US Dollar Index (DXY) Chart AnalysisUS Dollar Index (DXY) Chart Analysis
The addition of the US Dollar Index (DXY) to FXOpen’s suite of instruments offers traders potential opportunities. This financial instrument:
→ serves as a measure of the overall strength of the US dollar;
→ is not tied to a single currency pair but reflects the value of the USD against a basket of six major global currencies, including the EUR, JPY, and GBP;
→ allows traders to capitalise on price fluctuations in the currency market;
→ is used in more advanced strategies for hedging risks in portfolios sensitive to sharp movements in the US dollar.
In today’s environment of heightened volatility, this instrument becomes particularly valuable. The active stance of US President Donald Trump — through the implementation of trade tariffs, sanctions, and unpredictable geopolitical rhetoric — gives traders even more reason to closely monitor the DXY chart.
Technical Analysis of the DXY Chart
Moving averages show that the US Dollar Index displayed a predominantly bearish trend during the first half of 2025.
However, the picture shifted in July: the index began rising steadily (already up approximately +1.9% since the beginning of the month), highlighted by the blue ascending trend channel.
This suggests that the DXY may have found support following a prolonged decline, and a shift in market sentiment could be underway: after a bearish phase, a period of consolidation may follow. If this scenario plays out, we could see DXY oscillating between the 97.65 and 99.30 levels – both of which show signs of acting as support and resistance (as indicated by the arrows).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Dxyforecast
DXY Outlook: Bullish Move Fueled by Fundamentals & GeopoliticsTechnical Analysis (4H Chart & Broader Context) 📈🕓
The DXY 4H chart shows a clear bullish trend 🚀, with higher highs and higher lows since early July. DXY has caught a strong bid, breaking above short-term resistance near 98.40 and now eyeing the previous swing high 🎯. This matches the consensus among analysts: DXY remains in a bullish structure, with momentum supported by both technicals and macro factors.
Key resistance: Next upside target is the previous high (around 99.60 on the chart), with further resistance at the psychological 100 level 🏁.
Support: Immediate support at 98.20, then 97.60 🛡️.
Momentum: Strong bullish candles and no major bearish reversal signals on the 4H. Some analysts note positioning is stretched, so a short-term pullback or consolidation is possible before more upside (IG).
Fundamental Analysis 💹🌍
Why is DXY rallying?
Fed Policy & US Data: The US economy is resilient 💪, with robust services data, strong retail sales, and a recent uptick in core inflation. The Fed is less dovish, with markets now expecting a slower pace of rate cuts 🏦.
Interest Rate Differentials: The US keeps a yield advantage as the Fed is less aggressive in cutting rates compared to the ECB and BoJ, especially with Europe and Japan facing weaker growth and possible further easing 🌐.
Geopolitical Factors: Ongoing trade tensions (Trump’s tariff threats) and global uncertainty (including Middle East risks) are driving safe-haven flows into the dollar 🛡️🌏. DXY typically strengthens during periods of geopolitical stress.
Positioning: CFTC data shows USD long positioning at multi-month highs, which could mean the market is crowded and vulnerable to short-term corrections ⚠️ (IG).
Trade Idea (Bullish Bias, Targeting Previous High) 💡💵
Setup:
Bias: Bullish, in line with the prevailing trend and macro backdrop 🟢.
Entry: Consider buying on a minor pullback to the 98.20–98.40 support zone, or on a confirmed breakout above the recent high 🛒.
Target: Previous swing high near 99.60, with a stretch target at 100.00 🎯.
Stop: Below 97.60 (recent swing low/support) ⛔.
Risk Factors:
Overbought positioning could trigger a short-term pullback ⚠️.
Any dovish surprise from the Fed or rapid de-escalation in global tensions could cap further gains 🕊️.
In summary: The DXY’s bullish trend is underpinned by resilient US data, a hawkish Fed, and global risk aversion. Your bullish bias is well-supported, with the previous high as a logical target. Watch for short-term pullbacks, but the broader trend remains up unless key support is lost. 🚦
US Dollar Index (DXY) - 4 Hour Chart4-hour performance of the US Dollar Index (DXY) from CAPITALCOM, showing a current value of 98.040 with a 0.23% increase (+0.222). The chart includes recent buy and sell signals at 98.094 and 98.040, respectively, with a highlighted resistance zone around 98.706-99.000 and a support zone around 97.291-98.040. The timeframe covers data from early July to mid-August 2025.
