Downloading...
Download

Election2020

VIX Decrease Today? (Oct 9th 2020)VIX - S&P 500 Volatility Index - (October 9th-14th 2020) Just an idea about our beloved VIX going down over the next week or so. Big moves in S&P to be made this week? Bloodbath could still be around the corner... It is the month of Halloween after all... ;) Low: ~23.64-24% High: 27.05% Could get crazy with the election inbound... Thanks for tuning in :) Disclaimer, I am not responsible for any losses incurred while attempting to use my data, I hope this can prove to be some sort of learning tool for some and give insight as to how I personally come up with my own numbers. Take into full consideration this could be a completely bad forecast. Cheers
CBOE:VIX
by Hambooger
BTCUSD WEEKLY & DAILY - SHORTEveryone has seen the daily triangle and is predicting a break out up or down. You don't have to be a scientist rocket for this. You also don't have to be a scientist rocket for the next part. I think BTCUSD is more likely to break down and find support around $9200 or fib retracement Level 0.382. Here's why. 1. Weekly MACD crossed over bearish 2. RSI & CCI both pointing down 3. Volume decreasing 4. Of the two Triangles Shown, the first triangle used the weekly EMA10 for Support. The Second Triangle is struggling to stay above it. Of course price can reverse and break up but I see a bearish sentiment. Also consider the weird times, Trump, the US elections, and COVID. Now is the time to potentially cash out of some assets and go to cash to look for cheaper buy opportunities.
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PShort
by Hungryman34
1
DXY $Index Cup & Handle Pattern H2 Chart Target 94.40(23.6%Fib.)INDEX:DXY Update for DXY...After "No Stimulus 'til after Election" triggers market to buy $Index(DXY). Previously, as linked ideas, I had called for a DXY bounce at beginning of September. DXY proceeded to bounce from its 2011 Long Term upwards trendline, retracing to the 23.6% Fibonacci level($94.40) of the March to September drawdown. From there I forecasted that DXY would come back to test the 14% Fib. area and the local trendline(blue dotted upward sloping). The news of no stimulus conveniently triggered "Risk-Off", subsequently turning the market to the safety of US Dollars(DXY). On the 2-Hour Chart I see a cup & handle formation. The handle retracement looks complete at 50% Fibonacci retracement, subsequently reclaiming the(blue dotted) upward trendline. The target for the measured move is back to the 23.6% Fib. area of $94.40.... Again, I maintain my stance regarding the DXY as I will copy paste my previously published analysis statement: Oct 1 INDEX:DXY I had been calling for DXY to retrace after reaching the 23.6%($94. 40 ) back to local trendline and 14% Fib. The DXY pulled back to $93.53, just shy of the 14%, as well as the local trendline(blue dotted line). Now we find DXY regaining its corrective momentum to the upside. I still contend that the 138.2%($95.39) Fibonacci extension of correction is in play, and perhaps the 38.2% Retracement ($96.04)! Perhaps the final corrective wave(call it "C" or "Y") will end in a 5 wave diagonal, not impulse? To reiterate; I believe DXY is following a similar trend as in 2016 during the election period in the USA! In 2016 $Index was able to rally through the election into early January, 2017. It was at that point that the DXY began to breakdown for one year. During this time Bitcoin (& Crypto) inversely correlated, and of course was able to rally to its ATH as the $Index found a bottom in January, 2018. From there the Dollar has rallied up until March of this year(2020), at which point the Dollar again broke down, and has found support on its Long Term trendline. I believe a similar pattern will play out, give or take a month or three, and DXY will eventually break below the 2011 trendline. Let's see how it all goes....
TVC:DXY
by TheFreeCryptoPress
The Buckshot Projection Of Movement To Election DayThe next quick bear market is in the cards. However, the run to new all time highs will not make the next bear market hurt as much. This projection is an update to one previously posted the other day which accounts for Intermediate wave 4 ending on September 24. The specifics of each plotted point is based on the next top occurring on November 5 and lasting 30 trading days. Intermediate wave 3 lasted 46 days, and therefore this fifth Intermediate wave cannot surpass 46 days in length per the theory's guidelines. I will continue to watch each Minor wave and adjust this scatter plot accordingly. Primary wave 1 will likely end around election day. I currently have the top after the day itself (November 3). I still see a significant decline to follow. This could do with the election's result and presumed impact to the market in the future. I do see an even stronger rebound when the bottom is attained during Q1 of 2021.
