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The Trading Quest: Leveling Up Your Trading GameHello, fellow traders. In this education post I will present the evolution of a trader as levels because, truth be told, trading sometimes feels like a video game—except the boss fights are market volatility, and here the only cheat code is discipline. Developing a winning strategy is a journey that starts with basic understanding and evolves into a well polished plan. For this to happen, certain levels have to be "burnt". So below I will outline what I think are the levels of development a winning trading strategy, starting from initial experimentation to highly refined and scalable strategy: 1️⃣ Level 1: The Trial and Error Phase In the beginning, traders experiment with different strategies, tools, and systems. They may rely on random tips, indicators, or systems they read about online, often jumping from one strategy to another without a clear understanding of why one works and another doesn't. Important Aspects: The main issue here is lack of consistency. Strategies often lead to inconsistent results because traders fail to backtest or assess the viability of a system over time. At this stage, the trader might experience frustration as they can't pinpoint why certain strategies work or fail. Why? Testing and refining are vital to developing a strategy. A trader must learn the importance of understanding market conditions and being patient with their trial-and-error process. Backtesting becomes an invaluable tool for this level. 2️⃣ Level 2: The Search for the Right Strategy By this stage, traders understand that there is no "perfect" strategy, but a variety of strategies can work depending on the market behavior. They start to narrow down their focus and look for strategies that align with their risk tolerance, personality, and time commitment. Important Aspects: The trial here is resisting the temptation to continuously jump between different strategies. Traders may still be tempted by the allure of quick profits and may find themselves trying too many things at once, leading to becoming overwhelmed. Why? It is important to focus on finding simplicity and focus on one strategy. Strategies should be tailored to personal strengths, whether that’s day trading, swing trading, or position trading. The trader needs to focus on risk-reward ratios and refine their approach to fit the market conditions. 3️⃣Level 3: Strategy Development and Backtesting At this level, the trader now begins to build their strategy around clearly defined rules for entry, exit, and risk management. Backtesting comes into play, allowing the trader to see how the strategy would have performed in different market conditions. This stage marks the beginning of data-driven decisions rather than relying on guesswork. Important Aspects: The main focus here is to avoid over-optimization. There is the temptation to over-optimize the strategy based on historical data, which can lead to curve fitting. Strategies must be robust enough to perform in a variety of market environments, not just those found in past data. Why? Robust backtesting provides valuable insights, but should not be viewed as a guarantee of future performance. The focus should be on understanding the strategy’s performance across a range of scenarios and refining risk-reward parameters. 4️⃣ Level 4: Refining and Optimization With a tested strategy in place, traders now focus on refining their approach to adapt to real market conditions. This involves implementing risk management techniques such as position sizing, stop-losses or maximum drawdown limits. Here the focus is on refining the strategy, ensuring it is flexible and adaptable to various market environments. Important Aspects: During this phase is important to maintain a balanced risk-reward ratio. Overoptimizing for profitability can lead to excessive risk exposure, which undermines the strategy's long-term viability. Why? Because optimization is an ongoing process. Strategies should never be set in stone. The trader learns that fine-tuning a strategy based on live market conditions and feedback is a continuous process. Optimizing the risk-reward balance will determine the long-term success of the strategy. 5️⃣ Level 5: Live Trading with a Demo or Small Capital Finally! Trust me when I say this is the biggest turning point. After refining the strategy, traders move to live markets with real money, (if then haven't been tempted already and lost money). Often time they start small or using demo accounts to minimize risk. At this level, traders will encounter the psychological elements of trading—such as fear of loss, overconfidence after wins, or hesitation after losses. Important Aspects: The main trial at this level is that the emotional component of trading takes over. Traders may experience a shift in behavior when real money is at stake, even though they had success in demo accounts or small-size trades. Overtrading, revenge trading, and second-guessing the strategy are common pitfalls. Why? The trader must apply the same rules from backtesting to live trading, despite the emotions involved. At this stage, mental resilience and psychological control are just as important as the strategy itself. 