Dollar Index Having Bullish MomentumDollar Index shown good bullish momentum on previous day as we analyzed it earlier. Index has created a imbalance now the possibility for the index is to retrace back to imbalance and continue the bullish momentum and target towards the supply zone and swing high.
DXY Tests Key Support – What’s Next for the Dollar?
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the dollar’s performance against a basket of major currencies, recently broke below its 50-month moving average based on the monthly chart —a significant technical signal. After this drop, the index is now bouncing off a key support zone near 96.50.
This area has acted as a pivot point in past cycles, and a sustained bounce could indicate the dollar regaining strength. If risk sentiment fades—due to weaker equity markets, geopolitical tensions, or stronger U.S. data—the dollar might find new momentum.
On the flip side, failure to hold 96.50 could open the door toward the 90.00 zone, a major long-term support level. Such a move would likely reflect expectations of looser U.S. monetary policy or further deterioration in economic confidence.
For now, price action near 96.50 will be decisive. A rebound could shift sentiment back in favor of the dollar, while a deeper decline may trigger broader adjustments in FX markets. Traders should closely monitor upcoming macro data and risk sentiment for cues on the next leg.
DXY 1D – Tipping Point: News or Price Action?Hey Guys,
The DXY index is currently moving within a downtrend. This trend is unlikely to reverse unless it breaks above the 98.950 level.
Sure, key fundamental data could shift the trend, but without those news catalysts, a reversal at this point doesn’t seem realistic.
Don’t forget—98.950 is a critical threshold for the DXY.
I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses.
I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
DXY Potential Bullish Reversal – Target 99.456 DXY Potential Bullish Reversal – Target 99.456 🎯
Technical Analysis Overview:
🔹 Trend Structure:
The chart illustrates a recent downtrend, which has been broken as price moved above the descending trendline, signaling a potential trend reversal.
🔹 Pattern Insight:
A bullish harmonic pattern is visible (possibly a bullish Bat or Gartley), with the price reacting from the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone), aligning with key support near 96.500. The market has respected this zone multiple times, evident from the orange highlighted circles showing price rejections.
🔹 Support & Resistance:
Support Zone: ~96.500
Breakout Zone: ~96.985 (current consolidation near this resistance)
Target Zone: Marked at 99.456, which aligns with previous structure and fib projection.
🔹 Market Sentiment:
Price is consolidating after breaking the downtrend, forming a bullish rectangle (accumulation). The green arrows indicate bullish intent from buyers defending support levels.
🔹 Price Action Signal:
Formation of higher lows.
Break of structure and close above previous highs.
Possible breakout pending above consolidation box.
📊 Conclusion:
DXY shows bullish potential as it builds a base around strong support. A confirmed breakout above the rectangle could fuel a rally toward 99.456. Keep an eye on volume and confirmation candles for entry. ✅
“The Dollar Job: Break-In Strategy for 99+ Profits”💸 “DXY Heist Blueprint: Thieves’ Bullish Breakout Play” 🏴☠️
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Welcome, Money Makers & Silent Robbers 🕶️💼✨
This is our next big Thief Trading Heist Plan targeting the 💵 DXY Dollar Index Vault. Armed with both technical precision 🔍 and fundamental insight 📊, we're ready to strike smart — not just fast.
🎯 THE MASTER HEIST PLAN:
🟢 ENTRY POINT – “Heist Entry Protocol”
🎯 Wait for price to break above Resistance @ 99.000 and candle to close ✅
💥 Plan A: Place Buy Stop Orders just above breakout
📥 Plan B: For Pullback Pros, use Buy Limit at recent swing low/high (15m–30m TF)
📌 Tip: Set alerts — don’t get caught napping while the vault opens! ⏰🔔
🛑 STOP LOSS – “Thief’s Escape Hatch”
🧠 Use 4H swing low at 98.100 as SL
⚖️ Adjust based on your lot size and number of open positions
🚨 Don't rush to set SL for Buy Stop entries before confirmation! Patience is part of the plan. 😎
🎯 TARGET – “Mission Objective”
💰 First Exit Target: 100.000
🏃♂️ Optional: Escape earlier near high-risk zones (Blue MA Line Trap Area)
⚔️ SCALPERS' CODE – Stay Sharp!