SP:SPXLong
by StockSignaler
1
Dollar CAD - Forecasting a Treacherous Wind: a Coup in WaitingThe death of socialist United States Supreme Court Justice Bader-Ginsburg is a wildcard thrown into the mix during these difficult times. The reality is, President Donald Trump and the people working towards the elimination of the Chinese Communist Party will move to install an upright Supreme Court Justice in advance of the November election, as much of whether a fair election can occur revolves around the US Supreme Court. However, the socialist Democrats are betrothed to the CCP and need to do everything they can to get the Party's biggest thorn in their side out of the picture. And therein lies the axis upon which today's events swing. President Trump will nominate his Justice on Saturday and the Senate will vote to confirm it before the election. When they will vote is unannounced, but you can expect it will be quickly. The Senate is a Republican majority, but only at a 53-47 level. Two Republican Senators, Collins and Murkowski, who are sold out as socialists, will vote against this nominee, bringing us to a perilous 51-49. A tie break is decided by Vice President Mike Pence. I believe at this point in history, we will see the snakes jump out of the grass with additional Republican Senators raising the Democrat's "party line", crossing the floor, causing a surprise defeat to President Trump's Supreme Court nominee from within the Republican Party. All so that Chinese Communist Party horse Joseph Biden can be installed as President of the United States. “The best laid schemes o' mice an' men..." The reality is, it will effectively be a coup d'etat from within; an attempted takeover before the November election. You will see corresponding volatility in the forex market as whales take advantage of the opportunity to hastily complete their plans. You can expect USD pairs and the Dollar Index to pump as they get short before the guillotine falls. After the guillotine falls...
Short
by LordWrymouth
NASDAQ 35,000! But not yet, 1st bounce to 100DMA around electionGot some lines and what not there, all tasty stuff right. Checking around various time frames, got various gaps to retest and fill and what not. Got the overbearing original trend from last 10 years or so in heavy green dashed channel. That overbearing big trend, which we broke out of, conveniently going to line up with the 100DMA, along with a support line from some previous gaps to be filled, indicated by that triangle there, should happen around election time, CONVENIENTLY naturally lol. First we gotta play out the mini downtrend which we're in now, find support (gap line), and check out ~50% retracement of previous mini bull trend, conveniently at a gap line also, as indicated by the text on the chart there. Then probably test that overbearing big 10 year trend in thick dashed green into the rectangle zone, gotta bounce around a bit (as things play out will have more indication of what this will look like), and then retest the big 10 year trend again into our rectangle on the big trend/gap/100DMA convenient as always. Then we'll be pushing for our next leg up for newer highs before some retracement. And then on to NASDAQ 35,000! ;-) #NASDAQ35000Hat
NASDAQ:QQQ
by TraderCaps
2
Kodak: A Horrendous Bear TrapOn July 28, United States President Donald Trump issued an Executive Order under the Defense Production Act that Kodak would be transformed into a pharmaceuticals company with the help of a $765 MM federal capital markets blood infusion. Afterwards, the Democrats/socialists threw a tantrum and found an excuse to attempt to conjure the return of manufacturing to America from their friends in Communist China into a scandal, creating an enormous buying opportunity after Kodak's loan was put on hold while the SEC investigated allegations of insider trading and wrongdoing. The reality is that President Trump issued this move directly, and with an election coming in two months, he is very unlikely to deprive the people of New York the ~400 or so jobs that were to be created. Furthermore, according to Forbes, the situation at hand may be neither scandalous nor illegal to begin with. In reality, Hedge Fund DE Shaw purchased 3.94 million shares in Kodak knowing full well the situation at hand, and according to Motley Fool, Kodak is undervalued no matter how you look at it. The socialist Democrats loathe the idea of their BFFs over in Red China losing the manufacturing they worked for decades to poach from US soil. They loathe it almost as much as the Chinese Communist Party itself loathes the prospect of four more years of President Trump crushing the Party's gonads on every single front. There's a big gap below the current price that retail traders will think is going to fill. Lots of people are expectantly sitting with buy orders at $2 and $3, and a lot of even greater fools are sitting short slightly over $10 and around $7-9 waiting to get filled at $3 and 4. Unfortunately, the train is about to depart and margin is about to start calling. Embrace a bright future away from the CCP and catch the train. Kodak is one of the only remaining hot buys in the collapsing stock market. "Buy when there's blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own." - Baron Rothschild
NYSE:KODKLong
by LordWrymouth
CLX crosses below 100 day EMAClorox NYSE:CLX has really been selling off this month. The stock has dipped below its 100 day exponential moving average more than twice recently. I am going to see if CLX break below the 200 EMA. If so, then the key levels to watch might be that bearish turning point line, which was drawn using previous support levels. Seeing this chart makes me wonder...Is the Coronovirus trade over? As the economy slowly starts to re-open, and talk about the Coronavirus fades into "yesterday's news," can we expect to see a selloff in other stocks that may have benefited from the pandemic? I certainly think so. As the month of November nears, you can expect to hear less about the Coronavirus and more about the upcoming U.S. Presidential election. Hang on to your shorts folks ... its about to get interesting.