6️⃣ Level 6: Full Strategy Deployment and Scaling By now, the trader has developed confidence in their strategy. They’ve mastered the mental discipline required to follow their trading plan, even when emotions are high. The trader begins scaling their strategy, increasing position sizes while maintaining the risk-reward ratio and capital allocation that suits their risk tolerance. Important Aspects: At this level, the trial is to maintain consistency while scaling. The trader may face issues related to emotional attachment to larger positions or feel the pressure to adjust the strategy for increased capital. Market volatility can also affect decision-making, leading to increased risk exposure. Why? As the trader increases their trading capital, they must remain mindful of market conditions and adjust position sizes accordingly. Portfolio diversification and ensuring that no single trade has too large an impact on overall capital are essential here. 7️⃣Level 7: The Master Strategist - The Final Boss 🏆 Congratulations! At this highest level, you must have developed a consistently profitable strategy that can be applied in different market behavior. The strategy has become highly effective in various conditions, and the trader can easily adapt to different setups without deviating from the core principles. Important Aspects: Now the focus is on fine-tuning their mindset for optimal performance. They anticipate emotional triggers before they happen and know exactly how to deal with them when they do come. The trader’s mental clarity allows them to stay composed during market volatility and follow their strategy with unmoved commitment. Why? The pinnacle of trading psychology is the ability to systematically execute trades with confidence, without being influenced by fear, greed, or euphoria. This confidence comes from knowing that their strategy is built on years of testing, adjustment, and improvement. This allows them to consistently make rational decisions that align with their long-term trading goals. They maintain discipline regardless of market volatility and use data-driven decisions to continue growing their capital. 📈 Developing a winning trading strategy is a dynamic process that requires continuous learning, adjustment, and discipline. Traders must be patient with themselves during each level, from the initial trial and error to the refined, proven strategy that supports consistent success. The levels involve mastering both the technical elements of strategy development and the psychological factors that affect trading performance. 🌟
Education
by TrendDiva
4
Why do most traders end up losing moneyThis question is quite scary, but if you are a novice and see this question, congratulations, you are on the right path of trading. The most important lesson to learn before entering the financial markets is risk expectation. You can ask yourself, how much money do you want to make from trading? Is your goal asset appreciation, or a small fortune? If a trade loses money, will it affect your own life? Is your own character able to stop losses in time, or do you have no self-control? After asking these questions, we decide whether to enter the financial market. So why do the vast majority of traders lose money? 1. Because of the particularity of the financial market. I believe that many friends have heard of the 28 rule. For example, in the distribution of wealth in our society, 20% of people control 80% of social wealth; 20% of people will persist in encountering difficulties, and 80% of people will give up when encountering difficulties. The rule of 28 is ubiquitous in life, and it also determines what kind of people will succeed and what kind of people will fail. As for the financial market, it is crueler than real life, because there are no rules in this market, only human nature, so the financial market even surpasses the rule of 28, and less than 10% of people may make profits. In the face of money, most people want to make a big fortune with a small amount, and want to turn around by trading, so those who have stable personalities, strong self-control, low income expectations, and money in their hands are silently harvesting these people who are eager for quick success. Some people may say that the world is inherently unfair, and those who hold funds can only survive because of the capital. Actually no. We Xiaosan hold small funds, and we can achieve low return expectations, or we can do it slowly, but how many people are just anxious to make money? Just want to make a big difference with a small one? Just don’t regard money as money, and think it’s a big deal to take a gamble, and if it’s gone, it’s gone? So it has nothing to do with the amount of capital, but has something to do with people. In financial markets, human nature is the rule. 2. Too many people are dominated by human nature. As I said before, there are no rules in the financial market, and human nature is the rule. Trading is a very anti-human thing. Human nature is greedy for comfort, averse to risk, afraid of losing, feeling that one's level is higher than others, hating giving and learning, impatient, etc., which will be infinitely magnified in trading. There is a saying in the trading industry that trading can be profitable, mentality accounts for 70%, and technology accounts for 30%. In actual combat, it seems that it is not difficult for traders to see the market correctly, but it is very difficult to complete this wave of market and make profits. Why? I give two examples. For example, the problem of stop loss in trading. Seeking advantages