Only scalp on the Long side.
🔐 Use Trailing SL to guard your loot!
💸 Big wallets? Jump early.
🧠 Smaller stack? Follow the swing crew for coordinated execution.
🌐 MARKET OUTLOOK: WHY THE VAULT’S OPENING
💡 Currently seeing bullish momentum in the DXY
📈 Driven by macroeconomics, sentiment shifts, and intermarket pressure
📰 Want the full debrief? Check our analysis across:
COT Data
Geopolitics & News
Macro Trends & Sentiment
Fundamental Forces
📎🔗 See full breakdown
⚠️ TRADE MANAGEMENT ALERT
🚫 Avoid opening new trades during high-impact news
🔁 Always use Trailing Stops to lock in profits
❤️ Support The Heist – Boost the Plan!
Every boost powers our underground crew 🐱👤.
We rob the markets, not the people. 💼💰
Like & Boost to help grow the Thief Trading Gang 👊💥
Stay tuned, robbers – more heist plans dropping soon.
💸🚀📈🤑
Make Dollar Great AgainDXY Big Picture
While looking at other DXY charts to use a clean chart for HTF, I saw that it touched historical trend support. It didn't touch only on the TVC chart, so I am adding it with the other charts and accepting that it touched the trend.
According to the fractal I added in August last year, the price is moving very well.
I expect a correction from these areas. I think we have reached the reversal areas due to both the momentum in the declines and the oversold.
The decline fatigue I mentioned is more evident in LTF charts. The price cannot reach the EQ zone of the decline channel that has been going on since February on the daily chart. Although it is a very inclined channel on the 4h chart, it can no longer reach the channel bottom. For this reason, I think this region is where reversal should be sought. After the first 0.38 of this decline, I think a pullback to 0.5 is possible.
Free fall on DXY?With gap open at 97.66 level before the monthly close price has broken the monthly support and started to drop. We may see the price to drop to long term monthly support at 96.622 or further below to 95.66 as with the increased bearish pressure we may see the price to continue to drop to this longer term support level.
As with upcoming USD news we may see the price to move to this level with high probability bearish trend.
DXY Bullish Reversal & Cup Formation The DXY (US Dollar Index) is exhibiting a strong bullish reversal pattern, with multiple technical signals suggesting upward momentum:
🔍 Technical Analysis Summary:
✅ Support Holding Strong:
Price has respected the horizontal support zone around 98.00–98.50 on multiple occasions (highlighted by orange circles and green arrows), forming a solid base.
✅ Breakout from Downtrend:
A clear breakout above two descending trendlines (black and blue) indicates a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment.
✅ Cup Pattern Formation ☕:
A textbook Cup pattern is visible, where price formed a rounded bottom — a bullish continuation formation. The handle is minor and price has broken above the neckline (around 99.00), signaling a potential continuation toward the target.
✅ Bullish Target 🎯:
Based on the cup pattern and prior resistance, the projected target is around 101.846, aligning with previous major resistance.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: 98.00 – 98.50
Immediate Resistance: 99.50 – 100.00
Major Resistance/Target: 101.846
🧭 Outlook:
As long as the price remains above the 98.50 zone, the bullish scenario remains intact. The cup breakout indicates strong buying pressure, and momentum could push DXY toward the 101.846 target in the coming sessions.
The DXY eince 1979 and Rate Rises / Cuts & the Crucial point NOW
What i want to draw your attention now, more than anything is simplay that DXY PA is on the line of Support created in the 2008 Crash
Thisis Crucial as if it drops belwo, that is the $ on the international stage loosing the strongest line of support it has ever had
If we look at the stage now, you will also see that the DXY was loosing traction BEFORE the FED began cutting Rates.