NYSE:CLXShort
by UnknownUnicorn6775423
BTC uptrend and All time highs by 2023Bitcoin follows the S&P closely since its inception. The 2009 economic policy of brrrr is running out of steam. Eventually people will scale out of overpriced stocks and into more traditionally safe assets. Gold for boomers and Bitcoin for millennials will amass the most wealth. The tumble in the S&P will be inevitable especially closing to and right after the elections - after Trump gets elected and another S&P correction is introduced as an excuse. Everything besides Bonds will suffer but commodities and gold will take the least hit. Bitcoin and Gold will gain massive momentum after this with initial speculators and funds selling to cover their stonk position losses. Then after they realize that we are headed into Abenomics 2.0 and a long stagnation period, people will start slowly abandoning the inflated dollar and get into Bitcoin and Gold.
BLong
by KenTaron
1
2020 US presidential election and a gap to be filledIt is expected and already priced higher VIX levels due to november 03 US presidential election, Trump x Biden. But we note a gap to be filled below current prices, there will be enough time to reach before the storm? target down: the gap to be filled 17.1 (or 18.2 day high) easy targets up: 28.5 31.4 36.8 more targets up: 45.5 50.8 march/2020 levels reached: 59.5 73.6 82.3 all-time-high from october/2008 96.3 #Disclaimer: this is not a buy/sell recommendation. Use this study at your own risk.
TVC:VIXLong
by HelionMelion
BTCUSDT | Bitcoin has crashed but is the growth phase finished?Overview Bitcoin broke up through $12 000 but is now crashing. Gold set a new all-time high but has since pulled back. The S&P 500 keeps on setting high after high. Still, all of these assets have one thing in common: they’re all at risk for a sizable correction, primarily due to the dark cloud hanging over the coming United States 2020 Presidential election. However such explanation can describe short-term effect on Bitcoin's price action but what about long-term perspective? Fractals Bitcoin global ATH $19 798 was reached on December 17th in 2017. Afterwards the whole cryptocurrency industry entered a consolidation phase decreasing until April 2nd in 2018 when a new growth stage started. After 3 months of ascending trend Bitcoin made a local peak of $13 970 on June 26th where consolidation started again making a Fractal pattern. Why are these Fractal patterns so important now? Bitcoin price action tried to consolidate at previously broken resistance levels to stop crashing during the first Fractal in 2018. Retrospectively we can see it failed after several attempts reaching major support which was also rejected thus it resulted in a dramatic crash to base level of $3 156. Currently we see the very similar situation: - Local support of $11 400 was broken - Previously broken resistance level of $10 400 level is being tested but has low probability to withstand Based on the Pitchfork and trend analysis we see a high probability of breaking down the level and further retest of major support level. Which will confirm repeating Fractal pattern and will signal for descending trend Conclusion Bitcoin is at decisive moment. The long-term price action development depends on whether BTC succeed to consolidate above $10 400 level or not. Most traders from SkyRock Signals think Bitcoin will break the level within next days because of bearish fundamental background, negative results of trend and technical indicators analyses. The scenario will bring the leading cryptocurrency to Major support near with $8 893 level. On a contrast with the first Fractal this level is close to fundamental production value which increase chances of bouncing back. However it is hard to accurately forecast what will happen when Bitcoin touches major Support because Fractal patterns do not guarantee retrospective will happen again. The most important now is to set tight risk management settings to your cryptocurrency assets positions until decisive moment is passed Stay safe and confident. We will update this trading idea so stay tuned Best regard, SkyRock Signals team
Short
by Skyrexio
2
us100 just UPSIDE nothing else.recomended long to 13000,or 14 000 ? the only thing that is going to stop this thing from going to upside is election day. if Trump wins , a big crash is inevitable, This year's elections are going to be very important to the stock market and indicies. we are in the middle of the coronavirus crisis and the election is going to be crazy! remember the date. 3.november 2020 that's the day! but not recomended to trade when its happening because it is going to be crazy this index wil go up and down 200 pips in seconds.very volatile,trade at your own risk. good luck see you later.