and avoiding disadvantages is a characteristic of human nature, unwillingness to lose, unwilling to accept losses, this is human self-protection awareness. Stopping losses in the wrong direction means losing our real money, who can bear it? So in actual combat, many people rationally know that the direction is wrong, but they just don't stop losses, and even increase their positions against the trend, floating orders, allowing the stop loss to become bigger and bigger, and finally lead to serious losses. Another example is the profitable position in the transaction. The market trend always fluctuates upwards, or fluctuates downwards, and profit taking in positions is often encountered. Once profits are withdrawn, we will have a sense of insecurity in our hearts, worrying about the reversal of the market and losing profits. This insecurity is also due to human nature. Even if we rationally know that the profit target has not yet been reached, we should continue to hold positions, but the little emotion of longing for peace of mind has been tormenting us, and in the end we couldn't help but close the position, and made a lot of less money. We comfort ourselves that it is all right, at least there is no loss. But in fact, less earning = loss, because the amount you lose next time will be greater than the money you earn. In the long run, your overall loss will be. There are many such examples, such as betting on the market, heavy trading, unwillingness to admit defeat, stop loss leading to liquidation, etc., are all caused by the aversion to loss in human nature and the fear of failure. In fact, if we look at the trading market 100 years ago, it is basically the same as the current human nature problem. The weakness of human nature is very strong, and it is also the main reason why traders lose money. So at the beginning, I asked everyone to ask themselves those questions, just to let everyone understand their own personality, their current situation, and their human nature, so as to help you win certain opportunities in the trading market. Trading is like a free game. It seems that the threshold is low and no money is required, but in fact some hidden costs are contained in it, and the human nature is clearly played for you. Therefore, before making a transaction, you must have an existing risk expectation, and then think about making money.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by CheetahAttack
How to achieve quick profits through short-term trading?Many friends enjoy short-term trading, mostly due to the short holding time, quick results, and the thrill of the process. However, short-term trading is the most challenging among all trading methods and requires careful consideration. Today, I will share my early experience of short-term trading with you. Specific methods and strategies will be provided in the later part of this article, which are closely related to practical applications and, I believe, will be helpful for you. The article is quite lengthy. If you find it helpful, please give it a thumbs-up at the end of the article. Thank you. Advantages and disadvantages of short-term trading Short-term trading does not have a strict definition standard. When the market moves quickly, positions can be closed within a day, but if the market moves slowly, it may take two or three days to close the position, all of which belong to short-term trading. On charts, I usually consider trades at the 5-minute, 15-minute, and even 1-hour level as short-term trades. The advantages of short-term trading are: (1) Short holding time and quick results. People are naturally curious about the unknown and want to know the results quickly. Short-term trading fits human nature, making it easier to control emotions. (2) High trading frequency, providing a thrilling experience. Many traders are restless and want to trade multiple times a day, short-term trading meets this human need. (3) The decay cycle of the short-term trading system is short, and the distribution of trading results is more evenly distributed, making it easier to execute. Sometimes, even with a losing streak of 5 times, the long-term trading strategy may take over a month to recover, while the short-term trading strategy may only take two or three days. Thus, short-term trading is less torturous to human psychology during a losing streak. Disadvantages of short-term trading: (1) High trading frequency requires more time and energy and is not suitable for part-time traders. (2) Frequent trading generates high trading costs. Therefore, short-term traders need to pay attention to their commission fees. I have seen many futures traders who have had their accounts charged two or three times, or even ten times, the commission fees. How can they make a profit like this? (3) Requires higher professionalism and attention to trading details. Short-term trading is more sensitive to changes in the market. Sometimes, when the market changes, you don't have much time to think and must act decisively. People with more procrastinating personalities are not suitable for short-term trading. Additionally, the margin of error for short-term trading is relatively low. Long-term trades do not require very precise entry points, and being off by 5 or 10 points does not have a significant impact on the overall trade. However, in short-term trading, being off by 5 or 10 points can be the difference between profit and loss. Therefore, short-term trading is a delicate operation, and all trading details must be clear and easy to execute. Short-term traders also need to possess qualities such as attention to detail, boldness, calmness, and decisiveness. So, how can you quickly profit from short-term trading? Next, I will share two strategies. 