This is due to many things on the internationa stage, Like BRICS gaining momentum.
If we look closer, at the weekly chart since around 2017
We can see how the DXY has been Ranging, with a Few Peaks and Drops, the deepest being in 2021, just before the Bitcoin ATH that year.
It bounced well and hit a Peak in late 2022, when Bitcoin was in its Deep Bear.
DXY has ranged ever since j a tight range...
Untill this year
And now, we find DXY on that line of support once moew, Bitcoin maybe heading to a New ATH
But this time we have the serious threat of Global Mayhem
So, the thing to watch here, Like a HAWK, is if DXY can hold this line of support.
Can the $ regain international support and bounce OR will it Fall through this line of support ?
Or Range on it as in 2021
I am not going to pretend to know the answer but I certainly recommend we all pay attention to this- This could take a while................
DXY: US dollar To Drop Further Around 95?The US dollar has been steadily declining since the new president was elected in the USA. This decline has been accompanied by the ongoing trade wars. Numerous economic indicators have supported this trend, and we anticipate further depreciation in the coming days or weeks. Before trading, it’s essential to conduct your own analysis and gain a comprehensive understanding of the market.
We wish you the best of success in trading. Good luck and trade safely.
Like and comment for more, and as always, happy trading!
Team Setupsfx_
Index/US) Bearish trend analysis Read The caption)SMC trading point update
Technical analysis of U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 30-minute timeframe, with the price respecting a clear downtrend and repeatedly rejecting a resistance zone near the 200 EMA.
---
Analysis Breakdown
Key Technical Elements:
1. Downtrend Structure:
The price remains within a descending channel.
Multiple lower highs and lower lows signal sustained bearish pressure.
2. Resistance Zone:
Highlighted near 98.490–98.495, aligned with the EMA 200.
Multiple rejections from this level (indicated by red arrows), confirming strong supply.
3. EMA 200 (98.490):
Acts as dynamic resistance.
Price is below it, reinforcing the bearish bias.
4. Projected Move:
Bearish price path targets the 97.189 level (target point).
A measured move of approximately -1.30% is illustrated.
5. RSI (14):
RSI currently at 46.27, below the neutral 50 mark.
This confirms bearish momentum without being oversold, leaving room for further downside.
---
Bearish Thesis:
Repeated failure to break above key resistance + downward channel + RSI weakness suggests a continuation to the downside.
Short-term consolidation expected before breakdown continuation.
---
Trade Idea Concept:
Entry: Sell on a minor pullback near resistance (~98.300–98.490), or breakdown below the recent minor support.
Target: 97.189 zone.
Stop Loss: Above 98.500 or EMA 200 to invalidate the bearish setup.
Mr SMC Trading point
Risks to Watch:
A break and strong close above 98.500 would invalidate the bearish structure and could initiate a trend reversal.
Economic events (noted by calendar icons) may trigger volatility – ideal to monitor closely around those times.
plesse support boost 🚀 this analysis)
DXY ready for free fall?DXY at 99.39 strong liquidity grab then rejected back to the support level then following a head and shoulder, price completely has broker out of the support with CPI, it has finally managed break out of consolidation.
As the impulse has volume, we may see further drop to the monthly support 97.93 and may potentially break below as there is FVG which may slide the price further down.
DXY Under Pressure: Breakdown Incoming Below 99.00?After testing the 102 resistance zone in mid-May, the TVC:DXY resumed its downward move, dropping back into the 98.50–99.00 support zone.
The brief spike above the psychological 100 was quickly rejected, and price has since rolled over — currently trading around 99.27 at the time of posting.
🔻 The downside pressure is strong, and a break below support looks imminent.
If that break occurs:
🎯 Short-term target: 98 (approx. 1% drop)
📉 Medium-term potential: A deeper decline toward 95
DXY Analysis today : Possible reversal?With strong liquidity grab at 99.00 DXY, with monthly rejection to the upside, past week we have seen with gap open the market started to drop long term support level 99.000 which smart money zone price has got bounce back to the upside with strong momentum potentially forming a double bottom with series of higher low price may continue to move up to the 100.75 to long term monthly resistance with NFP we may see further rejection down again.