ULong
by bizmatej
5
Likely 700 point drop looming, but this is very bullishI continue to run more models. My models are like the cones of uncertainty when forecasting hurricanes. The more data that comes in changes the cone. In this case, this chart is completely different from the one 2 weeks ago. That one saw the end of Grand Supercycle 1, this one still has us in the final Cycle wave 5. This model also projects Grand Supercycle wave 1 will not end until early-mid 2022, but more will be published on that later. My prior model was not completely wrong as the major crash is looming, it is now just delayed for another 18 months or so. This chart is using similar models to project Intermediate waves 3, 4, & 5 (which are annotated in the white text) and another one to project Primary waves 1 & 2. The end location for Intermediate wave 3 is based on 110 data points. It is even possible this wave 3 ended with the close of trading yesterday which could start a 150-200 point drop over the next 7-13 days. Intermediate wave 4's end dates and points are separately based on 150 data points. Wave 4's have an average and median drop of around 41% the entire movement of wave 3. Wave 4 will give way to a nice jump slated to top right before election day in the U.S. Intermediate wave 5 is based off of 190 data points and tends to be the most accurate in all of the models I run. The end of Intermediate wave 5 is also the end of Primary wave 1. There is some overlap in the projects for the intermediate and primary waves. The most accurate projections are for the intermediate waves due to the amount of available data to determine those dates and price levels. The yellow text primary waves are larger targets because less data was used to obtain them. The biggest data points for the yellow primary waves comes from one main area. The fifth wave typically accounts for 15-20% of the bigger wavelength (with a consistent average & median around 18%). Theoretically Cycle wave 5 will last around 18% of Supercycle wave 5's length. 18% of projected Supercycle wave 5 is 610 trading days. 15% is 491 trading days. My current projection has Supercycle wave 5 ending (which is also the end of Cycle wave 5) in 2022. I will go into greater detail about these points in the future. The primary waves were calculated solely based on the 491-610 trading day length of Cycle wave 5. Each wave tends last a similar ratio to the larger wave it trades inside. This is how the yellow text was calculated. Wave 1's tend to last ~29% of the larger wave, 2 is ~12%, 3 is ~37%, 4 is ~5%, and 5 is ~17%. These values are not found in any book, they are from nonstop studies of millions of data points my programs have been running. The 700 point drop in the title speaks of my current projection from the end of Intermediate wave 5 / Primary wave 1 right before election day and through the first quarter of 2021. My website will go into much greater detail about the drop and whys. Leave comments if this analysis was helpful and thanks for reading.
SP:SPXLong
by StockSignaler
2
Gold Continuation, Silver Catch-Up in Loose-Money Election YearIn a year that will likely be mired with rate cuts, QE, and rising budget deficits - expect gold to continue its 2019 breakout. Fibonacci, trendline, and XAUJPY calculations give us a target range of 1711-1823 in the price of gold. In achieving this target we expect silver to catch up at least to the low 20's. This move looks highly likely in 2020 and will result in significant repricing in silver junior miners. Keep accumulating ounces and company shares. Heading into the top of this move we will be taking defensive action as we expect a significant correction to occur. It won't be a straight move through $2,000 gold. Given that: 1. The miners and silver have been severely lagging gold which has NEVER been a positive sign for a sustainable multi-year bull market 2. large resistance exists at the 1800-1900 level 3. Monetary policy lags the market, meaning the Fed rarely moves quickly in a straight line. there's a solid chance the Fed bluffs a hawkish stance, causing a temporary gold sell-off It is likely we will correct and consolidate prior to breaking through 1900. Other Thoughts: Monetary policy operates with a lag, which means the rate hikes and QT from 2017-2018 is still creating headwinds for this market. Although the market odds have not yet priced it in, it is almost certain the Fed will not hike in 2020, and it is increasingly likely they will cut rates at least 1-2 times. QE is likely here to stay and expand. The Fed wants a weaker dollar, Trump wants a weaker dollar, and the global markets want a weaker dollar. Expect a weaker dollar unless the Fed wants a liquidity problem. Monetary policy, more than ever, is the driver of this market. I could be wrong and gold could fall - but that would require a very tight monetary policy which would almost certainly cause problems in stocks and debt markets. So be watching the Fed, listening very closely, and watching how the markets respond. Earnings have never mattered so little. All that matters now is central bank liquidity.