2.Plan One: Choosing Volatile Markets with Large Amplitude for Short-term Trading As a short-term trader, we only need to capture a small segment of market volatility, and it doesn't have to be the overall trend, as long as the market volatility is fast and the amplitude is large. The faster the market volatility and the larger the amplitude, the easier it is to make profits. For the same 100-point profit, it may take only one day to achieve it when the volatility is fast and the amplitude is large, while it may take several days to achieve it when the volatility is slow and the amplitude is small, resulting in a much lower trading efficiency and different challenges to our mentality. Therefore, the amplitude of the product is the key to making profits in short-term trading. We need to selectively engage in short-term trading and not try to swallow all profits. There are two specific strategies to consider. Strategy One: Directly select high amplitude products for short-term trading. Different products have their own characteristics when operating in the market. Some products have fast volatility and large amplitude, while others have slow volatility and small amplitude. Before engaging in short-term trading, we must select the most suitable products. For example, in the same breakout trading opportunity, products with high volatility and larger amplitude can achieve greater profits more quickly. As traders, we all understand that the faster we can lock in profits, the more confident we feel. Therefore, selecting the right products makes short-term trading easier. Moreover, if you choose a slow-moving product, your holding time will be longer, and your position may be occupied, which will reduce the utilization rate of your funds and affect the final profit. Short-term trading is about paying attention to details and maintaining a strong mindset, as even the smallest details can determine your success or failure. Therefore, do not be careless. FXOPEN:XAUUSD FOREXCOM:EURUSD
Education
by Ice_and_Fire1
5
What is the golden rule of taking profits? For trading stocks, futures, or forex, taking profits is also part of the trading process. For investors, taking profits and adhering to it during a trade is effective. When to take profits? Where is the best position for stop loss and take profit? Which strategy is more profitable? Taking profits and stop loss is one of the most important aspects of trading. If not handled properly, it could lead to losses. In previous articles, we have discussed the rule of stop loss. This chapter will discuss the rule of taking profits. Investors are advised to follow and read this article. If it is helpful, please give it a like. Thank you. Methods of taking profits Taking profits means closing the position and securing profits when the trading goal is achieved to prevent market reversal. Taking profits can be divided into static and dynamic methods. Static taking profits means setting a target for taking profits and closing the position when the target is reached. For example, if the profit expectation is 100 points and the price has risen 100 points, the position is closed to take profits. The target for taking profits is fixed and static. Dynamic taking profits means the profit target is dynamic and is held until the price meets a dynamic standard before closing the position. For example, when holding a long position and floating profits, close the position when the market price breaks the bearish level. Traders cannot know in advance where the bearish level will appear and need to monitor the market dynamics. Next, we will discuss five methods of taking profits. Method 1: Fixed point profit taking This is the simplest method of static taking profits. After entering the position, set a fixed profit space. This profit-taking method is more suitable for intraday and short-term trading. For example, after entering an intraday trading position, set a fixed profit-taking point of 50 points. Intraday trading has a relatively obvious characteristic of fluctuating trends, and market prices tend to rebound and even fluctuate repeatedly. The profits from holding positions during market rebound may be given back, so setting a fixed profit-taking point can be more advantageous during trading. In practical trading, the number of fixed stop-loss points should be set according to the volatility of different products. For products with high volatility, set a larger number of fixed stop-loss points, and for products with low volatility, set a smaller number of fixed stop-loss points. Please note that this method should not be underestimated simply because it is simple. Whether this method is useful or not depends on the specific usage environment. Method 2: Fixed profit and loss ratio take profit. This is a commonly used static take profit method in medium and short-term trading. First, let's talk about the profit and loss ratio. The ratio of the profit space of an order to the stop loss space is the profit and loss ratio. For example, if the profit is 100 points and the stop loss is 50 points, the profit