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Downtrend

GBPJPY: Asscending Broadening WedgeWe will be looking for a 3rd, possibly 4th tap of the resistance. Appying the 1% rule to this trade, i will split my overall into 2 trades. ... 1st trade will be the 3rd tap with a 35-40pip S/L.> as GBPJPY you will want a bigger S/L as it moves faster and most spreads reach for S/L's.... 2nd trade will be the possible 4th tap of the resistance, to hopefully get adn even better entry, Presuming the price will break out of the wedge to the downside. Another thing to consider is GBPJPY's impulses. Ive been noticing 90-110 pip impulses. the most recent impulse was 260 pips. Although the impulses have been this big, this next impulse to the downside will be the length of the LOWEST point near entry of the ascending broadening wedge, and will go as far as the HIGHEST point within the wedge. I will set my T/P the distance FROM the breakout of the wedge equal to whatever length the wedge ends up being. I expect the wedge to ascend around 100pips from the ENTRY point LOW. . Therefore, i will hope to pick up 100Pips before closing out all of my positions. Of course closing half of each position at 50pips wihtin that move. This is NOT financial advice! This is my OWN Speculation of GBPJPY at this given moment. Hope you enjoy!~
Short
by lodose81
EUR/USD - outlining the near term supports and resistancesHighlights: 1. EUR/USD remains in a downtrend 2. The chart is dominated by the 2022 downtrend at 1.0035 - while capped here the bear trend remains intact 3. The recent low at .9536 is exposed and below here we have to refer all the way back to 2001 to find the next support at .9332. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
Short
by The_STA
TRADE OF THE WEEK | Classic Price Action Trade💰 Hey traders, This week, we caught a great short trade with my students on US30 index. We spotted a nice horizontal key level where the market formed a double top formation. Our trigger was a breakout of its neckline, the position was opened on a retest. Then the market dropped sharply giving us a very nice winner. Did you catch this move? ❤️If you have any questions, please, ask me in the comment section. Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
UShort
by VasilyTrader
7
EURUSD - Fundamentals to shape next move!Sometimes its best to just stay away when we have news events, data releases or any other big fundamentals that can cause havoc in the market. I like to find a position and be in profit before any other influential impacts hit the market, if you siting in a trade near entry and something dramatically changes you can be left in huge drawdown or in a big loss, even slippage! Trying to open trades off the back of a data release is almost impossible to get any sort of consistency.. I still haven't got my short entry on EURUSD and I'm not just going to open a position for the sack of it, I trade off a strict plan and also encourage you guys to do the same! the market is risky and can eat your account up with a few mistakes, stay safe guys and good luck! ill be back on Sunday and hopefully have my voice back lol.
Short
by jamison_fx
3
NDX / QQQ Supports That May Spark the Next Bear RallyPrimary Chart: 11-Month Downtrend Lines, Support at June and September 2022 Lows Forming Right-Angled Triangle, Fibonacci Levels The Nasdaq 100 ( NASDAQ:NDX or NASDAQ:QQQ ) has been in a sharp downtrend nearly all year with intermittent bear rallies that have been sharp and powerful. A week ago, despite price having already fallen significantly from August 16, 2022 peaks, this author identified the likelihood that the downtrend would continue even further to short-term targets at $269-$270. (More aggressive targets in a range from $254 to $267 were also identified in the September 2022 post, but those have not been reached yet.) Now that price has fallen almost exactly to the June 2022 lows, a support line across those lows can be drawn—and this support level intersects with the downward trendlines (there are two alternative downward trendlines on the Primary Chart). When these two support levels intersect with the downward trendlines, a right-angled triangle is formed. This is also known as a descending triangle. Because this is a multi-month triangle, it may not break easily; however, this bear market has broken conventional expectations repeatedly, so anything is possible. But price could make more than one attempt to break the lower edge of the triangle before succeeding. The next chart shows one such possibility. Note that there are many possibilities, and this remains just a single hypothetical price path that reflects the concept that horizontal line of a multi-month right-angled triangle might not break on the first attempt as lesser supports can. Supplementary Chart A: Right-Angled Triangle with Hypothetical Price Path Involving Whipsaw Break Before a Successful Break Later in the Year This hypothetical possibility does not make the chart bullish. It just recognizes that price action can work to confound bears and bulls alike. And it acknowledges that price can reach oversold extremes right at critical multi-month supports, which may require two or more attempts to break. Whipsaws are not uncommon on both intraday and longer-term time frames. Even though the NDX / QQQ remains within a strong downtrend, the sharp rallies this past year have shown that even the bears have to be ready for anything. Bears anticipating a straight line lower can get annihilated. The lower edge of this right-angled triangle is also right at multi-year support identified in the above-referenced post published September 22, 2022. Like a multi-month triangle, multi-year support may not break on the first attempt. Or if it does break in the next week, the first break may end up being a whipsaw break, that leads to price recovering back above the support (and lower edge of the triangle) to rally or chop further until the final break, which could be weeks or months away. Supplementary Chart B: Multi-Year Support Level (Blue Rectangle) The .618 retracement level is another level of interest that could hold and spark another bear rally. This level is the yellow line on the next chart, and it lies at $258 on QQQ. Another Fibonacci level has confluence with the .618 R, and lies just beneath it (teal blue). Supplementary Chart C: Two Circles Identifying Target Zones That Could Spark the Next Bear Rally ________________________________________ Author's Comments: (1) Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. (2) This technical-analysis view does not constitute a trade recommendation or trade setup. Instead, it attempts to offer technical commentary that describes and analyzes price levels, trends, price action, or the broader technical environment as of the publication date. Technical-analysis commentary does not equate to trade setups or recommendations. Within a given price environment, traders bear responsibility for their own trading strategy, risk tolerance, and time frame, and for any due diligence associated with such trades. (3) This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice, e.g., when price violates a key level of invalidation for a particular view. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. (4) To the extent countertrend price moves are discussed, consider that countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, remains higher risk and lower probability even for the most experienced traders and investors. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified / licensed financial adviser or other financial or investment professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by SquishTrade
6