Strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025)Nasdaq-100 E-mini Futures (NQM2025) – Technical & Fundamental Analysis
Technical Overview:
My Daily chart analysis on TradingView highlights a strong bullish outlook for the E-mini Nasdaq-100 (NQM2025). Here are the key takeaways:
Liquidity Sweep & Support Retest:
The recent decline led to a liquidity sweep (LQ SWEEP) at a critical ascending trendline. This suggests a classic stop-hunt scenario where weaker long positions were liquidated before stronger buyers stepped in.
Historical price action indicates that buyers previously entered at similar levels (noted as "Buyers coming in hot here"), reinforcing this demand zone.
Bullish Trendline Respect:
The long-term ascending trendline has been respected, acting as a dynamic support level.
The recent bounce suggests that this level remains intact, further validating the bullish structure.
Order Block (OB) & Market Structure Shift (MSS):
A previous bearish market structure shift (MSS) led to a short-term decline, but price has since found support and rebounded.
The chart suggests a reversion to the upside, targeting prior imbalance zones and liquidity pockets.
Projected Path & Targets:
The green projection indicates an expectation of higher highs, likely targeting the 21,500 - 22,500 range in the coming weeks.
The sell-side liquidity has been cleared, increasing the probability of a bullish move towards the order block resistance near 21,000.
Fundamental Confirmation (#EdgeFinder & #COT Data):
From a fundamental perspective, the bullish bias is further confirmed by EdgeFinder data and recent Commitment of Traders (COT) reports:
Institutional Positioning:
The latest COT data shows that institutional traders have increased their net long positions in Nasdaq futures, signaling bullish sentiment.
Macroeconomic Factors:
Recent economic reports and Fed statements have favored a risk-on environment, benefiting tech-heavy indices like Nasdaq.
Earnings season is approaching, with expectations of strong tech sector performance potentially fueling further upside.
Conclusion & Market Sentiment:
The confluence of technical support, institutional buying, and positive macroeconomic factors strengthens the case for a bullish continuation in Nasdaq-100 futures.
The key level to watch is 20,000—if held, the probability of a move towards 21,500 - 22,500 increases significantly.
Risk factors include unexpected macroeconomic shifts or stronger-than-expected hawkish Fed rhetoric, which could slow momentum.
This is not financial advice, only data analysis. Please consult a qualified financial professional for personalized guidance.