and loss ratio is 2:1. Fixed profit and loss ratio means that the take profit is set according to a fixed ratio based on the stop loss space. For example, if the stop loss of an order is 100 points, setting the take profit at 100 points results in a profit and loss ratio of 1:1. Setting the take profit at 150 points results in a profit and loss ratio of 1.5:1. Setting the take profit at 200 points results in a profit and loss ratio of 2:1, and so on. The fixed profit and loss ratio method is easy to operate and highly executable. Moreover, when the market fluctuates and the stop loss space expands, the take profit space will also expand accordingly, making it very flexible. Method 3: Take profit combined with technical indicators. This is also a static take profit method. After entering an order, the take profit is set based on technical indicators. For example, setting the take profit at the level of previous highs and lows, or at the support and resistance levels of the Bollinger Bands or important moving averages, is feasible. In addition, in practical trading, it is common to enter and exit at small time frames while looking at the support and resistance levels of larger time frames. For example, entering at the 5-minute level and setting the take profit at the support and resistance level of the 1-hour chart, or entering at the hourly level and setting the take profit at the Bollinger upper and lower bands of the daily chart, is essentially a logic of "going small and looking big". Method 4: Take profit following the trend. This is a dynamic take profit mode and a trend-based take profit strategy. After entering an order, the position is held following the trend indicator, and the position is held until a reversal signal is issued, at which point the take profit is closed. Tracking with trend lines, channel lines, and turning points in the market are all common practices in daily trading. Method 5: Combination of multiple methods, batch-wise profit taking. The above four methods are the most mainstream and commonly used methods, but each method has its pros and cons. For example, the fixed profit and loss ratio method cannot hold onto trend profits, and the trend tracking method cannot make profits in volatile markets. Therefore, some clever traders combine these methods and take profits in batches. For example, after the order is entered, when the profit and loss ratio reaches 1:1, part of the position is closed, and the remaining position is exited using the trend tracking method to achieve greater profits. In practical trading, traders can combine the above profit-taking methods in different ways, such as combining the support and resistance levels of the previous high with the fixed profit and loss ratio, or combining the support and resistance levels of the previous high with the trend tracking method. After discussing these five profit-taking methods, it is only providing traders with an idea, and the specific results of practical trading must be reviewed and analyzed in combination with their own trading systems. OANDA:XAUUSD FXOPEN:XAUUSD
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Ice_and_Fire1
5
It caused gold to drop by $100!!!Due to the release of the February non-farm payroll data, gold fell nearly $100. This month, we will soon face the baptism of another major non-farm payroll data, which is a great opportunity for gold traders. As long as we grasp the trend correctly, the profit from a single trade can be considerable. This data will be released on March 10th. As of the close on March 3, gold has broken through the resistance level of $1850, and the next resistance level of $1860 is within sight. Therefore, in next week's trading, I will continue to go long on gold until the trend changes. I have also prepared myself for the release of the non-farm payroll data, and I believe the results will be very friendly. Let's wait and see. Here, I will explain how non-farm payroll data affects the price of gold: The number of non-farm payroll employees is the main indicator of the US employment market, and its impact on gold is significant. Generally, if the non-farm payroll employment number is higher than expected, it means that the US employment and economy are improving, which is good for the US dollar but likely to cause gold to fall. Conversely, if the employment number is lower than expected, it means that the US employment and economy are declining, which is bad for the US dollar but likely to cause gold to rise. Of course, this is not entirely certain , as unexpected situations may arise. For example, sometimes the market may move in the opposite direction to the data, where the released data is better than the previous value (i.e. bullish data), but gold prices fall. Conversely, sometimes the data is bearish, yet gold prices rise. There are many reasons for this, such as the difference between the released data and the forecast being too small to make a significant impact, the market having already priced in the information before the data release, or other events occurring simultaneously that have a greater impact on the market. Therefore, when trading, we must pay attention to these aspects of influence and not rely solely on the positive or negative aspects of the data to decide whether to go long or short. I have prepared myself for trading non-farm payroll data, so follow me and let's maximize our profits together!