FX_IDC:XAUUSDLong
by Ludwig_Von_Mises
6
US Stock Market Making 2nd Attempt at Parabolic Blow-Off TopI believe we will get either a blow-off top in the S&P or a fundamental event that kills the expansion, sending price below the magenta rising support line. If the Fed is too slow to expand the balance sheet, then stocks can correct significantly until the Fed eases adequately. If Trump wins and the Fed expands their balance sheet in 2020 at a fast enough pace, then spx will enter a blow-off top mania. If Bernie or Warren win, a significant correction will take place but SPX may bounce once rates hit zero or negative. If the Fed is slow to move (quite likely) then SPX will swing really violently and could get scary for some investors and traders In my view, the SPX is only worth trading, it is not worth investing in. Now is the time to be getting out of US stocks and US dollars and into emerging markets and commodities. Sometimes being a better investor means passing up immediate returns via central bank fueled irrational exuberance and waiting for an even better opportunity later once the music has stopped and everyone has been exposed. Impossible to predict the top, so better off not fully participating.
SP:SPX
by Ludwig_Von_Mises
1
FAKE NEWS PANIC! BUY THE DIP IN STOCKS!! THIS IS CRAZY!FOLKS...LIKE WE'VE BEEN TELLING YOU... THE FLU KILLS OVER 80,000 PEOPLE A YEAR IN AMERICA ALONE. THE CHINA VIRUS IS "FAKE NEWS" AND THE "FAKE NEWS" CONTINUE PUSHING THEIR CORRUPT AGENDA TO TANK THE ECONOMY BEFORE THE 2020 ELECTION FACTS AND STATS FROM THE CDC...SEE LINK The World Health Organization estimates that worldwide, annual influenza epidemics result in about 3-5 million cases of severe illness and about 250,000 to 500,000 deaths. www.medscape.com THE VIRUS WAS PLANNED AND STARTED. THE VIRUS WAS NO MISTAKE OR AN ALL OF A SUDDEN VIRUS. THE VIRUS WAS RELEASED IN CHINA TO TANK THE GLOBAL ECONOMIES! DO NOT SELL INTO THIS "FAKE NEWS" CORRUPT AGENDA BY THE DIRTY FAR LEFT LIBERALS, DIRTY DEMOCRATS AND CORRUPT POLITICIANS! THE DIP TODAY IN THE STOCK MARKET IS A BUYING OPPORTUNITY! DISCLAIMER This website and our posts are for general information only. No information, forward looking statements, or estimations presented herein represent any final determination on investment performance. While the information presented in this website and our posts has been researched and is thought to be reasonable and accurate, any investment is speculative in nature. StockKid, and/or our agents cannot and do not guarantee any rate of return or investment timeline based on the information presented herein. By reading and reviewing the information contained in this website and our posts, the user acknowledges and agrees that StockKid, and/or our agents do not assume and hereby disclaim any liability to any party for any loss or damage caused by the use of the information contained herein, or errors or omissions in the information contained in this website or our posts, to make any investment decision, whether such errors or omissions result from negligence, accident or any other cause. Investors are required to conduct their own investigations, analysis, due diligence, draw their own conclusions, and make their own decisions. Any areas concerning taxes or specific legal or technical questions should be referred to lawyers, accountants, consultants, brokers, or other professionals licensed, qualified or authorized to render such advice. In no event shall StockKid, and/or our agents be liable to any party for any direct, indirect, special, incidental, or consequential damages of any kind whatsoever arising out of the use of this website, our posts or any information contained herein. StockKid, and/or our agents specifically disclaim any guarantees, including, but not limited to, stated or implied potential profits, rates of return, or investment timelines discussed or referred to herein.
TVC:GOLD
by UnknownUnicorn3159981
ORBEX: Trump Dents Markets Days Before OPEC+In today’s market insights I talk about the massive Trump sell-off seen in the markets following his comments that a phase 1 trade deal could be now dragged later than the 2020 election. Gold and Oil were affected by the pessimistic rhetoric as participants received the delay announcement! The yellow metal appreciated while Crude oil jaw-dropped days ahead of the critical OPEC+ meeting in Vienna. Watch me analyse the two #Commodities and what I expect in the short and medium-term using #ElliottWaves! Timestamps XAUUSD 1H 01:40 WTI 1H 04:15 Stavros Tousios Head of Investment Research Orbex This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
FX_IDC:USDWTI
by Orbex