A bullish on support is high probability !
DXY 4H Breakout? Bulls Eye Momentum Shift!Hey There;
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) appears to have reached a critical turning point from a technical analysis perspective. According to Elliott Wave Theory, following a five-wave downtrend, the AB corrective wave has been completed, and a bullish movement towards the C wave is emerging. This scenario could signal a transition from a bearish market to a bullish one.
Technical Outlook:
- A move towards 104.460 on the DXY may indicate that the market is entering a strong recovery phase.
- The completion of the AB corrective wave suggests that buyers are stepping in, driving upward momentum in price action.
- The C wave typically retraces a portion of the prior decline, creating potential for a higher price level.
Macroeconomic Factors:
- U.S. monetary policy and inflation data remain key determinants of the dollar index’s trajectory.
- Increased global risk appetite may bolster the dollar’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.
- U.S. Treasury yields could provide additional support for DXY’s upward movement.
If DXY successfully reaches 104.460, this could confirm a shift into a bullish trend. However, the strength and sustainability of the C wave will depend on supportive volume and momentum indicators. The interplay between technical and fundamental factors could drive a solid recovery in the dollar index.
Should this scenario unfold, it may mark the beginning of a renewed period of dollar strength against global currencies. However, market dynamics and macroeconomic developments must be monitored closely to validate this outlook.
Guys, every single like from you is my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing my analysis.
A huge thank you to everyone who supports me with their likes!
DXY Technical Outlook – Strong Support Test and Bullish Reversa Chart Summary
The DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) chart illustrates a significant technical structure between strong historical support and resistance zones, with potential for a bullish reversal after a key level retest.
🟢 Key Support Zone: 99.000 – 98.000
📍 Labeled as "STRONG SUPPORT", this zone has held multiple times:
Previous bounce: Early 2023 ✅
Mid-2024 rebound ✅
Current price action once again shows a reaction from this level with a bullish candle forming 🔥
📌 EMA Confluence:
The 200 EMA (blue) sits at 102.401
The 50 EMA (red) at 103.725
Price is currently below both EMAs but near the 200 EMA, suggesting potential for a mean reversion bounce 📈
🔴 Resistance Zones to Watch:
Resistance Zone: 109.000 – 110.000
⛔ Historically rejected in late 2023 and again in early 2025
🧱 Acting as a supply zone — watch for rejection or breakout
ATH Supply Zone: 113.000 – 114.000
🚨 This is a major psychological and technical barrier
🫡 Marked as “NEW ATH” – would need strong momentum and fundamentals for a breakout above this level
📈 Price Action Expectations:
With strong support respected again, a bullish reversal toward 109.000 – 110.000 appears likely (as illustrated by the arrow).
If momentum continues, a retest of ATH zone is on the cards 🔭
However, a failure to hold support could lead to breakdown below 98.000 – watch closely 🔍
🧭 Strategic Insight
Bullish Bias while above support (98.000 zone)
Reversal Confirmation needed above 102.401 (200 EMA) and 103.725 (50 EMA)
Watch for rejection near 110.000 resistance before ATH test
📌 Final Note:
🧊 World Eyes on this Level – As highlighted on the chart, the current support area is under global observation, reinforcing its importance.
🕵️♂️ Stay alert for breakout volume and fundamental catalysts (e.g., Fed decisions, CPI, jobs data).
BEARS STILL IN CHARGE ! DXY- USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25DXY USD INDEX FORECAST Q2 W22 Y25
BEARS CRUSHING THE USD!
Professional Risk Managers 👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
✅ U.S. dollar index is a measure of the value of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies.
✅The currencies are the Euro, Swiss franc, Japanese yen, Canadian dollar, British pound, and Swedish krona.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
Pairs to look out for -
EURUSD - BUY
USDCHF - SELL
USDJPY - SELL
USDCAD - SELL
GBPUSD - BUY
- Perhaps it's time to accept that a recovery in the DXY is not occurring anytime soon...
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X