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by triumphing
1
Human weaknesses that need to be overcome in the trading process Fear of missing out Before entering the market, you may have a bullish or bearish view and enter accordingly. Once you have a position, you are constantly concerned with the fluctuations of your account funds, tormented by various temptations, fears, greed, persistence, hope, and emotions influenced by these changes, and ignoring the market itself. This greatly interferes with normal thinking and judgment. Whether it's a long or short position, whether it's a profit or loss, as long as small gains and losses are within an acceptable range, one should beware of large losses. Traders should focus on the correctness of the process and be content with the results as they come. If you think about the results in advance, it will disturb the entire trading process and result in losses every time. The human mind always jumps ahead to imagine unrealistic outcomes and ignores what is actually happening in the present. This is a big mistake in our lives. These are the causes of fear or greed, which can lead to traders regretting after placing an order or closing a position, causing hesitation and indecision. The reason for this is that there is no effective trading system, causing traders to lack confidence in any aspect of the trading process. Confronting the market Traders must first understand that the market does not shift according to human will. The education we have received since childhood is based on competition, such as overcoming various obstacles and fighting difficulties. This consciousness has deeply rooted itself in the hearts of traders. In fact, when traders enter the market, they still carry this mentality. Often, some elites from various industries come to the market and suffer failures, and even more thoroughly than ordinary people. This is because successful people in other industries have a strong sense of self and do not believe they will fail. They are also unwilling to accept their own failures. Their success makes their personalities become very tough, so when the market turns against them, they do not know how to yield and compromise, but adopt a confrontational attitude until they are destroyed. People in life tend to defend their views to some extent, unwilling to admit their judgment errors. Therefore, regardless of whether a person is right or wrong, they will stick to their attitude to the end. What they defend is not the truth, but their self. This inherent nature of struggle and the attitude of not wanting to yield or give up self is the biggest obstacle in trading. Holding positions, not setting stop losses, and not admitting mistakes can eventually result in large losses or even liquidation. The pursuit of perfection The pursuit of perfection is a very greedy and extreme mentality. Because of this pursuit, it does not allow any flaws, cannot bear even very small losses, and it is difficult to execute a stop loss when necessary, and wants more profit when it is time to close a profitable position. Because of this pursuit, a person tries to capture every movement and does not want to miss any market situation. Everyone has their own limitations and areas in which they are not good at. The pursuit of perfection can easily lead to frequent and impulsive trading. To be continued...
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by triumphing
3
Stock Market CrisisHello my friends, today, im gonna show you the biggest falls of stock market SPX. First fall was in 1987 , stocks dropped over 20% in one single day, incredible. Market got back in 22 months. This day (19.11.) is always called " Black Monday ". The second fall was 9 years after "Black Monday". In august have SPX dropped about 15% . There were a lot of reasons, but the main reasons are Asian economic crisis, debt default by Russia and plummeting oil prices . we was back in 5 months. The worse crisis came in 2001 . This crisis is also called " Dot Com Bubble ". All technology companies have dipped and SPX was down 50% . Market got back in 7 years. Right after market got ATH (All-Time-High), market again dropped over 55% . Reason was american type of mortgage called " Subprime ". A lot of investing banks have bankrupted. One of them was Lehman Brothers or Bear Stearns . This crisis was one of the biggest opportunities that ever happened, because properties were really cheap . Market was back on his feet in 6 years. In 2018 dropped market over 15% ? because of interest rate hikes . Market was back in 8 months. The last crisis was an year ago, Covid-19 . Small companies have bankrupted . Market dropped over 30% . Back in 6 months. Okay guys, seems we are at the end, thanks for reading, hope you admire it, if yes, you can support me by Like and also you can Follow me, because i will do these things really often.
SP:SPX
by TommyTK247
14
GBPUSD Possible Triple TopGBPUSD is in a range. Price is currently in a strong uptrend, heading towards the top of the range. Looking back on the charts, price has strongly rejected the resistance at the top of the range multiple times before, meaning this is a strong level. We would like to see price reach the resistance and reject with strong bearish momentum in the form of either 4H or 1H bearish engulfing candles, or pinbars. We are also aware of the up trending strength in this pair currently, and realise price can continue pass this level.
Short
by BlueFireForex
1
GBPJPY LONGTrade had broke the resistance which then became the new support and then retested it. It since then started rising I believe the trade will go up towards the trendline area, which I personally set take profit. The next decision happens from around that area whether it will break or respect. If it breaks the trendline and closes above then I believe that it could possibly go higher to the next key area whereas if it respects the trendline it could just be a lower high and will drop after that point
Long
by Kyson
BTCUSD wave analysis LONG TERMI have had this roughly charted since december, however the wave completions were a fair way off! no I can properly and accurately chart this I am able to share! I have been focusing mainly on BTC lately to better understand the market during the BEAR period! I have started accumulating BTC and ALTS as the bottome is very close, i would be expecting drops to the buy zone to complete WXYXZ CORRECTION Following our amazing BULL 12345 run !! another thing im looking at is that this entire chart could be WAVE 1 and 2 on a much bigger scale!! targets moving to 30k and 50k. On any note this should help with anyone who is a little lost in this cluster F**k of a market!! hope you enjoy, share your predictions for discussion good luck ladies and gentlemen happy trading!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by tradingtradefortading
2