U
by InvestingScope
6
DOW JONES: Testing the 1D MA50. Rally if it holds.Dow Jones hit TP1 = 33,650 and is now going for our TP2 = 33,900 as per the trading plan we made last week (chart at the bottom). The 1D time frame finally turned (slightly) bullish (RSI = 51.712, MACD = -40.000, ADX = 28.963) for the first time since May 1st but today's pull back is testing the 1D MA50. If it holds, we expect to reach the 33,900 target that is under the top of the large Channel Down structure. With the MACD having formed a Bullish Cross, there are high chances of this turning into a medium term rally into a new Channel Up. If R1 breaks (34,275) we will buy the breakout and aim at the top of this potential Channel Up (TP = 35,200). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
ULong
by InvestingScope
6
DOW JONES Neutral. Waiting for break out levels to trade.Dow Jones is trading inside a Channel Down with the price currently contained within the MA50 and MA200 (1d). A similar pattern in late December 2022 broke to the upside but be prepared to trade either direction based on the break-out that will prevail. Trading Plan: 1. Buy if the price closes over the MA50 (1d). 2. Sell if it closes under Support (1). Targets: 1. 34350 (under Resistance 1). 2. 31750 (Support 2). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) strengthens the view that the current price action is similar to December's. If it breaks over the MA trend line and rebounds on it (like January 5th 2023), it could be an additional buy confirmation signal. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US30
by TradingBrokersView
18
DOW JONES: Harmonic pattern calling for a buy. TP = 34,350.Dow Jones is on a minor 3 day pullback after a strong rebound that closed over the 1D MA50. The 1D technicals are neutral (RSI = 48.264, MACD = 86.760, ADX = 23.509) and being on a Harmonic rise since March 20th Low, the 1D MA50 rebound is most likely the bullish wave to test yet again the R1 Zone. Unless S1 breaks, we are targeting the bottom of R1 (TP = 34,350). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
ULong
by InvestingScope
11
US30, are sellers getting ready to test 30,550? In today’s video, we are looking at the US30. We start with a longer-term view and move down to the short term. Overall, the market continues to trade in a corrective phase that could be called a bear market. The issue we see here was the last relief rally that broke the downtrend. While it did upset the pattern of the downtrend, sellers now look to have broken that trend, and Tuesday’s session could be a bit more than an exhaustion bar as sellers so far today have made a new LL maintaining a normal pattern of trend. After yesterday’s latest move lower, could we be set to see 30,550 retested by sellers? That could become an important point if buyers can hold it. We will then look to see if a new LH and retest of the area could re-confirmed. Otherwise, a new break could set up a new move that could test the 30,000 area. A lot will depend on the current inflation outlook guided by future data and the Fed. Interesting times. We love hearing from you, so please drop us a comment on your thoughts. Enjoy your Friday and good trading.
EIGHTCAP:US30Short
by Eightcap
DOW JONES 50% correction or a new norm?The question on everyone's mind is that: "Are stocks overvalued right now or not?", "Is a major crash coming or we've seen the bottom and we're going for new all time highs?". This is a hard question to ask. I try to approach this matter using the Great Depression as my basis point. Using the Pitchfork tool on the Great Depression, four very distinct ranges are presented. The top two I call the Bubble Band and the Bullish Band. The lower two, the Bearish Band and the Recession Band. We see that since the Great Depression, DJI traded within the lower bands for almost 60 years after a convincing break-out took place in 1994/95 that paved the way to the tech bubble. This rally aggressively moved Dow Jones from the Bullish Band almost to the middle of the Bubble Band. Naturally the price levels were too unstable and crashed. The Dot-Com crash was not strong enough to break below the Bullish Band but the Subprime Mortgage bubble was. However trading inside the Bearish Band was short-lived and after a bottom was formed the index quickly recovered and traded inside the Bullish Band on a moderate rally for 8 years. Until only recently (2018) when it again entered marginally the Bubble Band and we've already seen the high volatility effect of this overvalued level. So what happens next? Either an approximately -50% correction like the last two times the index broke the Bullish Band (Dot-com, Subprimes) or a rather hard to grasp scenario for the extremists: The index will continue rising within the Bullish and Bubble Bands until it consolidates, making trading within the upper bands the new norm just like the 60 years that followed since the Great Depression where the price traded inside the lower bands. No opinion can be right or wrong here. I welcome every "voice" in the comments section!
DJ:DJI
by TradingShot